NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Wednesday, January 3
Marquette/Providence split their last eight games; Eagles lost three of last four games in this arena. Marquette won five of its last six games; they won by 19 at Wisconsin in their only true road road game. Eagles are shooting 40.6% on the arc. Providence split its last eight games after a 6-1 start; Friars are 3-4 vs top 100 teams, with best win by 22 at St John?s, when they made 16-30 3-pointers. Under Wojciehowski, Marquette is 13-14 vs spread on Big East road; last five years, Providence is 26-19-1 in Big East home games.
Georgia split its last four games after a 7-1 start; they lost last game by 5 at Kentucky, going 2-21 on arc in game where they were outscored 27-13 on foul line. Dawgs are 3-2 vs top 100 teams. Ole Miss lost by 19 at Middle Tennessee in its only true road game; Rebels won last three games after 5-5 start that included three OT losses, all at home. Georgia won six of last seven games with Ole Miss; Rebels lost last three visits to Athens, by 1-5-14 points. Last four years, Ole Miss is 11-14-1 as SEC road underdogs; last four years, Georgia is 13-16-2 as a home favorite.
North Carolina won its last seven games with Florida State; they won last three visits here, by 5-6-16 points. UNC is 12-2 but they only beat Wake Forest by 4 and lost at home to Wofford; they?re 2-0 in true road games, winning by 5 at Tennessee, 22 at Stanford. Last four years, Carolina is 1-7 vs spread as ACC road underdogs; last three years, Seminoles are 14-5 as ACC home favorites. FSU was 15-32 on arc in 100-93 loss at Duke Saturday; Seminoles split their last four games after a 9-0 start- their only top 100 win was by 17 at Florida.
Clemson won its last five games with Boston College; they won last two visits to Beantown, by 2-16 points. Tigers won their last eight games, last three by 16+ points; they beat Ohio State by 14 in their only true road game this season. BC played only six guys in a 59-58 loss at Virginia Saturday; three Eagles played whole game in loss that snapped Eagles? 5-game winning streak. BC are 1-4 vs top 100 teams, but the win was at home over Duke. Last four years, Clemson is 7-3 as an ACC road favorite; last four years, BC is 11-19 as ACC home underdogs.
VCU is 9-5 vs schedule #172; they lost by 23 at Seton Hall in only true road game. Rams won last four games; they?re 2-5 vs teams in top 125, with best win over Old Dominion. St Joe?s lost four of its last five games, losing last two, by 4 to St John?s, 6 at George Washington. Hawks are #1 team in country at protecting ball, but they can?t shoot (31.7% on arc, 46.7% inside it). VCU won three of last four games with St Joe?s; teams split last two games played here. Last five years, VCU is 12-18-1 as A-14 road favorites; last three years, St Joe?s is 7-11 as home favorites.
Syracuse is 4-0 vs Wake Forest in ACC play, winning by 10-28 points in two visits here. Orange is 12-2, winning in OT at Georgetown in only true road game. Syracuse held last three opponents to 60 or less points. Deacons were outscored 8-0 over last 2:23 of 73-69 loss at North Carolina Saturday. Wake is 7-6 vs schedule #121- they?re shooting 38.7% on arc, which should be good vs Syracuse 2-3 zone in an arena, not the Carrier Dome. Last three years, Syracuse is 8-11 as an ACC road underdog; under Manning, Wake Forest if 5-6 as ACC home favorites.
Home side won all five UConn-Tulsa games in AAC play; Huskies lost by 8-9-2 points in their three visits here. UConn lost its last three games, all by 10+ points; they?re 0-2 in true road games, losing by 15 at Arizona, 25 at Auburn- they?re 1-6 vs top 100 teams. Tulsa won five of its last six games; they?re 1-2 vs top 100 teams, with best win by 7 over K-State. Hurricane allowed 54.5 ppg in winning first two AAC games, by 26-9 points. Last four years, UConn is 4-11-1 vs spread as road underdogs; last fur years, Tulsa is 18-7-2 as home favorites.
Kentucky won 10 of last 12 games with LSU, but Wildcats lost two of last three visits to Baton Rouge. This is Kentucky?s first true road game; they?re 1-2 on neutral courts, losing to UCLA, Kansas, beating Monmouth. Wildcats are 5-2 vs top 100 teams. LSU is 9-3 vs schedule #297; Tigers won six of last seven games- they?re 2-2 in top 100 games, beating Michigan/Houston, losing by 39 to Notre Dame, 10 to Marquette, both out in Maui Classic. Last five years, Kentucky is 14-23 as SEC road favorites; last seven years, LSU is 9-12-1 as road underdogs.
Fresno State won five of last seven games with Utah State; home side won seven of last nine series games. Bulldogs split last four visits to Logan. Fresno split its last four games after a 9-2 start; they?re 2-1 in true road games, losing by 8 at Arkansas, beating couple of Big West stiffs. Fresno is 9-1 vs teams ranked outside top 150. Aggies are 7-7 vs schedule #214; they?re 0-4 vs top 100 teams, with all four losses by 9+ points. Last three years, Fresno State is 0-5-1 as MW road favorites; last three years, Utah State is 16-9-1 in conference home games.
Home side won last five Virginia-Va Tech games; Cavaliers lost last two visits to Blacksburg, both by a basket. Virginia is 12-1 vs schedule #176; they play slowest tempo games in country, are forcing turnovers 22.3% of time- their defensive eFG% is #5 in country. Cavaliers are 1-1 in true road games, winning by 9 at VCU, losing by 7 at West Va. Hokies split their last four games after a 9-1 start; Tech is shooting 42.7% on arc- they?ve got #1 eFG% in country. Last couple years, Virginia is 5-7 as ACC road favorites; last three years, Hokies are 13-2 as home underdogs.
Minnesota is 12-3 vs schedule #244; they?re 2-3 vs top 100 teams, with best wins over Alabama by 5, Providence by 12. Gophers won their last four games, over a bunch of stiffs. Illinois is 4-5 in its last nine games after a 6-0 start; Illini is 0-2 in true road games, losing by 7 at Wake Forest, 4 at Northwestern- they?re 0-2 in Big 14 games, with two OT losses. Illinois won six of last eight games with Minnesota; they split last six visits to Twin Cities. Last three years, Illinois is 8-14-1 as Big 14 road underdogs; under Pitino, Minnesota is 9-14 as home favorites.
Oklahoma State swept Oklahoma LY by 2-4 points, snapping 12-game losing skid in Norman; they had lost previous seven games overall with the Sooners. State is 10-3 vs schedule #294; this is their first true road game, though Cowboys did beat Florida State in Sunrise, FL, a semi-road game. Oklahoma won its last nine games, with four of last five vs top 100 teams. Sooners are #305 experience team playing #6 pace. Last five years, Oklahoma is 21-15 as Big X home favorites; State was 6-1 as road underdogs LY, after being 13-30-1 the seven previous years.
Nevada won its last three games with Wyoming by 3-6-12 points; Cowboys lost two of last three visits to Reno, losing by 3-3 points. Wyoming won four of last five games, but they were all at home; Cowboys are 1-2 in true road games, losing by 10 at Denver, 16 at South Carolina- they won at Oregon State. Nevada won its first two conference games by 15-3 points, making 18-41 on arc; Wolf Pack are shooting 41.9% n arc, #7 in country. Last two years, Nevada is 11-4 as a MW home favorite; Wyoming is 9-4-1 vs spread in its last 14 games as road underdogs.
