Thursday's NCAA Tournament first round betting preview: Midwest Region
(10) Oklahoma Sooners vs (7) Rhode Island Rams (-2, 158)
Game to be played at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
March Madness Betting Breakdown: No. 7 Rhode Island vs. No. 10 Oklahoma
No. 7 Rhode Island is a 2-point favorite versus No. 10 Oklahoma in the opening round of the NCAA tournament.
In what may go down as one of the more controversial selections of the NCAA Tournament, Oklahoma not only made it but garnered a No. 10 seed and will meet No. 7 Rhode Island on Thursday in the Midwest Region in Pittsburgh. The Sooners went 6-12 down the stretch and were bounced from the Big 12 Tournament in the first round but will still get to face the Rams, who are the Atlantic 10 regular-season champions.
The fact that they play in a major conference that sent seven teams to the tournament and have Freshman of the Year candidate Trae Young certainly helped the Sooners, who were the only team in the field, including First Four teams, to make it with fewer than 19 victories. Young led the nation in scoring (27.4 points per game) and assists (8.8) while grabbing 3.9 rebounds for coach Lon Kruger. The 6-2 guard helped his team to a 12-1 start, including three wins over ranked teams, but things started to go south in mid-January. The Rams, who were unable to capture a second straight Atlantic 10 Tournament title, got a tough draw, including a possible second-round game with No. 2 seed Duke, for a team that won 25 games, including its first 13 in the Atlantic 10.
TV: 12:15 p.m. ET, CBS
LINE HISTORY: Rhode Island opened as 1-point favorites and that number has been bet up slightly to -2. The total hit betting boards at 160.5 and has been bet down to 158.
BETTING STATS:
ABOUT OKLAHOMA: Everyone knows what Young can do, but it's the rest of the team that will decide if the Sooners can advance out of the first round after missing the tournament last season. Junior guard Christian James had been solid with seven straight games in double figures before going scoreless in the Sooner's 71-60 loss to Oklahoma State in the Big 12 Tournament. Freshman forward Brady Manek is the only other player averaging in double figures for Kruger, but has only scored more than nine points once in the past seven games.
ABOUT RHODE ISLAND: Redshirt senior E.C. Matthews recorded 20 points and eight rebounds, but the Rams lost their second low-scoring game to Davidson in the last two weeks in the Atlantic 10 final. Dan Hurley's team is well-rounded with a top scorer in Jared Terrell, a defensive specialist in Stanford Robinson and a solid point guard and leader in Jeff Dowtin. Andre Berry, Cyril Langevine and Jarvis Garrett also see considerable playing time for the Rams, who are in the tournament in back-to-back seasons for the first time since going to three straight from 1997-1999.
MATCHUP CHART:
TRENDS:
* Sooners are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
* Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
* Over is 9-2 in Sooners' last 11 non-conference games.
* Under is 5-1 in Rams' last 6 overall.
CONSENSUS: Consensus data is showing 58 percent of bettors taking the favorites from Rhode Island, while 54 percent of totals wagers are on the Over.
(16) Pennsylvania Quakers vs (1) Kansas Jayhawks (-13.5, 146)
Game to be played at Intrust Bank Arena in Wichita, Kansas.
The No. 1 Kansas Jayhawks are 14-point favorites versu No. 16 Penn in the opening round of the NCAA tournament.
Pennsylvania's reward for winning the Ivy League is a No. 16 seed and a date in the NCAA Tournament with top-seeded Kansas in Wichita, Kan., on Thursday. The Jayhawks earned the No. 1 seed in the Midwest Region by winning their 11th Big 12 tournament, which came a week after they sewed up at least a share of their 14th consecutive Big 12 regular-season crown.
Kansas was throwing up some inconsistent performances before going into the Big 12 championship game and knocking off West Virginia 81-70. "I think it should give us confidence moving forward," Jayhawks coach Bill Self told reporters after the win. "The best thing that can happen for our team right now is to get some rest, but to try to somewhat bottle the energy and how well we played together today." Kansas earned a No. 1 seed for the third straight season and the eighth time in the last 12 NCAA Tournaments while making its 29th consecutive Tournament appearance. The Quakers are not quite as storied a program when it comes to March Madness and are returning for the first time since 2007 after knocking off Harvard 68-65 in the Ivy League title game Sunday.
TV: 1:50 p.m. ET, TBS
LINE HISTORY: No. 1 seed Kansas opened as 15-point favorites and that number appears to be too high for early bettors as books were forced to drop the number down to -13.5. The total hit betting boards at 147.5 and has been dropped to 146.
BETTING STATS:
ABOUT PENNSYLVANIA: The Quakers are bidding to become the first No. 16 seed to knock off a No. 1 in the NCAA Tournament and were surprised to get this far. "Honestly, I didn't even dream about this, I didn't think we could do it," Pennsylvania coach Steve Donahue told reporters after the win in the Ivy League title game. "I drove home last night saying, 'I gotta get that out of my head, I gotta show some confidence. I didn't think it was possible for us to get to the NCAA Tournament until that horn went off. In a building I grew up in, and watching the kids storm the floor for our guys, it's magic." The Quakers have four scorers averaging double figures, led by sophomore guard Ryan Betley (14.4 points).
ABOUT KANSAS: The Jayhawks are led by Big 12 Player of the Year Devonte' Graham but have five players averaging at least 12 points, and watched sophomore guard Malik Newman step up in the Big 12 tournament while averaging 24 points and winning Most Outstanding Player honors. "He has had a great attitude," Self told reporters of Newman. "He works hard. He's really starting to understand exactly how he needs to play in order for him to have total confidence and freedom, and I think he's buying into that better than he has all year long." Graham handed out 13 assists in the Big 12 title game and is averaging 9.8 over the last five contests.
MATCHUP CHART:
TRENDS:
* Quakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games.
* Jayhawks are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Over is 6-0 in Quakers' last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Under is 5-0 in Jayhawks' last 5 vs. Ivy League.
CONSENSUS: Consensus data is showing 65 percent of bettors taking the favorites from Kansas, while 63 percent of totals wagers are on the Over.
(15) Iona Gaels vs (2) Duke Blue Devils (-20.5, 157)
Game to be played at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.
March Madness Betting Breakdown: No. 2 Duke vs. No. 15 Iona
The No. 2 Duke Blue Devils are 19.5-point favorites facing No. 15 Iona in the Round of 64 of the NCAA tournament.
With one of the most talented freshman classes in recent NCAA history, Duke earned a No. 2 seed in the Midwest Region of the NCAA Tournament. The Blue Devils take aim at another deep run through the bracket beginning with Thursday's date with 15th-seeded Iona in Pittsburgh.
This is the 23rd straight appearance in the NCAA Tournament for Duke, which finished second in the ACC during the regular season and then fell to rival North Carolina in the semifinals of the league tournament. Marvin Bagley Jr. (21.1 points, 11.5 rebounds per game) and Wendell Carter Jr. (13.8, 9.3) highlight the Blue Devils' young front line, while Gary Trent Jr. (14.3 points, 85 3-pointers) is their top freshman on the perimeter. Grayson Allen (15.7 points) helped Duke secure a national championship as a freshman and is back for a final go-round in hopes of bookending his career with NCAA Tournament titles. The first team in his path is a Gaels squad that won the Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference as the No. 4 seed in the league tournament.
TV: 2:45 p.m., ET, CBS
LINE HISTORY: Duke opened as massive 19.5-point favorites and as of Wednesday afternoon that number has been bet up even further to -20.5. The total hit betting boards at 156.5 and has been bumped up slightly to 157.
BETTING STATS:
ABOUT IONA: The Gaels average nearly 80 points per game and were led in the MAAC championship game by a pair of transfers, Roland Griffin and Zach Lewis. Griffin, who averages 10.9 points, exploded for 29 in the title game, while Lewis had 20 points, seven rebounds, five assists and four steals. Five Iona players average at least 10 points per game, led by Rickey McGill (13.5), who made only 5-of-22 shots during the league tournament, although he had a career-high 40 points in the regular-season finale.
ABOUT DUKE: The Blue Devils will continue to feed the 6-11 Bagley, who has three straight double-doubles and is averaging 24.3 points and 15 rebounds over that stretch. Trent led the team with 20 points in the loss to North Carolina, while Carter pitched in 14 points and nine boards in a game where only four players scored for Duke, as Bagley added 19 and Allen 16. First-year point guard Trevon Duval was 0-of-6 from the field versus the Tar Heels and has not scored more than seven points in any of his last six games.
MATCHUP CHART:
TRENDS:
* Gaels are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games.
* Blue Devils are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. Metro Atlantic Athletic.
* Over is 10-3-1 in Gaels' last 14 overall.
* Over is 11-1 in Blue Devils' last 12 non-conference games.
CONSENSUS: Consensus data is showing 58 percent of bettors taking the favorites from Duke, while 67 percent of totals wagers are on the Over.
(9) NC State Wolfpack vs (8) Seton Hall Pirates (-2.5, 157.5)
Game to be played at Intrust Bank Arena in Wichita, Kansas.
March Madness Betting Breakdown: No. 8 Seton Hall vs. No. 9 North Carolina State
No. 8 Seton Hall is a 2.5-point favorite versus No. 9 NC State in the Round of 64 of the NCAA tournament.
Ninth-seeded North Carolina State takes on eighth-seeded Seton Hall in the first-round of the Midwest Region from Wichita, Kan., on Thursday. The Wolfpack and Pirates had successful regular seasons but both are coming off early losses in their conference tournaments, with N.C. State losing to Boston College 91-87 in its first ACC tournament game and Seton Hall being upset by Butler 75-74 in its opening match at the Big East Conference tournament.
N.C. State scored 56 second-half points as it erased a 14-point halftime deficit but BC's Jerome Robinson broke a tie with 17 seconds remaining and then forced a turnover on an inbounds play to give the Eagles the upset win. "Every time we made a basket, they would come down and make a basket," N.C. State coach Kevin Keatts told reporters after the game after he watched his team tie the contest five times late in the second half but saw its only lead on the game's opening basket. Seton Hall's loss in the Big East quarterfinal was a heartbreaker as Khadeen Carrington converted a three-point play with 11 seconds to play, giving the Pirates a one-point lead, but Butler's Tyler Wideman scored on a putback with 4 seconds remaining to give the Bulldogs the win. "It's a tough loss," Carrington told reporters after the game. "You never want to lose, but I feel like everyone put it out on the floor, but we knew it was going to be a tough battle when we came in, so it was a tough Big East game."
TV: 4:30 p.m. ET, TBS
LINE HISTORY: Seton Hall opened as 2.5-point favorites and as of Wednesday afternoon that number has yet to move. The total hit betting boards at 157 and has been bumped up slightly to 157.5. Check out the complete line history here.
BETTING STATS:
ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA STATE: Senior guard Allerik Freeman, the team's leading scorer at 15.4 points per game, had a team-high 21 points on 8-of-14 shooting -- including 5-of-7 from behind the arc -- against the Eagles while All-ACC third-team center Omer Yurtseven added 20 points and nine rebounds. Markell Johnson, the ACC assists leader with 7.4 per game, had 10 points and six helpers, but also committed a crucial mistake when he asked for a timeout with 7.3 seconds left even though the Wolfpack didn't have any, resulting in a technical foul and two made free throws for BC. "I knew in my head we didn't have any," Johnson told reporters after the loss. "I was so caught up in the game."
ABOUT SETON HALL: The Pirates are a veteran team that features four senior starters, including Carrington and leading scorer Desi Rodriguez who averages 17.8 points and 4.9 rebounds. And then there's senior center Angel Delgado, the Big East's all-time leader in rebounds and just the second player in history to lead the Big East in rebounding in three different seasons. But don't sleep on sophomore guard Myles Powell who was named the Big East Most Improved Player after averaging 15.4 points per game -- second-most on the team -- and is shot 38.5 percent from behind the 3-point arc this season.
MATCHUP CHART:
TRENDS:
* Wolfpack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
* Pirates are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
* Under is 10-4 in Wolfpack's last 14 NCAA Tournament games.
* Over is 6-1-1 in Pirates last 8 NCAA Tournament games.
CONSENSUS: Consensus data is showing 55 percent of bettors taking the favorites from Seton Hall, while 52 percent of totals wagers are on the Over.