Friday, November 14
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLEM at LOU | 07:30 PM | LOU -2.5***** U 50.5***** | +500 +500 |
| MINN at ORE | 09:00 PM | MINN +25.0***** O 45.0***** | +500 +500 |
Cnotes College Football News-Notes-Rumors-Best Bets 2025-2026 !
- Thread starter Cnotes53
- Start date
CNOTES CFB NOVEMBER'S BEST BETS !
11/14/2025..................2 - 2 - 0.....................50.00%..............- 1.00
11/13/2025..................0 - 2 - 0.....................00.00%.............- 11.00
11/12/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%..............+ 9.50
11/11/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%..............+ 9.50
11/08/2025.................12 - 6 - 0....................66.66%..............+ 27.00
11/07/2025...................4 - 2 - 0....................66.66%...............+ 9.00
11/06/2025...................4 - 0 - 0..................100.00%..............+ 20.00
11/05/2025...................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%...............- 1.00
11/04/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/01/2025...................8 - 9 - 0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,47.05%...............- 9.50
TOTALS......................41 - 26 - 0....................61.19%...............+ 62.00
11/14/2025..................2 - 2 - 0.....................50.00%..............- 1.00
11/13/2025..................0 - 2 - 0.....................00.00%.............- 11.00
11/12/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%..............+ 9.50
11/11/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%..............+ 9.50
11/08/2025.................12 - 6 - 0....................66.66%..............+ 27.00
11/07/2025...................4 - 2 - 0....................66.66%...............+ 9.00
11/06/2025...................4 - 0 - 0..................100.00%..............+ 20.00
11/05/2025...................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%...............- 1.00
11/04/2025...................3 - 1 - 0....................75.00%...............+ 9.50
11/01/2025...................8 - 9 - 0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,47.05%...............- 9.50
TOTALS......................41 - 26 - 0....................61.19%...............+ 62.00
Saturday’s 6-pack:
NBA leaders in minutes/game:
36.6- Luka Doncic, LAL
36.1- Alperen Şengün, Hous
36.0- Austin Reaves, LAL
35.5- Amen Thompson, Hous
35.3- Kevin Durant, Hous
35.2- Zach LaVine, Sac
Quote of the Day
“I’m evaluating everything, to be honest with you. Obviously, we have to do a better job in the passing game and that has a lot to do with Justin (Fields) getting the ball to the right guys.”
Jets coach Aaron Glenn
Saturday’s quiz
Who was the Jets’ coach, the last time they made the playoffs?
Friday’s quiz
Brock Purdy is the all-time leader in passing yardage for Iowa State.
Thursday’s quiz
Shaquille O’Neal finished his year 19-year NBA career with the Celtics.
********************************************
UCLA led by 8 with 7:18 left in the game.
Bruins shot only 39% inside the arc.
Arizona is 4-0, with wins over Florida/UCLA.
It is ridiculous that these teams aren’t in the same league anymore.
— Gonzaga 77, Arizona State 65
Graham Ike scored 20 points, had nine rebounds.
Gonzaga out-rebounded the Sun Devils, 45-31
ASU coach Bobby Hurley continues to be a jerk where refs are concerned; he never stops bitching at the officials. Gonzaga was 27-35 on the foul line, because Arizona State commits a lot of fouls. Ike was 12-15 on the foul line, ASU’s whole team was 13-23.
— Central Florida 86, Texas A&M 74
Aggies led by 13 points with 9:25 left to play.
UCF outscored A&M 40-15 in the last 10:00 of the game.
Knights are shooting 52.4% behind the arc, #2 in the country.
— Michigan 67, TCU 63
TCU led by six with 11:30 left in the game.
Michigan out-rebounded the Horned Frogs, 44-23
Wolverines are 3-0; they won last two games, by total of five points.
— Colorado 97, Providence 88
Colorado outscored Providence 58-50 in the second half.
Buffs’ subs outscored Providence’s bench, 45-20.
Colorado out-rebounded the Friars, 43-32.
— Washington 81, Washington State 69
Huskies shot 60% inside the arc.
Wazzu’s subs scored 37 points, their starters 32.
Why aren’t these teams in the same league? College sports have gone crazy.
— Georgia 92, Georgia Tech 87
Dawgs were 32-44 on foul line, Tech 17-28.
Yellow Jackets led by 8 with 14:01 left in the game.
6-1 soph Wilkinson scored 18 points in 24:00 off the bench.
— Famous birthdays, November 15th:
Sam Waterston, 85
Bob Dandridge, 78
Beverly D’Angelo, 74
Greg Anthony, 58
Ethan Westbrooks, 35
Trevor Story, 33
Karl-Anthony Towns, 30
Wyatt Langford, 24
— Clemson 20, Louisville 19
Clemson drove 56 yards, scored game-winning TD with 7:16 left
Louisville missed a PAT and a 46-yard field goal.
Cardinals outgained Clemson 385-308, but had 84 penalty yards.
— Oregon 42, Minnesota 13
Oregon QB Moore was 27-30/306 passing, with two TD’s.
Ducks outgained Minnesota 510-200.
Only nine of Oregon’s 63 plays were on third down (6-9).
— Warriors 109, Spurs 108
Seth Curry scored 49 points, was 9-17 on the arc.
— Knicks 140, Heat 132
Karl-Anthony Towns scored 39 points, Landry Shamet 36
— Rockets 140, Trail Blazers 116
Houston has won eight of its last nine games.
— Lakers 118, Pelicans 104
Lakers are 9-4 and Lebron James hasn’t played yet.
— Clippers 133, Mavericks 127, 2OT
James Harden scored 41 points, had 14 rebounds, 11 assists.
NBA leaders in minutes/game:
36.6- Luka Doncic, LAL
36.1- Alperen Şengün, Hous
36.0- Austin Reaves, LAL
35.5- Amen Thompson, Hous
35.3- Kevin Durant, Hous
35.2- Zach LaVine, Sac
Quote of the Day
“I’m evaluating everything, to be honest with you. Obviously, we have to do a better job in the passing game and that has a lot to do with Justin (Fields) getting the ball to the right guys.”
Jets coach Aaron Glenn
Saturday’s quiz
Who was the Jets’ coach, the last time they made the playoffs?
Friday’s quiz
Brock Purdy is the all-time leader in passing yardage for Iowa State.
Thursday’s quiz
Shaquille O’Neal finished his year 19-year NBA career with the Celtics.
********************************************
Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday night…….
— Arizona 69, UCLA 65UCLA led by 8 with 7:18 left in the game.
Bruins shot only 39% inside the arc.
Arizona is 4-0, with wins over Florida/UCLA.
It is ridiculous that these teams aren’t in the same league anymore.
— Gonzaga 77, Arizona State 65
Graham Ike scored 20 points, had nine rebounds.
Gonzaga out-rebounded the Sun Devils, 45-31
ASU coach Bobby Hurley continues to be a jerk where refs are concerned; he never stops bitching at the officials. Gonzaga was 27-35 on the foul line, because Arizona State commits a lot of fouls. Ike was 12-15 on the foul line, ASU’s whole team was 13-23.
— Central Florida 86, Texas A&M 74
Aggies led by 13 points with 9:25 left to play.
UCF outscored A&M 40-15 in the last 10:00 of the game.
Knights are shooting 52.4% behind the arc, #2 in the country.
— Michigan 67, TCU 63
TCU led by six with 11:30 left in the game.
Michigan out-rebounded the Horned Frogs, 44-23
Wolverines are 3-0; they won last two games, by total of five points.
— Colorado 97, Providence 88
Colorado outscored Providence 58-50 in the second half.
Buffs’ subs outscored Providence’s bench, 45-20.
Colorado out-rebounded the Friars, 43-32.
— Washington 81, Washington State 69
Huskies shot 60% inside the arc.
Wazzu’s subs scored 37 points, their starters 32.
Why aren’t these teams in the same league? College sports have gone crazy.
— Georgia 92, Georgia Tech 87
Dawgs were 32-44 on foul line, Tech 17-28.
Yellow Jackets led by 8 with 14:01 left in the game.
6-1 soph Wilkinson scored 18 points in 24:00 off the bench.
— Famous birthdays, November 15th:
Sam Waterston, 85
Bob Dandridge, 78
Beverly D’Angelo, 74
Greg Anthony, 58
Ethan Westbrooks, 35
Trevor Story, 33
Karl-Anthony Towns, 30
Wyatt Langford, 24
— Clemson 20, Louisville 19
Clemson drove 56 yards, scored game-winning TD with 7:16 left
Louisville missed a PAT and a 46-yard field goal.
Cardinals outgained Clemson 385-308, but had 84 penalty yards.
— Oregon 42, Minnesota 13
Oregon QB Moore was 27-30/306 passing, with two TD’s.
Ducks outgained Minnesota 510-200.
Only nine of Oregon’s 63 plays were on third down (6-9).
— Warriors 109, Spurs 108
Seth Curry scored 49 points, was 9-17 on the arc.
— Knicks 140, Heat 132
Karl-Anthony Towns scored 39 points, Landry Shamet 36
— Rockets 140, Trail Blazers 116
Houston has won eight of its last nine games.
— Lakers 118, Pelicans 104
Lakers are 9-4 and Lebron James hasn’t played yet.
— Clippers 133, Mavericks 127, 2OT
James Harden scored 41 points, had 14 rebounds, 11 assists.
- Sep 10, 2018
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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 12
Saturday’s games
Arizona @ Cincinnati (-6.5)
Arizona (6-3, 4-3)
Arizona is 6-0 when they allow less than 31 points.
Wildcats gave up 39-33-31 points in their losses.
Arizona has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
Wildcats have 84 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Fifita has 21 career starts
Under Brennan, Arizona is 1-5 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Brennan is 17-17 ATS as a road underdog.
Arizona is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 conference games.
In his career, Brennan is 37-33-1 ATS in conference games.
Arizona is 8-13 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
Over is 3-1 in Arizona’s last four games.
Cincinnati (7-2, 5-1)
Cincinnati won seven of their last eight games.
Cincinnati was held to 17-14 points in their losses.
Bearcats have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bearcats have 81 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Sorsby has 19 career starts.
Under Satterfield, Cincinnati is 5-8 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Satterfield is 28-29-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Satterfield is 39-41-4 ATS in conference games.
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in conference games this year.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven I-A games.
These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.
Big X home favorites are 22-12 ATS in conference games.
Notre Dame (-12.5) @ Pittsburgh
Notre Dame (7-2)
Notre Dame won its last seven games, all by 10+ points.
Notre Dame’s two losses were by total of four points.
Notre Dame held four of last five opponents under 300 yards.
Irish have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Notre Dame has 54 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Carr is grandson of former Michigan coach Lloyd Carr.
Last 2+ years, Notre Dame is 18-11-1 ATS in all games.
Under Freeman, ND is 6-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Notre Dame ran for 200+ yards in five of last seven games.
Four of last five Notre Dame games stayed under the total.
Pittsburgh (7-2)
Pitt won/covered its last five games, scoring 40 ppg.
Panthers gave up 31-34 points in their losses, by 7-7 points.
Panthers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Panthers have 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Heintschel played in LW’s 48-7 win over BC.
Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 29-27 ATS as an underdog.
Pitt is 5-3 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.
Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 11-10 ATS as a home underdog.
Pitt is 10-3 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
Over is 6-2 in Pitt’s I-A games.
Notre Dame won last four series games (3-1 ATS)
Notre Dame is 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Pittsburgh.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.
ACC underdogs are 4-8 ATS in non-conference games.
Arkansas @ LSU (-5.5)
Arkansas (2-7, 0-5)
Arkansas lost its last seven games, giving up 39.9 ppg
Last seven games, Hogs are minus-9 in turnovers.
Arkansas gave up 210+ rushing yards in four of last five games.
Razorbacks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Razorbacks have 101 returning starts on the offensive line;
Senior QB Green has started 35 college games.
Arkansas is 12-5 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.
Razorbacks are 26-19-2 ATS last 47 SEC games.
Since 2015, Hogs are 39-29-2 ATS games coming off a loss.
Over is 7-1 in Arkansas’ last eight games.
LSU (5-4, 2-4)
LSU lost four of their last five games.
Last three games, Tigers ran ball for only 73 yards/game.
LSU has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
LSU has 66 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Nussmeier threw for 4,052 yards LY (29 TD’s, 12 INTs)
LSU is 13-6-1 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
LSU allowed 10 or fewer points in all five wins.
LSU is 13-17-1 ATS in last 31 SEC games.
LSU is 7-7 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
Under is 6-2 in their I-A games.
Both these teams have already fired their coach.
LSU won eight of last nine series games.
Arkansas is 7-2-1 ATS in last 10 visits to Baton Rouge.
Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
SEC home favorites are 17-13 ATS.
Virginia @ Duke (-5.5)
Virginia (8-2, 5-2)
Virginia’s two losses were by 4-7 points.
Cavaliers won seven of their last eight games.
Cavaliers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Cavaliers have 182 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Morris started 21 games at North Texas, TCU.
Under Elliott, Virginia is 17-9 ATS as a underdog.
Under Elliott, Virginia is 10-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Elliott, Cavaliers are 19-11 ATS in ACC games.
Under Elliott, Virginia is 12-9 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Last five Virginia games stayed under the total.
Duke (5-4, 4-1)
Duke is 0-4 when it scores less than 38 points.
Blue Devils are +11 in turnovers in wins, minus-9 in losses.
Duke has gained 390+ total yards in all nine games.
Blue Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Duke has 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Mensah started 13 games at Tulane.
Duke is 11-6 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Manny Diaz is 9-14 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2022, Duke is 19-10 ATS in ACC games.
Duke is 10-5 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Over is 6-2 in their I-A games.
Virginia won eight of last nine series games.
Cavaliers split their last four visits to Duke.
Favorites covered four of last five series games.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.
ACC home favorites are 12-18 ATS in conference games.
Oklahoma @ Alabama (-5.5)
Oklahoma (7-2, 3-2)
Oklahoma split its last four games, after a 5-0 start.
Last two games, Oklahoma allowed 431-456 total yards.
Oklahoma has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Matter started 12 games for Wazzu last year.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 4-3 ATS as an underdog.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 13-17-1 ATS in conference games.
Sooners are 7-2 despite being minus-5 in turnovers.
Under Venables, Sooners are 11-16-1 ATS coming off a win.
Under is 6-2 in Oklahoma’s I-A games.
Alabama (8-1, 6-0)
Alabama won first six SEC games, by 3-16-3-17-7-11 points.
Alabama is +11 in turnovers this season.
Alabama has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Simpson threw 25 passes last year.
Under DeBoer, Alabama is 9-2 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, DeBoer is 20-12-1 as a home favorite.
Crimson Tide is 15-7-1 ATS in its last 22 SEC games.
Last two games, Alabama ran ball for only 72-56 yards.
Five of last six Alabama games stayed under the total.
Oklahoma has won four of last five series games.
Sooners (+14) upset Alabama 24-3 at home last year.
SEC home favorites are 17-13 ATS in conference games.
Iowa @ USC (-6.5)
Iowa (6-3, 4-2)
Iowa was held to 13-15-16 points in their losses.
Hawkeyes are 1-3 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 85 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gronowski started 55 games at I-AA South Dakota State.
Hawkeyes are 8-4 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
Iowa is 10-4-1 ATS in last 15 conference games.
In his career, Ferentz is 124-94-7 ATS in conference games.
Last two games, Iowa gained only 274-239 yards.
Iowa is 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
USC (7-2, 5-1)
Trojans allowed 34 points in both their losses.
Trojans scored 31+ points in seven of nine games.
USC has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Trojans have 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Maiava started 15 games the last two years.
Under Riley, USC is 15-7 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Riley is 33-20 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Riley, USC is 14-16 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under Riley, USC is 14-20 ATS in Big 18 games.
Under is 3-1 in last four USC games.
These teams haven’t met since 2019.
Big 18 home favorites are 14-18 ATS in conference games.
Memphis @ East Carolina (-2.5)
Memphis (8-2, 4-2)
Tigers split their last four games; after a 6-0 start.
Memphis gave up 31-38 points in their losses.
Memphis has 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Tigers have 96 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Lewis started 12 games at Nevada LY.
Memphis scored 32+ points in eight of its ten games.
Since 2022, Tigers are 4-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Silverfield, Memphis is 12-8 ATS as an underdog.
Memphis allowed 450+ yards in three of last four games.
Over is 5-2 in last seven Memphis games.
East Carolina (6-3, 4-1)
ECU won last three games, scoring 41-45-48 points.
ECU was held to 17-13-19 points in its losses.
Pirates have 4 starters back on offense, 2 on defense.
Pirates have 106 returning starts on OL, mostly at other schools.
Junior QB Houser has 14 career starts.
ECU is 5-3 ATS in last eight games as a home favorite.
Pirates are 12-15-1 ATS in last 25 conference games.
ECU is 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
Last three games, Pirates ran ball for 269.7 yards/game.
Over is 3-0 in East Carolina’s last three games.
East Carolina won nine of last 11 series games.
Memphis is 1-5 SU/2-4 ATS last six visits to ECU.
Over is 3-0-1 in last four meetings.
AAC home favorites are 13-9 ATS in conference games.
North Carolina @ Wake Forest (-5.5)
North Carolina (4-5, 2-3)
North Carolina won last two games, giving up 10-15 points.
UNC is 4-0 when they score 20+ points.
Tar Heels have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tar Heels have 155 returning starts on offensive line.
QB Lopez started 11 games at South Alabama LY.
Tar Heels are 7-2 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
Tar Heels are 16-22 ATS in last 38 conference games.
Last six games, UNC is minus-5 in turnovers.
UNC held four of last five opponents under 100 rushing yards.
Under is 7-1 in their last eight games.
Wake Forest (6-3, 3-3)
Wake Forest won four of its last five games.
Deacons allowed 34-30-42 points in its three losses.
Deacons have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Wake Forest has 86 returning starts on offensive line.
Last 2 years, senior QB Ashford was at Auburn/South Carolina
In his career, coach Dickert is 9-7 as a home favorite.
Wake is 2-5 ATS last seven games as a home favorite.
Wake is 9-12-1 ATS in last 22 conference games.
Deacons are 3-8-1 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
Under is 3-0 in their last three games.
UNC won last four series games, scoring 46 ppg.
Tar Heels lost three of last four visits to Winston-Salem.
Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.
ACC home favorites are 12-18 ATS in conference games.
Utah (-8.5) @ Baylor
Utah (7-2, 4-2)
Last five games, Utah ran ball for 286.6 yards/game
Utes scored 31+ points in its wins, 10-21 in losses.
Utes have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Utah has 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dampier started 12 games at New Mexico.
Utah is 3-1 ATS as a road favorite this year.
From 2021-24, Utah was 3-12 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Whittingham is 31-35-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Utah is 7-10 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
Baylor (5-4, 3-3)
Baylor allowed 27+ points in seven of its nine games.
Baylor scored 30+ points in wins, 24-24-36 in losses.
Bears have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Robertson had 3,071 PY (28 TD’s, 8 INTs) LY.
Baylor is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 6-7 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 24-27-1 ATS in Big X games.
Baylor is 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
Over is 5-3 in their I-A games.
Utah beat Baylor the last two years, 20-13/23-12.
Baylor covered both games, which both stayed under the total.
Big X home underdogs are 5-11 ATS in conference games.
Texas @ Georgia (-6.5)
Texas (7-2, 4-1)
Texas has won four in row, seven of last eight games.
Longhorns was held to 7-21 points in its two losses.
Longhorns have 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Longhorns have 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Manning has thrown for 2,123 yards (18 TD’s, 6 INT’s)
Since 2021, Texas is 1-4 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Sarkisian is 10-19 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Sarkisian is 47-52 ATS in conference games.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 18-24 ATS in conference games.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
Georgia (8-1, 6-1)
Georgia won last five games, by 21-10-8-4-20 points.
Dawgs’ only loss was 24-21 at home to Alabama.
Dawgs have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Georgia has 35 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Stockton has three career starts.
Georgia is 8-19-1 ATS last 28 games as a favorite.
Last 2+ years, Georgia is 11-14 ATS in SEC games.
In his career, Smart is 43-50-1 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Smart is 49-40 ATS in SEC games.
Dawgs are 8-19-1 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
Georgia beat Texas twice LY, 22-19/30-15.
Two games combined, Texas ran ball 55 times for total of 60 yards.
SEC home favorites are 17-13 ATS in conference games.
Mississippi State @ Missouri (-6.5)
Mississippi State (5-5, 1-5)
Miss State lost five of its last six games, after a 4-0 start.
Last two games, Bulldogs gave up 45-35-41 points.
Bulldogs have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bulldogs have 91 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Shapen has 27 career starts.
Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.
MSU is 8-2 ATS so far this season.
Bulldogs are 9-5 ATS in last 14 SEC games.
Bulldogs have given up 428+ total yards in all six SEC games.
Miss State’s last three games went over the total.
Missouri (6-3, 2-3)
Mizzou lost three of last four games, after a 5-0 start.
Tigers are 5-0 when they score 29+ points.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Tigers have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Last 2 years, Junior QB Pribula was a backup QB at Penn State.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 10-14-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Drinkwitz is 14-17-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 25-21-1 ATS in SEC games.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 13-10 in games coming off a loss.
Four of last five Mizzou games stayed under the total.
Miss State won two of last three series games.
This is Bulldogs’ first visit to Mizzou since 2015.
Over is 3-0 in last three meetings.
SEC home favorites are 17-13 ATS in conference games.
TCU @ BYU (-4.5)
TCU (6-3, 3-3)
TCU is 5-0 when it scores 35+ points.
Horned Frogs gained 427+ yards in three of last four games.
TCU has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Hoover started 19 games the last two years.
Under Dykes, TCU is 3-3-2 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Dykes is 23-22-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Dykes, Frogs are 17-14-3 ATS in Big X games.
TCU is +9 in turnovers in wins, minus-6 in losses.
Five of last seven TCU games stayed under the total.
BYU (8-1, 5-1)
BYU lost 29-7 at Texas Tech LW, its first loss this year.
BYU gave up 470-495-368 yards in last three games.
Cougars have 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Broncos have 61 starts returning on the offensive line.
QB Bachmeier is 149-239/1,881 passing (12 TD’s, 4 INTs)
In its Big X games, BYU allowed 24.8 points/game.
BYU is 5-3 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
BYU is 9-7 ATS in last 15 conference games.
BYU is 5-3 ATS in its last eight games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-3 in BYU’s last eight games.
TCU won last five series games.
This is TCU’s first visit to Provo since 2009.
Big X home favorites are 22-12 ATS in conference games.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 12
Saturday’s games
Arizona @ Cincinnati (-6.5)
Arizona (6-3, 4-3)
Arizona is 6-0 when they allow less than 31 points.
Wildcats gave up 39-33-31 points in their losses.
Arizona has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
Wildcats have 84 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Fifita has 21 career starts
Under Brennan, Arizona is 1-5 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Brennan is 17-17 ATS as a road underdog.
Arizona is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 conference games.
In his career, Brennan is 37-33-1 ATS in conference games.
Arizona is 8-13 ATS in last 21 games coming off a win.
Over is 3-1 in Arizona’s last four games.
Cincinnati (7-2, 5-1)
Cincinnati won seven of their last eight games.
Cincinnati was held to 17-14 points in their losses.
Bearcats have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bearcats have 81 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Sorsby has 19 career starts.
Under Satterfield, Cincinnati is 5-8 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Satterfield is 28-29-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Satterfield is 39-41-4 ATS in conference games.
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in conference games this year.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven I-A games.
These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.
Big X home favorites are 22-12 ATS in conference games.
Notre Dame (-12.5) @ Pittsburgh
Notre Dame (7-2)
Notre Dame won its last seven games, all by 10+ points.
Notre Dame’s two losses were by total of four points.
Notre Dame held four of last five opponents under 300 yards.
Irish have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Notre Dame has 54 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Carr is grandson of former Michigan coach Lloyd Carr.
Last 2+ years, Notre Dame is 18-11-1 ATS in all games.
Under Freeman, ND is 6-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Notre Dame ran for 200+ yards in five of last seven games.
Four of last five Notre Dame games stayed under the total.
Pittsburgh (7-2)
Pitt won/covered its last five games, scoring 40 ppg.
Panthers gave up 31-34 points in their losses, by 7-7 points.
Panthers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Panthers have 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Heintschel played in LW’s 48-7 win over BC.
Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 29-27 ATS as an underdog.
Pitt is 5-3 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.
Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 11-10 ATS as a home underdog.
Pitt is 10-3 ATS in last 13 games coming off a win.
Over is 6-2 in Pitt’s I-A games.
Notre Dame won last four series games (3-1 ATS)
Notre Dame is 3-1 SU/2-2 ATS in last four visits to Pittsburgh.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.
ACC underdogs are 4-8 ATS in non-conference games.
Arkansas @ LSU (-5.5)
Arkansas (2-7, 0-5)
Arkansas lost its last seven games, giving up 39.9 ppg
Last seven games, Hogs are minus-9 in turnovers.
Arkansas gave up 210+ rushing yards in four of last five games.
Razorbacks have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Razorbacks have 101 returning starts on the offensive line;
Senior QB Green has started 35 college games.
Arkansas is 12-5 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.
Razorbacks are 26-19-2 ATS last 47 SEC games.
Since 2015, Hogs are 39-29-2 ATS games coming off a loss.
Over is 7-1 in Arkansas’ last eight games.
LSU (5-4, 2-4)
LSU lost four of their last five games.
Last three games, Tigers ran ball for only 73 yards/game.
LSU has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
LSU has 66 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Nussmeier threw for 4,052 yards LY (29 TD’s, 12 INTs)
LSU is 13-6-1 ATS last 20 games as a home favorite.
LSU allowed 10 or fewer points in all five wins.
LSU is 13-17-1 ATS in last 31 SEC games.
LSU is 7-7 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
Under is 6-2 in their I-A games.
Both these teams have already fired their coach.
LSU won eight of last nine series games.
Arkansas is 7-2-1 ATS in last 10 visits to Baton Rouge.
Under is 6-2 in last eight meetings.
SEC home favorites are 17-13 ATS.
Virginia @ Duke (-5.5)
Virginia (8-2, 5-2)
Virginia’s two losses were by 4-7 points.
Cavaliers won seven of their last eight games.
Cavaliers have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Cavaliers have 182 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Morris started 21 games at North Texas, TCU.
Under Elliott, Virginia is 17-9 ATS as a underdog.
Under Elliott, Virginia is 10-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Elliott, Cavaliers are 19-11 ATS in ACC games.
Under Elliott, Virginia is 12-9 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Last five Virginia games stayed under the total.
Duke (5-4, 4-1)
Duke is 0-4 when it scores less than 38 points.
Blue Devils are +11 in turnovers in wins, minus-9 in losses.
Duke has gained 390+ total yards in all nine games.
Blue Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Duke has 37 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Mensah started 13 games at Tulane.
Duke is 11-6 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Manny Diaz is 9-14 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2022, Duke is 19-10 ATS in ACC games.
Duke is 10-5 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Over is 6-2 in their I-A games.
Virginia won eight of last nine series games.
Cavaliers split their last four visits to Duke.
Favorites covered four of last five series games.
Over is 4-1 in last five meetings.
ACC home favorites are 12-18 ATS in conference games.
Oklahoma @ Alabama (-5.5)
Oklahoma (7-2, 3-2)
Oklahoma split its last four games, after a 5-0 start.
Last two games, Oklahoma allowed 431-456 total yards.
Oklahoma has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Matter started 12 games for Wazzu last year.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 4-3 ATS as an underdog.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 13-17-1 ATS in conference games.
Sooners are 7-2 despite being minus-5 in turnovers.
Under Venables, Sooners are 11-16-1 ATS coming off a win.
Under is 6-2 in Oklahoma’s I-A games.
Alabama (8-1, 6-0)
Alabama won first six SEC games, by 3-16-3-17-7-11 points.
Alabama is +11 in turnovers this season.
Alabama has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Simpson threw 25 passes last year.
Under DeBoer, Alabama is 9-2 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, DeBoer is 20-12-1 as a home favorite.
Crimson Tide is 15-7-1 ATS in its last 22 SEC games.
Last two games, Alabama ran ball for only 72-56 yards.
Five of last six Alabama games stayed under the total.
Oklahoma has won four of last five series games.
Sooners (+14) upset Alabama 24-3 at home last year.
SEC home favorites are 17-13 ATS in conference games.
Iowa @ USC (-6.5)
Iowa (6-3, 4-2)
Iowa was held to 13-15-16 points in their losses.
Hawkeyes are 1-3 in games decided by 5 or fewer points.
Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 85 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gronowski started 55 games at I-AA South Dakota State.
Hawkeyes are 8-4 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
Iowa is 10-4-1 ATS in last 15 conference games.
In his career, Ferentz is 124-94-7 ATS in conference games.
Last two games, Iowa gained only 274-239 yards.
Iowa is 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
USC (7-2, 5-1)
Trojans allowed 34 points in both their losses.
Trojans scored 31+ points in seven of nine games.
USC has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Trojans have 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Maiava started 15 games the last two years.
Under Riley, USC is 15-7 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Riley is 33-20 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Riley, USC is 14-16 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under Riley, USC is 14-20 ATS in Big 18 games.
Under is 3-1 in last four USC games.
These teams haven’t met since 2019.
Big 18 home favorites are 14-18 ATS in conference games.
Memphis @ East Carolina (-2.5)
Memphis (8-2, 4-2)
Tigers split their last four games; after a 6-0 start.
Memphis gave up 31-38 points in their losses.
Memphis has 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Tigers have 96 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Lewis started 12 games at Nevada LY.
Memphis scored 32+ points in eight of its ten games.
Since 2022, Tigers are 4-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Silverfield, Memphis is 12-8 ATS as an underdog.
Memphis allowed 450+ yards in three of last four games.
Over is 5-2 in last seven Memphis games.
East Carolina (6-3, 4-1)
ECU won last three games, scoring 41-45-48 points.
ECU was held to 17-13-19 points in its losses.
Pirates have 4 starters back on offense, 2 on defense.
Pirates have 106 returning starts on OL, mostly at other schools.
Junior QB Houser has 14 career starts.
ECU is 5-3 ATS in last eight games as a home favorite.
Pirates are 12-15-1 ATS in last 25 conference games.
ECU is 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
Last three games, Pirates ran ball for 269.7 yards/game.
Over is 3-0 in East Carolina’s last three games.
East Carolina won nine of last 11 series games.
Memphis is 1-5 SU/2-4 ATS last six visits to ECU.
Over is 3-0-1 in last four meetings.
AAC home favorites are 13-9 ATS in conference games.
North Carolina @ Wake Forest (-5.5)
North Carolina (4-5, 2-3)
North Carolina won last two games, giving up 10-15 points.
UNC is 4-0 when they score 20+ points.
Tar Heels have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tar Heels have 155 returning starts on offensive line.
QB Lopez started 11 games at South Alabama LY.
Tar Heels are 7-2 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
Tar Heels are 16-22 ATS in last 38 conference games.
Last six games, UNC is minus-5 in turnovers.
UNC held four of last five opponents under 100 rushing yards.
Under is 7-1 in their last eight games.
Wake Forest (6-3, 3-3)
Wake Forest won four of its last five games.
Deacons allowed 34-30-42 points in its three losses.
Deacons have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Wake Forest has 86 returning starts on offensive line.
Last 2 years, senior QB Ashford was at Auburn/South Carolina
In his career, coach Dickert is 9-7 as a home favorite.
Wake is 2-5 ATS last seven games as a home favorite.
Wake is 9-12-1 ATS in last 22 conference games.
Deacons are 3-8-1 ATS in last 12 games coming off a win.
Under is 3-0 in their last three games.
UNC won last four series games, scoring 46 ppg.
Tar Heels lost three of last four visits to Winston-Salem.
Under is 3-2 in last five meetings.
ACC home favorites are 12-18 ATS in conference games.
Utah (-8.5) @ Baylor
Utah (7-2, 4-2)
Last five games, Utah ran ball for 286.6 yards/game
Utes scored 31+ points in its wins, 10-21 in losses.
Utes have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Utah has 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dampier started 12 games at New Mexico.
Utah is 3-1 ATS as a road favorite this year.
From 2021-24, Utah was 3-12 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Whittingham is 31-35-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Utah is 7-10 ATS in last 17 games coming off a win.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
Baylor (5-4, 3-3)
Baylor allowed 27+ points in seven of its nine games.
Baylor scored 30+ points in wins, 24-24-36 in losses.
Bears have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Robertson had 3,071 PY (28 TD’s, 8 INTs) LY.
Baylor is 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 6-7 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 24-27-1 ATS in Big X games.
Baylor is 5-8-1 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
Over is 5-3 in their I-A games.
Utah beat Baylor the last two years, 20-13/23-12.
Baylor covered both games, which both stayed under the total.
Big X home underdogs are 5-11 ATS in conference games.
Texas @ Georgia (-6.5)
Texas (7-2, 4-1)
Texas has won four in row, seven of last eight games.
Longhorns was held to 7-21 points in its two losses.
Longhorns have 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Longhorns have 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Manning has thrown for 2,123 yards (18 TD’s, 6 INT’s)
Since 2021, Texas is 1-4 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Sarkisian is 10-19 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Sarkisian is 47-52 ATS in conference games.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 18-24 ATS in conference games.
Over is 4-2 in their last six games.
Georgia (8-1, 6-1)
Georgia won last five games, by 21-10-8-4-20 points.
Dawgs’ only loss was 24-21 at home to Alabama.
Dawgs have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Georgia has 35 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Stockton has three career starts.
Georgia is 8-19-1 ATS last 28 games as a favorite.
Last 2+ years, Georgia is 11-14 ATS in SEC games.
In his career, Smart is 43-50-1 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Smart is 49-40 ATS in SEC games.
Dawgs are 8-19-1 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.
Georgia beat Texas twice LY, 22-19/30-15.
Two games combined, Texas ran ball 55 times for total of 60 yards.
SEC home favorites are 17-13 ATS in conference games.
Mississippi State @ Missouri (-6.5)
Mississippi State (5-5, 1-5)
Miss State lost five of its last six games, after a 4-0 start.
Last two games, Bulldogs gave up 45-35-41 points.
Bulldogs have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Bulldogs have 91 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Shapen has 27 career starts.
Bulldogs are 6-2 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.
MSU is 8-2 ATS so far this season.
Bulldogs are 9-5 ATS in last 14 SEC games.
Bulldogs have given up 428+ total yards in all six SEC games.
Miss State’s last three games went over the total.
Missouri (6-3, 2-3)
Mizzou lost three of last four games, after a 5-0 start.
Tigers are 5-0 when they score 29+ points.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Tigers have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Last 2 years, Junior QB Pribula was a backup QB at Penn State.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 10-14-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Drinkwitz is 14-17-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 25-21-1 ATS in SEC games.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 13-10 in games coming off a loss.
Four of last five Mizzou games stayed under the total.
Miss State won two of last three series games.
This is Bulldogs’ first visit to Mizzou since 2015.
Over is 3-0 in last three meetings.
SEC home favorites are 17-13 ATS in conference games.
TCU @ BYU (-4.5)
TCU (6-3, 3-3)
TCU is 5-0 when it scores 35+ points.
Horned Frogs gained 427+ yards in three of last four games.
TCU has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Hoover started 19 games the last two years.
Under Dykes, TCU is 3-3-2 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Dykes is 23-22-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Dykes, Frogs are 17-14-3 ATS in Big X games.
TCU is +9 in turnovers in wins, minus-6 in losses.
Five of last seven TCU games stayed under the total.
BYU (8-1, 5-1)
BYU lost 29-7 at Texas Tech LW, its first loss this year.
BYU gave up 470-495-368 yards in last three games.
Cougars have 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Broncos have 61 starts returning on the offensive line.
QB Bachmeier is 149-239/1,881 passing (12 TD’s, 4 INTs)
In its Big X games, BYU allowed 24.8 points/game.
BYU is 5-3 ATS last eight games as a home favorite.
BYU is 9-7 ATS in last 15 conference games.
BYU is 5-3 ATS in its last eight games coming off a loss.
Under is 5-3 in BYU’s last eight games.
TCU won last five series games.
This is TCU’s first visit to Provo since 2009.
Big X home favorites are 22-12 ATS in conference games.
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| Nov 15 | AFA vs. CONN | AFA Under | AFA +7.5 Under 63.5 |
| Nov 15 | ARIZ vs. CIN | CIN***** | CIN -6.0 |
| Nov 15 | USF vs. NAVY | Under | Under 62.5 |
| Nov 15 | SOCAR vs. TAM | SOCAR | SOCAR +17.5 |
| Nov 15 | MICH vs. NW | NW | NW +10.0 |
| Nov 15 | UTSA vs. CHAR | UTSA***** | UTSA -17.5 |
| Nov 15 | EMU vs. BALL | Under***** | Under 49.5 |
| Nov 15 | KSU vs. OKST | Over | Over 50.5 |
| Nov 15 | ORST vs. TLSA | TLSA Under | TLSA +1.5 Under 50.0 |
| Nov 15 | UNT vs. UAB | UNT***** Over***** | UNT -17.5 Over 69.5 |
| Nov 15 | MRSH vs. GSU | MRSH Over | MRSH -7.5 Over 62.5 |
| Nov 15 | UTEP vs. MOSU | MOSU***** Under****** | MOSU -4.5 Under 48.5 |
| Nov 15 | SJSU vs. NEV | SJSU Under | SJSU -9.0 Under 49.5 |
| Nov 15 | OKLA vs. ALA | ALA | ALA -6.0 |
| Nov 15 | USA vs. ULM | USA | USA -4.0 |
| Nov 15 | MTU vs. WKU | WKU***** Over***** | WKU -13.5 Over 54.5 |
| Nov 15 | UVA vs. DUKE | DUKE***** | DUKE -4.5 |
| Nov 15 | MD vs. ILL | ILL***** | ILL -16.0 |
| Nov 15 | TXST vs. USM | USM | USM -3.0 |
| Nov 15 | UCF vs. TTU | TTU***** | TTU -23.5 |
| Nov 15 | IOWA vs. USC | USC***** | USC -6.5 |
| Nov 15 | NCST vs. MIA | NCST Under***** | NCST +15.0 Under 55.0 |
| Nov 15 | GT vs. BC | GT***** | GT -16.5 |
| Nov 15 | PSU vs. MSU | Under | Under 49.5 |
| Nov 15 | FAU vs. TULN | TULN Over | TULN -17.5 Over 62.5 |
| Nov 15 | UNC vs. WAKE | Over | Over 38.0 |
| Nov 15 | LIB vs. FIU | Under | Under 51.5 |
| Nov 15 | CCU vs. GASO | GASO | GASO -3.0 |
| Nov 15 | PUR vs. WASH | WASH | WASH -16.5 |
| Nov 15 | USU vs. UNLV | UNLV***** | UNLV -6.0 |
| Nov 15 | FLA vs. MISS | MISS***** | MISS -11.5 |
| Nov 15 | VT vs. FSU | FSU Under | FSU -14.0 Under 55.0 |
| Nov 15 | MSST vs. MIZZ | MIZZ | MIZZ -7.0 |
| Nov 15 | KENN vs. JVST | KENN***** Over | KENN -3.0 Over 56.0 |
| Nov 15 | LT vs. WSU | WSU | WSU -7.5 |
| Nov 15 | WYO vs. FRES | FRES | FRES -3.5 |
