Cnotes College Football News-Notes-Rumors-Best Bets 2025-2026 !

[Cnotes53]

Friday’s 6-pack:
College basketball roster continuity, by conference:
62%— Ivy League
57.9%— Patriot League
36.2%— MAAC
33.6%— Summit League
33.5%— Atlantic Sun
33.2%— Ohio Valley

Quote of the Day
“They just see that we’ve got a chance. Defense is doing a good enough job to help us out. Our playmakers gotta make plays in space. That’s what they see. That’s what they want — is to keep going. They’re just giving us an opportunity to make more of those plays happen.”
WR Ja’Marr Chase, talking about the Bengals trading for QB Joe Flacco

Friday’s quiz
Where did Joe Flacco play his college football?

Thursday’s quiz
In the movie The Bodyguard, when Whitney Houston’s character wins an Academy Award, Robert Wuhl was the MC of the ceremony.

Wednesday’s quiz
In 2019, Arizona Diamondbacks traded Jazz Chisholm to the Marlins; Arizona got Zac Gallen in return for him.

*****************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff, with the weekend here…….​

Giants 34, Eagles 17
Giants in first half: 28 plays, 193 yards, 20 points.
Eagles in 2nd half: 21 plays, 140 yards, no points, 2 turnovers.
Giants ran ball 39 times for 172 yards, were +2 in turnovers.
Giants were 11-16 on third down, Eagles 1-9
Rookie RB Skattebo ran ball 19 times for 98 yards, 3 TD’s.
Giants have won two of three games started by rookie QB Dart.
Barkley carried ball 12 times for 58 yards.
Eagles have been outgained in all six of their games.

— Dodgers 2, Phillies 1 (11)
Winning run scored on an error on a ball hit back to the pitcher.
Game was scoreless after six innings.
Both teams scored a run in the 7th.
Dodgers advance to the NLCS, starting Monday.

— Cubs 5, Brewers 0
Matthew Boyd got the first 14 outs, allowing two hits.
Ian Happ hit a 3-run homer in the first inning.
Game 5 is in Milwaukee Saturday.

— Southern Miss 38, Georgia Southern 35
Golden Eagles led 28-7 at halftime, hung on for dear life.
Southern Miss ran ball 48 times for 184 yards.
Georgia Southern had 3 turnovers, 12 penalties for 104 yards.

— Tulane 26, East Carolina 19
Green Wave drove 75 yards, scored winning TD with 0:35 left
Tulane led 12-0 at halftime.
Tulane outgained ECU 458-340; they had 96 penalty yards.

— Jacksonville State 29, Sam Houston State 27
Gamecocks kicked a 52-yard FG at the gun for a road win.
Jax State outgained the Bearkats, 499-286.
Jax State ran the ball 63 times for 370 yards.

— Kennesaw State 35, Louisiana Tech 7
Dexter Williams threw for 284 yards, four TD’s.
Owls outscored Louisiana Tech 21-0 in second half.
Kennesaw converted 9-14 third down plays.

Famous birthdays, October 10th:
Gene Tenace, 79
Ben Vereen, 79
Bradley Whitford, 66
Brett Favre, 56
Pat Burrell, 49
Jodi Lyn O’Keefe, 47
Troy Tulowitzski, 41
Andrew McCutchen, 39
Geno Smith, 35
Lourdes Gurriel Jr, 32
Vinnie Pasquantino, 28
Josh Giddey, 23

— Lebron James is going to miss the start of the NBA season; he is out 3-4 weeks because of sciatica on his right side.
— Only two NBA teams that have never had a Rookie of the Year: Nuggets, Heat.

— Cardinals’ QB Kyler Murray (foot) didn’t practice Wednesday/Thursday; if backup Jacoby Brissett starts Sunday against the Colts, he’ll be the 40th different quarterback to start a game this season.

— In 1970, NFL kickers made 59% of all their field goal attempts.
This year, NFL kickers are making 72% of their FG attempts from 50+ yards out.

— Houston Astros missed the playoffs for the first time since 2016; this week, they cleaned house (kind of), firing:
assistant general manager
both hitting coaches
their catching coach
their trainer
Similar to what the Mets did last week; they kept their GM and their manager, which is kind of weird. If you’re that unhappy with the outcome, how do the managers/GMs keep their jobs?

— Most career postseason home runs:
Manny Ramirez 29
Jose Altuve 27
Kyle Schwarber 23
Bernie Williams 22

— In September, Washington Nationals rookie OF Daylen Like was the first player since Willie Mays in 1957 to hit 7+ triples and 6+ home runs in the same month.

— This season, there were 465 pitch clock violations, down from 602 last year, 1,048 in 2023.
The rule changes MLB put in have done a good job of shortening games.

— Top home run parks in the major leagues this season:
Los Angeles, Toronto, Baltimore, Philadelphia

Worst home run parks:
Pittsburgh, Texas, Arizona, Boston

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Friday, October 10

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 7

Friday’s game
South Florida @ North Texas (-1.5)
South Florida (4-1, 1-0)
USF scored 35.3 ppg in its three I-A wins.
Bulls’ only loss was 49-12 at Miami.
Bulls have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
USF has 115 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Brown started five games last year.

Last two games, USF ran ball for 252-407 yards.
Under Golesh, Bulls are 7-6 ATS as an underdog.
USF is 7-5 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
Under Golesh, Bulls are 8-9 ATS in conference games.
In their one loss, Miami ran ball for 205 yards.

North Texas (5-0, 1-0)
UNT scored 43-3 ppg in its four I-A games.
Last three games, Mean Green is +8 in turnovers.
Mean Green has 5 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
North Texas has 72 starts returning on offensive line.
Frosh QB Mestemaker started UNT’s bowl game last year.

Under Morris, North Texas is 6-3 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Morris, North Texas is 9-7 ATS in conference games.
UNT gave up 200+ rushing yards in 3 of 4 I-A games.
North Texas has given up 25 ppg vs I-A opponents.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

These teams haven’t met since 2002.
Favorites are 9-4 ATS in AAC conference games.

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday, October 10​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
COR at HARV	07:00 PM	COR +34.5 O 58.5	+500 +500
MRST at PENN	07:00 PM	PENN -15.5 U 52.5	+500 +500
BRWN at BRY	07:00 PM	BRWN -6.0 U 54.5	+500 +500
USF at UNT	07:30 PM	USF +2.0 U 67.0	+500 +500
FRES at CSU	09:00 PM	CSU +6.5 O 47.5	+500 +500
RUTG at WASH	09:00 PM	WASH -11.0 U 61.0	+500 +500

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 7

FCS

 

[Cnotes53]

CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR OCTOBER !

10/10/2025....................5 - 1 - 0........................83.31%................+ 19.50
10/09/2025....................2 - 3 - 1........................40.00%.................- 6.50
10/08/2025....................2 - 1 - 1........................66.66%.................+ 4.50
10/04/2025................14 - 11 - 1.......................56.00%.................+ 9.50
10/03/2025.....................1 - 5 - 0.......................16.66%.................- 22.50
10/02/2025.....................1 - 1 - 0.......................50.00%..................- 0.50

TOTALS........................24 - 22 - 3.......................52.17%..................+ 4.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
NFL leaders in receiving yards:
588— Puka Nacua, Rams
534— Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Seahawks
449— Justin Jefferson, Vikings
445— Emeka Egbuka, Bucs
407— Amon-Ra St Brown, Lions
387— Christian McCaffrey, 49ers

Quote of the Day
“We never give up. We just keep fighting. It doesn’t matter how many innings we play. We just stay ready and wait for the moment. It’s going to come. It was my time.”
Mariners’ 2B Jorge Polanco

Saturday’s quiz
Who was the last defending World Series champ that got back to the World Series the next year?

Friday’s quiz
Joe Flacco played his college football at Pittsburgh, then Delaware.

Thursday’s quiz
In the movie The Bodyguard, when Whitney Houston’s character wins an Academy Award, Robert Wuhl was the MC of the ceremony.

********************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday night…….​

— Mariners 3, Tigers 2 (15)
Longest winner-take-all playoff game in baseball history.
472 pitches thrown; Mariners used three of their starting pitchers.
Jorge Polanco had a walk-off single to end the game.
Kerry Carpenter was 4-for-5 with two walks for Detroit.
There were 37 strikeouts in this game.
Mariners-Blue Jays play in the ALCS; they came into existence the same year, 1976.

— Modern baseball: Seattle took George Kirby out after he got 15 outs on only 66 pitches. He was pitching on five days rest. Why take him out? He gave up three hits in 5+ IP.

— With Jaxson Dart doing well as a rookie QB, would any NFL team take a look at Ole Miss coach Lane Kiffin as a head coach? Coaches who can develop quarterbacks are popular.

— North Carolina’s recent football records:
2024: 6-7
2023: 8-5
2022: 9-5
2021: 6-7
2020: 8-4
2019: 7-6…….so far this year, they’re 2-3
From what you read on the Interweb, hiring Bill Belichick hasn’t gone well, and may not last much longer. Strange situation.

— South Florida 63, North Texas 36
Game was tied 21-21 at halftime.
USF scored four TD’s in a span of 5:45 early in third quarter.
Bulls ran the ball 57 times for 306 yards.

— Colorado State 49, Fresno State 21
Underdog Rams led 35-14 at halftime.
Bulldogs outgained Colorado State 469-334, but had four turnovers.
CSU QB Brousseau threw for 144 yards and three TDs.

— Washington 38, Rutgers 19
Rutgers led 13-10 at halftime.
Huskies’ QB Williams threw for 402 yards, 2 TD’s (14.9 yards/attempt)
Williams also ran the ball 13 times for 136 yards and 2 more TD’s.

Famous birthdays, October 11th:
David Morse, 72
Norm Nixon, 70
John Fourcade, 65
Joan Cusack, 63
Chris Spielman, 60
Matt Bomer, 48
Mike Conley, 38
Gio Urshela, 34
TJ Watt, 31
Brian Allen, 30

— Since 2010, the average payroll for the Bronx Bombers has been $216,082,060 and that includes 2020 (the pandemic year) when they only played 60 games and their payroll that year was $110,852,878.
Over the last 16 years, their average payroll has been $216,082,060, which means that since 2010, they’ve shelled out a total of $3,457,312,965, during which time they’ve made one World Series, and they lost that one.
3 billion dollars, no world titles. Not good.

— Buffalo Bills have played five games; on their first drive of each half, they’ve scored eight TD’s, kicked a field goal, lost a fumble. Tough team to stop.

— In their last four games, Philadelphia Eagles have run the ball for only 73.5 yards/game; they have been outgained in all six games this season.

— Big 18 hasn’t won a national championship in college basketball since Michigan State back in 2000.

— TV show suggestion on Netflix: Running Point- Kate Hudson stars as the owner of a pro basketball team, it is a bizarre version of Lakers’ owner Jeannie Buss’ career/life. Pretty good show.

— Before last week, there were 12,404 people alive in the Circa Casino Survivor Pool in Las Vegas. More than 7,700 of those people got knocked out last week; tough week for favorites.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Saturday, October 11

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 7

Saturday’s games
Alabama (-2.5) @ Missouri
Alabama (4-1, 2-0)
Alabama won first two SEC games: 24-21 @ Georgia, 30-14 vs Vandy
Alabama gained 450+ yards in 3 of its last 4 games.
Alabama has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Simpson threw 25 passes last year.


Alabama is 7-13 ATS last 20 games as a road favorite.
In his career, DeBoer is 10-11 as a road favorite.
Crimson Tide is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 SEC games.
Alabama is +9 in turnovers this season.
Alabama threw for 340+ yards in three of last four games.


Missouri (5-0, 1-0)
Mizzou won its SEC opener 29-20 over South Carolina.
Tigers scored 41.3 ppg in its four I-A games.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Tigers have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Last 2 years, Junior QB Pribula was a backup QB at Penn State.


Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 16-11 ATS as an underdog.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 8-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 24-19 ATS in SEC games.
Mizzou is 13-9-1 in last 23 games coming off a win.
Over is 3-1 in Mizzou’s I-A games.


Alabama is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in last five series games.
This is Alabama’s first visit to Missouri since 2020.
SEC home teams are 11-5 ATS in conference games.


Pittsburgh @ Florida State (-10)
Pittsburgh (3-2, 1-1)
Pitt lost its only road game, 31-24 at West Virginia.
Panthers scored 45-48 points in I-A wins, 24-27 in I-A losses.
Panthers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Panthers have 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Heintschel played in LW’s 48-7 win over BC.


Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 28-26 ATS as an underdog.
Pitt is 1-9 ATS last ten games as a road underdog.
Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 17-17 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Narduzzi, Panthers are 46-39-1 ATS in ACC games.
Pitt is 6-3 ATS in last nine games coming off a win.
Over is 3-1 in Pitt’s I-A games.


Florida State (3-2, 0-2)
Florida State lost last 2 games, 46-38 at Virginia, 28-22 Miami.
Seminoles ran for 230+ yards in three of four I-A games.
FSU has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Seminoles have 129 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Castellanos started 20 games at Boston College.


Florida State is 9-8 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Norvell, Seminoles are 17-16 ATS as a favorite.
Under Norvell, Seminoles are 19-24 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Norvell is 39-38-1 ATS in conference games.
Over is 3-1 in Florida State’s I-A games.


Road team won last three series games.
Pitt won 41-17 in last visit to FSU, in 2020.
ACC home favorites are 4-6 ATS in conference games.


Indiana @ Oregon (-7.5)
Indiana (5-0, 2-0)
Hoosiers won their Big 18 games, 63-10/20-15.
Indiana won first road game LW, 20-15 at Iowa.
Hoosiers have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Hoosiers have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Mendoza started 19 games at California.


Under Cignetti, Indiana is 0-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Cignetti is 2-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Indiana is +6 in turnovers in its I-A games.
In his career, Cignetti is 19-8 ATS in Big 18 games.
Under Cignetti, Indiana is 10-4 ATS in games coming off a win.


Oregon (5-0, 2-0)
Oregon is 2-0 in Big 18 games, winning 34-14/30-24
Ducks won their two I-A home games, 69-3/41-7.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Ducks have 124 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Moore started 5 games at UCLA in 2023.


Under Lanning, Ducks are 13-7 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 20-12 ATS in conference games.
Ducks are 18-9 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win.
Oregon held three of four I-A foes under 280 total yards.
Ducks had week off since their 30-24 win at Penn State.


Indiana (+20.5) won 30-24 at Oregon last year.
Ducks outgained Indiana 495-198 in that game.
Big 18 home favorites are 3-6 ATS in conference games.


Oklahoma vs Texas (-2.5) (@ Dallas)
Oklahoma (5-0, 1-0)
Oklahoma has two quality wins: Michigan (24-13), Auburn (24-17)
Sooners held those two teams to 288-287 total yards.
Oklahoma has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Matter started 12 games for Wazzu last year- he is banged up (check status).


Under Venables, Oklahoma is 3-2 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2015, Sooners are 7-3 ATS as an underdog.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 11-15-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 11-14-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under is 4-0 in Oklahoma’s I-A games.


Texas (3-2, 0-1)
Texas lost 14-7 at Ohio State, 29-21 at Florida.
Longhorns beat three stiffs, by 31-17-55 points.
Longhorns have 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Longhorns have 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Manning has 2 career starts (939 PY last year, 9 TD, 2 INT)


Under Sarkisian, Texas is 24-20 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Sarkisian is 46-36 ATS as a favorite.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 17-21 ATS in conference games..
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 8-12 ATS in road games.
Under is 3-2 in Texas games this season.


Oklahoma is 7-3 in last 10 games in this rivalry.
Texas pounded the Sooners 34-3 last year.
Favorites covered four of last five meetings.


Iowa State (-2.5) @ Colorado
Iowa State (5-1, 2-1)
Iowa State lost its first game LW, 38-30 at Cincinnati
Bearcats ran ball for 260 yards in that game.
Cyclones have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Cyclones have 105 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.


Iowa State scored 24-39-30 points in its 2-1 Big X start.
In his career, Campbell is 17-18-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Campbell, ISU is 12-13-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Cyclones are 13-9 ATS in last 22 Big X games.
Since 2015, Iowa State is 35-17-1 ATS coming off a loss.


Colorado (2-4, 0-3)
Colorado scored 20-20-21-21 points in losses, 31-37 in wins.
Buffs gave up 200+ rushing yards in three of four losses.
Colorado has 3 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Colorado has 112 returning starts on offensive line, mostly transfers.
Senior QB Salter started 29 games at Liberty.


Favorites are 5-1 ATS in Colorado games this season.
Sanders is 10-6 ATS as an underdog with Colorado (1-3 TY).
Under Sanders, Colorado is 5-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Under is 4-2 in their games this season.
Under Sanders, Colorado is 14-8 ATS in conference games.


Home team won last seven series games.
Cyclones are 0-5 SU/2-3 ATS last five visits to Boulder.
Favorites are 12-6 ATS in Big X conference games.


TCU @ Kansas State (-1.5)
TCU (4-1, 1-1)
TCU is 1-1 in Big X: 24-27 at ASU, 35-21 over Colorado.
Horned Frogs were held to 10-94 rushing yards in those games.
TCU has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Hoover started 19 games the last two years.


Under Dykes, TCU is 3-3-2 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Dykes is 23-22-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Dykes, Frogs are 16-11-3 ATS in Big X games.
In their I-A games, TCU scored 35.5 ppg.
Last three TCU games stayed under the total.


Kansas State (2-4, 1-3)
Last two games, Wildcats gained 434-501 total yards.
K-State gained 501 yards LW in 35-34 loss at Baylor.
Wildcats have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
K-State has 43 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Johnson started 13 games last year.


Under Klieman, K-State is 25-21 ATS as a favorite.
Under Klieman, K-State is 20-11 ATS as a home favorite.
Wildcats are 5-9 ATS in their last 14 Big X games.
Last 5+ years, K-State is 16-7 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Under is 4-1 in their I-AA games.


K-State won five of last six meetings.
TCU lost last three visits to Manhattan, by 38-19-7 points.
Under is 8-1 in last nine series games.


Florida @ Texas A&M (-14.5)
Florida (2-3, 1-1)
Gators are 0-3 vs I-A teams, scoring 15.5 ppg.
Florida’s losses were by 2-10-19 points.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Gators have 98 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Lagway started eight games last year.


Under Napier, Florida is 13-9 ATS as an underdog
In his career, Napier is 24-12-1 ATS as an underdog
Under Napier, Florida is 6-4 ATS as a road underdog
In his career, Napier is 14-7-1 ATS as a road underdog
Under Napier, Florida is 15-12 ATS in SEC games.
Under is 3-1 in Florida’s I-A games.


Texas A&M (5-0, 2-0)
Aggies are 2-0 in SEC: 16-10 Auburn, 31-9 Miss State.
Aggies ran ball for 207-299 yards in their SEC games.
Aggies have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
A&M has 156 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Reed started eight games last year.


Under Elko, A&M is 3-7 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Elko is 10-9 ATS as a home favorite.
Aggies are 8-12-3 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win
A&M is 9-14-3 ATS in last 26 SEC games.
In his career, Elko is 14-12 ATS in conference games.


Texas A&M won three of last four series games.
Road team won four of last five series games.
Gators won two of last three visits to College Station.
Over is 3-0 in last three meetings.
SEC home favorites are 7-5 ATS in conference games.


Georgia (-3.5) @ Auburn
Georgia (4-1, 2-1)
Georgia beat Tennessee 44-41 in their only road game.
Dawgs’ only loss was 24-21 at home to Alabama.
Dawgs have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Georgia has 35 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Stockton has three career starts.


Georgia is 1-7 ATS last eight games as a road favorite.
Last 2+ years, Georgia is 8-13 ATS in SEC games.
In his career, Smart is 20-15 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Smart is 46-39 ATS in SEC games.
Dawgs are 5-18-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.


Auburn (3-2, 0-2)
Auburn lost SEC games 24-17 at Oklahoma, 16-10 at Texas A&M.
Tigers scored 38-42-31 points in their three wins.
Auburn has 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Tigers have 140 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Arnold started 10 games for Oklahoma.


Tigers ran ball for 67-52 yards in their two losses.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 3-1 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Freeze is 12-5 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 9-9 ATS in conference games.
Auburn is 12-14 ATS in last 25 games coming off a loss.
Under is 4-0 in Auburn’s last four games.


Georgia is 7-0 SU/5-2 ATS last seven series games.
Dawgs are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS last five visits to Auburn.
Under is 11-4 in last fifteen series games.


Michigan @ USC (-2.5)
Michigan (4-1, 2-0)
Michigan is 1-1 on road: 13-24 at Oklahoma, 30-27 at Nebraska
Last 3 games, Michigan allowed 65.7 rushing yards/game.
Wolverines have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Michigan has 77 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Underwood threw for 1,003 yards in his five games.


Since 2019, Michigan is 7-7 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2020, Michigan is 4-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Since 2021, Michigan is 21-13-1 ATS in conference games.
Wolverines ran ball for 286/175 yards in their Big 18 games.
Michigan is +6 in turnovers this season.


USC (4-1, 2-1)
Trojans (-6.5) got upset 34-32 at Illinois last week.
USC has scored 48 points/game this season.
Trojans gained 460-517 yards in its Big 18 games.
USC has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Trojans have 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Maiava started 15 games the last two years.


Under Riley, USC is 13-7 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Riley is 31-20 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Riley, USC is 12-19 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Riley is 36-42-1 ATS in conference games.
Four of their five games went over the total.


Michigan (+4.5) upset USC 27-24 last year.
That was teams’ first meeting since 2006.


BYU (-1.5) @ Arizona
BYU (5-0, 2-0)
BYU is 2-0 on road: ECU 34-13, Colorado 24-21.
BYU has scored 30.8 ppg in its I-A games.
Cougars have 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Broncos have 61 starts returning on the offensive line.
QB Bachmeier is 79-115/1,048 passing (7 TD’s, one INT)


BYU is 4-3 ATS last seven games as a road favorite.
In his career, coach Sitake is 11-14 ATS as a road favorite.
BYU is 10-12 ATS in its 2+ years of conference play.
BYU is 9-6 ATS in its last 15 games coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in BYU’s I-A games this year.


Arizona (4-1, 2-1)
Arizona is 2-1 in Big X; 23-17 K-State, 41-13 Oklahoma State
Wildcats’ only loss was 39-14 at Iowa State.
Arizona has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
Wildcats have 84 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Fifita has 21 career starts


Arizona is 9-5 ATS last 14 games as a home underdog.
In his career, Brennan is 10-9-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2021, Arizona is 20-19 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Brennan is 36-30-1 ATS in conference games.
Arizona is 9-7 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in Arizona’s I-A games this year.


BYU is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS last four series games.
This is BYU’s first visit to Tucson since 2018.
Under is 6-1 in last seven meetings.


Arizona State @ Utah (-5.5)
Arizona State (4-1, 2-0)
ASU QB Leavitt is hurt, won’t start this game.
ASU won 27-24 in both Big X games (at Baylor, vs TCU).
ASU has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Sun Devils have 76 returning starts on the offensive line.
Backup QB Sims started 25 games at Ga Tech/Nebraska.


Under Dillingham, Sun Devils are 16-5-1 ATS in Big X games.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 10-7 ATS as an underdog.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 6-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Dillingham, ASU 11-6-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under is 4-0 in Sun Devils’ I-A games.


Utah (4-1, 1-1)
Utah’s five games were all decided by 24+ points.
Utes allowed 484-346 yards in its two Big X games.
Utes have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Utah has 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dampier started 12 games at New Mexico.


Since 2017, Utah is 26-15 ATS as a home favorite.
Overall, Whittingham is 53-45-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Utah is 5-9 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
Since 2016, Utes are 51-32 ATS in conference games.
Utah ran ball for 242+ yards in three of four I-A games.


Utah won/covered four of last five series games.
ASU lost last three visits to Utah, by a combined 110-27.
Under is 8-4 in last 12 meetings.

 

[Cnotes53]

Saturday, October 11​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
TOL at BGSU	12:00 PM	TOL -10.0*****	+500
UCLA at MSU	12:00 PM	MSU -7.0	+500
OSU at ILL	12:00 PM	OSU -14.5	+500
ALA at MIZZ	12:00 PM	ALA -3.0	+500
IU at ORE	03:30 PM	ORE -7.0*****	+500
OKLA at TEX	03:30 PM	OKLA +1.0	+500
BALL at WMU	03:30 PM	WMU -9.0	+500
VT at GT	03:30 PM	GT -14.0*****	+500
ODU at MRSH	03:30 PM	ODU -14.5*****	+500
NEB at MD	03:30 PM	NEB -6.5*****	+500
NAVY at TEM	04:00 PM	NAVY -10.0*****	+500
ARK at TENN	04:15 PM	ARK +10.5*****	+500
UAB at FAU	06:00 PM	FAU -5.0	+500
FLA at TAM	07:00 PM	FLA +7.0	+500
UGA at AUB	07:30 PM	AUB +4.0	+500
PUR at MINN	07:30 PM	PUR +7.5*****	+500
MICH at USC	07:30 PM	MICH +2.5	+500
KU at TTU	07:30 PM	TTU -14.0	+500
RICE at UTSA	07:30 PM	RICE +10.0*****	+500
SOCAR at LSU	07:45 PM	SOCAR +9.0*****	+500
TROY at TXST	08:00 PM	TXST -7.5	+500
BYU at ARIZ	08:00 PM	ARIZ +2.5	+500
ASU at UTAH	10:15 PM	UTAH -10.0*****	+500

*****................BEST BETS

 

[Cnotes53]

Missouri's showdown with Alabama -- 50 years in the making -- gives Tigers chance to climb SEC hierarchy​

It's been a half-century since Mizzou hosted a game as big as Saturday's clash with Alabama​

Big games are now routine at Missouri, but this week's showdown with Alabama carries both historic weight and pressing urgency.

The Tigers haven't won a top-15 showdown at home since 1976, when No. 12 Mizzou crushed No. 14 North Carolina 24-3. Forty-nine years without such a victory is staggering, but the scarcity of opportunities may be even more telling.

That drought ends Saturday, when No. 14 Missouri welcomes No. 8 Alabama in the first top-15 duel at Faurot Field in nearly half a century. History is on the line, and so is a breakthrough moment for coach Eli Drinkwitz's tenure as head coach.

The Tigers have been superb since 2024, with a 25-5 record and 15 straight wins at home, tying for the second-best active streak in the country. But there's one lingering issue: the lack of a marquee win.

Their five defeats in that span have almost all come against the SEC's heavyweights: Alabama, Georgia, LSU, South Carolina and Texas A&M.

Alabama, long the SEC's ultimate blue blood, arrives under second-year coach Kalen DeBoer looking mortal, yet cloaked in its familiar aura of invincibility. What might a win do for the Tigers? What would a loss do to the Tide?

"At the end of the day, you're only as good as your next opportunity," Drinkwitz said. "We don't sit here and pat ourselves on the back because of what we've accomplished in the past. All we're looking for is what lies ahead, and there's no reason to beat our chest about it. It's something that we've accomplished but I think our whole football team, organization, fan base are really only worried about what we do this Saturday at 11 a.m. versus a top-10 team in the country.

"We don't really concern ourselves with the opinions of others. It does you no good. I can't sit there and complain about it when it's not what we want, and I can't sit there and drink the Kool-Aid when it's positive."

Missouri has started the season hot, again, thanks in part to a manageable schedule. Their biggest win is against South Carolina, and their game against Alabama in Week 7 will be their first against a ranked opponent.

"The next step for this coach and this program is to beat one of the unquestioned big boys," longtime Missouri reporter Gabe DeArmond said this week. "Alabama is more beatable than it has been in the past."

Alabama may not sit atop the polls as it so often has over the past 15 years, but the stakes remain high. For Missouri, the stage echoes past breakthroughs at Faurot Field: the upset of No. 1 Oklahoma in 2010, the division-clinching wins over Texas A&M (2013) and Arkansas (2014).

Those wins all came under the watch of Gary Pinkel, the winningest coach in Missouri history. He led the Tigers to a No. 1 ranking in 2007, three first-place finishes in the Big 12 North, and the program's two trips to the SEC Championship.

"We started winning pretty high-level games. We got more respect," Pinkel told CBS Sports. "Sometimes people didn't respect us at the time, so you don't generally get their 'A' game. After we started winning some games like that, all of a sudden the respect factor shot up and people looked at us and said, 'You better get ready to play them because they're a good football team.'"

Missouri is one of only four remaining undefeated teams in the SEC, but the Tigers are the eighth-highest-ranked SEC team in the AP Top 25. Is it a lack of respect or a lack of top-25 wins? The Tigers' strength of schedule so far ranks 80th, though the remaining games rank 12th.

Fueling Missouri is Ahmad Hardy, arguably the nation's best back, leading all rushers with 730 yards. The Tigers bludgeon opponents on the ground, out-rushing them by 229.6 yards per game -- the largest margin in the FBS. Under DeBoer, Alabama is just 4-5 when out-rushed, including the stunning 31-17 loss to Florida State in Week 1.

Every coach's tenure has touchstones. Pinkel's career had many, though a 41-24 win against No. 10 Nebraska in 2003 may have launched the program into a new era. It snapped a 24-game losing streak against the Huskers, who ranked no lower than No. 9 in 20 of those matchups. Mizzou went on to win four of six in the series.

"Missouri was kinda hitting an upswing, and putting those nails in the coffin for Nebraska was a big deal," said former tight end Chase Coffman, a consensus All-American and winner of the John Mackey Award.

Mizzou went from snapping a five-year bowl drought in 2003 to reaching No. 1 in the polls in 2007.

"I don't think there's been a better team at Missouri since," Coffman said. "I take pride in that fact. I hope this team continues and surpasses what we did."

In 2013, the Tigers beat Johnny Manziel's Texas A&M Aggies to secure a spot in the SEC Championship Game during the program's second season in the SEC. Missouri fans stormed the field. The next season, the Tigers beat rival Arkansas to secure another bid.

"The stadium was rocking," said former linebacker Markus Golden, who sacked Manziel in 2013 and recovered a fumble against the Hogs in 2014. "It's one of the loudest I've ever heard. I can remember going out that night and fans being so happy. They were walking up crying because we were going to the SEC Championship."

What a win Saturday against the Tide would mean can't quite be measured, or perhaps overstated. The Tigers last beat the Tide in 1975, when Big Eight-era Mizzou upset the No. 2 team in the country 20-7.

Fifty years later, will history repeat itself at Faurot Field?

"You can't be considered one of the top teams unless you're beating the top-ranked teams," Hoffman said. "That's what they are right now."

 

[Cnotes53]

CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR OCTOBER !

10/11/2025....................3 - 7 - 0........................30.00%.................- 23.50
10/10/2025....................5 - 1 - 0........................83.31%................+ 19.50
10/09/2025....................2 - 3 - 1........................40.00%.................- 6.50
10/08/2025....................2 - 1 - 1........................66.66%.................+ 4.50
10/04/2025................14 - 11 - 1.......................56.00%.................+ 9.50
10/03/2025.....................1 - 5 - 0.......................16.66%.................- 22.50
10/02/2025.....................1 - 1 - 0.......................50.00%..................- 0.50

TOTALS........................27 - 29 - 3.......................48.21%..................- 19.50

 

[Cnotes53]

Sunday’s 6-pack:
NFL leaders in rushing yards:
480— Jonathan Taylor, Colts
450— James Cook, Bills
447— Javonte Williams, Cowboys
443— Travis Etienne, Jaguars
402— JK Dobbins, Broncos
368— Kyren Williams, Rams

Quote of the Day
“You want to play for someone like Coach Cig, who is so confident in himself that it flows to his players. A lot of people ask, ‘Why [did] you follow Cignetti [from James Madison]?’ This is why. Nothing but complete trust in him. He’s better than anyone in the country. That’s why people want to play for him.”
Indiana LB Aiden Fisher

Sunday’s quiz
When the Jets won their only Super Bowl, who did they beat?

Saturday’s quiz
2008-09 Phillies were the last defending World Series champ that got back to the World Series the next year.

Friday’s quiz
Joe Flacco played his college football at Pittsburgh, then Delaware.

***************************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….​

— Brewers 3, Cubs 1
Milwaukee hit three solo homers to move on to the NLCS.
Brewers used five pitchers; Misiorowski got 12 outs, allowed three hits.
Dodgers-Brewers NLCS starts Monday night in Milwaukee.

— Northwestern 22, Penn State 21
Penn State is first team in last 30 years to lose consecutive games, when they were favored by 20+ points in both of them.
Penn State QB Allar hurt his leg, is out for the year.
Northwestern drove 75 yards, scored game-winning TD with 4:51 left
.
— Pittsburgh 34, Florida State 31
QB Heintschel threw for 321 yards, two TD’s.
Both teams averaged over 10 yards/pass attempt.
Florida State has lost its last eight ACC games.

— Alabama 27, Missouri 24
QB Simpson threw for 200 yards, three TD’s.
Alabama has won five in a row since an opening loss to Florida State.
Crimson Tide was 6-15 on third down, Missouri 1-10.

— Upsets of the Week:
Northwestern (+21) 22, Penn State 21
Marshall (+14.5) 48, Old Dominion 24
Bowling Green (+10.5) 28, Toledo 23
Pittsburgh (+10.5) 34, Florida State 31
Troy (+9.5) 48, Texas State 41 OT
Kennesaw State (+7.5) 35, Louisiana Tech 7
UCLA (+7.5) 38, Michigan State 13
Indiana (+7.5) 30, Oregon 20

— Navy 32, Temple 31
QB Horvath ran for 51-yard TD with 0:39 left, then Middies scored a 2-point conversion for the win to stay undefeated (6-0).
Horvath ran for 155 yards, also threw for 141 more.
Temple outgained Navy 518-384; they led 17-7 at halftime.

— Nebraska 34, Maryland 31
Nebraska drove 81 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:08 left.
QB Raiola threw for 260 yards, four TD’s, but also had 3 INTs
Matt Rhule has the Cornhuskers are 5-1 this season.

— UNLV 51, Air Force 48
QB Colandrea ran for a 19-yard TD with 0:36 for the game-winning TD
Colandrea threw for 361 yards for the 6-0 Rebels, who are bowl-eligible.
Air Force ran ball 66 times for 428 yards, still somehow lost.

— Georgia 20, Auburn 10
Auburn led 10-0 in 2nd quarter, lost a fumble on Georgia’s one-yard line, and it was all downhill from there.
Georgia beat Auburn for the ninth year in a row.
Dawgs won despite running ball 31 times for only 79 yards.
Auburn had 11 penalties for 103 yards

— UCLA 38, Michigan State 13
Bruins won last two games, scoring 42-38 points, after an 0-4 start.
Jalen Berger gained 113 yards on 15 touches, scored three TD’s.
UCLA outgained the Spartans 418-253.

— Famous birthdays, October 12th:
Jack Marin, 81
Susan Anton, 75
Sid Fernandez, 63
Chris Chandler, 60
Hugh Jackman, 57
Leon Lett, 57
Charlie Ward, 55
Ketel Marte, 32

— Ole Miss 24, Washington State 21
Rebels were favored by 32 points, hung on for the win.
Wazzu led 14-10 with 2:00 left in third quarter.
6-0 Ole Miss was 7-15 on third down, Coogs 2-10.

— Troy 48, Texas State 41 OT
QB Kilcrease threw for 415 yards, five TD’s.
Texas State led 31-17 at halftime.
Troy forced OT by scoring a TD with 1:13 left in regulation.
Bobcats lost despite running ball 53 times for 326 yards.

— Indiana 30, Oregon 20
QB Mendoza threw for 215 yards and a TD
Indiana outscored the Ducks 10-0 over the final 7:00.
Oregon’s 18-game how winning streak was snapped.

— BYU 33, Arizona 27 OT
BYU improves to 6-0 with the overtime win.
BYU was 8-16 on 3rd down, Arizona 4-17
BYU ran the ball 51 times for 258 yards.
Arizona led 17-14 at halftime.

— RIP to the great actress Diane Keaton, who passed away at age 79.
She has 283 acting credits on IMDB; she won an Oscar and two Golden Globes.
She was the mom in Father of the Bride; she was in Annie Hall, Baby Boom, And So It Goes, The Godfather, lot of really good movies.
She will be missed. RIP, ma’am.

 

[Cnotes53]

Monday’s 6-pack:
Week 7 NFL spreads
— Steelers (-4.5) @ Cincinnati
— Raiders @ Kansas City (-10.5)
— Dolphins @ Cleveland (-1.5)
— Patriots (-6.5) @ Tennessee
— Saints @ Chicago (-6)
— Eagles (-2.5) @ Minnesota

Quote of the Day
“It’s not who you play, it’s when you play them.”
Hall of Fame NFL coach Bud Grant

Monday’s quiz
Who was the football coach at Penn State before James Franklin?
(Hint: He is still a head coach)

Sunday’s quiz
When Jets won their only Super Bowl, they beat the Baltimore Colts, 16-7.

Saturday’s quiz
2008-09 Phillies were the last defending World Series champ that got back to the World Series the next year.

********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday…….​

Happy Thanksgiving Day to all our Canadian friends………

Chiefs 30, Lions 17
Chiefs led 13-10 at halftime.
Chiefs in second half: 33 plays, 212 yards, 17 points.
Chiefs are 8-4 ATS last 12 games coming off a loss.
Chiefs are 14-8 ATS last 22 regular season games vs NFC teams.
Lions scored 40.3 points/game in their wins, 13-17 in losses.
Detroit in second half: 22 plays, 112 yards, 7 points.
Chiefs outgained Detroit, 355-297.
Kansas City didn’t have a penalty the whole game.

Buccaneers 30, 49ers 19
Mayfield passed for 256 yards, two TD’s.
Bucs’ first four drives: 14 plays, 44 yards, 7 points.
Bucs rest of game: 37 plays, 290 yards, 23 points.
Only 8 of Tampa Bay’s 50 plays were on 3rd down.
Buccaneers led 20-16 at halftime.
49ers in second half: 29 plays, 97 yards, 3 points, 2 turnovers.
Last five games, SF ran ball for 77-73-83-74-67 yards.
49ers lost star LB Warner for the season (ankle).

Panthers 30, Cowboys 27
Rico Dowdle had 34 touches for 239 yards and a TD.
Carolina is 3-0 at home, 0-3 on the road.
Carolina ran ball for 239/216 yards in last two games.
Panthers allowed 24+ points in five of six games.
Carolina outgained the Cowboys, 410-292.
Dallas allowed 30+ points in four of last five points.
Last four weeks, Dallas allowed 433.6 yards/game.
Cowboys ran the ball 19 times for only 31 yards.

Chargers 29, Dolphins 27
Chargers drove 44 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 0:05 left.
Dolphins had taken 27-26 lead on a TD with 0:46 left.
Miami led 13-9 at halftime.
Chargers in 2nd half: 39 plays, 230 yards, 20 points.
Miami has allowed 29 ppg in its 1-5 start.
Tagovailoa threw for 205 yards, but three INTs.
Miami is 0-5 when it allows more than 21 points.
RB Achane ran ball for 128 yards, two TD’s.

Rams 17, Ravens 3
Rams’ first two drive of 3rd quarter: 11 plays, 97 yards, 14 points.
Rams allowed 9-19-20-3 points in wins, 33-26 in losses.
Rams are 8-1 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.
Star WR Nucua (ankle) only played six snaps in second half.
Ravens drove 53 yards, kicked FG on their first drive.
Rest of game: 64 plays, 179 yards, no points, 3 turnovers.
Ravens lost their last four games (minus-8 in turnovers)
AFC North teams are 5-12 ATS in non-divisional games.

Colts 31, Cardinals 27
Arizona led 24-17 after the third quarter.
Colts in 4th quarter: 19 plays, 149 yards, 14 points,
Colts are 4-0 at home, scoring 33-29-40-31 points.
Indy scored 29+ points in all five of its wins.
Cardinals lost last four games by total of nine points.
Backup QB Brissett threw for 320 yards, two TD’s.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 11-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 9-3 ATS vs AFC teams.

— Famous birthdays, October 13th:
Paul Simon, 84
Rich Kotite, 83
Reggie Theus, 68
Doc Rivers, 64
Derek Harper, 64
Jerry Rice, 63
Trevor Hoffman, 58
Quincy Carter, 48
De’Von Achane, 24

Mariners 3, Blue Jays 1
Cal Raleigh homered for the Mariners.
Jorge Polanco knocked in Seattle’s other two runs.
Bryce Miller held Toronto to two hits in 6 IP.
Seattle leads series, 1-0; Game 2 is Monday.

Broncos 13, Jets 11
Jets are 0-6, with four losses by 6 or fewer points.
Jets ran 57 plays in this game, for a TOTAL of 82 yards.
Justin Fields is 14-35 as an NFL starting QB.
Denver drove 65 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 5:06 left.
Jets kicked FG’s on first two drives, both started in Denver territory
Jets rest of game: 51 plays, 85 yards, 3 points,
Denver won its last three games, giving up 3-17-11 points.
Under is 5-1 in Broncos’ games.

Steelers 23, Browns 9
Rodgers threw for 235 yards, two TD’s.
Last 9 years, Pittsburgh is 9-0 SU/7-2 ATS coming off a bye.
Pittsburgh is 15-4 ATS last 19 AFC North home games.
Steelers held Cleveland to 3.3 yards per play.
Browns’ first three drives: 15 plays, 29 yards, three punts.
Cleveland didn’t score a TD; they trailed 9-3 at halftime.
Browns scored 16-17-13-10-17-9 points in their 1-5 start.
Browns are 0-5 SU/ATS last five visits to Pittsburgh.

Patriots 25, Saints 19
NE’s first four drives: 24 plays, 219 yards, 22 points,
Kayshon Boutte caught five passes for 93 yards, two TD’s.
Patriots scored 33-42-23-25 points in wins, 13-14 in losses.
Patriots are 7-3-1 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
Saints were 3-9 on third down, Patriots 6-13.
New England held Alvin Kamara to 31 yards on 10 carries.
Saints are 7-14 ATS last 21 games as a home underdog.
Rattler is 1-11 as an NFL starting QB.

Seahawks 20, Jaguars 12
WR Smith-Njigba caught 8 passes for 162 yards and a TD.
Seahawks won four of last five games, scoring 30.4 ppg.
Seattle is 3-0 on road (31-17 Pitt/23-20 Arizona/20-12 Jaguars)
Seahawks have won their last nine road games.
Jaguars were 4-16 on 3rd down, had 10 penalties for 76 yards.
Seahawks are 22-6 in last 28 1:00 kickoffs on East Coast.
Seattle sacked Trevor Lawrence seven times for 44 yards.
Seattle held last five foes to 73 rushing yards/game.

Raiders 20, Titans 10
Raiders led 10-0 at half, snapped a four-game skid.
Titans in first half: 30 plays, 76 yards, four punts, no points.
Last 3+ years, Raiders are 11-4 ATS as a home favorite.
RB Jeanty carried ball 23 times for 75 yards and a TD.
Not much offense: total yards, 226-225 Raiders.
Las Vegas won despite running ball 32 times for only 68 yards.
Titans had three turnovers, were only 3-13 on third down.
Tennessee is 1-5 SU/ATS, losing by 8-14-21-26-10 points.

Packers 27, Bengals 18
Packers ran ball 33 times for 153 yards, outgained Cincy 409-268.
Green Bay won their three home games, 27-13/27-18/27-18.
Green Bay led 10-0 at halftime.
Bengals in first half: 21 yards, 102 yards, no points.
Bengals lost last four games, by 38-25-13-9 points.
Flacco was 29-45/219 passing; he threw 2 TD’s, beat the spread.
Green Bay outgained the Bengals, 409-268.
Green Bay scored 27+ points in four of its five games.

 

[Udog]

WEEK EIGHT

 

[Udog]

NCAAF

Week 8

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 8

 

[Udog]