Cnotes53 2017 College Football Picks-Trends-News Etc. !

[Cnotes53]

Betting Recap - Week 12
November 19, 2017

NFL Week 11 Recap

Overall Notes

COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 12 RESULTS

WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 52-13
Against the Spread 33-32

WAGER Home-Away
Straight Up 44-21
Against the Spread 29-36

WAGER Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 30-34-1

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Kansas State (+19.5, ML +800) at Oklahoma State, 45-40
Akron (+14.5, ML +450) vs. Ohio, 37-34
Tulane (+9.5, ML +270) vs. Houston, 20-17

The largest favorites to cover
Florida State (-52) vs. Delaware State, 77-6
Alabama (-49) vs. Mercer, 56-0
Clemson (-46) vs. The Citadel, 61-3

Top 25 Notes

-- Miami-Florida had a slight hangover after their dominating win against Notre Dame a week ago. They trailed Virginia 28-14 in the third quarter before the alarm clock went off at Hard Rock Stadium. The Hurricanes then proceeded to rattle off 30 unanswered points for the 16-point win, but the Cavaliers were still able to hang on for the road cover. Miami might be 10-0 SU overall, but they're just 2-4 ATS over their past six, and 1-4 ATS in five games as a double-digit favorite this season. ... Alabama had their annual November cupcake game, essentially resting before playing in the Iron Bowl against Auburn next week. Mercer of the FCS was this season's sacrificial lamb, and it went about as well as you would expect for the Bears. The Tide led 35-0 at half, and they went on to win 56-0. Hey, at least the Bears got paid over $1 million this season to be punched around by both Iron Bowl participants.

-- Auburn struggled with Mercer earlier this season, winning just 24-10 despite being a 40-point favorite. And they nearly lost to FCS Jacksonville State a couple of seasons ago, surviving the Gamecocks in overtime back in 2015. The Tigers faced Louisiana-Monroe, the last unranked team to beat Nick Saban and Alabama back in 2007. So, did the Warhawks pull off the big upset Saturday? Nah. It was 7-7 after the first quarter, and just 14-7 in favor of the Tigers at the half. However, the 38-point favorite Tigers pulled away in the second half, although ULM was never in danger of failing to cover. As a favorite of 21 or more points, Auburn is a dismal 0-2-2 ATS this season.

-- Memphis can score with the best of them, and their high-octane offense was on display at the Liberty Bowl on Saturday against visiting Southern Methodist. The Mustangs held their own after the first quarter, and they were down just 45-38 after three quarters. However, the Tigers were too much for Chad Morris' group, running away for a 66-45 win and cover. The Tigers rank fourth in points scored (44.7 PPG) and sixth in total yards (519.5), but 113th in the FBS in defense with 452.3 yards per game allowed. More importanty, though, the Tigers are 4-0 ATS over their past four games, and 5-0-1 ATS over the past six.

-- West Virginia entered as a three-point favorite against visiting Texas. The Longhorns turned the tables on the Mountaineers, who will tumble out of the Top 25. The Longhorns improved to 4-1 ATS in five road games, while the Mountaineers slipped 0-2-1 ATS over their past three games at Milan Puskar Stadium in Morgantown. The 'under' has cashed in three straight for WVU.

-- Georgia bounced back with a 42-13 win against Kentucky in between the hedges. The 'over' has now cashed in five of the past six for UGA, while the Bulldogs are just 2-3 ATS over their past five overall. It was Georgia's first cover of the season as a favorite of 18 or more points after going 0-3 ATS in their first three tries.

Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)

-- Florida State took out a season of frustration on poor ol' Delaware State of the FCS, 77-6. The Hornets were no match for the Seminoles, even a beaten and battered 'Noles team. FSU covered the biggest spread on the board Saturday (52 points), and they had scored a total of 72 points over their past four games combined. The cover was also the first of the season for the Seminoles after opening the season 0-7-2 ATS through the first nine. ... North Carolina picked up a win on FCS Western Carolina, 65-10, improving to 3-8 SU. Suddenly, the Tar Heels are 3-0 ATS over the past three outings. ... Duke put the brakes on a six-game slide, topping Georgia Tech by a 43-20 count. The Blue Devils started out 4-0 SU/ATS, then were 0-6 SU/0-5-1 ATS over the past six, before finally covering again. The 'over' result snapped an eight-game 'under' run, too.

-- Purdue shocked Iowa in Kinnick Stadium by a 24-15 score. The Boilermakers improved to 5-6 SU, and can punch their ticket to a bowl with a win at home in the Battle for the Old Oaken Bucket next week against Indiana. ... Speaking of the Hoosiers, they outlasted Rutgers 41-0 at 'The Rock' for their second straight game. Whomever wins in West Lafayette next week will win their sixth game and a trip to the postseason. IU entered Saturday's game 0-6-1 ATS over their past seven, and they're 0-4 ATS in their past four road games heading into next week's battle in Purdue.

-- Oklahoma State was dumped by Kansas State in Stillwater, as the Wildcats were the biggest underdog (+19) to win outright on Saturday. K-State became bowl eligible in grand style, improving to 3-0 SU over their past three road games, and 2-0 ATS over the past two away from home. They haven't covered back-to-back games since Sept. 2-9. ... Kansas didn't want to shake Baker Mayfield's hand before Saturday's tilt in Oklahoma, and the quarterback made them pay. He even showed them something below his waist. But the Jayhawks were able to cover for the second straight outing, and they're 3-1 ATS over their past four.

-- Oregon took care of Arizona by a 48-28 score, securing bowl eligibility in the process. They improved to 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in six games at Autzen Stadium, which is where they'll host Oregon State in the Civil War next week. It's weird to see, but the 'under' has been hitting frequently for the Ducks. The under is 5-1 over the past six outings, and 7-2 over their past nine outings. ... Washington held off pesky Utah by a 33-30 count, never coming close to covering a 17 1/2-point number. The Huskies are a poor 2-3 ATS over their past five outings heading into the Apple Cup next week against Washington State. The Cougars were off this past weekend, and enter the rivalry game 7-2 ATS over the past nine outings.

-- South Carolina faced one of the better FCS opponents of the weekend in Wofford, a team that entered 9-1 SU. The Terriers led 3-0 after the first quarter, but the Gamecocks ended up getting some distance in the second half. ... Tennessee continues to struggle, falling 30-10 to Louisiana State. The Vols are 0-7 in the SEC, as is next week's opponent, Vanderbilt. The Vols and Commodores will battle to avoid the basement at Neyland Stadium in a game that is sure to draw in the television ratings.

Mid-Major Report

-- UCF won 45-19 on the road at Temple, avoiding the upset in a place many have fallen before. The Knights are 10-0 SU, but their cover was the first since Oct. 14, entering the game 0-3-1 ATS over the past four. ... Tulane scored a 20-17 win against Houston, keeping their dreams alive for a bowl berth. The Green Wave have won back-to-back conference games. The 'under' is 3-0 over their past three outings, too. ... South Florida was unable to cover for the fourth straight game, but they topped Tulsa 27-20 to move to 9-1 SU leading up to their huge matchup against UCF next Friday.

-- Florida Atlantic moved to 7-0 SU in Conference USA play, punching their ticket to the league's championship game with a 52-24 win against rival Florida International. The Owls are an impressive 6-1 ATS over their past seven conference battles heading into next week's regular season finale at Charlotte. ... The 49ers haven't exactly been 'Packing the Mine' this season, mostly because they're 1-10 SU. They were buried 66-21 at Southern Mississippi in Hattiesburg, slipping to 5-6 ATS on the season. However, they are a respectable 5-2 ATS over the past seven despite their losing ways.

-- Temperatures were around freezing with winds around 20-25 mph, so you figure the weather would favor Wyoming. However, it was the California team from the Valley, Fresno State, winning 13-7 in the frigid conditions. The 'under' has cashed in five straight for the Cowboys, and it's 9-2 in 11 games overall. ... Colorado State bounced back after their implosion last week against Boise State, 42-14 in a win over San Jose State. However, the Rams were unable to cover for the sixth consecutive game to close out their regular season.

-- Coastal Carolina posted a 13-7 win at the Kibbie Dome in Moscow, Idaho in the final FBS home game for the Vandals. Idaho is leaving the Sun Belt Conference and dropping down to the FCS level to join the Big Sky Conference. ... Georgia Southern was one of just two winless FBS teams entering the weekend. They not only won, they pounded South Alabama, 52-0. It was the first shutout of an FBS opponent in Eagles' history.

Bad Beats

-- If you had the 'over' (40.5) in Minnesota-Northwestern, my condolensces. First off, things didn't get off to a great start with a scoreless first quarter. However, the Wildcats posted 25 points in the second half to get things on track. While the Gophers didn't help you at all, getting blanked in the 39-0 game, it was a blocked extra point and two failed two-point conversion attempts that made the difference.

-- If you had Rice (+240) on the moneyline, first off, you're a lot more adventurous than I. Secondly, you took a bad beat, as they held a 21-17 lead until :37 left in regulation in Norfolk when Old Dominion pulled off the 24-21 win.

-- The 'over' (77) in Arizona-Oregon looked like a sure thing, as the Ducks scored with 13:54 left in regulation to take a 45-28 lead. The Ducks drove back into the red zone, but had to settle for a 24-yard field with 8:09 to go, moving within one point of the 'over'. That's how it stayed.

 

[Cnotes53]

Opening Line Report - Week 13
November 20, 2017

Based on the opening line and early wagering for Saturday?s Iron Bowl, the betting market is showing Auburn plenty of respect heading into its matchup against Alabama (CBS, 3:30 p.m. ET). The Tigers opened as five-point home underdogs at the Wynn, where sharp bettors backed Auburn, pushing the line down to +4 on Sunday. The number moved a half-point in Alabama?s direction on Monday, but there are only sporadic examples of the Crimson Tide being this short a favorite over the last several years of Nick Saban?s tenure.

?The game that opened your eyes was the Georgia game,? John Avello, sports book director at the Las VegasWynn, said of Auburn. ?For them to manhandle Georgia 40-17, that?s just a huge accomplishment.?

Meanwhile, Avello and Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook oddsmaker Ed Salmons have different takes on the strength of unbeaten Alabama?s schedule. To Avello, the Week 1 win against Florida State has become less impressive as the Seminoles have squandered into mediocrity this season, and it?s clear to most college football observers that the SEC is down this year. Salmons, though, stresses FSU was a different team with a healthy Deondre Francois, evidenced by the 7.5-point spread in that season-opening game, and says wins vs. LSU and at Mississippi State are strong bullets on ?Bama?s resume.

Said Avello, ?They?re still Alabama, they still have quality athletes, and they still win most of their games by a significant margin. But Mississippi State (31-24) and LSU (24-10) maybe were a little tighter than they may have liked.?

Here?s a quick look at four more games on the Week 13 college football card:

Miami (-14) at Pittsburgh - Friday (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Miami survived another scare last weekend, coming back from two separate 14-point deficits against Virginia to prevail at home, 44-28. Now, the Hurricanes go on the road to play Pittsburgh eight days before the ACC championship game against Clemson.

A 4-7 team generally doesn?t strike fear into one that?s yet to lose, but Avello calls Friday?s tilt a ?very dangerous? spot for Miami.

?I?m not big Miami fan. They?ve had a good season, but they seem to lose focus during the course of a game,? Avello said, offering close calls against Georgia Tech, Syracuse, North Carolina and Virginia as evidence. ?You can?t trust this team. They have a rough time putting good games together.?

Avello also notices a different Pittsburgh team than the one whose only wins through its first seven games came against Youngstown State and Rice.

?Pittsburgh has more confidence now, and I think it?s going to be a tough game for Miami,? he said.

While the spread has stayed put at 14 through early wagering at his shop, ?there could be dog money before it?s all said and done,? Avello said.

Ohio State (-12) at Michigan - Saturday (FOX, 12:00 p.m. ET)

The Wynn opened Ohio State -11.5 and took sharp underdog money that prompted a move to -11 on Sunday. Bettors laid the points Monday, however, pushing the line past its opener to -12.

While Michigan typically rises to the occasion and gives its fiercest rival all it can handle, Avello isn?t sure Jim Harbaugh?s squad is good enough to keep this year?s game close.

?I don?t think they are, and you normally wouldn?t hear that out of my mouth,? Avello said. ?Michigan has no offense. They can?t find the right quarterback...Defensively, they?re pretty good, so what they?ll do is stay in a game, like they did with Wisconsin (a 24-10 loss), and then all of a sudden a team wears them out a little bit and gets a lead, and they have no way to come back.?

From Salmons? point of view, Michigan will need to play a near-perfect game to put money into the pockets of their backers, something they didn?t do in their three losses ? to Michigan State, Penn State and Wisconsin. Against the Badgers, for example, they allowed a punt return for a touchdown and they fumbled the ball near the Wisconsin goal line.

?The way they play offense, Michigan can?t afford to do that,? Salmons said. ?It?s hard to see them score a lot of points against Ohio State, but the pace of the game is going to be slow and Michigan does play really good defense; and the crowd will be behind them early and they?ll get a lot of juice from that in the first half. They?re going to have to play a perfect, clean game, and if they do that, they?ll give themselves a chance to at least cover. If they get down early, it?s not going to go well , but Michigan?s got enough talent on defensive side to stay in the game.?

Added Avello, ?We?ve seen enough of these (Ohio State/Michigan) games to know that you (shouldn?t) give too much value (when betting), but right now, I don?t know how the Michigan team?s going to be able to contain them for four quarters. Ohio State should be able to score in the 30s at least. How does Michigan get to the 30s??

Georgia (-11) at Georgia Tech - Saturday (ABC, 12:00 p.m. ET)

Early action at the Wynn went against favored Georgia, as the Bulldogs were bet down from an opening line of -12. Bettors, however, shouldn?t count on Georgia looking ahead to next week?s SEC title game.

?They?ll be clearly focused for this game,? Avello said. ?The Auburn game, I don?t know what happened to them there, that was not a good game for them, but they bounced back last week against Kentucky and played much better (in a 42-13 win).?

For bettors looking to lay the points, sooner may be better than later. Avello anticipates action on the favorite as kickoff approaches.

?I think there?ll be Georgia money,? he said. ?I don?t know if the college football fan base is in love with Georgia Tech. I don?t know if they?re going to back them even as a home dog here.?

Notre Dame (-2) at Stanford - Saturday (ABC, 8:00 p.m. ET)

Notre Dame opened -2.5 at the Wynn, with immediate action on the dog moving the line to -2. It was the opposite story at William Hill, which opened ND -2 and moved the number up to -2.5.

After lighting it up for most of the season, the Irish offense has slowed considerably the last two weeks. For a team still clinging to slim hopes for a spot in the four-team College Football Playoff, it?ll have to get its offensive groove back against defensive-minded Stanford.

The primetime game will continue to draw the two-way action indicated by the early lines moves at various Vegas shops.

?I can see some good money written on this game on both sides,? Avello said.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAF opening line report: Alabama opens as 4.5-point favorites for Iron Bowl
Patrick Everson

"Alabama has owned this rivalry recently, winning the game outright by double digits in five of the last six years."

Week 12 of the college football season featured a bunch of huge pointspreads and very limited good matchups. On the flip side, 13 is a lucky number, with a lot of big games on the docket this week, including a major SEC showdown. Patrick Everson checks in on the opening lines and early action with Dave Mason, brand manager for offshore sportsbook BetOnline.ag.

No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide at No. 6 Auburn Tigers (+4.5)

Alabama heads into the annual Iron Bowl carrying the only unblemished record among the contenders for the four-team College Football Playoff. The Crimson Tide (11-0 SU, 5-6 ATS) had what amounted to a bye in Week 12, taking FCS outfit Mercer to the woodshed in a 56-0 victory to cash as a massive 49.5-point home favorite.

Auburn has two losses, but also holds an impressive win over then-unbeaten Georgia in Week 11 and therefore still harbors some CFP hopes. The Tigers (9-2 SU, 5-4-2 ATS) also had a gimme game in Week 12, dumping Louisiana-Monroe 42-14 as a 38-point home chalk.

?There is little doubt that Saturday's Iron Bowl will be the biggest-bet college football game on Thanksgiving weekend,? Mason said. ?Alabama has owned this rivalry recently, winning the game outright by double digits in five of the last six years. Despite ?Bama?s recent dominance, Auburn is taking on the most bets out of any college team so far. Just 29 percent of early bettors are on the Tide.?

No. 8 Ohio State Buckeyes at Michigan Wolverines (+11)

Ohio State leads the Big Ten East Division and needs to wrap up a spot in the conference championship game to remain among the CFP prospects. The Buckeyes (9-2 SU, 5-6 ATS) thumped Illinois 52-14 laying 41 points at home Saturday.

Michigan is hoping to play spoiler against the Buckeyes in The Game, one of college football?s most-storied rivalries. The Wolverines (8-3 SU, 4-6-1 ATS) hung around through three quarters at Wisconsin, but ultimately fell short 24-10 as a 6.5-point underdog in Week 12.

?Speaking of one-sided rivalries, Ohio State has a five-game winning streak over Michigan,? Mason said. ?The Game will most likely be the second-most-bet game on Saturday, after the Iron Bowl. The house will be huge Wolverine fans, as 85 percent of early bettors are on the Buckeyes.?

That helped tick the line up to 11.5 Sunday evening.

No. 15 Washington State Cougars at No. 14 Washington Huskies (-9.5)

Washington State controls its fate in the Pac-12 North Division, heading into the Apple Cup showdown Saturday night. The Cougars (9-2 SU, 7-4 ATS) enter this instate clash off a bye week, after fending off Utah 33-25 as a 1-point road fave on Week 11.

Washington can?t win the division and therefore can?t make it to the Pac-12 title game, but would love to wreck its rival. The Huskies (9-2 SU, 6-5 ATS) got all they could handle from Utah on Saturday, pulling out a 33-30 victory on a last-minute field goal.

?While the Iron Bowl is getting the most early action, (this game) is getting the most lopsided early action,? Mason said. ?It's looking like we will be rooting for the Huskies, considering 90 percent of early bettors are taking the Cougars and the points.?

South Florida at Central Florida (-10.5)

Central Florida remains undefeated, but has no shot at the CFP and will instead hope to stay on course for the American Athletic Conference title and a spot in a bigger-name bowl game. The Knights (10-0 SU, 6-3-1 ATS) coasted past Temple 45-19 giving 13.5 points on Saturday.

South Florida (9-1 SU, 4-6 ATS) could get to the conference title game with a victory over UCF. The Bulls topped Tulsa 27-20 in Week 12, falling way short as 24-point chalk.

?Despite their impressive SU records, neither team has been generous to their loyal bettors recently,? Mason said. ?South Florida failed to cover the number in each of its last four games. Meanwhile, after starting the season on a torrid covering rate, Central Florida is just 1-3 ATS in its last four. Not a ton of early action yet, but 60 percent of early bettors are on Central Florida.?

The Knights were up to -11.5 Sunday evening.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Tuesday, November 21

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENT ST (2 - 9) at AKRON (6 - 5) - 11/21/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENT ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
KENT ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 3 seasons.
AKRON is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
AKRON is 1-1 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 2-0 straight up against KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOWLING GREEN (2 - 9) at E MICHIGAN (4 - 7) - 11/21/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
BOWLING GREEN is 50-30 ATS (+17.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 32-13 ATS (+17.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
BOWLING GREEN is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
E MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI OHIO (4 - 7) at BALL ST (2 - 9) - 11/21/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI OHIO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
MIAMI OHIO is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI OHIO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI OHIO is 1-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, November 23

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OLE MISS (5 - 6) at MISSISSIPPI ST (8 - 3) - 11/23/2017, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, November 24

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BAYLOR (1 - 10) at TCU (9 - 2) - 11/24/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 34-55 ATS (-26.5 Units) in November games since 1992.
BAYLOR is 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
TCU is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TCU is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 2-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
TCU is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W MICHIGAN (6 - 5) at TOLEDO (9 - 2) - 11/24/2017, 11:30 AM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 82-56 ATS (+20.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VIRGINIA TECH (8 - 3) at VIRGINIA (6 - 5) - 11/24/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
VIRGINIA is 1-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N ILLINOIS (8 - 3) at C MICHIGAN (7 - 4) - 11/24/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 72-43 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 72-43 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
N ILLINOIS is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO U (8 - 3) at BUFFALO (5 - 6) - 11/24/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
OHIO U is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 1-1 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 1-1 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSOURI (6 - 5) at ARKANSAS (4 - 7) - 11/24/2017, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISSOURI is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS is 1-1 against the spread versus MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS is 1-1 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO (3 - 8) at SAN DIEGO ST (9 - 2) - 11/24/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NAVY (6 - 4) at HOUSTON (6 - 4) - 11/24/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
NAVY is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NAVY is 94-56 ATS (+32.4 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 81-40 ATS (+37.0 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 81-40 ATS (+37.0 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 45-24 ATS (+18.6 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 106-70 ATS (+29.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
NAVY is 45-27 ATS (+15.3 Units) in November games since 1992.
NAVY is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
HOUSTON is 33-55 ATS (-27.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-1 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-1 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (10 - 0) at PITTSBURGH (4 - 7) - 11/24/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a road favorite of 10.5 to 14 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-0 against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IOWA (6 - 5) at NEBRASKA (4 - 7) - 11/24/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games this season.
NEBRASKA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home lined games this season.
NEBRASKA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games in games played on turf this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 2-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 2-0 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS ST (2 - 9) at TROY (8 - 2) - 11/24/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TROY is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
TROY is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TROY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TROY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a bye week over the last 3 seasons.
TROY is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
TROY is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TROY is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-0 straight up against TEXAS ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S FLORIDA (9 - 1) at UCF (10 - 0) - 11/24/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
S FLORIDA is 2-0 against the spread versus UCF over the last 3 seasons
S FLORIDA is 2-0 straight up against UCF over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W KENTUCKY (6 - 5) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (6 - 4) - 11/24/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 against the spread versus W KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
W KENTUCKY is 2-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS TECH (5 - 6) at TEXAS (6 - 5) - 11/24/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 1-1 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS is 1-1 straight up against TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CALIFORNIA (5 - 6) at UCLA (5 - 6) - 11/24/2017, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALIFORNIA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CALIFORNIA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCLA is 1-1 against the spread versus CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
UCLA is 1-1 straight up against CALIFORNIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, November 25

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CONNECTICUT (3 - 8) at CINCINNATI (3 - 8) - 11/25/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 1-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-1 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON COLLEGE (6 - 5) at SYRACUSE (4 - 7) - 11/25/2017, 12:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 2-0 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 2-0 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN ST (8 - 3) at RUTGERS (4 - 7) - 11/25/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (5 - 6) at PURDUE (5 - 6) - 11/25/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 78-108 ATS (-40.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
INDIANA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
INDIANA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
PURDUE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 2-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO ST (9 - 2) at MICHIGAN (8 - 3) - 11/25/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 182-139 ATS (+29.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 182-139 ATS (+29.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 57-35 ATS (+18.5 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 74-47 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 74-47 ATS (+22.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 119-89 ATS (+21.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 165-125 ATS (+27.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
OHIO ST is 68-42 ATS (+21.8 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
OHIO ST is 44-27 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
OHIO ST is 91-66 ATS (+18.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N CAROLINA (3 - 8) at NC STATE (7 - 4) - 11/25/2017, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 1-1 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-1 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DUKE (5 - 6) at WAKE FOREST (7 - 4) - 11/25/2017, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
WAKE FOREST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
WAKE FOREST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
WAKE FOREST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
WAKE FOREST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
WAKE FOREST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
DUKE is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
WAKE FOREST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a favorite of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WAKE FOREST is 1-1 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
WAKE FOREST is 1-1 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

APPALACHIAN ST (6 - 4) at GEORGIA ST (6 - 3) - 11/25/2017, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus APPALACHIAN ST over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 straight up against GEORGIA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VANDERBILT (4 - 7) at TENNESSEE (4 - 7) - 11/25/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
VANDERBILT is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-1 against the spread versus VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-1 straight up against VANDERBILT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IOWA ST (7 - 4) at KANSAS ST (6 - 5) - 11/25/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA ST is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 88-63 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 88-63 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 121-88 ATS (+24.2 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 150-115 ATS (+23.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 118-87 ATS (+22.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 88-63 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
IOWA ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
IOWA ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
IOWA ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
IOWA ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against IOWA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LOUISVILLE (7 - 4) at KENTUCKY (7 - 4) - 11/25/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 1-1 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA (10 - 1) at GEORGIA TECH (5 - 5) - 11/25/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) against ACC opponents since 1992.
GEORGIA is 31-12 ATS (+17.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PENN ST (9 - 2) at MARYLAND (4 - 7) - 11/25/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PENN ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
PENN ST is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
MARYLAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus PENN ST over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against MARYLAND over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORTHWESTERN (8 - 3) at ILLINOIS (2 - 9) - 11/25/2017, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road games since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NORTHWESTERN is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NORTHWESTERN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 127-165 ATS (-54.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 127-165 ATS (-54.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 63-91 ATS (-37.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 63-91 ATS (-37.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 63-88 ATS (-33.8 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 85-126 ATS (-53.6 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORTH TEXAS (8 - 3) at RICE (1 - 10) - 11/25/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 76-50 ATS (+21.0 Units) in home games since 1992.
RICE is 76-50 ATS (+21.0 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
RICE is 63-30 ATS (+30.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
RICE is 69-47 ATS (+17.3 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
RICE is 58-29 ATS (+26.1 Units) in home games after playing a conference game since 1992.
RICE is 76-50 ATS (+21.0 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.
RICE is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
RICE is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
RICE is 1-1 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
RICE is 1-1 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLA ATLANTIC (8 - 3) at CHARLOTTE (1 - 10) - 11/25/2017, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA ATLANTIC is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
FLA ATLANTIC is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
CHARLOTTE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 1-0 against the spread versus FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 1-1 straight up against FLA ATLANTIC over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH ST (6 - 5) at AIR FORCE (4 - 7) - 11/25/2017, 10:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 2-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 2-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SOUTHERN MISS (7 - 4) at MARSHALL (7 - 4) - 11/25/2017, 2:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARSHALL is 2-0 against the spread versus SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
MARSHALL is 1-1 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UNLV (5 - 6) at NEVADA (2 - 9) - 11/25/2017, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 86-122 ATS (-48.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
UNLV is 57-83 ATS (-34.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEVADA is 1-1 against the spread versus UNLV over the last 3 seasons
NEVADA is 1-1 straight up against UNLV over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON ST (9 - 2) at WASHINGTON (9 - 2) - 11/25/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as a road underdog of 7.5 to 10 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 2-0 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WYOMING (7 - 4) at SAN JOSE ST (1 - 11) - 11/25/2017, 5:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (5 - 6) at UTAH (5 - 6) - 11/25/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
UTAH is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 1-1 against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 1-1 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARKANSAS ST (6 - 3) at LA MONROE (4 - 6) - 11/25/2017, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARKANSAS ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ARKANSAS ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
ARKANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OLD DOMINION (5 - 6) at MIDDLE TENN ST (5 - 6) - 11/25/2017, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLD DOMINION is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WISCONSIN (11 - 0) at MINNESOTA (5 - 6) - 11/25/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 1-1 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NOTRE DAME (9 - 2) at STANFORD (8 - 3) - 11/25/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
STANFORD is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 1-1 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEMSON (10 - 1) at S CAROLINA (8 - 3) - 11/25/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S CAROLINA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus CLEMSON over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 2-0 straight up against S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS A&M (7 - 4) at LSU (8 - 3) - 11/25/2017, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 63-92 ATS (-38.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
LSU is 15-36 ATS (-24.6 Units) in home games in November games since 1992.
LSU is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in home games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOISE ST (9 - 2) at FRESNO ST (8 - 3) - 11/25/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all games this season.
FRESNO ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
FRESNO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
FRESNO ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
FRESNO ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 139-100 ATS (+29.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 139-100 ATS (+29.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 67-43 ATS (+19.7 Units) in road games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 67-43 ATS (+19.7 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 97-70 ATS (+20.0 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 85-59 ATS (+20.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 88-57 ATS (+25.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 44-26 ATS (+15.4 Units) in November games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 79-48 ATS (+26.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
BOISE ST is 87-62 ATS (+18.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULANE (5 - 6) at SMU (6 - 5) - 11/25/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 93-125 ATS (-44.5 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
TULANE is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
SMU is 95-125 ATS (-42.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
SMU is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
SMU is 2-0 against the spread versus TULANE over the last 3 seasons
SMU is 2-0 straight up against TULANE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS (1 - 10) at OKLAHOMA ST (8 - 3) - 11/25/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 125-161 ATS (-52.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
KANSAS is 125-161 ATS (-52.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 76-113 ATS (-48.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.
KANSAS is 46-80 ATS (-42.0 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 46-80 ATS (-42.0 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS is 89-119 ATS (-41.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
KANSAS is 117-152 ATS (-50.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
KANSAS is 96-129 ATS (-45.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
KANSAS is 81-116 ATS (-46.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
KANSAS is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
KANSAS is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
KANSAS is 54-86 ATS (-40.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
KANSAS is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
KANSAS is 55-81 ATS (-34.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
KANSAS is 15-30 ATS (-18.0 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
OKLAHOMA ST is 87-61 ATS (+19.9 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA ST is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA ST is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (7 - 4) at ARIZONA ST (6 - 5) - 11/25/2017, 4:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 83-126 ATS (-55.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
ARIZONA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games after playing a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 34-55 ATS (-26.5 Units) in November games since 1992.
ARIZONA is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 81-49 ATS (+27.1 Units) in home games when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
ARIZONA ST is 62-40 ATS (+18.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA ST is 1-1 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA ST is 1-1 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W VIRGINIA (7 - 4) at OKLAHOMA (10 - 1) - 11/25/2017, 3:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games in November games since 1992.
W VIRGINIA is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games in weeks 10 through 13 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA is 2-0 straight up against W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OREGON ST (1 - 10) at OREGON (6 - 5) - 11/25/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
OREGON ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
OREGON ST is 113-84 ATS (+20.6 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
OREGON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 2-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 1-1 straight up against OREGON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IDAHO (3 - 7) at NEW MEXICO ST (4 - 6) - 11/25/2017, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-1 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
NEW MEXICO ST is 1-1 straight up against IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GA SOUTHERN (1 - 9) at LA LAFAYETTE (5 - 5) - 11/25/2017, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GA SOUTHERN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GA SOUTHERN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-0 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
LA LAFAYETTE is 1-0 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEMPLE (5 - 6) at TULSA (2 - 9) - 11/25/2017, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTSA (6 - 4) at LOUISIANA TECH (5 - 6) - 11/25/2017, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISIANA TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus UTSA over the last 3 seasons
LOUISIANA TECH is 2-0 straight up against UTSA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E CAROLINA (3 - 8) at MEMPHIS (9 - 1) - 11/25/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
E CAROLINA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
E CAROLINA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
MEMPHIS is 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTEP (0 - 11) at UAB (7 - 4) - 11/25/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTEP is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games this season.
UTEP is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
UTEP is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
UTEP is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
UTEP is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
UTEP is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
UTEP is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.
UTEP is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
UAB is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in games played on turf this season.
UAB is 26-45 ATS (-23.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ALABAMA (11 - 0) at AUBURN (9 - 2) - 11/25/2017, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
ALABAMA is 55-31 ATS (+20.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 1-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
ALABAMA is 2-0 straight up against AUBURN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FLORIDA ST (4 - 6) at FLORIDA (4 - 6) - 11/25/2017, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all games this season.
FLORIDA ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
FLORIDA ST is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BYU (3 - 9) at HAWAII (3 - 8) - 11/25/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAWAII is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
HAWAII is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
HAWAII is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday this season.
HAWAII is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after playing a conference game this season.
HAWAII is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
HAWAII is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
HAWAII is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in weeks 10 through 13 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAF

Week 13

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tuesday, November 21

KENT STATE @ AKRON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kent State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kent State's last 7 games when playing Akron
Akron is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Akron is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kent State

BOWLING GREEN @ EASTERN MICHIGAN
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Bowling Green's last 5 games
Bowling Green is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Eastern Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Eastern Michigan's last 9 games at home
Eastern Michigan is 17-5 ATS in its last 22 games

MIAMI-OH @ BALL STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-OH's last 6 games when playing Ball State
Miami-OH is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ball State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ball State's last 6 games when playing Miami-OH


Thursday, November 23

MISSISSIPPI @ MISSISSIPPI STATE
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Mississippi's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games when playing on the road against Mississippi State
Mississippi State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Mississippi State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home


Friday, November 24

WESTERN MICHIGAN @ TOLEDO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Michigan's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toledo
Western Michigan is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toledo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toledo's last 5 games when playing at home against Western Michigan
Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

MIAMI-FL @ PITTSBURGH
Miami-FL is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Miami-FL is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami-FL

BAYLOR @ TEXAS CHRISTIAN
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baylor's last 6 games when playing Texas Christian
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baylor's last 5 games
Texas Christian is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas Christian is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Baylor

NAVY @ HOUSTON
Navy is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Navy's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston's last 11 games

NORTHERN ILLINOIS @ CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Northern Illinois is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games
Central Michigan is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Central Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

OHIO @ BUFFALO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ohio's last 6 games on the road
Ohio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Ohio

MISSOURI @ ARKANSAS
Missouri is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Missouri is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas's last 5 games when playing Missouri
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Arkansas's last 9 games

SOUTH FLORIDA @ CENTRAL FLORIDA
South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
South Florida is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

NEW MEXICO @ SAN DIEGO STATE
New Mexico is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against San Diego State
New Mexico is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing San Diego State
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico
San Diego State is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games

IOWA @ NEBRASKA
Iowa is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Nebraska
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Iowa's last 9 games
Nebraska is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nebraska's last 6 games

TEXAS STATE @ TROY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas State's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Texas State's last 17 games
Troy is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Troy is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

WESTERN KENTUCKY @ FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Kentucky's last 6 games
Western Kentucky is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Florida International
Florida International is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida International's last 7 games

VIRGINIA TECH @ VIRGINIA
Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Virginia
Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia's last 7 games when playing Virginia Tech
Virginia is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games

TEXAS TECH @ TEXAS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 5 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 5 games
Texas is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Texas Tech
Texas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Texas Tech

CALIFORNIA @ CALIFORNIA-LOS ANGELES
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of California's last 7 games when playing California-Los Angeles
California is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
California-Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
California-Los Angeles is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against California


Saturday, November 25

FLORIDA STATE @ FLORIDA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida State's last 8 games when playing Florida
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 5 games when playing at home against Florida State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Florida's last 8 games when playing Florida State

GEORGIA @ GEORGIA TECH
Georgia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Georgia Tech
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Georgia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

LOUISVILLE @ KENTUCKY
Louisville is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games when playing Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kentucky's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kentucky's last 5 games when playing Louisville

INDIANA @ PURDUE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against Purdue
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Purdue's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Purdue's last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana

OHIO STATE @ MICHIGAN
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Michigan
Ohio State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Michigan is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan's last 6 games when playing Ohio State

KANSAS @ OKLAHOMA STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma State's last 5 games at home

CONNECTICUT @ CINCINNATI
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Connecticut's last 9 games on the road
Connecticut is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Connecticut
Cincinnati is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Connecticut

EAST CAROLINA @ MEMPHIS
East Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
East Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

TULANE @ SOUTHERN METHODIST
Tulane is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Southern Methodis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tulane's last 5 games when playing Southern Methodist
Southern Methodist is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Southern Methodist is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

BOSTON COLLEGE @ SYRACUSE
Boston College is 7-0-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Boston College is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Syracuse's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games when playing Boston College

DUKE @ WAKE FOREST
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Duke's last 9 games
Duke is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Wake Forest
Wake Forest is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Wake Forest is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

NORTH TEXAS @ RICE
North Texas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Texas's last 6 games when playing Rice
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Rice's last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Rice's last 6 games when playing North Texas

TEXAS EL PASO @ ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 6 games
Texas El Paso is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

FLORIDA ATLANTIC @ CHARLOTTE
Florida Atlantic is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Florida Atlantic's last 7 games on the road
Charlotte is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Charlotte is 5-9-2 ATS in its last 16 games at home

APPALACHIAN STATE @ GEORGIA STATE
Appalachian State is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
Appalachian State is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Georgia State's last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 18 of Georgia State's last 25 games

SOUTHERN MISS @ MARSHALL
Southern Miss is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Southern Miss is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Marshall is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Southern Miss
Marshall is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Southern Miss

OLD DOMINION @ MIDDLE TENNESSEE
Old Dominion is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Old Dominion's last 24 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Middle Tennessee's last 5 games at home
Middle Tennessee is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home

ARKANSAS STATE @ LOUISIANA-MONROE
Arkansas State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
Arkansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 5 games when playing Arkansas State
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 19 games

NEVADA-LAS VEGAS @ NEVADA
Nevada-Las Vegas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 8 games when playing on the road against Nevada
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Nevada's last 8 games when playing at home against Nevada-Las Vegas
Nevada is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Nevada-Las Vegas

ALABAMA @ AUBURN
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Auburn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Auburn is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

NORTH CAROLINA @ NORTH CAROLINA STATE
North Carolina is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games on the road
North Carolina is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against North Carolina St
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of North Carolina State's last 8 games
North Carolina State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

IOWA STATE @ KANSAS STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Iowa State's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa State's last 6 games
Kansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Iowa State
Kansas State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Iowa State

PENN STATE @ MARYLAND
Penn State is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Penn State's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Maryland's last 8 games
Maryland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

WISCONSIN @ MINNESOTA
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Minnesota's last 17 games when playing Wisconsin
Minnesota is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games at home

BOISE STATE @ FRESNO STATE
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boise State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Fresno State's last 5 games
Fresno State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

WEST VIRGINIA @ OKLAHOMA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of West Virginia's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma
West Virginia is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing West Virginia

VANDERBILT @ TENNESSEE
Vanderbilt is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vanderbilt's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games at home
Tennessee is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Vanderbilt

NORTHWESTERN @ ILLINOIS
Northwestern is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Northwestern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Illinois's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Illinois's last 7 games when playing Northwestern

MICHIGAN STATE @ RUTGERS
Michigan State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Rutgers
Michigan State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Rutgers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Rutgers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home

TEMPLE @ TULSA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Temple's last 5 games
Temple is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 6 games at home

IDAHO @ NEW MEXICO STATE
Idaho is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Idaho's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico State's last 6 games

ARIZONA @ ARIZONA STATE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Arizona State
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arizona's last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona State's last 5 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona State's last 5 games

GEORGIA SOUTHERN @ LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia Southern's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia Southern's last 7 games on the road
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

WYOMING @ SAN JOSE STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wyoming's last 5 games
Wyoming is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose State's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Jose State's last 9 games at home

OREGON STATE @ OREGON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oregon
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon State's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon's last 5 games when playing at home against Oregon State
Oregon is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Oregon State

TEXAS A&M @ LOUISIANA STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas A&M's last 5 games when playing Louisiana State
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Texas A&M's last 13 games on the road
Louisiana State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas A&M
Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas A&M

CLEMSON @ SOUTH CAROLINA
Clemson is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games on the road
Clemson is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games
South Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Clemson
South Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

TEXAS-SAN ANTONIO @ LOUISIANA TECH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas-San Antonio's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas-San Antonio's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisiana Tech's last 5 games
Louisiana Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas-San Antonio

NOTRE DAME @ STANFORD
Notre Dame is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Notre Dame's last 7 games when playing Stanford
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Stanford is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

WASHINGTON STATE @ WASHINGTON
Washington State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington State's last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Washington State

BRIGHAM YOUNG @ HAWAII
Brigham Young is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Hawaii
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Brigham Young's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Hawaii's last 6 games
Hawaii is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Brigham Young

COLORADO @ UTAH
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado

UTAH STATE @ AIR FORCE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah State's last 9 games
Air Force is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Air Force's last 20 games

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 13

Tuesday?s games

Akron won three of last four games with Kent, with wins by 4-20-9 points; Flashes lost last two visits here, 20-0/16-7. Underdogs are 10-4 vs spread in last 14 series games. Akron split its last four games; they?re 7-1 vs spread in last eight. Zips are 3-0 in MAC home games; their last two home wins were by total of 4 points. Kent State lost its last four games, allowing 42+ points in all four; they?re 2-4 vs spread as a road underdog this year, losing 42-3/24-3 in two games they covered. Under is 8-2 in Akron games this year; last four Kent games all went over.

Bowling Green won eight of last ten games with Eastern Michigan, but Falcons were double digit favorite in 7 of those 10 games, now EMU is the better team. Underdogs are 5-3 vs spread in last eight series games. BG lost four of its last five games; they?re 1-4 vs spread as a road underdog, but they?ve won two of three MAC road games. Eastern is 4-7 with five losses by 5 or less points; Eagles they?re 2-2 SU at home, 2-2 vs spread when favored this year. Falcons? last six games went over the total; over is 4-1-1 in Eagles? last six games.

Underdogs covered five of last six Miami-Ball State games; Red Hawks won three of last four visits to Muncie- they lost 55-14 in last visit here, in 2013. Miami lost five of its last seven games; they?re 1-4 on road, with only win at Central Michigan. Red Hawks are 1-6 vs spread as a favorite this year. Ball State lost its last eight games; they?re 1-6 vs spread in last seven. Cardinals are 2-2 vs spread at home this season. Under is 3-1-1 in last five Miami games; over is 7-1 in last eight Ball State games.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 13

Tuesday, November 21

Kent State @ Akron

Game 101-102
November 21, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kent State
57.073
Akron
78.570
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Akron
by 21 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Akron
by 15
46
Dunkel Pick:
Akron
(-15); Over

Bowling Green @ Eastern Michigan

Game 103-104
November 21, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Bowling Green
64.265
Eastern Michigan
82.434
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Eastern Michigan
by 18
77
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Eastern Michigan
by 12 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
Eastern Michigan
(-12 1/2); Over

Miami of Ohio @ Ball State

Game 105-106
November 21, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami of Ohio
71.734
Ball State
55.981
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami of Ohio
by 16
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami of Ohio
by 18 1/2
57
Dunkel Pick:
Ball State
(+18 1/2); Under

 

[Cnotes53]

Tuesday's Best Bet
November 21, 2017

Tuesday Maction
Kent at Akron (ESPNU, 7:00 p.m. ET)

A very busy week of college football action gets started tonight with the MAC Conference taking center stage during the early week as they have for some time now. Most of the college football world has one eye on all the huge games bettors are looking forward to this weekend (Ohio State/Michigan, Alabama/Auburn), but there are intense conference races going on across the country and the MAC is no different.

None of these schools are going to threaten the CFB Playoff picture, but winning their division and getting to the Conference Championship game is just as big a deal for these guys as it is for the big Power 5 teams.

Tonight we've got three MAC games on tap and all three of them have one team listed as a double-digit favorite. However, only one of the six teams really has anything to play for as Ball State, Miami (Ohio), Bowling Green, Eastern Michigan, and Kent State will all finish the year with five wins or less regardless of what happens tonight.

That means that Kent State's opponent this evening ? the Akron Zips ? are the only ones with any sort of legitimate pressure on them tonight and whether or not the Zips thrive or crumble under that pressure is what bettors should be focused on for this game.

Bookamker.eu Odds: Kent State vs Akron (-15.5); Total set at 47

Thanks to an outright 37-34 win over the Ohio Bobcats last week as 14.5-point underdogs, the Akron Zips now find themselves in 1st place in the MAC East and in line for a berth in the Conference Championship game next week. That was a huge win for the Zips as it gives them the head-to-head tiebreaker over an Ohio team that has performed better more consistently this season (Ohio is 8-3 SU while Akron is just 6-5 SU), and really puts Akron in the driver's seat. The Zips are also the ones that are laying 15+ points at home this week, while Ohio has to go into hostile territory once again on Friday for a game with 5-6 SU Buffalo who is playing to become Bowl eligible. Ohio is just a 3-4 point road favorite in that game so the edge for that MAC East crown has to go to the Zips.

But while everything seems to be lining up for Akron, this team can't get ahead of themselves. A home date against 2-9 SU Kent State doesn't look dangerous at all on paper, but with this game coming in a situational spot where Akron is primed for a letdown after that Ohio win, AND has Conference Championship aspirations on the horizon, this double-digit point spread may be a little too lofty of a goal to cover.

Bettors don't seem to mind as VegasInsider.com's betting percentage numbers show more than 80% of bettors laying that hefty chalk with Akron tonight . After all, the Zips have been money makers all year (8-3 ATS) and especially in conference play (6-1 ATS), while Kent State has been an auto-fade for most with their 3-8 ATS mark and failing to score more then 23 points in every game this year against FBS competition. Kent State has also lost four in a row by at least 19 points, so how can you not lay the chalk here?

Well for one, the pressure of the situation could easily eat up this Akron team that's alternated wins and losses the past for games. Sure, they've been great against the point spread, but since Week 3 when their schedule started to get into the meat of things, they've only been the listed favorites twice and never by more than 4.5 points (2-0 ATS in those games though). In fact, the Zips have been double-digit underdogs in seven of their 11 games this year and catching all those points on a weekly basis lends itself to a quality record against the number.

But the only other time they were coming off an outright win as double-digit underdogs like they are this evening ? they beat Western Michigan 14-13 as +12.5 dogs ? they were promptly blown out the following week by a very good Toledo team 48-21 and failed to cover the +15 they were getting.

Kent State isn't going to blow Akron out tonight, the Golden Flashes probably won't even win outright, but Akron has shown a tendency to follow up their best performances with some average or even sub-par performances already this year, and with them being double-digit favs for the first time all season, now do you really want to lay all those points?

Make no mistake about it, Kent State is not a good football team, but as disastrous as the 2017 season has been for them, they'd still love to go out on a high note. At least putting a scare in a potential division champion that is most definitely looking past them could be considered going out on a high note. The Golden Flashes played Akron tough a year ago in a 31-27 loss as 9-point home dogs, and this game could very well end up with a similar result. Despite Kent State's struggles, their offense has actually started to show some improvement as they've scored 16+ in three straight games (20+ in their last two) and it's their highest scoring output during a three-game stretch all year, and that includes a 38-31 win in Week 2 over FCS school Howard. They'll need to score in that range to have a chance tonight and I believe they'll at least come close to 20+ again.

With the underdog 8-3 ATS the last 11 times these two have met,all the pressure of the situation on the home side here, the chance of a possible huge letdown after Akron basically made their season with last week's win, and the majority of the betting public blindly laying the chalk, I've got no problem going the other way and grabbing all those points.

This may end up being one of those games where you've got to grab the points with Kent State and plug your nose hoping they don't put up a stinker, but a backdoor cover is always a possibility in a game like this, even if the Golden Flashes don't find a way to hang around for the full 60 minutes with a likely less focused Akron side.

Odds per - Bookmaker.eu

Best Bet: Kent State +15.5

 

[Cnotes53]

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 21
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

M-OH at BALL 07:00 PM
BALL +18.0
U 54.5

BGSU at EMU 07:00 PM
EMU -13.5
U 61.5

KENT at AKR 07:00 PM
AKR -15.5.................MAC BLOW OUT
O 46.5

 

[Cnotes53]

Tech Trends - Week 13
November 21, 2017

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 21

Matchup Skinny Edge

KENT STATE at AKRON...Local rivals. Home team has covered last four meetings. Bowden 4-1 vs. line at Infocision this season. Woeful Kent on 3-10 spread skid.
Akron, based on team and series home trends.

BOWLING GREEN at EASTERN MICHIGAN...BG just 2-9 vs. spread in 2017, Jinks 6-17 vs. line since LY. EMU not as good vs. line at home as on road but still on 17-5 spread uptick since early LY.
EMU, based on team trends.

MIAMI-OHIO at BALL STATE...Ball no covers last seven TY, now 0-8-1 last nine on board.
Miami-Ohio, based on Ball negatives.

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 23

Matchup Skinny Edge

OLE MISS at MISSISSIPPI STATE...Egg Bowl! Dan Mullen on 8-4 spread uptick in reg.-season play and has covered last three as SEC host.
Slight to Miss State, based on team trends.

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 24

Matchup Skinny Edge

BAYLOR at TCU...Rhule 4-7 vs. line TY, Bears on 5-12 spread skid since mid 2016. Frogs have covered all five in series since joining Big 12 in 2012.
TCU, based on team and series trends.

WESTERN MICHIGAN at TOLEDO....Toledo has won and covered five of last six this season, all wins by DD margins. WMU however has covered last three meetings.
Slight to Toledo, based on recent trends.

VIRGINIA TECH at VIRGINIA... No UVa SU wins in series since 2003. Though home team has covered last four meetings. Fuente 2-5 as visiting chalk with Hokies.
Slight to Virginia Tech based on series trends.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS at CENTRAL MICHIGAN...CMU has covered last 4 and 5 of last 6 TY. NIU just 2-5 vs. line last seven TY. Chips have covered last three in series.
CMU, based on recent and series trends.

OHIO at BUFFALO...Even after Akron loss, Solich 8-3 vs. spread TY, and 9-4 last 13 vs. points in MAC. Solich 6-2 vs. spread last 8 as MAC visitor. Bulls 1-3 vs. spread last four overall.
Slight to Ohio, based on team trends.

MISSOURI at ARKANSAS...Mizzou covers last seven TY, while Bielema on 3-9-1 spread skid since late LY.
Mizzou, based on recent trends.

NEW MEXICO at SAN DIEGO STATE...UNM has covered five of last six meetings, but Davie no covers last three on road TY, bad beatings in all.
Slight to SD State, based on recent trends.

NAVY at HOUSTON... Mids 6-1 vs. line last seven as visitor. Mids pulled big upset on Cougs LY and are 7-1 last seven as dog. UH 6-12-1 last 19 on board (5-5 TY).
Navy, based on team trends.

MIAMI-FLA. at PITT...Canes just 5-5 vs. line TY. Though have covered 4 of last 5 vs. Pitt. Panthers 4-12 vs. line at home for Narduzzi since 2015.
Miami, based on Pitt home negatives.

IOWA at NEBRASKA...Ferentz has won and covered last two years vs. Riley and is 4-1 vs. points last five vs. Huskers. Though Hawkeyes 0-3-1 vs. line away TY, they were 16-4 vs. spread as visitor from 2013-16. Riley 0-6 vs. line at Lincoln TY!
Iowa, based on team and recent series trends.

TEXAS STATE at TROY...TSU on 6-9 spread skid for Withers, though Troy 0-5 vs. spread as host TY. Trojans were 5-5 as home chalk the previous two seasons.
Slight to Troy, based on team trends.

SOUTH FLORIDA at UCF...USF no covers last four TY, Charlie Strong teams now on 4-9 spread skid since late LY at Texas and Bulls.
UCF, based on team trends.

WESTERN KENTUCKY at FIU...WKU just 3-7-1 vs. spread post-Jeff Brohm this season.
Slight to FIU, based on team trends.

TEXAS TECH at TEXAS...Texas 7-3-1 vs. line this season. Horns 6-1 vs. line last 7 meetings.
Slight to Texas Tech, based on team trends.

CAL at UCLA...UCLA 5-0 SU at Rose Bowl, and home team is 9-3 vs. spread in last 12 Bruins games dating to late LY. Home team has covered last seven in series.
UCLA, based on team and series home trends.

 

[Cnotes53]

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 25

Matchup Skinny Edge

UCONN at CINCINNATI...Fickell 1-4 vs. line at Nippert TY if you count UCF loss, and Bearcats 2-11 vs. spread at Nippert (if counting UCF loss) since late 2015.
UConn, based on Cincy home negatives.

BOSTON COLLEGE at SYRACUSE...BC on 7-0-1 spread surge. Cuse 3-8 vs. spread last 11 at Carrier Dome.
Boston College, based on team trends.

MICHIGAN STATE at RUTGERS...Gers 8-3 vs. number this term. Dantonio only 2-8 vs. points last ten away from East Lansing. Home team has won and covered last three in series.
Rutgers, based on recent and series home trends.

INDIANA at PURDUE...Old Oaken Bucket! Purdue has covered six of last nine bucket battles. Brohm 7-4 vs. line TY, and 27-15-1 since late 2014 at WKU & Boilermakers. Hoosiers just 2-5-1 last eight vs. spread TY.
Purdue, based on team trends.

OHIO STATE at MICHIGAN...Buckeyes have won SU last five and 12-1 last 13 SU vs. Wolverines. Though Mich. has covered 3 of last 4 meetings. Urban 8-4 vs. line last 12 as visitor. Harbaugh 1-5 vs. points last six at home.
Ohio State, based on team trends.

NORTH CAROLINA at NC STATE...Road team has won and covered last four meetings. Heels have covered last 3 TY.
North Carolina, based on series trends.

DUKE at WAKE FOREST... Duke 2-5 vs. line last 7 TY. Deacs on 22-7 spread surge since mid 2015.
Wake Forest, based on team trends.

APP STATE at GEORGIA STATE...App only 3-7 vs. line TY, on 5-10 spread skid since late 2016. Panthers on 17-10-1 spread uptick since mid 2015. Panthers 14-7-1 as dog since 2015.
Georgia State, based on team trends.

VANDERBILT at TENNESSEE...Vandy 1-7 SU, 1-6-1 vs. line last eight TY, but Dores have covered 4 of last 5 in series.
Slight to Vanderbilt, based on series trends.

IOWA STATE at KANSAS STATE... ISU 76-2-2 vs. line TY, on 14-5-2 spread uptick since early LY. Cyclones have covered last 3 in series. KSU no covers last six, and 1-6 vs. spread last 7, as Big 12 host.
Iowa State, based on team and series trends.

LOUISVILLE at KENTUCKY...Cards 2-5 vs. points last seven away from home. But UK no covers last seven vs. non-SEC.
Slight to Louisville, based on team trends.

GEORGIA vs. GEORGIA TECH...Major visitor series. Especially for UGa, which has won last 10 and covered 9 in a row at Bobby Dodd Stadium/Grant Field. Road teams are 16-2-1 vs. spread last 19 in series.
Georgia, based on series trends.

PENN STATE at MARYLAND...James Franklin no covers last three TY after 16-2 spread run prior. Terps just 7-13 last 20 vs. line.
Penn State, based on team trends.

NORTHWESTERN at ILLINOIS...Cats covers in last six and eight of last nine this season. Lovie 4-10 last 14 vs. line.
Northwestern, based on team trends.

NORTH TEXAS at RICE...Owls just 4-7 vs. line TY but have covered 3 of last 5. UNT 8-4 vs. line last 12 on board since late 2016.
North Texas, based on team trends.

FAU at CHARLOTTE...Lane Kiffin 6-1 vs. line last seven, 8-2 vs. spread last ten TY.
FAU, based on team trends.

UTAH STATE at AIR FORCE...Falcs no covers last four at home TY and just 1-5 last five vs. spread this season. Utags have won and covered last three on road TY.
Utah State, based on recent trends.

SOUTHERN MISS at MARSHALL...Herd has covered last six meetings. Marshall 8-3 vs. line TY.
Marshall, based on series trends.

UNLV at NEVADA...Fremont Cannon! Road team has won and covered last four in series, though Pack 10-2 SU last 12 meetings. Rebs 5-0 vs. line away TY.
Slight to Nevada, based on extended series trends.

WASHINGTON STATE at WASHINGTON...Apple Cup! Huskies have won and covered big the last three seasons and have won last four SU vs. Cougs. But Leach 16-6 last 22 as road dog and has covered 7 of last 9 TY. Leach 16-5 last 21 as dog.
Slight to Washington State, based on team trends.

WYOMING at SAN JOSE STATE...Bohl 7-1 vs. line alst eight TY. SJSU on 2-7-1 spread skid.
Wyoming, based on team trends.

COLORADO at UTAH... Buffs have covered 5 of last 6 meetings in this season-ender, including last three at SLC. Utes 5-6 last 11 vs. spread as Pac-12 host. Buffs 8-4 last 12 as visiting dog.
Colorado, based on series trends.

ARKANSAS STATE at ULM... Six big wins and covers in a row for ASU (seven in a row SU) vs. ULM. Red Wolves on 12-6 spread uptick since mid 2016.
Arkansas State, based on team and series trends.

ODU at MTSU... Monarchs just 3-6 last nine as road dog. MTSU 3-1 vs. line last four at home TY.
Slight to MTSU, based on team trends.

WISCONSIN at MINNESOTA...Paul Bunyan Axe! UW 9-1 vs. spread last ten as visitor. Gophers haven?t beaten Wiscy since 2003!
Wisconsin, based on team trends.

NOTRE DAME at STANFORD...Tree only 4-8 vs. spread last 12 on Farm. If dog, note Brian Kelly 9-5 last 14 in role, but ND has lost SU last four in Palo Alto.
Slight to Stanford, based on home series marks.

CLEMSON at SOUTH CAROLINA...Home team has covered last four in series. Muschamp on 5-0-1 spread run TY and has covered last seven as dog.
South Carolina, based on team and series home trends.

TEXAS A&M at LSU...Sumlin 0-5 SU and vs. line against LSU since A&M entered SEC in 2012. Orgeron 5-0-1 vs. spread last six TY and 11-6-1 vs. spread since taking over Tigers mid 2016.
LSU, based on series and team trends.

BOISE STATE at FRESNO STATE...Boise 5-0 vs. line away TY, 11-2 last 13 vs. spread as visitor.
Boise State, based on team trends.

TULANE at SMU...SMU just 1-4-1 last six vs line TY after covering first five. Fritz on 8-4 spread uptick since late 2016. Fritz teams 22-14 vs. line since 2015 including his last season at Georgia Southern.
Tulane, based on team trends.

KANSAS at OKLAHOMA STATE... Gundy 4-2 laying DD in 2017, and home team 5-0-1 vs. line last six in series.
Oklahoma State, based on team and series trends.

ARIZONA at ARIZONA STATE...Territorial Cup! Home team has won and covered last four meetings. ASU 6-2-1 vs. spread last nine TY, UA 2-9 as road dog since 2015.
ASU, based on team and series trends.

WEST VIRGINIA at OKLAHOMA... Holgorsen has lost all five SU vs. Sooners since entering Big 12 and failed to cover last three. Mountaineers just 5-11-1 last 17 vs. line away from Morgantown (2-2-1 TY). Lincoln Riley 4-1 vs. spread at Norman in OU debut.
Oklahoma, based on team and series trends.

OREGON STATE at OREGON...Civil War! OSU has covered 3 of last 4 vs. Ducks and won LY at Corvallis. UO 2-4 vs. line last six TY.
Oregon State, based on recent trends.

IDAHO at NEW MEXICO STATE... Home team has covered last four in series. Though Vandals have covered 7 straight and 13 of 14 as Sun Belt visitor! Ags 6-3-1 vs. line TY and 10-5-1 vs. spread since mid 2016.
Idaho, based on team trends.

GEORGIA SOUTHERN at ULL...Eagles 3-6-1 vs. line TY, 6-15-1 vs. points since 2016 post-Willie Fritz.
Slight to ULL, based on recent trends.

TEMPLE at TULSA...Owls covers 5of last 7 this season. Hurricane 7-10 vs. line at home since Montgomery arrived in 2015.
Slight to Temple, based on recent trends.

UTSA at LA TECH... UTSA had covered four straight in series prior to LY. Skip just 1-5 vs. spread as host TY.
Slight to UTSA, based on extended series trends.

EAST CAROLINA at MEMPHIS...ECU 3-8 vs. line TY, 4-16-1 last 20 on board. Memphis covers last four TY.
Memphis, based on ECU woes.

UTEP at UAB...UAB has covered 7 of last 8 TY. Miners 2-9 vs. spread in forgettable 2017, 6-15-1 last 21 on board.
UAB, based on recent trends.

ALABAMA at AUBURN...Iron Bowl! Saban has won and covered last three vs. Malzahn since the ?Kick Six? and Chris Davis in 2013. Malzahn just 5-9 last 14 as dog and 2-5 vs. spread last seven at Jordan-Hare. Saban has failed to cover last two on SEC road but was 9-1 previous 10 in role.
span style="font-weight:bold; color: #b20000">Alabama, based on series and team trends.

FLORIDA STATE at FLORIDA... Noles a stunning 1-9 vs. line this season, Gators not much better at 2-6-2. Jimbo has won last four in series and covered last 2, and 3 of those 4.
FSU, based on recent series trends.

BYU at HAWAII...Rolovich on 0-7-1 spread skid TY, 3-9 vs. line at Aloha since LY, and UH 3-15 vs. points last 18 at Honolulu.
BYU, based on Hawaii negatives.

 

[Cnotes53]

Akron grabs first MAC East title since '05
November 21, 2017

AKRON, Ohio (AP) Ulysees Gilbert returned a fumble 40 yards for a touchdown on the final play of the first half and Akron cruised to a 24-14 victory over Kent State on Tuesday night to claim its first Mid-American Conference East Division title since 2005.

Kato Nelson completed just 6 of 20 passes for 69 yards for the Zips (7-5, 6-2), but he found Kobe Booker open for a 25-yard scoring strike in the first quarter. After Nick Gasser nailed a 45-yard field goal, Akron led 10-0.

The Golden Flashes (2-10, 1-7) pulled within three points on Justin Rankin's 8-yard TD run in the second quarter, but Akron scored two touchdowns in the last 18 seconds to close out the half. Manny Morgan's 1-yard TD plunge pushed the lead to 17-7 and then Jamal Davis II forced a fumble by Kesean Gamble and Gilbert scooped and scored.

Rankin finished with 73 yards rushing on 21 carries and also added a 1-yard TD pass on a trick play in the final quarter to cap the scoring for Kent State. Dustin Crum added 77 yards on 12 rushes.

Akron will have to wait until Friday to see if it plays Northern Illinois or Toledo for the MAC championship.

*****************

E. Michigan edges Bowling Green, 34-31
November 21, 2017

YPSILANTI, Mich. (AP) Ian Eriksen ran for three touchdowns and Eastern Michigan held on to beat Bowling Green 34-31 on Tuesday night.

Eriksen finished with 104 yards rushing on 24 carries and Shaq Vann ran 16 times for 117 yards for Eastern Michigan (5-7, 3-5 Mid-American Conference).

Jarret Doege was 21-of-34 passing for 256 yards with two touchdowns to lead Bowling Green (2-10, 2-6). Josh Cleveland ran for 150 yards and a 2-yard score.

Doege's pair of TD passes in the third quarter gave the Falcons a 31-27 lead. Eriksen's third touchdown, a 7-yarder, ended the quarter.

Bowling Green's Jake Suder missed a 29-yard field goal early in the fourth quarter. With about five minutes left, Cleveland was stopped for a 3-yard loss on a fourth-and-1. The Eagles took possession and then ran out the clock.

******************

Miami (OH) routs Ball State, 28-7
November 21, 2017

MUNCIE, Ind. (AP) Gus Ragland threw three touchdown passes and Miami (Ohio) controlled Ball State from the outset to hand the Cardinals their ninth straight loss in a 28-7 contest that served as the season finale for both teams Tuesday night.

Ragland threw first-quarter touchdown passes of 11 and 7 yards to Sam Martin and Jared Murphy. He added a 14-yard scoring toss to James Gardner in the second. With 76 seconds left before halftime, Joshua Allen intercepted Jack Milas and returned it 49 yards for a score that made it 28-0 for Miami (5-7, 4-4 Mid-American Conference).

Caleb Huntley led Ball State (2-10, 0-8) with 159 yards rushing on 25 carries.

The game marked the inaugural presentation of the Red Bird Rivalry trophy for the two schools which are separated by 70 miles. MAC expansion in the late '90s prevented them from playing every year, and before Tuesday, they'd only played eight times since 2000. The MAC granted the two `rivalry status' so they can play every year.

 

[Cnotes53]

CFB November's Best Bets & Opinions ( All Best Bets Based On 5 Units Per Play )

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

11/21/20171-5-016.67%-22.50
11/18/2017 25-30-0 45.45% -40.00
11/17/2017 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
11/16/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
11/15/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
11/14/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -1150
11/11/2017 28-26-4 51.85% -300
11/09/2017 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
11/08/2017 1-5-0 16.67% -22.50
11/07/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
11/04/2017 26-28-2 48.15% -24.00
11/03/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
11/02/2017 4-4-0 50.00% -2.00
11/01/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00

Totals.............100 - 119.........45.62%.....-144.50

Best Bets:*****
Best Bets :........................ATS............TOTALS.... .............O/U................TOTAL

11/21/2017......................0 - 3............-16.50.................1- 2..................-6.00
11/18/2017.....................17 - 18.........-14.00..................1 - 1.................-0.50
11/17/2017......................2 - 0...........+10.00.................1 -1...................-0.50
11/16/2017......................1 - 1...........-0.50....................0 - 2.................-11.00
11/15/2017......................1 - 0...........+5.00...................1 - 1.................-0.50
11/14/2017......................0 - 2...........-11.00..................1 - 1..................-0.50
11/11/2017....................6 - 7 - 1.........-8.50...................4 - 0..................+20.00
11/09/2017......................1 - 2............-6.00...................1 - 0..................+5.00
11/08/2017......................0 - 1............-5.50...................0 - 3..................-16.50
11/07/2017......................0 - 2............-11.00..................1 - 1..................-0.50
11/04/2017....................11 - 10..........+0.00...................5 - 2.................+14.00
11/03/2017......................2 - 1............+4.50..................0 - 2..................-11.00
11/02/2017......................2 - 0............+10.00................1 - 3..................-11.50
11/01/2017......................1 - 0............+5.00..................1 - 0 .................+5.00

Totals.........................44 - 47 - 1..........-38.50..................18 - 19..............-14.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Ole Miss at Miss State
November 21, 2017

The Egg Bowl will be playing on Thanksgiving night for the first time since 2013 as the nation?s 10th longest uninterrupted rivalry will open the final weekend of the SEC regular season. The stakes are lower than a few seasons ago but this year?s game will carry great importance to the players and coaches.

Here is a look at Thursday Night Football as Mississippi and Mississippi State face off.

Matchup: Mississippi Rebels at Mississippi State Bulldogs
Venue: At Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville, Mississippi
Time/TV: Thursday, Nov. 23, 7:30 PM ET ESPN
Line: Mississippi State -16, Over/Under 62?
Last Meeting: 2016, Mississippi State (+10) 55, at Mississippi 20

After a post-game brawl in 1926 Ole Miss and Mississippi A&M (now Mississippi State) created a Golden Egg trophy for the victor although the rivalry game wasn?t referred to colloquially as the ?Egg Bowl? until 1979. While both programs have had some ups and downs the 2014 meeting was one of the high points of the rivalry with two highly ranked teams with #19 Ole Miss upsetting then #4 Mississippi State 31-17. This year?s game doesn?t carry the same weight but the intensity on the field will remain strong and there are plenty of storylines on the sidelines as well.

Last February Ole Miss announced a self-imposed one-year postseason ban due to allegations of violations. As more details emerged, head coach Huge Freeze resigned in July, leaving after five years with a 39-25 record though hitting a low point with a 5-7 record last season. Matt Luke has been on the staff since 2012 and was named the interim head coach for this season though he is not expected to be a serious candidate moving forward. The Rebels are a bit handcuffed in the upcoming hiring season as the NCAA hasn?t made a final ruling on the case and there could be further sanctions against the school.

Mississippi State was expected to sit at the bottom of the SEC West this season but Dan Mullen has the Bulldogs at 4-3 in league play and 8-3 overall, certainly looking like the 4th or 5th team in the SEC pecking order in the bowl season as an attractive bowl bid should be coming to the program. Despite being on the hot seat himself only a few years ago Mullen has emerged as hot property after sustained success in Starkville, now 69-45 in nine seasons with his quarterback development reputation highly regarded. That has meant his name has been thrown around as a possible candidate for several of the high profile vacancies around the country with his decision capable of having a domino impact at several programs.

The three losses for Mississippi State this season have come against the three SEC teams still in the running for a SEC championship and a College Football Playoff spot, falling early in the season in lopsided results at Georgia and at Auburn. Mississippi State rallied to win the next four games and two weeks ago gave #1 Alabama a great test with a 31-24 loss in Starkville, a game the Bulldogs led into the 4th quarter and lost in the final minute. That has been the only home loss for Mississippi State this season with a notable 37-7 home win over LSU in September on the resume.

Nick Fitzgerald is 11th in the SEC in quarterback rating but that doesn?t do justice to the season he has had. While not a prolific passer he has thrown for 15 touchdowns and should eclipse 2,000 passing yards by season?s end and his completion rate has gone up slightly compared with last season. Fitzgerald?s main value is his size and mobility at 6?5? and rushing for 968 net yards at this point in the season on 6.1 yards per carry. He has accounted for 29 touchdowns this season and can carry his team at times with junior running back Aeris Williams also likely to top 1,000 yards rushing this season as the other major piece of the offense.

On defense junior Montez Sweat has nine sacks to match the lead in the SEC and Mississippi State is ninth nationally in total defense surrendering only 297 yards per game. The Bulldogs are 20th in the nation in scoring defense allowing 19.5 points per game and five times this season the Bulldogs have allowed 14 or fewer points.

The opportunity for Mississippi State in this matchup should come on the ground as Ole Miss rates 118th nationally allowing 5.4 yards per rush. The Rebels have allowed 35.2 points per game on the season but the offense has been able to win several higher scoring shootouts.

The season started poorly for Ole Miss with losses in the first three major conference tests of the season including falling 66-3 at Alabama and 44-23 at Auburn. Sophomore quarterback Shea Patterson was on pace to be one of the most productive passing quarterbacks in the nation but he was injured in the October loss to LSU. While a lighter stretch of the schedule has played a role, junior Jordan Ta?amu has taken over the position with even stronger numbers, completing nearly 70 percent of his passes on 9.5 yards per attempt and he delivered a signature performance in the narrow win at Kentucky in early November.

Senior Jordan Wilkins has gained 6.1 yards per carry out of the backfield and the Rebels have leaned on him more in recent weeks with 271 yards the past two games as he could have a shot to eclipse 1,000 yards on the season this week going against a fairly stingy MSU run defense. Sophomore A.J. Brown has been the top receiver with 1,085 yards on 69 catches including 10 touchdowns despite missing a game early in the season.

While the Rebels won?t make a bowl game they can reach 6-6 with a win in the finale for a season of improvement after going 5-7 last season after losing in the Egg Bowl last season in what was a bowl elimination game. The Rebels have only played one road game since the first weekend in October but they did win that game at Kentucky for the only road win of the season and the Rebels only had one road win last year.

For Mississippi State this is a chance to win consecutive Egg Bowls for the first time since 2011 and a chance to bolster its postseason position. Most projections call for the Bulldogs to face a prominent Big Ten team like Penn State or Michigan in either the Outback Bowl or Citrus Bowl for an attractive high profile New Year?s Day draw for the program. A loss could mean sliding to potentially the December 30 Liberty Bowl vs. a Big XII team.

Last season: This was a bowl elimination game between 5-6 teams last season in Oxford. It was a back-and-forth first half with a 27-20 lead for Mississippi State. That score held until just over five minutes to go in the third quarter before the Bulldogs went on a 28-0 run the close the game for a somewhat misleading 55-20 final result. Mississippi State had just a 566-528 yardage edge and benefitted from a 2-1 turnover edge including a 4th quarter pick-six. Fitzgerald rushed for 258 yards and accounted for five touchdowns while Patterson threw for 320 yards but had two interceptions to match his two touchdowns.

Historical Trends:

-- Mississippi State has won and covered in five of eight meetings since 2009.

-- Mississippi State hasn?t been a double-digit favorite in this series since 2011 and before that not since 1981.

-- The Bulldogs are 7-2 S/U in Starkville in this series since 1999 though just 5-4 ATS and they lost the last home meeting in 2015.

-- Under Mullen the Bulldogs are 39-1 S/U as a double-digit favorite but just 20-20 ATS.

-- In that span Mississippi State is 40-20 S/U at home with a 33-25-1 ATS record at Davis Wade, going 5-1 ATS at home this season.

-- Ole Miss is 15-27 S/U and 18-23-1 ATS on the road since 2009. Going back to 1997 the Rebels are 29-18-1 ATS as a double-digit underdog.

 

[Cnotes53]

Thursday, November 23

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OLE MISS (5 - 6) at MISSISSIPPI ST (8 - 3) - 11/23/2017, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 1-1 straight up against OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, November 23

MISSISSIPPI @ MISSISSIPPI STATE
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Mississippi's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games when playing on the road against Mississippi State
Mississippi State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Mississippi State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

*****************************

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 13

Thursday?s game
Mississippi State pounded Ole Miss 55-20 LY, just their 2nd win in last five Egg Bowls; State ran ball for 457 yards in LY?s game. Rebels lost three of last four visits to Starkville, with losses by 7-28-14 points. Ole Miss is 1-3 on road, with only win 37-34 win at Kentucky; 2-1 as a road underdog. Miss State won five of its last six games; they?re 4-1 vs spread as a favorite this year; they covered five of last six games overall. Over is 7-1 in last eight Ole Miss games, under is 7-2 in State?s last nine. This is last game of season for Rebels, who are on probation.

************************

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 13

Thursday, November 23

Mississippi @ Mississippi St

Game 113-114
November 23, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi
85.504
Mississippi St
102.460
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi St
by 17
66
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi St
by 14
65
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi St
(-14); Over

 

[Cnotes53]

THURSDAY, NOVEMBER 23
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

MISS at MSST 07:30 PM

MSST -13.5

U 64.5

 

[Cnotes53]

Ole Miss stuns Miss St. in Egg Bowl
November 23, 2017

STARKVILLE, Miss. (AP) A.J. Brown thought the ball was overthrown, but kept sprinting and stuck his arms out as far as they would go. The Mississippi receiver was astonished when the ball stuck right in his hands and he ran for a crucial touchdown.

After a year of bad news, things were finally going the Rebels' way in the Egg Bowl.

Ole Miss stunned No. 16 Mississippi State 31-28 on Thursday night, jumping out to a big second-half lead and holding on in the final minutes to win the rivalry game for the fourth time in six seasons.

The Rebels (6-6, 3-5 Southeastern Conference) had a 10-6 lead at halftime and then broke the game open in the third quarter with Brown's 77-yard touchdown catch and another 63-yard touchdown pass to D.K. Metcalf.

''I'm just so happy for our players and our fans,'' Ole Miss interim coach Matt Luke said. ''This means so much to them. It hasn't always been easy this year. We've been on some better teams with better records, but they'll always remember this year and how they fought through adversity.''

It's a sweet ending to a rough season for the Rebels. Ole Miss isn't eligible for a bowl game because of a self-imposed postseason ban related to an NCAA infractions case that continues to hover over the program. The Rebels also lost head coach Hugh Freeze when he resigned during the summer after a school investigation into his phone records .

''The record wasn't what we wanted it to be,'' running back Jordan Wilkins said. ''But we kept fighting as a team ... There's no better feeling than to finish it off like this.''

Jordan Ta'amu threw for 247 yards and the two touchdowns to Brown and Metcalf. Wilkins added 110 yards rushing and two touchdowns.

Brown, the SEC's leader in yards receiving, had six catches for 167 yards. The sophomore went to high school a few miles away from Mississippi State's campus at Starkville High School and had a big game in his return.

Mississippi State (8-4, 4-4) was a two-touchdown favorite, but had to play most of the game without starting quarterback Nick Fitzgerald. He was carted off the field in the first quarter with a right leg injury.

Fitzgerald came into the game with 968 yards rushing this season, which was the most for a quarterback in the SEC. Without him, the Bulldogs turned to freshman Keytaon Thompson, but the offense wasn't nearly as effective until the fourth quarter.

The Bulldogs trailed 31-13 with 8:23 remaining, but scored two touchdowns to pull to 31-28 with 1:05 left. Ole Miss recovered an onside kick to seal the victory.

''We just ran out of time there at the end,'' Mississippi State coach Dan Mullen said. ''Our guys gave relentless effort for 60 minutes. I just wish we had 61 or 62.''

Mississippi State hurt itself with five turnovers - two interceptions and three fumbles.

The game took a rough turn later in the first quarter when Fitzgerald took a snap and ran to the left before being tackled to the ground. The 6-foot-5, 230-pound junior immediately grabbed at his right leg, which was bent at an awkward angle. He was down for several minutes before leaving on the cart.

Mullen said after the game that Fitzgerald dislocated his ankle, but didn't have any further information.

THE TAKEAWAY

Ole Miss: Ole Miss has an eventful offseason ahead of it - the program is still awaiting word on its full punishment from the NCAA in its rules infractions case against the school. The Rebels will also decide if they'll keep Luke or turn to someone else to lead the program.

After the game, players chanted ''We want Luke!'' in the locker room and Brown said he thought Luke should be the coach going forward.

''I really love that guy and I want him to be the head coach,'' Brown said.

Mississippi State: The Bulldogs had all the momentum coming into Thursday's game, but Fitzgerald's injury changed all that in a hurry.

UP NEXT

Ole Miss' season is over.

Mississippi State prepares for its eighth straight trip to a bowl game.

 

[Cnotes53]

CFB November's Best Bets & Opinions ( All Best Bets Based On 5 Units Per Play )

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


11/23/20171-1-050.00%-0.50
11/21/20171-5-016.67%-22.50
11/18/2017 25-30-0 45.45% -40.00
11/17/2017 3-1-0 75.00% +9.50
11/16/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
11/15/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
11/14/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -1150
11/11/2017 28-26-4 51.85% -300
11/09/2017 3-3-0 50.00% -1.50
11/08/2017 1-5-0 16.67% -22.50
11/07/2017 1-3-0 25.00% -11.50
11/04/2017 26-28-2 48.15% -24.00
11/03/2017 2-4-0 33.33% -12.00
11/02/2017 4-4-0 50.00% -2.00
11/01/2017 2-0-0 100.00% +10.00

Totals.............101 - 120.........45.70%.....-145.00

Best Bets:*****
Best Bets :........................ATS............TOTALS.... .............O/U................TOTAL

11/22/2017......................0 - 1............-5.50...................1 - 0.................+5.00
11/21/2017......................0 - 3............-16.50.................1- 2..................-6.00
11/18/2017.....................17 - 18.........-14.00..................1 - 1.................-0.50
11/17/2017......................2 - 0...........+10.00.................1 -1...................-0.50
11/16/2017......................1 - 1...........-0.50....................0 - 2.................-11.00
11/15/2017......................1 - 0...........+5.00...................1 - 1.................-0.50
11/14/2017......................0 - 2...........-11.00..................1 - 1..................-0.50
11/11/2017....................6 - 7 - 1.........-8.50...................4 - 0..................+20.00
11/09/2017......................1 - 2............-6.00...................1 - 0..................+5.00
11/08/2017......................0 - 1............-5.50...................0 - 3..................-16.50
11/07/2017......................0 - 2............-11.00..................1 - 1..................-0.50
11/04/2017....................11 - 10..........+0.00...................5 - 2.................+14.00
11/03/2017......................2 - 1............+4.50..................0 - 2..................-11.00
11/02/2017......................2 - 0............+10.00................1 - 3..................-11.50
11/01/2017......................1 - 0............+5.00..................1 - 0 .................+5.00

Totals.........................44 - 48 - 1..........-44.00..................19 - 19..............-9.00

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday's Best Bets
November 22, 2017

Black Friday College Football Best Bets

The Thanksgiving holiday brings four four days of football action between the college ranks and the pros and it's a great time to not only enjoy time with your family, but make add a few units to your betting bankroll as well.

It's also rivalry week in the college football world and with plenty of huge games on tap before Conference Championship games kick off in a week, the handle on some of these huge college games should be through the roof.

Black Friday is the day when college football fans get an extra day of that all-day Saturday feeling and this year we've got 15 different games spread out across the full day. There are definitely some high-profile matchups, headlined by #2 Miami laying nearly double-digits on the road against Pittsburgh, but it's two other games from slightly smaller conferences that I'll be focused on that day.

Best Bet #1: Buffalo Bulls +5

Teams in the MAC are used to having the spotlight on weekdays, but after Akron won (but didn't cover as I correctly predicted here) on Tuesday, the Zips clinched the East Division crown and left everyone else in the division simply playing out the string. That's notable for Buffalo's opponent in this game ? the Ohio Bobcats ? as despite a great year (8-3 SU overall) they won't have an opportunity to play for the Conference Championship next week after losing outright to Akron two weeks ago as double-digit favorites.

At 8-3 SU, the Bobcats have been Bowl eligible for awhile, and while a double-digit win season would be a nice feather in the cap, it's hard to imagine Ohio having any sort of motivation to come out and play their best football on Friday.

Conversely, Buffalo has been out of the MAC Championship picture for awhile, but with a 5-6 SU record overall, they've got everything to play for here ? specifically becoming Bowl eligible. This is a program that hasn't been to a Bowl game since 2013, and getting HC Lance Leipold his first Bowl bid in his 3rd year with the program would be a huge accomplishment.

Schools love to make it to a Bowl game for all the money and benefits that come with it, but for coaches, that extra two to three weeks of practice time they get can be vital to a program, especially one that's still building for the future. So with the favorite in this game having basically no motivation and nothing really to play for, and a home underdog with seemingly everything to play for I simply can't pass up the points here.

Buffalo has turned it on down the stretch with two SU wins the last two weeks, and with an 8-3 ATS mark on the year, they've been kind to bettors throughout 2017. Close games against quality rivals is nothing new for the Bulls as three of their losses in conference play have come by three points or less. Two of those were one point defeats against the likes of Akron and Northern Illinois ? both of whom were or are playing for a division title all year long, and the other was a three-point OT loss in a wild 71-68 six-OT game against Western Michigan.

Ohio is a similar caliber of team to all three of those opponents, but with zero motivation on the Bobcats side this week, don't be surprised to see Buffalo come away with the outright win to accomplish that goal of getting to a Bowl game.

Best Bet #2: South Florida +10

Motivation will not be an issue in this game as the 9-1 SU USF Bulls head to Central Florida to take on the #13 ranked UCF Knights. This is a game with 1st place in the AAC East Division on the line and subsequently a berth in the AAC Conference Championship game to face Memphis a week later as well. Oh, and don't forget about UCF's bid to finish the year undefeated and potentially be a ?Bowl Buster? come selection time.

With the stakes as high as they are, seeing UCF laying double-digits was a bit perplexing, even more so when you consider nearly 70% of the ATS money has come there way already. Now, many bettors are bypassing the points with USF and simply grabbing the ML price (not a horrible idea if you ask me), but taking the points is the better play overall in a game that should go down to the wire. Both teams match up very well on either side of the ball, and USF does have that little mental edge in their favor knowing they've pounded UCF each of the past two years in 48-31 and 44-3 victories.

With UCF HC Scott Frost being the hot name in coaching to jump to a bigger program in the very near future, you've always got to wonder about focus in terms of getting his guys prepared. Seemingly every year around this time of the year we've got a handful of coaches who've had great success at Mid-Majors jumping ship in December for that big payday elsewhere, and when that does happen it's the team they left behind that suffers mightily. UCF isn't in that spot as of now, but there is no doubt it's on everyone's mind, and if they do end up losing this game SU ? costing them their perfect season and AAC Championship berth, don't be surprised to hear Frost's name directly connected to one of those big schools with coaching vacancies he's been linked to for weeks.

Regarding this game though, it's simply too many points to give a very good USF team that is led by a guy in Charlie Strong who has already lived the ?success at small school ? big payday at big program ? and subsequent struggles at said big program? that Frost's situation is just entering. Strong may not be the greatest CFB coach out there, but his team has been looking ahead to this showdown for weeks as evidenced by a pair of ?close? wins over Uconn (37-20) and Tulsa (27-20) when the Bulls were laying -23 and -24 points respectively. I've always subscribed to the notion that fading programs in potential look-ahead spots can be highly lucrative, but when the game that team has been waiting for finally arrives, you'd better be prepared to back them in a big way.

That is precisely the situation the USF Bulls have here, and with all the noise about a potential perfect season and Frost's departure from the program (likely), there are just too many concerns with UCF in this spot as healthy favorites. USF is on a 5-1 ATS run in their last six against a winning foe ? which also tells you just how much they've had their focus on this game with since losing outright to Houston a few weeks back (they are 0-4 ATS against lesser competition the past four weeks) ? and should stay well within this number of +10, if not win the game outright.

 

[Cnotes53]

Friday's Tip Sheet
November 23, 2017

**Missouri at Arkansas**

-- Missouri (6-5 straight up, 7-4 against the spread) is absolutely on fire. Barry Odom?s team took a 1-3 SU record and a 0-4 ATS mark into its open date following a 51-14 home loss to Auburn. Since then, however, the Tigers have covered the number in seven straight games. They covered as underdogs in losses at Kentucky (40-34) and at Georgia (53-28), and then proceeded to win five in a row by margins of 47, 40, 29, 33 and 28 points. During this seven-game ATS surge, junior quarterback Drew Lock has an amazing 28/4 touchdown-to-interception ratio.

-- Missouri bolted out to a 35-0 halftime lead at Vanderbilt last week, essentially placing a pad lock on covering as a 7.5-point road favorite in the game?s first 30 minutes. Odom?s team would prevail by a 45-17 count, with the 62 combined points dropping ?under? the closing 64.5-point total. This was a heartbreaker for those like me that were on the ?over.? That?s because the Commodores came up empty on a drive covering 78 yards late in the fourth quarter. On first and goal from the Missouri five-yard line, Kyle Shurmur threw an incomplete pass. Then he was sacked on second and goal for a three-yard loss, but an unsportsmanlike conduct call on the Tigers gave Vandy another first and goal at the four. The next play was a three-yard loss, but Missouri was offsides to create a third first-and-goal play from the 2-yard line. This time around, Shurmur was intercepted, but Terry Beckner Jr. appeared to be in the clear for a pick-six. With just one man to beat near midfield, a shoestring tackle was made to stop Beckner 47 yards short of a pick-six TD that would?ve cashed tickets for ?over? supporters. OUCH!

-- Lock completed 10-of-25 throws at Vandy for 235 yards and three TDs without an interception. Ish Witter rushed 16 times for 102 yards, while redshirt freshman TE Albert Okwuegbunam had five receptions for 116 yards and two TDs. Richaud Floyd had a 30-yard TD catch and also scored on a 74-yard punt return.

-- For the season, Lock has connected on 58.0 percent of his passes for 3,247 yards with a 38/10 TD-INT ratio. Witter has run for 822 yards and four TDs, averaging 6.2 yards per carry. True freshman RB Larry Rountree has rushed for 577 yards and six scores while averaging 5.9 YPC. Damarea Crockett had rushed for 481 yards and two TDs with a 6.9 YPC average, but he injured his shoulder at UGA and will miss a sixth consecutive game at Arkansas.

-- J?Mon Moore is Lock?s favorite target, hauling in 50 receptions for 857 yards and nine TDs. Emanuel Hall has 31 catches for 706 yards and six TDs, while Johnathon Johnson has 37 grabs for 615 yards and five TDs. Okwuegbunam has 20 receptions for 309 yards and nine TDs. Floyd is incredible on special teams, averaging 19.8 yards per punt return with two TDs. He also has 14 catches for 170 yards and two TDs.

-- Missouri is ranked 11th in the nation in total offense, 16th in passing yards and 14th in scoring with a 38.5 points-per-game average.

-- As of early Thursday, most books had Missouri installed as a 9 or 9.5-point favorite with a total of 70. The Razorbacks were +290 on the money line (risk $100 to win $290).

-- Missouri has compiled a 4-0 spread record with a pair of outright wins on the road this year. The Tigers are 2-0 ATS as road ?chalk? since Odom took over at the start of the 2016 campaign. Both of those covers as road favorites came this season.

-- Arkansas (4-7 SU, 3-7-1 ATS) is 2-3 SU and 1-3-1 ATS at home. The Razorbacks covered the spread in last week?s 28-21 home loss to Mississippi State as 14-point home underdogs. Austin Allen was playing in his second game since returning from a shoulder injury that caused him to miss four consecutive contests. Allen completed just 12-of-18 passes for 124 yards, and the offense generated just 221 yards. Nevertheless, Arkansas never trailed until 17 seconds were left and the Bulldogs scored the game-winning TD on a six-yard pass from Nick Fitzgerald to Deddrick Thomas.

-- Arkansas is 1-6 in SEC play, picking up its only win at Ole Miss when it rallied from a 24-point deficit to win 37-35 on a last-second field goal. The Razorbacks have gone 2-2 in four one-possession games. They?re 7-7 ATS in 14 spots as home underdogs during Bret Bielema?s five-year tenure

-- Arkansas is 29-33 on Bielema?s watch, limping to an 11-28 record in SEC games. This is why Bielema?s tenure is guaranteed to come to an end at some point on Sunday or Monday at the latest. Multiple reports indicate that the Razorbacks? top target to hire as their next head coach is former offensive coordinator and current Auburn head coach Gus Malzahn. This potential hire undoubtedly hinges on the result of Saturday?s Iron Bowl. Malzahn won?t be leaving The Plains if his team wins the SEC West. Arkansas would be wise to make Washington State?s Mike Leach its next target, but it would probably need Washington to win the Apple Cup for that notion to become remotely possible. Perhaps West Virginia?s Dana Holgorsen would be interested? If not, Mike Norvell at Memphis is certainly someone who would accept an offer.

-- The ?over? is 6-5 overall for the Tigers, 2-2 in their four road assignments. They?ve seen their games average combined scores of 69.1 points per game. However, the ?under? has cashed in three of their last four games.

-- The ?over? is 6-5 overall for the Hogs, 3-3 in their home contests. They?ve seen their games average combined scores of 62.4 PPG. This is the highest Arkansas total has seen this season by eight points. It has had three totals in the 60s (62, 61 & 60.5), watching the ?over? go 2-1 in those three outings.

-- These schools have met five times since 2003, with the ?under? cashing in each encounter. In the three meetings between these schools since Missouri joined the SEC, the home team has prevailed every time. The Tigers rallied in the second half in 2014 to win a 21-14 decision as two-point home underdogs. In ?15 at Arkansas, the Razorbacks won 28-3 and also took the cash as 15-point home ?chalk.? Then last season back in Columbia, Missouri won 28-24 as a 7.5-point home underdog. The Tigers trailed 24-7 at intermission, only to outscore the Hogs 21-0 in the second half. Arkansas enjoyed a 503-399 advantage in total offense, but Allen threw a pair of costly second-half interceptions. He completed 24-of-39 throws for 349 yards and one TD. Lock connected on 16-of-26 passes for 268 yards and one TD without a pick. Moore had six catches for 135 yards. This defeat, coupled with Arkansas blowing a 24-0 halftime lead over Virginia Tech at last year?s Belk Bowl to lose 35-24, is what started Bielema?s demise in the Ozarks.

-- Kickoff is scheduled for 2:30 p.m. Eastern on CBS.

**South Florida at Central Florida**

-- This game will decide the winner of the AAC?s East Division and determine a challenger for Memphis is next week?s AAC Championship Game. As of early Thursday, most books had UCF (10-0 SU, 6-3-1 ATS) installed as a 10-point favorite with a total of 63. The Bulls were +300 to win outright (risk $100 to win $300).

-- Both teams have had to listen to rumors of their respective coaches being linked to other jobs over the last two weeks. UCF?s second-year head coach Scott Frost is a Nebraska alum and his parents live in Lincoln. He is believed to be the Cornhuskers? top choice to replace Mike Riley, who is going to be fired before the end of the weekend. Frost is also thought to be on Florida?s radar, as is USF?s Charlie Strong, who spent most of his years as an assistant coach at UF before scoring his first head-coaching gig at Louisville. Strong was the defensive coordinator for the Gators when they won two of their three national titles. Strong may also draw interest from Ole Miss in its coaching search.

-- When Frost took over in Orlando, UCF was coming off a dreadful 0-12 campaign. In his first year at the helm, Frost led the Knights to an 8-5 record and a bowl bid. And now in Year 2, he has a 19-5 overall record and is on the cusp of winning the division and perhaps a conference championship.

-- UCF is unbeaten in five home games with a 3-2 spread record. The Knights have won their home outings by margins of 44, 27, 42, 40 and 25 points. The only non-covers came when they were laying enormous numbers of 43.5 and 39.

-- UCF has become overpriced over the last month and change. This is evidenced by the Knights? 1-3-1 spread record in their last five outings. This 10-point spread vs. USF is the lowest line for UCF since it won 31-21 at Navy on Oct. 21.

-- UCF is led by true sophomore QB McKenzie Milton, who has completed 69.6 percent of his passes for 2,928 yards with a 26/5 TD-INT ratio. Milton can make plays with his legs, too. He has rushed for 373 yards and five TDs while averaging 5.3 YPC. Sophomore RB Adrian Killins Jr. has rushed for a team-high 629 yards and eight TDs, averaging 7.5 YPC. The Knight have four other RBs who have run for at least 144 yards. Taj McGowan has eight rushing scores.

-- Milton?s favorite target is Tre?Quan Smith, who has 44 receptions for 850 yards and 11 TDs. Dredrick Snelson has 29 catches for 430 yards and three TDs.

--UCF won its 11 straight game last week when it went to Philadelphia and captured a 45-19 victory at Temple as a 13.5-point road favorite. The 64 combined points went ?over? the 59.5-point to hit for a second straight time for the Knights, who have seen the ?over? go 5-2 in their last seven contests. After falling behind 10-7 early in the second quarter, UCF went on a 38-3 run and coasted into the win column both SU and ATS. Milton threw for 208 yards and four TDs without an interception. True freshman RB Otis Anderson rushed for a team-best 58 yards on only five attempts, while Milton also scored on a four-yard TD run. Senior LB Shaqueem Griffin had one of UCF?s four interceptions.

-- UCF?s most impressive scalps include a 40-13 home win over Memphis, a 38-10 win at Maryland, a 31-21 triumph at Navy and a 31-24 victory at SMU.

-- Griffin is the leader for the Knights on defense. A first-team All-AAC selection last year, he has recorded 47 tackles, three sacks, 4.5 tackles for loss, six QB hurries, two forced fumbles, one pass broken up, one interception and one fumble recovery that he returned 20 yards for a TD.

-- UCF is ranked fifth in the nation in total offense and first in scoring, averaging an FBS-high 48.2 PPG. The Knights are 11th in the country in passing yards and 32nd in rushing yards. They?re ranked 27th in the nation in scoring defense (20.5 PPG).

-- USF (9-1 SU, 4-6 ATS) has won all four of its road assignments, but it has managed only a 1-3 spread record. With that said, we should note that this is the Bulls? first game as underdogs since facing FSU in Week 4 of the ?16 campaign. Not only has USF been favored in each game this season, but it has been a double-digit ?chalk? in all 10 games of this year and the last three of ?16.

-- Charlie Strong?s team played a cupcake schedule, which certainly isn?t a reflection upon him. He arrived to replace Willie Taggart, who went to Oregon after leading the Bulls to an 11-win season in ?16. Strong was relieved of his duties at Texas after three disappointing years. He didn?t make this year?s USF schedule. Nevertheless, USF won its first six games by margins of at least 14 points. The Bulls are mired in a 0-4 ATS slump, however.

-- USF took its first loss of the season at home against Houston on October 28. The Cougars came to Tampa and beat the Bulls, 28-24, as 10-point road underdogs. Strong?s bunch either led or was tied for the first 59 minutes 49 seconds, but Houston scored the game-winning TD on a D?Eriq King 20-yard TD run with 11 seconds remaining. Quinton Flowers threw for 325 yards and had a pair of TD runs in the losing effort. Marquez Valdes-Scantling had 10 receptions for 186 yards.

-- Flowers hasn?t been able to match his numbers from ?16 when he ran for 1,530 yards and 18 TDs with a 7.7 YPC average. He also threw for 2,812 yards with a 24/7 TD-INT ratio. This year as a senior, Flowers has completed 53.5 percent of his passes (down from 62.5%) for 2,097 yards with a 17/5 TD-INT ratio. He has run for 870 yards and nine TDs with a 5.4 YPC average. Darius Tice has rushed for 860 yards and 10 TDs while averaging 5.6 YPC. D?Ernest Johnson has run for 715 yards and seven TDs, with a 4.3 YPC average.

-- Valdes-Scantling has a team-best 48 receptions for 737 yards and five TDs. Tyre McCants has 21 catches for 371 yards and four TDs.

-- Since 2007, the Bulls have compiled a 19-9 spread record in 28 games as a road underdog. However, this is their first such spot since winning 22-17 at East Carolina as four-point ?dogs late in the ?15 campaign.

-- The ?over? is 6-4 overall for the Knights, 4-1 in their home games. They?ve seen their games average combined scores of 68.7 PPG.

-- The ?under? is 7-3 overall for USF, 2-2 in its road assignments. The Bulls have seen their games average combined scores of 57.8 PPG.

-- ABC will have the telecast at 3:30 p.m. Eastern.

**B.E?s Bonus Nuggets**

-- Chip Kelly isn?t signing a contract with any school until at least Sunday because if he gets a new job before that team?s 2017 season is done, he won?t get a guaranteed $5 million payment from the San Francisco 49ers.

-- I?m not implying Jimbo Fisher will jump from FSU to Texas A&M or Auburn (if this job opens, which would potentially happen if Auburn loses the Iron Bowl and Gus Malzahn bolts for Arkansas. Then again, this Malzahn-to-the-Ozarks rumor, especially the part about him having input on the new AD, is probably just Jimmie Sexton?s nonsense noise to his media minions for the purpose of getting Malzahn an extension and more cash from AU.) But if he does, the buyout payment to FSU from Fisher or the school that hires him is only $8 million. You may have seen reports/tweets, etc. about Fisher?s buyout being north of $35 million, but that number only pertains to what the Seminoles would have to pay Fisher if they wanted to fire him before his contract is over.

-- Washington State owns a 14-5 spread record in its last 19 games as a road underdog. The Cougars were +9.5 as of Thursday for their Saturday game at Washington for the Apple Cup. A Washington State win puts it in the Pac-12 Championship Game, while a UW victory means Stanford would face USC to determine the league champ.

-- Stanford has been a home underdog just three times during David Shaw?s seven-year tenure, winning outright in each instance, including a 30-22 win over Washington two weeks ago. In fact, if we go back to the 2007 regular-season finale, Stanford has compiled an 8-0 spread record with seven outright victories in eight games as a home ?dog.