CNOTES CFL BEST BETS-NEWS-NOTES-WRITEUPS !

[Cnotes53]

Monday’s 6-pack:
Major league leaders in strikeouts:
138— Tarik Skubal, Det
135— Garrett Crochet, Bos
129— MacKenzie Gore, Wash
126— Zack Wheeler, Phil
120— Logan Webb, SF
119— Carlos Rodon, NYY

Quote of the Day
“We are heartbroken to learn of the passing of Dave Parker. A beloved member of the Pirates family, ‘The Cobra’ was one of the most dominating and intimidating players to ever wear a Pirates uniform. All of us who grew up in the ’70s remember how special Dave was. He was an All-Star, a Gold Glover, a batting champion, a National League MVP and a critical part of the 1979 Pirates World Series Championship team.”
Pirates owner Bob Nutting

Monday’s quiz
In the TV show Magnum PI, what was the name of TC’s helicopter service?

Sunday’s quiz
Bob Uecker hit exactly .200 in his six-year major league career; he hit 14 home runs in his career.

Saturday’s quiz
Since 2000, Cleveland Browns have won the fewest games of any NFL team.

**************************************************

Monday’s Den: Trends for major league teams…….​

Trends for major league teams
(thru Sunday’s games)

— Arizona (41-42)
Arizona lost its last four games.
Over is 11-3 in their last 14 home games.
Arizona is 7-16 in last 23 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Braves (38-45)
Braves lost four of their last five games.
Atlanta is 23-17 at home, 15-28 on the road.
Under is 21-9 in their last 30 home games.

— Cubs (49-35)
Chicago is 10-13 in its last 23 games.
Chicago lost six of last seven series openers.
Cubs are 38-22 vs righty starters, 11-13 vs lefties.

— Reds (44-40)
Cincinnati is 13-8 in its last 21 games.
Reds are 10-3 in last thirteen series openers.
Reds are 34-25 vs righty starters, 10-15 vs lefties.

— Rockies (19-65)
Colorado is 2-7 in its last nine games.
Under is 6-2 in Rockies’ last eight games.
Rockies are 2-22 vs lefty starters, 17-43 vs righties.

— Dodgers (53-32)
Dodgers are 11-3 in their last 14 games,
Dodgers are 39-21 vs righty starters, 14-11 vs lefties.
Over is 24-7 in their last 31 home games.

— Marlins (37-45) )
Marlins have won 7 in a row, are 14-7 in their last 21 games.
Miami is 17-24 at home, 20-21 on the road.
Over is 5-0 in Marlins’ last five games.

— Brewers (47-37)
Brewers won 12 of their last 15 games.
Milwaukee scored 78 runs in its last ten games.
Brewers are 27-17 at home, 20-20 on the road.
Under is 20-10 in their last 30 home games.

— Mets (48-37)
Mets lost 13 of their last 16 games.
Mets just got swept three games in Pittsburgh, outscored 30-4.
Mets are 29-12 at home, 19-25 on the road.
Over is 11-5 in their last 16 games.

— Phillies (49-35)
Phillies are 3-5 in their last eight games.
Phillies are 39-21 vs righty starters, 10-14 vs lefties.
Phillies are 10-3 in home series openers.

— Pirates (35-50)
Pirates won five of their last seven games.
Pittsburgh is 23-21 at home, 12-29 on the road.
Over is 10-2 in their last dozen games.
Pirates are 8-3 in last 11 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— St Louis (47-38)
St Louis won seven of its last nine games.
Cardinals are 10-4 in home series openers.
St Louis is 26-17 at home, 21-21 on the road.

— Padres (45-38)
Padres are 8-11 in their last nineteen games.
Under is 8-3 in their last eleven games.
San Diego starting pitchers have one win/seven losses in last 23 road games.

— Giants (45-39)
Giants are 4-8 since they traded for Rafael Devers.
Giants are 37-25 vs righty pitchers, 8-14 vs lefties.
SF is 18-8 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Washington (35-49)
Nationals split their last eight games.
Washington scored 54 runs in its last eight games.
Over is 7-2 in their last nine games.
Washington is 16-6 last 22 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Famous birthdays, June 30th:
Ron Swoboda, 81
Roy Green, 68
Vincent D’Onofrio, 66
Mitch Richmond, 60
Garret Anderson, 53
Blake Treinen, 37
Trea Turner, 32
Josh Rojas, 31
AJ Brown, 28

— Orioles (36-47)
Baltimore is 9-13 in its last 22 games.
Orioles are 13-13 vs AL East foes, 23-34 vs everyone else.
Under is 19-7 in their last 26 games.

— Red Sox (41-44)
Red Sox lost seven of their last eight games.
Boston is 9-19 in one-run games.
Under is 9-3 in their last 12 home games.
Red Sox are 4-8 in 12 games since trading Devers.

— White Sox (28-56)
Chicago is 5-4 in its last nine games.
White Sox are 9-32 on the road.
Under is 10-2 in their last 12 road games.

— Cleveland (40-42)
Cleveland lost five of its last six games.
Guardians are 33-26 vs righty starters, 7-16 vs lefties.
Under is 11-3 in their last fourteen games.
Guardians scored total of six runs in their last four games.

— Detroit (53-32)
Detroit is 15-9 vs its AL Central rivals, lead division by 11.5 games .
Tigers are 5-2 in their last seven games.
Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

— Houston (50-34)
Astros lead AL West by 6.5 games.
Astros are 32-14 at home, 18-20 on the road.
Over is 5-1 in their last six road games.
Astros are 17-9 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Royals (39-45)
Royals lost 12 of their last 13 home games.
Kansas City sis 31-38 vs righty starters, 8-7 vs lefties.
Under is 12-4 in Royals’ last 16 games.

— Angels (41-42)
Angels are 15-10 in their last 25 games.
Halos are 6-1 in last seven road series openers.
Angels are 20-10 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.
Angels are only two games out of last Wild Card slot in AL.

— Twins (40-44)
Twins are 6-17 in their last 23 games.
Minnesota is 22-17 at home, 18-27 on the road.
Over is 18-9-1 in their last 28 games.

— New York (48-35)
New York is 6-10 in its last sixteen games.
Under is 15-2 in their last seventeen games.
New York is 37-26 vs righty starters, 11-9 vs lefties.

— A’s (34-52)
A’s are 2-6 in their last eight games.
Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.
A’s scored in first inning in only two of last sixteen games.

— Seattle (43-40)
Mariners are 10-6 in their last sixteen games.
Seattle currently holds the last Wild Card slot in the AL.
Over is 12-4 in their last sixteen road games.
Under is 7-3 in Mariners’ last ten home games.

— Tampa Bay (47-37)
Tampa Bay is 26-11 in its last 37 games.
Rays are 27-23 at home, 20-14 on the road.
Rays are 13-5 in last 18 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Texas (41-43)
Rangers are 12-8 in their last 20 games.
Texas is 8-15 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.
Rangers are 24-18 at home, 17-25 on road.
Under is 22-10 in their last 32 road games.

— Toronto (45-38)
Blue Jays are 11-5 in their last 16 home games.
Over is 20-8 in their last 28 games.
Toronto is 9-5 in last 14 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
NBA signings:
— Lebron James opted in on his player’s option for next year, $52.6M
— Kevon Looney signed for two years, $16M with the Pelicans.
— Jaren Jackson signed a 5-year, $240M extension with Memphis.
— Ty Jerome signed a 3-year, $28M deal with Memphis.
— Santi Aldama signed a 3-year, $52.5M deal with Memphis.
— D’Angelo Russell signed a 2-year, $13M deal with Dallas.

Quote of the Day
“Love is love. Congrats to the Loves. Just happy at least one of my quarterbacks invited me to their wedding.”
Former Packers offensive lineman David Bakhtiari, after going to Jordan Love’s wedding

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the Kansas City Royals, who has stolen the most bases?

Monday’s quiz
In the TV show Magnum PI, TC’s helicopter service was called Island Hoppers.

Sunday’s quiz
Bob Uecker hit exactly .200 in his six-year major league career; he hit 14 home runs in his career.

***********************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Happy Canada Day; here are some notes on Big X football teams​

Happy Canada Day, to our neighbors to the north…….
Notes for Big X football teams:

Arizona
Wildcats have had only one winning season the last seven years.
Arizona won four of its last five bowl games SU

Arizona State
Coach Dillingham is 7-1 ATS as a favorite.
Since 2017, Sun Devils are 41-27 ATS in league games, 9-16-1 in non-league games.

Baylor
Last four years, Bears are 10-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Baylor has 73 starts back on offensive line, which is good- they were 8-5 last year, only their second winning season the last five years.

Brigham Young
Coach Sitake is 17-9 ATS as a road underdog.
Coach Sitake is 27-35 as a favorite.

Central Florida
Since 2019, Knights are 7-16 ATS as a road favorite.
Coach Frost is 12-6 ATS as a road underdog. He is back at UCF this year after he had previously coach the Knights in 2016-17.

Cincinnati
Last two years, Bearcats are 8-16 SU; their last bowl win was in 2019.
Coach Satterfield is 17-9 ATS as a road favorite.

Colorado
Under Coach Sanders, Colorado is 9-3 ATS as an underdog.
Last two years, Buffaloes were +21 in turnovers.

Houston
Coach Fritz is 44-27 ATS as a favorite.
Last three years, Houston was 9-16-1 in conference games.

Famous birthdays, July 1st:
Jamie Farr, 91
Freddie Lewis, 82
Dan Aykroyd, 73
Roger Carr, 73
Nelson Cruz, 45
Pamela Anderson, 58
Charlie Blackmon, 39
Kent Bazemore, 36

Iowa State
Coach Campbell is 25-14-2 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2015, Cyclones are 35-17-1 ATS coming off a loss.

Kansas
Last two years, Jayhawks are 8-3 ATS as an underdog.
Kansas won 4 of its last 5 bowl games, scoring 42 ppg, but only two of those five bowls have been played since 2008.

K-State
Coach Klieman is 25-13 ATS in home games.
Since 2016, Wildcats are 27-13 ATS coming off a loss.

Oklahoma State
Cowboys were 3-9 LY, missing a bowl for first time in 19 years.
OSU is 8-3 ATS last 11 games as a home dog, 24-9 ATS in last 33 non-league games.

TCU
Since 2018, Horned Frogs are 5-11-1 as a road underdog.
TCU has 3 starters/93 starts back on OL; they were 9-4 LY, despite a -6 turnover ratio.

Texas Tech
Last four years, Red Raiders are 16-6 ATS coming off a loss
Coach McGuire is 9-6-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Tech has 136 starts back on the offensive line; very experienced.

Utah
Coach Whittingham is 39-26 ATS as an underdog.
Utes lost their last five bowl games; they were favored in three of the five games.

West Virginia
Coach Rodriguez is 20-31 ATS as a road underdog.
Last five years, Mountaineers are 13-4 ATS as a home favorite.

 

[Cnotes53]

CFL 2025 Recap: Toronto @ Ottawa - Week 4​ ​ ​ CFL 2025 Recap: BC @ Saskatchewan - Week 4​ ​ ​ CFL 2025 Recap: Montreal @ Hamilton - Week 4​ ​ ​ CFL 2025 Recap: Edmonton @ Winnipeg - Week 4​ ​ ​

JUNE 30, 2025 LANDRY’S 5 TAKEAWAYS FROM WESTJET CANADA DAY WEEKEND​ JUNE 30, 2025 3 STATS THAT DEFINED TORONTO’S WESTJET CANADA DAY WEEKEND WIN OVER OTTAWA​ JUNE 30, 2025 ARGOS DEFEAT REDBLACKS FOR FIRST WIN OF 2025​ JUNE 29, 2025 3 STATS THAT DEFINED SASKATCHEWAN’S WESTJET CANADA DAY WEEKEND WIN OVER BC​ JUNE 29, 2025 AJ OUELLETTE’S 100-YARD GAME POWERS RIDERS OVER LIONS​ JUNE 28, 2025 3 STATS THAT DEFINED HAMILTON’S WESTJET CANADA DAY WEEKEND WIN OVER MONTREAL​ JUNE 28, 2025 TIGER-CATS DEFENCE SHUTS DOWN ALOUETTES TO EARN FIRST WIN OF SEASON​ INSIGHT AND ANALYSIS JUNE 30, 2025 MMQB: AN EMBARRASSMENT OF RICHES IN RIDERVILLE​ 18 HOURS AGO | CFL STAFF CFL INJURY REPORTS: WEEK 5​ Injury reports for all eight teams in action of Week 5 of the CFL regular season.... Read More YESTERDAY | CFL STAFF 3 KEYS TO VICTORY FOR OTTAWA, TORONTO ON WESTJET CANADA DAY WEEKEND​ CFL.ca takes a look at three keys to victory for the Toronto Argonauts and Ottawa REDBLACKS on WestJet Canada Day Weekend.... Read More JUNE, 28, 2025 | CFL STAFF 3 KEYS TO THE GAME FOR BC, SASKATCHEWAN ON WESTJET CANADA DAY WEEKEND​ CFL.ca brings you three keys to victory for the BC Lions and Saskatchewan Roughriders on their WestJet Canada Day Weekend matchup.... Read More JUNE, 27, 2025 | CFL STAFF JAKE MAIER TO START FOR RIDERS; LIONS’ NATHAN ROURKE LISTED AS GAME-TIME DECISION​ The Saskatchewan Roughriders listed quarterback Jake Maier as a starter for Saturday against the BC Lions. BC meanwhile has listed starting pivot Nathan Rourke as... Read More

 

[Cnotes53]

Insight and Analysis July 1, 2025

Prediction Time: CFL.ca writers’ Week 5 picks​

TORONTO — It’s officially Week 5 and we’re starting to get a clearer picture of where each team stands.

That presents a unique challenge for the CFL.ca writers; do they pick the favourite or risk it all with the underdog?

Matt Cauz sits on top of the pick makers with a 12-4 record but only two games separate him and the three-way tie for last between Kristina Costabile, Jamie Nye, and Vicki Hall.

Does everyone go with the safe bet or will we see some surprise choices? Find out below.

WINNIPEG AT CALGARY​

Thursday, July 3
9:00 p.m. ET
TSN/CBSSN/CFL+

The Stampeders return from their bye to take on the undefeated Winnipeg Blue Bombers. Calgary will hope that a week of rest will help them bounce back from a Week 3 defeat against the Ottawa REDBLACKS. Can they slow down the Blue Bombers, who are a perfect 3-0 on the season? The majority of the pick makers think so and are predicting Vernon Adams Jr. and co. will hand the Bombers their first loss.

WRITERS PICK: 60% Calgary

HAMILTON AT TORONTO​

Friday, July 4
7:30 p.m. ET
TSN/RDS/CFL+

Both the Hamilton Tiger-Cats and Toronto Argonauts got their first wins of the season in Week 4, thanks in large part to the strength of their defence. Two Hamilton defenders scored touchdowns against Montreal, rookie linebacker Devin Veresuk and veteran defensive lineman Julian Howsare, while also holding the Als to just 17 points. Rookie defensive back Derek Slywka scored twice for the Argos on a fumble recovery and a blocked field goal return. Who will get the best of their rival? Most of the writers think it will be the visitors.

WRITERS PICK: 80% Hamilton

BC AT MONTREAL​

Saturday, July 5
7:00 p.m. ET
TSN/RDS/CTV/CBSSN/CFL+

Both the BC Lions and the Montreal Alouettes are coming off a loss in Week 4, albeit both without their starting quarterbacks. As of this writing, and when the writers were asked to make their picks, there’s no update as to whether or not Nathan Rourke or Davis Alexander will suit up on Saturday. Without clarity on the pivot situation, the pick makers are going with the home team.

WRITERS PICK: 100% Montreal

OTTAWA AT EDMONTON​

Sunday, July 6
7:00 p.m. ET
TSN/RDS/CBSSN/CFL+

Much like Montreal and BC, the REDBLACKS were without their starting pivot last week in their loss to the Toronto Argonauts. It remains to be seen if Dru Brown starts for Ottawa but that doesn’t seem to matter for the pick makers. Edmonton keeping things close with the Blue Bombers last week, the game was tied heading into the fourth quarter, is giving the entire group enough confidence to pick the Elks to get their first win of 2025.

WRITERS PICK: 100% Edmonton

 

[Cnotes53]

West Division​

RK	TEAM	GP	W	L	T	PTS	F	A	HOME	AWAY	DIV
1	SASKATCHEWAN	4	4	0	0	8	135	99	2-0-0	2-0-0	1-0-0
2	WINNIPEG	3	3	0	0	6	97	57	2-0-0	1-0-0	3-0-0
3	CALGARY	3	2	1	0	4	79	65	1-1-0	1-0-0	0-0-0
4	BC	4	1	3	0	2	83	112	1-1-0	0-2-0	1-3-0
5	EDMONTON	3	0	3	0	0	65	105	0-1-0	0-2-0	0-2-0

East Division​

RK	TEAM	GP	W	L	T	PTS	F	A	HOME	AWAY	DIV
1	MONTREAL	4	3	1	0	6	122	91	1-0-0	2-1-0	2-1-0
2	HAMILTON	3	1	2	0	2	84	83	1-1-0	0-1-0	1-0-0
3	TORONTO	4	1	3	0	2	90	112	0-2-0	1-1-0	1-1-0
4	OTTAWA	4	1	3	0	2	80	111	0-2-0	1-1-0	0-2-0

y - Clinched Division
x - Clinched Playoff Berth
c - Clinched Crossover

 

[Cnotes53]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
— Arizona 8, Giants 2- Zac Gallen struck out 10 guys in 7 IP.
— Blue Jays 12, New York 5- George Springer had seven RBI.
— Astros 6, Rockies 5- Victor Caratini hit a grand slam.
— A’s 4, Rays 3- A’s are 4-4 on their three-city road trip.
— Angels 4, Braves 0- Game was scoreless after seven innings.
— Pirates 1, Cardinals 0- Game was scoreless after seven innings.

Quote of the Day
“That’s a move you talk yourself into in the boardroom in July when you have nowhere else to go, and you turn a bad situation into a worse one. They’re going to look at this in two years and say, ‘What did we do?'”
Unnamed NBA executive, talking about the Bucks signing Myles Turner, waiving Damian Lillard

Wednesday’s quiz
In the history of USC football, who holds the record for most passing yards?
(Hint: He played in the NFL, mostly as a backup)

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the Kansas City Royals, Willie Wilson has stolen the most bases.

Monday’s quiz
In the TV show Magnum PI, TC’s helicopter service was called Island Hoppers.

**************************************​

Wednesday’s Den: Trends for NFL teams……​

Notes for NFL teams:
NFC East

Dallas
Missed playoffs LY for first time in four years.
Since 1998, they’re 4-12 in playoff games.
17-8 ATS in last 25 games as a home favorite.

NJ Giants
Missed playoffs 11 of last 13 years.
Last two years, went 6-11/3-14.
Last seven years, they’re 9-12 ATS in NFC East home games.

Philadelphia
Since 2017, they’re 10-5 in playoff games (2 Super Bowl wins)
Since 2018, Eagles are 19-24-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Last four years, over is 21-12 in Philly’s regular season home games.

Washington
LY, Commanders made playoffs for second time in last nine years.
Before last year, Washington’s last playoff win was in 2005.
Last year, over was 12-5 in Washington’s regular season games.

NFC North

Chicago
Last four years, Chicago went 21-47, missing playoffs every year.
Since winning Super Bowl 40 years ago, Bears are 6-12 in playoff games.
Last five years, Bears are 10-20 ATS in divisional games.

Detroit
Last three years, Detroit went 36-15 in regular season, 2-2 in playoffs.
In the entire Super Bowl era, Lions are 3-14 in playoff games (0-12 on road)
Lions are 14-8 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.

Green Bay
Packers made the playoffs 12 of the last 15 years.
Since winning Super Bowl 15 years ago, Green Bay is 8-11 in playoff games.
Packers are 26-17-1 ATS in their last 44 games as a home favorite.

Minnesota
Vikings were 14-3 LY, but let QB Darnold walk anyway.
Since 2010, Minnesota is 2-6 in playoff games.
Vikings are 10-2-1 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.

NFC South

Atlanta
Falcons missed the playoffs the last seven years.
Since 2014, Atlanta is 20-40-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In their history, Falcons are 6-2 in home playoff games, 4-12 otherwise.

Carolina
Carolina missed the playoffs the last seven years.
In their history, Panthers are 9-8 in playoff games (5-2 at home)
Carolina’s last seven home games went over the total.

New Orleans
New Orleans missed the playoffs the last four years.
Since winning Super Bowl 16 years ago, Saints are 4-7 in playoff games.
Since 2014, Saints are 26-38-1 ATS as a home favorite.

Tampa Bay
Buccaneers made the playoffs the last five years (27-24 last 3 years)
Tampa Bay is 5-2-1 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
Last three years, Buccaneers are 3-5-1 ATS in NFC South home games.

NFC West

Arizona
Cardinals missed playoffs the last three years, and eight of last nine.
Since making it to the Super Bowl 17 years ago, Arizona is 2-4 in playoff games.
Cardinals are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games as a home underdog.

LA Rams
In eight years under McVay, Rams made playoffs six times (1-1 in Super Bowl)
McVay has a 8-5 record in playoff games.
Rams are 4-8-2 ATS last 14 games as a non-divisional road underdog.

San Francisco
49ers missed playoffs LY for first time in four years.
Since 2012, 49ers made playoffs six times; they went WWL all six years.
49ers are 7-9 ATS in last sixteen games as a home favorite.

Seattle
Seattle missed playoffs 3 of last 4 years, after making it 12 of previous 16 years.
Since losing Super Bowl 11 years ago, Seahawks are 3-6 in playoff games.
Last year, Seahawks were 1-6 SU/ATS in last seven home games.

Famous birthdays, July 2nd:
Robert Ito, 94
Polly Holliday, 88
Larry David, 78
Joe Pisarcik, 73
Tony Armas, 72
Jon Sundvold, 64
Jose Canseco, 61
Steve Sparks, 61
Chad Henne, 40
Margot Robbie, 35
Derrick White, 31
Daulton Varsho, 29

AFC teams
AFC East
Buffalo
Since 2017, Bills are 86-45 SU in regular season, 7-7 in playoffs.
Buffalo is 11-5-1 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.
Over is 10-2 in their last 12 regular season games.

Miami
Dolphins made the playoffs twice in McDaniel’s three seasons as HC.
Dolphins lost their last six playoff games (last win, 2000)
Miami’s last six home games went over the total.

New England
Patriots made the playoffs once in five years since Brady left.
Vrabel’s is New England’s third HC in three years (4-13/4-13 last 2 years)
Patriots are 7-17-1 ATS in their last 25 home games.

NJ Jets
Jets have had nine consecutive losing seasons, last made playoffs in 2010.
Jets haven’t played a home playoff game since 2002.
Since 2018, Jets are 7-14 ATS in AFC East home games.

AFC North

Baltimore
Lamar Jackson is 70-24 in regular season games, 3-5 in playoff games.
Ravens are 2-3 SU in last five home playoff games.
Last two years, Baltimore is 19-12 ATS as a favorite.

Cincinnati
Bengals went 9-8/9-8 last two years, but missed playoffs both years.
2021-22, Bengals went 22-11 in regular season, 5-2 in playoffs.
From 1991-2020, Cincinnati was 0-7 in playoff games.
Over is 6-1 in their last seven home games.

Cleveland
Since returning to NFL, Browns are 1-3 in playoff games.
Cleveland made playoffs twice in last five years, were 3-14 LY.
Last year, Browns were 3-12 ATS in their last fifteen games.

Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh made the playoffs eight of the last 11 years.
Steelers haven’t won a playoff game since 2016.
Steelers are 25-14 ATS in last 39 games as a road underdog.

AFC South

Houston
Texans won AFC South last two years, six of last 10 seasons.
Texans are 6-1 in home playoff games, 0-6 in road playoff games.
Since 2019, Houston is 6-15 ATS as a home favorite.

Indianapolis
Colts missed playoffs last four years, and eight of last 10 seasons.
Last year, over was 7-1 in their last eight games.
Over is 11-5 in their last sixteen home games.

Jacksonville
Jaguars made the playoffs once in last seven seasons.
In their history, Jacksonville is 8-8 SU in playoff games.
Since 2016, Jaguars are 10-3 ATS as a home dog vs AFC South rivals.

Tennessee
Last three years, Titans missed playoffs, going 16-35 SU
Tennessee is 5-4 SU in its last nine road playoff games.
Last year, Titans were 1-7 SU/0-8 ATS at home.

AFC West

Denver
Broncos made playoffs last year for first time in nine years.
LY’s playoff loss in Buffalo was their first road playoff game since 2011.
Denver won/covered six of its last seven home games.

Kansas City
Last six years, Chiefs went 3-2 SU in Super Bowls.
Since 2019, Chiefs are 16-3 SU in playoff games.
Since 2020, Chiefs are 17-22 ATS as a home favorite.

Las Vegas
Raiders made the playoffs twice in the last 22 years.
Raiders haven’t won a playoff game since 2002.
Pete Carroll made playoffs in four of his last six years in Seattle.

LA Chargers
Chargers made playoffs two of last three years.
Jim Harbaugh is 55-25-1 SU as an NFL coach, 5-4 in playoff games.
Chargers’ last six regular season road games went over the total.

 

[Udog]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 5

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR WINNIPEG AT CALGARY
Date: July 3, 2025
Time: 9:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 114.917; Calgary 115.986
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1; 57
Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg by 3; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+3); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR HAMILTON AT TORONTO
Date: July 4, 2025
Time: 7:30 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 115.372; Toronto 112.460
Dunkel Line & Total: Hamilton by 3; 55
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+1 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR BC AT MONTREAL
Date: July 5, 2025
Time: 7:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: BC 106.701; Montreal 115.211
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 8 1/2; 42
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal by 5; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-5); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR OTTAWA AT EDMONTON
Date: July 6, 2025
Time: 7:00 pm ET
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 111.283; Edmonton 102.805
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 8 1/2; 44
Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa by 2 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (-2 1/2); Under





CFL

Week 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, July 3
9:00 PM ET
Winnipeg VS Calgary
Winnipeg is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Winnipeg's last 6 games.
Winnipeg is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games.
Winnipeg is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games against Calgary.
Calgary is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Calgary's last 7 games.
Calgary is 3-9-1 SU in its last 13 games.
Calgary is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home.

Friday, July 4
7:30 PM ET
Hamilton VS Toronto
Hamilton is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Hamilton's last 10 games.
Hamilton is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games.
Hamilton is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games against Toronto.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Toronto's last 18 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games at home.
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Hamilton.
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games against an opponent in the East conference.

Saturday, July 5
7:00 PM ET
British Columbia VS Montreal
British Columbia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of British Columbia's last 8 games.
British Columbia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
British Columbia is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games against Montreal.
Montreal is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Montreal's last 10 games against British Columbia.
Montreal is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home.

Sunday, July 6
7:00 PM ET
Ottawa VS Edmonton
Ottawa is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ottawa's last 7 games.
Ottawa is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games.
Ottawa is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games against Edmonton.
Edmonton is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Edmonton's last 7 games.
Edmonton is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Edmonton's last 14 games against Ottawa.


-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
Fewest postseason (baseball) wins since 1998:
2— Reds
3— Pirates
6— Orioles
9— Rockies, Twins
10— Blue Jays
11— Mariners

Quote of the Day
“I got to talk to my teammates and to the fans and to everyone and to put it behind me. It’s all about winning. I’m going to do everything I can to help the team win every night.”
Jurickson Profar, after returning from his 80-game suspension

Thursday’s quiz
What is the actor’s name who played Newman on Seinfeld?

Wednesday’s quiz
In the history of USC football, former NFL QB Matt Barkley holds the record for most passing yards; Carson Palmer is 2nd on the list.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the Kansas City Royals, Willie Wilson has stolen the most bases.

**************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….​

— Pirates 5, Cardinals 0
Pittsburgh went 6-0 on this homestand.
Cardinals were outscored 13-0 in the three-game series.
Mitch Keller tossed seven IP for the Pirates.

— Brewers 7-3, Mets 2-7
Joey Ortiz hit a tie-breaking grand slam in 6th inning.
Lindor went 3-4 with 3 RBI batting 2nd in the nightcap.
Mets have lost 14 of their last 18 games.

— Blue Jays 11, New York 9
Toronto blew a 9-1 lead, scored winning run on a wild pitch.
Teams are now tied for first place in the AL East.
New York is 13-18 since May 28th.

— Braves 8, Angels 3
Jurickson Profar homered in his return from an 80-game PED suspension.
Matt Olson had three hits, including a sixth inning grand slam.

— Giants 6, Diamondbacks 5 (10)
Patrick Bailey’s sac fly scored the game-winning run.
San Francisco snaps a four-game losing skid.

— Twins 2, Marlins 1
Loss snaps Miami’s 8-game winning streak.
Minnesota had lost its previous nine one-run games.

— Dodgers 5, White Sox 4
Dodgers scored three runs in bottom of the ninth.
Clayton Kershaw got his 3,000th career strikeout.

— Great factoid from Christopher Kamka:
Cesar Geronimo was Bob Gibson’s 3,000th strikeout.
Six years later, Geronimo was Nolan Ryan’s 3,000th strikeout.

— Famous birthdays, July 3rd
Betty Buckley, 78
Jan Smithers, 76
Frank Tanana, 72
Bruce Altman, 70
Tom Cruise, 63
Greg Vaughn, 60
Moisés Alou, 59
Neil O’Donnell, 59
Derrick Chievous, 58
Grant Wistrom, 49
Cole Tucker, 29
T.J. Hockenson, 28

— Bobby Bonilla must enjoy the first week of July every year; way back in 2000, the Mets wanted to buy out the remaining $5.9M on his contract. Instead of just giving him a check for $5.9M, they agreed to pay the former Mets’ slugger $1,193,248.20 a year for the next 35 years, which made/makes no freakin’ sense, but they did.
Back then, the Wilpon family owned the Mets; they were in business with fraudster Bernie Madoff, which makes it make a little sense, but not much.
So every July 1st from now through 2035, Bonilla banks a very large check.

— Monday night in Boston, Red Sox OF Wilyer Abreu hit a grand slam, then later hit an inside-the-park home run. He is the first big leaguer to do that in the same game since Roger Maris, in 1958.

— Former big league pitcher/current Mets’ TV analyst Ron Darling was talking the other day about gloves that ballplayers wear. Darling said that in his 13 years in the major leagues, he only used two different gloves, which seems surprising.

— Last weekend in Anaheim, the Angels walked Washington OF James Wood intentionally four times in one game, first time that happened in the majors since Barry Bonds, in 2004.

— Was watching a replay of HBO’s Hard Knocks from last year, when they followed the Giants’ front office before/during the draft; always a good program. Liev Schrieber is the narrator for Hard Knocks; never would’ve guessed that in 100 years. Am used to hearing talk like he did in Ray Donovan, the great Showtime series.

— NBA salary cap for next season is $154.6M; Golden State’s three stars, Steph Curry, Jimmy Butler and Draymond Green, will earn a combined $139.6M, so guess the Warriors will be going over both salary cap aprons.

— Seattle Redhawks are bolting from the WAC to the WCC; this time next year, college sports are going to look a lot different than they do now.
Seattle was 14-18 last year, after winning 20+ games the three years before that.

 

[Udog]

Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ Calgary Stampeders

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday, July 3​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
WPG at CGY	09:00 PM	CGY +4.0 O 51.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

JULY'S CFL BEST BETS !!

07/03/2025................2 - 0 - 0................100.00%.............+ 10.00



JUNE'S TOTALS.........................19 - 13 - 0.......................59.37%.......................+ 23.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday’s 6-pack:
Most sacks allowed last season:
68- Bears
66- Browns
54- Texans, Seahawks
52- Patriots, Titans
50- Raiders, Commanders
49- Vikings, Steelers

Quote of the Day
“Omar and his team have done a great job over the past three years in constructing our roster through the NFL Draft, strategic trades, and free agency. We look forward to continuing that trend that will lead to even more success on the field.”
Steelers president Art Rooney II, after giving his GM 3-year contract extension

Tuesday’s quiz
In the movie Hoosiers, Hickory High star Jimmy Chitwood took 49 shots; how many did he make? (a Division I basketball coach charted his shots while watching the movie)

Thursday’s quiz
Wayne Knight is the actor who played Newman on Seinfeld.

Wednesday’s quiz
In the history of USC football, former NFL QB Matt Barkley holds the record for most passing yards; Carson Palmer is 2nd on the list.

*****************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….​

— Whats the best day to have a birthday? I’m thinking the 4th of July has to be pretty high on the list. People shoot off fireworks, most everyone has the day off, the weather is usually good.
Few years ago, we did the best/worst days to have a birthday (February 29 is most definitely the worst). Sometime this summer, we’ll re-visit that topic.

— Duncan Robinson has played guard for the Miami Heat for the last seven years, scoring 11.3 ppg, mostly because he has shot 39.7% on the arc- shooting is marketable.
He just signed a 3-year, $48M deal with the Detroit Pistons, $16M a year.
Robinson has earned just over $73M in his career, which is amazing for one reason; the first year he was in college, he played at Williams, which plays Division III, non-scholarship ball. This new contract will put him at around $121M for his career.
There are many very good players at the D-III level, but the odds of someone playing D-III ball, then banking $120M+ playing in the NBA have to be astronomical.

— New York Knicks are expected to hire former Cavaliers/Lakers/Kings coach Mike Brown as their next head coach. Brown has a 454-304 record in regular season games, 50-40 in playoff games. He was an assistant coach for Spurs/Warriors teams that won NBA titles- his team in Cleveland got the NBA Finals in 2007, but lost in the Finals.
Knicks just had their best season in 25 years but fired coach Tom Thibodeau anyway.

— There will be at least five more years of labor peace in the NHL; the league and players agreed to a four-year extension of the Collective Bargaining Agreement, which will carry through the 2029-30 season.

— Clayton Kershaw recorded his 3,000th career strikeout this week, the 20th pitcher to do it, only the 4th left-handed pitcher.

— Atlanta Braves P Spencer Schwellenbach broke his elbow, is out for an indefinite time. This year, Schwellenbach was 7-4, 3.09 in 17 starts.
Not sure how you break your elbow pitching, but this is yet another injury for an injury-ravaged Atlanta pitching staff.

— Quick facts on the Arizona Cardinals:
Head coach and both coordinators are in their third year with Arizona.
Arizona was 7-2 ATS as an underdog last year.
Last two years, Cardinals were 11-6 ATS at home.
Last year, Arizona was +11 in sacks (41-30)
Last year, Arizona was minus-3 in turnovers (17-20)
Last year, Cardinals were 8-9, 3-5 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.

— Famous birthdays, July 4th
Emerson Boozer, 82
Horace Grant, 60
Harvey Grant, 60
Vinny Castilla, 58
Todd Marinovich, 56
Josh McCown, 46
Brock Berlin, 44
Ömer Aşık, 39

— Cubs 1, Guardians 0 (10)
Cleveland has now lost seven games in a row.
Cubs won despite having only three hits.
Cade Horton threw seven shutout IP for the Cubs.

— Marlins 4, Twins 1
Eury Perez allowed one hit in six IP.
Marlins won 10 of last 12 games, won their last four series.
Agustin Ramirez hit a two-run home run.

— Rockies 7, Astros 6
Thairo Estrada homered, knocked in four runs.
Tyler Freeman has reached base safely in his last 18 games.

— Blue Jays 8, New York 5
George Springer hit two 2-run homers.
Toronto sweeps 4-game series, now leads the AL East.
New York is 10-16 against its AL East rivals.

— Giants 7, Diamondbacks 2
Robbie Ray threw a 102-pitch complete game against his old team.
It was Ray’s first complete game since 2017.
Rafael Devers had three RBI for the Giants.

— Angels 5, Braves 1
Jose Soriano threw seven scoreless IP.
Zach Neto went 3-5, scored three runs.
Matt Olson has reached base safely in his last 33 games.

— If the playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Phillies, Cubs, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Mets, Brewers, Padres
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: New York, Rays, Mariners

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday, July 4​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
HAM at TOR	07:30 PM	TOR +4.0 U 52.5	+500 +500

 

[Cnotes53]

JULY'S CFL BEST BETS !!

07/04/2025................0 - 2 - 0.................00.00%............- 11.00
07/03/2025................2 - 0 - 0................100.00%............+ 10.00

TOTALS.....................2 - 2 - 0..................50.00%.............- 1.00

JUNE'S TOTALS.........19 - 13 - 0.................59.37%.............+ 23.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
Fewest sacks allowed last season:
14- Buffalo
22- Green Bay
24- Baltimore, Denver
30- Arizona
31- LA Rams
32- Falcons, Jaguars, Colts

Quote of the Day
“It’s really easy to appreciate what we’re doing right now. It’s also easy to just keep it going and not let that be something that we are dwelling on. It’s the best offense I’ve ever been a part of.”
Cubs OF Pete Crow-Armstrong

Saturday’s quiz
In the history of Purdue football, which Super Bowl-winning QB has thrown for the most yards?

Friday’s quiz
In the movie Hoosiers, Hickory High star Jimmy Chitwood took 49 shots; he made 44 of the 49 shots (Louisville basketball coach Pat Kelsey charted the shots while watching the movie)

Thursday’s quiz
Wayne Knight is the actor who played Newman on Seinfeld.

****************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday……​

— The best baseball announcers make you feel like you’re eavesdropping on a conversation between friends who are watching the game.
In my opinion, the best baseball play-by-play guys:
Jon Sciambi, Cubs
Dan Shulman, Blue Jays
Don Orsillo, Padres
Gary Cohen, Mets

The best analysts:
Ron Darling, Mets
Mark Gubicza, Angels
Jim Palmer, Orioles
Steve Stone, White Sox

— Before last season, no one was touting Cubs’ P Shota Imanaga, who they brought over from Japan; 1.5 years later, the Cubs are 30-9 in Imanaga’s starts. Pretty impressive.

— Cleveland Guardians were at Wrigley Field this week; OF Angel Martinez plays for the Guardians. His dad Sandy Martinez was the Cubs’ catcher in a 1998 game where Kerry Wood struck out 20 Houston Astros.

— Divisional leads in MLB
NL East:
Phillies leads the Mets by half a game.

NL Central:
Cubs lead Milwaukee by four games, St Louis by 6.5, Cincinnati by seven games.

NL West:
Dodgers lead San Diego by eight games, Giants by nine games.

AL East:
Blue Jays lead New York/Tampa Bay by two games.

AL Central:
Tigers have a 12.5-game lead over their nearest rival.

AL West:
Astros lead Seattle by seven games, Angels by 9.5 games.
— I have Jesus Luzardo on my fantasy team; he is an all-or-nothing pitcher:
Good starts:
April 4th- 7 IP, no runs allowed vs Dodgers
June 11th- 6 IP, one run allowed vs Cubs
June 22nd- 6.2 IP, no runs allowed vs Mets
Ugly starts:
May 31st: 3.1 IP, 12 runs vs Milwaukee
June 5th: 2.1 IP, 8 runs allowed at Toronto
July 4th: 2 IP, 6 runs allowed vs Cincinnato
Hard to predict, but very few mediocre starts.

— Notes on the Atlanta Falcons:
They’ve spent the most $$$ of any team in the NFL on their offense this year; backup QB Kirk Cousins makes a lot of that money.
Falcons are #22 in $$$ spent on defense, defensive line is #27.
Atlanta was minus-6 in turnovers last year, with only 18 takeaways; they were 8-9, 6-6 in games decided by 8 or fewer points, 2-1 in games decided by 3 or fewer points.
Last two years, Falcons are 11-23 ATS, 8-14 when favored, 3-9 as an underdog, 6-11 at home. Under is 11-6 in their last 17 home games.

— Famous birthdays, July 5th:
Gary Matthews, 75
Rich Gossage, 74
Johnny Rodgers, 74
James Lofton, 69
Edie Falco, 62
Kathryn Erbe, 60
Donnie Jones, 45
Been Udrih, 43
Ish Smith, 37
Jorge Polanco, 32
Shohei Ohtani, 31
Austin Hays, 30

— Mets 6, Bronx 5
Juan Soto went 3-4 with two runs scored, two RBI
Mets won their third game in a row; Bronx has lost five in a row.

— Cubs 11, Cardinals 3
Cubs hit eight home runs; Michael Busch hit three of them.
Colin Rea gave up one hit in 6.2 IP.

— Blue Jays 4, Angels 3 (10)
Toronto wins its sixth game in a row.
Blue Jays scored game-winning run on a throwing error.

— Twins 4, Rays 3
Tampa Bay led 3-1 in the 7th inning.
Harrison Bader homered twice, including a walk-off blast in 9th inning.

— Padres 3, Rangers 2 (10)
Jake Cronenworth got his 5th walk-off RBI for the Padres.
Texas has played in extra innings in six of its last nine games (2-4).

— Tigers 2, Guardians 1
Wenceel Perez, Zach McKinstry homered for Detroit.
Cleveland has now lost eight games in a row.

— A’s 11, Giants 2
Denzel Clarke, homered, tripled, made another great catch in centerfield.
JP Sears tossed six shutout IP for the green-and-gold.

— If the playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Phillies, Cubs, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Mets, Brewers, Padres
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: New York, Rays, Mariners

 

[Cnotes53]

Nathan Rourke to start for Lions, Davis Alexander ruled out for Als​

MONTREAL — There are a few quarterback updates leading into Week 5’s contest between the BC Lions and Montreal Alouettes.

Nathan Rourke will make his return to the BC Lions starting lineup, the team announced on Thursday.

On the other side, Montreal pivot Davis Alexander will miss a second-straight game on Saturday. According to the Alouettes official injury report issued on Thursday, Montreal’s starting quarterback has been listed as out for their game against the BC Lions. He was listed as a limited participant all week.

Rourke missed the last two games after leaving their Week 2 contest against Winnipeg in the fourth quarter with a core injury. The 27-year-old has thrown for 573 yards, four touchdowns, and an interception while also rushing 11 times for 112 yards and one major on the ground this year.

Jeremiah Masoli started both games in placed of Rourke, throwing for 454 yards, two touchdowns, and five interceptions over the pair of contests.

Alexander did not play in Week 4’s contest against the Hamilton Tiger-Cats as he continues to deal with a hamstring injury.

McLeod Bethel-Thompson started the game for Montreal in Hamilton last week, connecting on 24 of 41 passes for 203 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions.

Before his injury, Alexander led the Als to a 3-0 record, completing 62 of 82 passes for 803 yards, five touchdowns, and two interceptions.

The Als host the Lions as they look for their fourth win of the season at Percival Molson Memorial Stadium. Kickoff is at 7:00 p.m. ET and can be watched on TSN/RDS/CTV/CBSSN/CFL+.

 

[Udog]

British Columbia Lions @ Montreal Alouettes

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday, July 5​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
BC at MTL	07:00 PM	BC +2.5 O 50.5	+500 +500