Armadillo: Monday's six-pack
Top six picks for Week 1 in Westgate Super Contest:
6) Panthers +2.5, 845- L
5) Broncos even, 856
4) Buccaneers even, 862- L
3) Texans +7, 904
2) Colts +6.5, 1,052- W
1) Ravens -6.5, 1,080- W
2019 record: 2-2
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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday??
Eagles 30, Redskins 27:
? Washington led 20-7 at the half.
? Redskins threw 45 passes, ran ball only 13 times.
? Washington is 1-6 vs spread in last seven NFC East road games.
? Eagles had TD plays of 51-53 yards, both on 3rd and 10 passes.
? Philly converted 11-17 third down plays.
? Eagle offense in 2nd half: four drives, 43 plays, 272 yards, 25 points.
Bills 17, Jets 16:
? Buffalo?s first seven drives: 35 plays, 165 yards, outscored 8-0 by Jet defense.
? Buffalo?s last four drives: 28 plays, 220 yards, 17 points.
? 38-yard pass from Allen to Brown with 3:00 left was the game-winner.
? Jets were outgained 370-223; they averaged only 3.4 yards/pass attempt.
? Jets? new kicker missed a PAT and a 45-yard FG.
? Not many teams are +3 in turnovers and lose; Jets had four takeaways (+3).
Vikings 28, Falcons 12:
? Atlanta turned ball over three times, was only 2-8 on third down.
? Falcons had punt blocked on first series, threw INT on second series.
? Last 2+ years, Atlanta is now 4-13 vs spread on road (1-7 as road dog).
? Under Zimmer, Minnesota is 23-7-1 vs spread as a HF, 17-2-1 outside NFC North.
? Minnesota threw only 10 passes the whole game; that doesn?t happen much.
? Vikings won/covered their last five home openers.
Ravens 59, Dolphins 10:
? Baltimore had ball 10 times, scored eight TD?s, kicked a FG.
? Jackson was 17-20/324 passing; he is 7-1 as an NFL starter.
? Ravens won last four Week 1 games by combined score of 139-20.
? Miami ran only 12 times for 21 yards; they were -3 in turnovers.
? Dolphins gave app 643 yards, were down 42-10 at halftime.
? 2020 NFL Draft begins April 23rd in Las Vegas.
Chiefs 40, Jaguars 26:
? McCoy carried ball 10 times for 81 yards in his KC debut.
? KC had a 14-yard advantage in starting field position.
? Five of KC?s seven plays of 20+ yards came on first down.
? Foles got hurt; backup Minshew was 22-25/275 passing, with two TD?s.
? Jaguar defense gave up TD plays of 68, 49 yards.
? Both teams averaged 10+ yards/pass attempt, which doesn?t happen much.
Titans 43, Browns 13:
? Tennessee defense scored nine points, gave up only 13.
? Titans were +3 in turnovers (3-0), had 11-yard edge in field position.
? Tennessee won/covered six of last seven road openers.
? Cleveland were called for 18 penalties for 182 yards.
? Since re-joining NFL in 1999, Browns are 1-19-1 SU in Week 1
? Last 9+ years, Cleveland is 7-15-2 as a home favorite.
Rams 30, Panthers 27:
? 89 of Gurley?s 97 rushing yards came in second half.
? LA converted 9-17 third down plays.
? Rams had one punt blocked, another deflected; no bueno.
? McCaffery had 29 touches for 209 yards; their WR?s caught only 11 passes.
? Newton ran ball only three times, for minus-2 yards.
? First time in six years that Carolina lost its home opener.
49ers 31, Buccaneers 17?
? Five TD?s in this game: three scored by the defenses, two by offenses.
? Teams who were +2 or better in turnovers this week are 7-2-1 ATS.
? First time in five years 49ers won their road opener.
? Tampa Bay scored only 10 points in four drives into red zone.
? Last 5+ years, Bucs are now 16-25 vs spread at home.
? TB started eight drives 75+ yards from goal line; on those eight drives, their offense was outscored 14-7 by SF?s defense.
Lions 27, Cardinals 27, OT:
? Detroit led 24-6 with 11:30 left in the game.
? Stafford threw for 385 yards, had two guys with 100+ receiving yards.
? Last 5+ years, Lions are 11-5-4 vs spread when laying 3 or fewer points
? First three quarters, Murray was 9-25 passing for 70 yards.
? 4th quarter and OT, Murray was 20-29 passing for 239 yards.
? Last 3+ years, Cardinals are 8-16-1 SU at home.
Seahawks 21, Bengals 20:
? Cincy threw ball for 395 yards but lost three fumbles (minus-2 in turnovers).
? Bengals scored only six points in three trips to the red zone.
? Since ?11, Bengals are 23-14-4 vs spread as road underdogs.
? Seattle was outgained 429-273 but pulled out the win.
? Seahawks won their last 11 home openers (8-3 vs spread).
? Under is 16-2-1 in Seattle?s last 19 home openers.
Chargers 30, Colts 24 OT:
? Indy ran ball for 203 yards, threw for 173; they converted 7-13 on 3rd down.
? Colts start season 0-1 for the sixth year in a row.
? Viniatieri missed two FG?s and an extra point.
? Chargers led 17-6 at half; they took opening kick of OT and drove 75 yards for a TD.
? 14 of Chargers? last 17 home openers went over the total.
? Bolts had eight plays of 20+ yards, 2nd-most in NFL on Sunday (Ravens).
Cowboys 35, Giants 17:
? Giants lost eight of their last nine season openers.
? Total yardage was 494-470 Dallas; NYG was only 2-11 on third down.
? Teams that were -2 or worse in turnovers are 2-8 SU this week.
? Cowboys have now won five games in a row against the Giants.
? Dallas averaged 12.7 yards/pass attempt; Prescott threw for 405 yards
? Elliott ran ball 13 times for 53 yards a couple days after he reported.
Patriots 33, Steelers 3:
? Steelers were only one of 24 teams that played Sunday who didn?t score a TD.
? Since 1997, Steelers are 1-9-1 vs spread when an underdog in their road opener.
? Pittsburgh ran ball 13 times, dropped back to pass 48 times, a losing ratio.
? NE averaged 9.6 yards/pass attempt, outgained Steelers 465-308.
? Since ?13, Patriots are 29-13-3 as home favorites, 18-8-1 outside AFC East.
? Last six Super Bowl champs are 4-1-1 vs ATS in their season opener the next year.
Top six picks for Week 1 in Westgate Super Contest:
6) Panthers +2.5, 845- L
5) Broncos even, 856
4) Buccaneers even, 862- L
3) Texans +7, 904
2) Colts +6.5, 1,052- W
1) Ravens -6.5, 1,080- W
2019 record: 2-2
**********
Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday??
Eagles 30, Redskins 27:
? Washington led 20-7 at the half.
? Redskins threw 45 passes, ran ball only 13 times.
? Washington is 1-6 vs spread in last seven NFC East road games.
? Eagles had TD plays of 51-53 yards, both on 3rd and 10 passes.
? Philly converted 11-17 third down plays.
? Eagle offense in 2nd half: four drives, 43 plays, 272 yards, 25 points.
Bills 17, Jets 16:
? Buffalo?s first seven drives: 35 plays, 165 yards, outscored 8-0 by Jet defense.
? Buffalo?s last four drives: 28 plays, 220 yards, 17 points.
? 38-yard pass from Allen to Brown with 3:00 left was the game-winner.
? Jets were outgained 370-223; they averaged only 3.4 yards/pass attempt.
? Jets? new kicker missed a PAT and a 45-yard FG.
? Not many teams are +3 in turnovers and lose; Jets had four takeaways (+3).
Vikings 28, Falcons 12:
? Atlanta turned ball over three times, was only 2-8 on third down.
? Falcons had punt blocked on first series, threw INT on second series.
? Last 2+ years, Atlanta is now 4-13 vs spread on road (1-7 as road dog).
? Under Zimmer, Minnesota is 23-7-1 vs spread as a HF, 17-2-1 outside NFC North.
? Minnesota threw only 10 passes the whole game; that doesn?t happen much.
? Vikings won/covered their last five home openers.
Ravens 59, Dolphins 10:
? Baltimore had ball 10 times, scored eight TD?s, kicked a FG.
? Jackson was 17-20/324 passing; he is 7-1 as an NFL starter.
? Ravens won last four Week 1 games by combined score of 139-20.
? Miami ran only 12 times for 21 yards; they were -3 in turnovers.
? Dolphins gave app 643 yards, were down 42-10 at halftime.
? 2020 NFL Draft begins April 23rd in Las Vegas.
Chiefs 40, Jaguars 26:
? McCoy carried ball 10 times for 81 yards in his KC debut.
? KC had a 14-yard advantage in starting field position.
? Five of KC?s seven plays of 20+ yards came on first down.
? Foles got hurt; backup Minshew was 22-25/275 passing, with two TD?s.
? Jaguar defense gave up TD plays of 68, 49 yards.
? Both teams averaged 10+ yards/pass attempt, which doesn?t happen much.
Titans 43, Browns 13:
? Tennessee defense scored nine points, gave up only 13.
? Titans were +3 in turnovers (3-0), had 11-yard edge in field position.
? Tennessee won/covered six of last seven road openers.
? Cleveland were called for 18 penalties for 182 yards.
? Since re-joining NFL in 1999, Browns are 1-19-1 SU in Week 1
? Last 9+ years, Cleveland is 7-15-2 as a home favorite.
Rams 30, Panthers 27:
? 89 of Gurley?s 97 rushing yards came in second half.
? LA converted 9-17 third down plays.
? Rams had one punt blocked, another deflected; no bueno.
? McCaffery had 29 touches for 209 yards; their WR?s caught only 11 passes.
? Newton ran ball only three times, for minus-2 yards.
? First time in six years that Carolina lost its home opener.
49ers 31, Buccaneers 17?
? Five TD?s in this game: three scored by the defenses, two by offenses.
? Teams who were +2 or better in turnovers this week are 7-2-1 ATS.
? First time in five years 49ers won their road opener.
? Tampa Bay scored only 10 points in four drives into red zone.
? Last 5+ years, Bucs are now 16-25 vs spread at home.
? TB started eight drives 75+ yards from goal line; on those eight drives, their offense was outscored 14-7 by SF?s defense.
Lions 27, Cardinals 27, OT:
? Detroit led 24-6 with 11:30 left in the game.
? Stafford threw for 385 yards, had two guys with 100+ receiving yards.
? Last 5+ years, Lions are 11-5-4 vs spread when laying 3 or fewer points
? First three quarters, Murray was 9-25 passing for 70 yards.
? 4th quarter and OT, Murray was 20-29 passing for 239 yards.
? Last 3+ years, Cardinals are 8-16-1 SU at home.
Seahawks 21, Bengals 20:
? Cincy threw ball for 395 yards but lost three fumbles (minus-2 in turnovers).
? Bengals scored only six points in three trips to the red zone.
? Since ?11, Bengals are 23-14-4 vs spread as road underdogs.
? Seattle was outgained 429-273 but pulled out the win.
? Seahawks won their last 11 home openers (8-3 vs spread).
? Under is 16-2-1 in Seattle?s last 19 home openers.
Chargers 30, Colts 24 OT:
? Indy ran ball for 203 yards, threw for 173; they converted 7-13 on 3rd down.
? Colts start season 0-1 for the sixth year in a row.
? Viniatieri missed two FG?s and an extra point.
? Chargers led 17-6 at half; they took opening kick of OT and drove 75 yards for a TD.
? 14 of Chargers? last 17 home openers went over the total.
? Bolts had eight plays of 20+ yards, 2nd-most in NFL on Sunday (Ravens).
Cowboys 35, Giants 17:
? Giants lost eight of their last nine season openers.
? Total yardage was 494-470 Dallas; NYG was only 2-11 on third down.
? Teams that were -2 or worse in turnovers are 2-8 SU this week.
? Cowboys have now won five games in a row against the Giants.
? Dallas averaged 12.7 yards/pass attempt; Prescott threw for 405 yards
? Elliott ran ball 13 times for 53 yards a couple days after he reported.
Patriots 33, Steelers 3:
? Steelers were only one of 24 teams that played Sunday who didn?t score a TD.
? Since 1997, Steelers are 1-9-1 vs spread when an underdog in their road opener.
? Pittsburgh ran ball 13 times, dropped back to pass 48 times, a losing ratio.
? NE averaged 9.6 yards/pass attempt, outgained Steelers 465-308.
? Since ?13, Patriots are 29-13-3 as home favorites, 18-8-1 outside AFC East.
? Last six Super Bowl champs are 4-1-1 vs ATS in their season opener the next year.
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