Cnotes53 College Basketball Best Bets/Trends/ News Thru The Madness !

[Cnotes53]

Monday's WCC Tip Sheet
March 4, 2018

The top two seeds in the West Coast Conference successfully navigated their way through the quarterfinal round of their annual tournament at Orleans Arena in Las Vegas. This sets up a pair of semifinal matchups this Monday night starting at 9:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPN.

San Francisco at No. 7 Gonzaga (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Gonzaga -13, Total 140 ?

Betting Matchup

San Francisco opened tournament play with a tight 71-70 overtime victory against Pacific as a three-point favorite. The total went OVER 136 points in that game after it had stayed UNDER in six of its previous eight games.

The Dons came in as the fourth seed with a straight-up 9-9 record in conference play. They only covered in eight of those 18 games, but they were a perfect 2-0 against the spread in two previous losses to Gonzaga closing as double-digit underdogs both at home and on the road.

Guards? Jordan Ratinho (20 points) and Frankie Ferrari (17 points) led the way on Saturday with junior forward Matt McCarthy adding 14 points in the winning cause. San Francisco shot 46.7 percent from the field and it was 10-for-26 from three-point range.

On the year, the Dons have four players averaging at least 10 points per game as part of a team scoring average of 68.9. They have exceeded this average in five of their last six games. Defensively, they are allowing 67.8 PPG.

The Bulldogs have now won their last 12 games SU with Saturday?s 83-69 victory against Loyola Marymount. They failed to cover as 19-point favorites and the total went OVER the closing 149 ?-point line.

Gonzaga (28-4) has failed to cover in 11 of its last 14 games as part of a 12-18-1 record ATS overall. It is 2-3 ATS this season at a neutral site and 11-16-1 when closing as a favorite. The Bulldogs beat San Francisco by 10 points on the road in mid-January before posting a nine-point victory at home on Jan. 27.

Gonzaga took a one-point lead into halftime of Saturday?s game before pulling away down the stretch. The trio of Killian Tillie, Johnathan Williams and Zach Norvell Jr. combined to score 61 of the Bulldogs? 83 points while adding 22 rebounds and five assists.

Williams has been the team?s leading scorer this season with 13.8 PPG and he is also pulling down a team-high 8.1 rebounds a game. Gonzaga is ranked ninth in the nation in scoring with an average of 84.7 PPG.

Betting Trends

--The Dons have failed to cover in four of their last five neutral-site games and the total has stayed UNDER in 20 of their last 28 games following a SU win.

--The Bulldogs are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games coming off a SU win and the total has gone OVER in their last four games played at a neutral site.

--Head-to-head, San Francisco has a 5-3 edge ATS in the last eight meetings and the total has gone OVER in seven of the last nine matchups.

BYU at No. 22 Saint Mary?s, CA (ESPN2, 11:30 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Saint Mary's -5 ?, Total 136

Betting Matchup

The Cougars went 11-7 both SU and ATS in WCC play to earn the third seed in this tournament. They got past San Diego on Saturday 85-79 as 4 ?-point favorites to get a third shot this season at taking down the Gaels.

They lost the first meeting to Saint Mary?s at home by 10 points as two-point underdogs before getting beat by 13 points on the road as 8 ?-point underdogs. BYU has gone 2-4 ATS in its last six games and the total has gone OVER in eight of its last 10 contests.

For the third time to be the charm, the Cougars are going to need another huge effort from junior guard Elijah Bryant and sophomore forward Yoeli Childs after they combined to score 49 points in Saturday?s win.

These two have been the big guns all season with each player averaging 18 PPG. Childs leads the team in rebounds with 8.7 while connecting on 54.4 percent of his shots from the floor. Bryant is shooting 49.2 percent from the field and 41.7 percent from three-point range. Overall, the Cougars have averaged 74.3 PPG.

Saint Mary?s was just one game back of Gonzaga in the final WCC standings at 16-2 SU with the road team winning each meeting SU and ATS. It failed to cover as a heavy 15 ?-point favorite in Saturday?s 69-66 squeaker against Pepperdine in its first tournament game. The Gaels are a costly 2-6 ATS in their last eight contests with the total staying UNDER or ending as a PUSH in their last 13 games. They have now failed to cover in three of four neutral-site games this season.

The Gaels trailed by five points at the half against Pepperdine and at one point that deficit was 15 points against a team that had won just two conference games all season long. Saint Mary?s ended the game with four of five starters in double figures led by sophomore guard Jordan Ford?s game-high 19 points.

Senior center Jock Landale added 17 points and 19 rebounds in the winning cause. The Gaels were able to connect of 50 percent of its 22 shots from three-point range to help pullout the win.

Betting Trends

--The Cougars have failed to cover in eight of their last 11 Monday games and the total has gone OVER in their last five games following a SU win.

--The Gaels are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games played on Monday and the total has stayed UNDER in their last four games against a team with a SU winning record.

--The favorite in this WCC clash has covered the spread in 10 of the last 11 meetings and the total stayed UNDER in the last four matchups.

 

[Cnotes53]

Championship Week - not the NCAA tournament - is the real March Madness
************

The NCAA tournament is for tourists.

You want the real March Madness? Try cramming every major-conference program as well as a truck full of mid-major teams into a week of basketball, with most of that condensed in a Thursday-to-Sunday window.

Then, try setting odds for every single one of those games, with a wave of new matchups the second those contests are through. And if that?s not enough, sick the sharpest sports bettors in the world on those odds and try to keep the book balanced.

?It?s like a duck on a pond,? Jay Rood, vice president of race and sports for MGM in Las Vegas, tells us. ?On top everything is peaceful and serene. But underneath, the duck is pedaling like crazy.?

Conference championship week doesn?t carry the pageantry of the NCAA tournament, but for those in the industry there is no busier time. It also doesn?t draw the massive crowds of public bettors, but caters more to the hardcore college hoops fans and professional handicappers.

?The handle for the NCAA tournament is probably a pretty close 50/50 split between sharp and public action. Conference tournament week,? says Rood, ?is closer to a 60/40 or 70/30 split in favor of action from the wiseguys.?

Oddsmakers admit that setting odds for the first two big days of the NCAA tournament ? Thursday and Friday ? is much easier than trying to keep pace with the conference tournaments. And throughout the tournament, books have at least a full day between each teams? next game.

Championship week not only challenges the oddsmakers to come up with lines for the next day on short notice but doesn?t allow them to come up for air until the whole thing is done Sunday evening ? just before the Selection Committee picks its field of 68 and they have to handicap the opening matchups for the national tournament.

?We?re talking about five straight days of non-stop basketball,? Peter Childs, supervisor of risk management for Sportsbook.ag, tells us. ?It?s exhausting but it?s also super exciting, with wall-to-wall games going. Personally, other than college bowl week from Christmas to January 1, this is my favorite week of the year.?

Despite the fatigue and short turnaround, books can?t afford to make any mistakes during championship week. Unlike the NCAA tournament, which is huge with the casual basketball bettors, the conference tournaments are shark infested waters with wiseguys just waiting for the books to slip and dunk their toe in.

?Our lines will be geared more towards what we think the sharps will do as opposed to what the public will do this week,? says Childs. ?Next week (during the NCAA tournament), it?s the complete opposite.?

What is it about the conference tournaments ? more than the national tournament - that draws the wiseguys? The overall consensus among sharps is the sheer abundance of games available. The more games, the more opportunities bettors have to find the matchup they want and cash in. It?s also a game of cat and mouse when the odds are released, chasing the added line value before books adjust their numbers.

Another reason championship week is more popular with sharps than the NCAA tournament is the familiarity between the programs. This not only works for situational bettors, looking to cash in on sweeps and revenge spots, but also when crunching the numbers for those conference tournaments.

?Using conference-only stats gives a great read on the teams as they all play common opponents within the same conference,? says Steve Merril. ?In the NCAA tournament, you normally have teams that played zero common opponents and completely different schedule strengths, so it?s harder to set an accurate power rating.?

Mid-major conference tournaments have been rolling since last week but March Madness ? the real March Madness ? kicks into high gear Tuesday and Wednesday when the big boys get underway. ACC tournament opens Tuesday, with the Big East, Big 12, SEC and Pac-12 starting Wednesday. The AAC tournament tips off Thursday.

Editor's note: This article was originally published in 2015.

 

[Cnotes53]

Cash in on college basketball conference tournaments with these betting tips
************

If you want March Madness ? like the real Madness ? conference tournament time is it. Unlike the NCAA, conference tournaments throw constant competition at teams, with the winners often having to win three or for four games in three or four days.

The quick turnaround is not only a challenge for basketball programs but also for bookmakers, and that levels the playing field a bit with so many games happening in such a short span. So sports bettors will want to strike when books are at their weakest, and here are some helpful tips and tactics to follow to help you cash in on conference tournaments.

Mind the moves

As we mentioned, teams that win move on to the next day, which means oddsmakers are frantically making lines as matchups are set. With so many new games on the board, conference tournament spreads and totals can be some of weaker opening lines you?ll see all year.

Bettors will want to keep a close eye on those openers and shouldn?t be afraid to tail the early movement, with those adjustments based on instant action from wiseguys. Totals will see the biggest movement, as these Over/Unders are admittedly the oddsmakers? greatest weakness.

Don?t doubt depth

Due to that crazy pace during conference tournaments, the depth of a roster is put to the true test. Basketball bettors will want to analyze just how deep a team dives into its bench and how reliable those reserves are.

Some programs regularly only go six or seven players deep, while others are comfortable swapping out five at a time without seeing much of a downgrade. As games stack up and fatigue becomes a factor ? especially after close and intense games ? depth can be the difference when it comes to covering the spread.

And don?t get too caught up on experience, favoring upperclassmen over freshmen. At this point in the season, those first-year players are freshmen in name only.

Past meetings

Another big difference between capping conference tournaments compared to the Big Dance is familiarity. In the NCAA, opponents are often foreign and from different leagues. But in conference tourneys, you could have teams playing for a third time on the season.

Bettors should always go back and look at those recent meetings between foes, but also be mindful that a game played in late December or early January doesn?t hold as much weight as a game played toward the end of the regular season. Teams can change drastically in that time, with coaching adjustments, injuries and lineup moves, and player development.

Also don?t forget to take things like home-court advantage out of the mix, with most conference tournaments played at a neutral site. Know which teams can compete away from home and also which schools have a fan base that will travel and give them an edge in the postseason.

Motivation

Conference tournaments can produce surprise results, with top-seed schools bowing out early on. There are a number of power program coaches ? already pegged with a respectable seed in the NCAA - who have admitted that they don?t care about the conference title and would rather have their guys fresh for the national tournament.

On the flip side of this, you?ll have a number of bubble teams that need to either have a strong showing or win the conference tournament outright for a chance to hear their name called on Selection Sunday ? giving bettors a little extra incentive to back them against the spread. And, as always, you?ll have some losing programs that just want to get a terrible season over with. Buyer beware when it comes to those teams looking ahead to life without losing hoops.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, March 5


Bowling Green @ Central Michigan

Game 715-716
March 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Bowling Green
52.874
Central Michigan
57.412
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Michigan
by 4 1/2
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Michigan
by 8 1/2
148
Dunkel Pick:
Bowling Green
(+8 1/2); Over

Northern Illinois @ Kent State

Game 717-718
March 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Illinois
47.257
Kent State
51.408
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kent State
by 4
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kent State
by 6 1/2
146 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Illinois
(+6 1/2); Over

Ohio @ Miami-OH

Game 719-720
March 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ohio
49.845
Miami-OH
53.769
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami-OH
by 4
135
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-OH
by 2 1/2
141 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami-OH
(-2 1/2); Under

Akron @ Western Michigan

Game 721-722
March 5, 2018 @ 7:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Akron
46.342
Western Michigan
56.874
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Michigan
by 10 1/2
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Michigan
by 8
145
Dunkel Pick:
Western Michigan
(-8); Under

Cleveland State @ Oakland

Game 723-724
March 5, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland State
00.000
Oakland
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland State

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland State

Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland State
( );

WI-Milwaukee @ Wright State

Game 725-726
March 5, 2018 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
WI-Milwaukee
00.000
Wright State
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
WI-Milwaukee

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
WI-Milwaukee

Dunkel Pick:
WI-Milwaukee
( );

William & Mary @ Coll of Charleston

Game 727-728
March 5, 2018 @ 6:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
William & Mary
00.000
Coll of Charlesto
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
William & Mary

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
William & Mary

Dunkel Pick:
William & Mary
( );

NC-Wilmington @ Northeastern

Game 729-730
March 5, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC-Wilmington
00.000
Northeastern
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC-Wilmington

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC-Wilmington

Dunkel Pick:
NC-Wilmington
( );

San Francisco @ Gonzaga

Game 731-732
March 5, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
55.673
Gonzaga
71.709
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Gonzaga
by 16
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Gonzaga
by 13
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Gonzaga
(-13); Under

Brigham Young @ St Mary's

Game 733-734
March 5, 2018 @ 11:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brigham Young
60.104
St Mary's
67.253
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St Mary's
by 7
132
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St Mary's
by 5
137
Dunkel Pick:
St Mary's
(-5); Under

North Dakota St @ South Dakota St

Game 735-736
March 5, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Dakota St
00.000
South Dakota St
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Dakota St

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Dakota St

Dunkel Pick:
North Dakota St
( );

Denver @ South Dakota

Game 737-738
March 5, 2018 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
00.000
South Dakota
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver

Dunkel Pick:
Denver
( );

Fairfield @ Iona

Game 739-740
March 5, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Fairfield
00.000
Iona
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Fairfield

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Fairfield

Dunkel Pick:
Fairfield
( );

E Tenn State @ NC-Greensboro

Game 741-742
March 5, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
E Tenn State
00.000
NC-Greensboro
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
E Tenn State

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
E Tenn State

Dunkel Pick:
E Tenn State
( );

Delaware State @ NC A&T

Game 743-744
March 5, 2018 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Delaware State
32.217
NC A&T
39.336
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC A&T
by 7
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC A&T
by 10
140
Dunkel Pick:
Delaware State
(+10); Over

MD-Eastern Shore @ Norfolk State

Game 745-746
March 5, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
MD-Eastern Shore
36.423
Norfolk State
45.419
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Norfolk State
by 9
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Norfolk State
by 12
134 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
MD-Eastern Shore
(+12); Over

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 5

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BOWLING GREEN (16 - 15) at C MICHIGAN (18 - 13) - 3/5/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 22-48 ATS (-30.8 Units) in March games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 3-1 against the spread versus BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
C MICHIGAN is 4-1 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


N ILLINOIS (12 - 18) at KENT ST (15 - 16) - 3/5/2018, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 3-1 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 2-2 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OHIO U (14 - 16) at MIAMI OHIO (15 - 16) - 3/5/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in first round tournament games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 5-1 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 6-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


AKRON (13 - 17) at W MICHIGAN (17 - 14) - 3/5/2018, 7:45 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 3-1 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 3-1 straight up against W MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SAN FRANCISCO (18 - 14) vs. GONZAGA (28 - 4) - 3/5/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GONZAGA is 200-160 ATS (+24.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
GONZAGA is 151-112 ATS (+27.8 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
GONZAGA is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in road games in conference tournament games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 114-70 ATS (+37.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 110-66 ATS (+37.4 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 97-66 ATS (+24.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 56-32 ATS (+20.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
GONZAGA is 3-3 against the spread versus SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
GONZAGA is 6-0 straight up against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


BYU (23 - 9) vs. ST MARYS-CA (28 - 4) - 3/5/2018, 11:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 65-110 ATS (-56.0 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
BYU is 36-63 ATS (-33.3 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
BYU is 22-42 ATS (-24.2 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
BYU is 36-63 ATS (-33.3 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
BYU is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
BYU is 37-62 ATS (-31.2 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
BYU is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) in conference tournament games since 1997.
BYU is 89-135 ATS (-59.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
BYU is 44-65 ATS (-27.5 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
ST MARYS-CA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) when playing with one or less days rest this season.
ST MARYS-CA is 81-111 ATS (-41.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
ST MARYS-CA is 6-1 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
ST MARYS-CA is 6-1 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


DELAWARE ST (4 - 27) vs. N CAROLINA A&T (18 - 13) - 3/5/2018, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
DELAWARE ST is 3-2 straight up against N CAROLINA A&T over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MD-EAST SHORE (7 - 24) vs. NORFOLK ST (13 - 18) - 3/5/2018, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
NORFOLK ST is 3-0 straight up against MD-EAST SHORE over the last 3 seasons

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
************

Monday, March 5

MAC tournament, campus sites
Central Michigan outscored Bowling Green 35-11 over the last 12:41 of their 84-75 win at Bowling Green Jan 20; Chippewas were +6 (18-12) in turnovers, made 11-25 on arc. CMU won four of last five series games, lone loss being 62-59 in this event two years ago. Falcons lost four of last five visits here. Falcons are 3-6 in last six MAC tourneys, 2-4 in first round; CMU is 2-8 in last eight MAC tourneys, losing in first round last two years. Over last 15 years, WMU is 13-2 in first round of MAC tourney. CMU split its last 10 games overall after starting MAC play 2-6.

Kent lost 75-61 at Northern Illinois Jan 2, going 4-25 on arc; Flashes are 3-2 in last five series games, but NIU won three of last four visits to Kent. Five of last eight series games were decided by 4 or fewer points. Kent won MAC tourney LY, with all four wins by 5 or fewer points or in OT. Flashes lost six of last nine games overall, with last three games decided by 1 or 2 points or in OT. Huskies lost eight of their last 11 games; they lost their last 12 games away from DeKalb. Over last 19 years, NIU is 4-15 in first round of MAC tourney.

Ohio has beaten Miami twice in the last 16 days, 92-87 in OT at home, then 75-66 in Miami three nights ago; Bobcats won 14 of last 15 games with Miami, winning five of last six visits to Oxford. Ohio won four of its last five games overall; over last 13 years, they?re 11-2 in first round of MAC tourney. Miami lost six of its last eight games, with the two wins by total of five points- three of their last five games went OT. Over last nine years, RedHawks are 4-5 in first round of MAC tourney. Miami is #322 experience team that is 5-13 vs teams ranked in top 200.

Akron lost 87-75 at Western Michigan Jan 2; Broncos shot 59.5% inside arc in their first win over Akron in last seven tries. Zips won three of their last four visits to Kalamazoo. Zips are 7-3 in last three MAC tourneys but didn?t win any titles and now they have new coach- they won their first MAC tourney game the last 13 years. Over last 15 years, WMU is 12-3 in first round of MAC tourney. Akron lost 8 of its last 11 games; the three wins were by total of 10 points. WMU lost four of its last six games overall, but they won four of last five home games.

WCC tournament, Orleans Arena, Las Vegas
Gonzaga is a 13-point favorite; USF?s last 16 losses in WCC tourney were all by 9 or fewer points. Gonzaga beat San Francisco twice in January, by 9-10 points; Zags won their last 13 games with USF, and 26 of last 29- they beat Dons 81-72 in this event three years ago. Gonzaga won its last 12 games overall; they also won their last 15 WCC tourney games, but Zags are 3-11 vs spread in their last 14 games this season. USF won six of its last eight games after starting season 12-12; Dons they needed OT to beat Pacific 71-70 in first round Saturday.

BYU won its last seven WCC tourney games that weren?t against Gonzaga/St Mary?s, but is 0-5 in WCC tourney games against the WCC?s top two teams. Cougars lost twice to St Mary?s this year, by 10 in OT at home, by 13 in Moraga. Gaels are 11-4 vs BYU in WCC meetings. BYU won five of its last seven games overall; they?re 2-5 vs top 100 teams this season, with wins over Utah Valley, Utah. St Mary?s struggled mightily with Pepperdine last night; they played only six guys, using four starters 35:00+. Gaels won last four games after consecutive losses to Gonzaga/USF.

CAA tournament, Charleston
Wm&Mary/Charleston split two games this year; Cougars lost 114-104 in OT at W&M nine days ago, after Tribe blew a 16-point 2nd half lead. W&M is 7-4 vs Charleston in CAA meetings. Wm&Mary is 8-4 in last four CAA tourneys, losing in finals in 2014, 2015- they?ve never been in NCAAs. Wm&Mary split its last eight games overall; they played only six guys Sunday (7th guy played 2:00); four starters played 31:00+, three played 36+. Charleston won 12 of its last 13 games; they outscored Drexel 27-11 over last last 10:50 yesterday- three guys played 33:00+.

Northeastern beat NC-Wilmington twice this year, but both games went OT; Huskies went 27-41 on foul line in last meeting. Northeastern is 4-3 in last seven series games. Seahawks are 4-3 in last seven games after a 7-17 start; they played five guys 31:00+ minutes in 93-88 win over Hofstra Sunday, when they made 14-35 on arc. UNCW won CAA tourney last two years with Keatts as HC; Northeastern won its last eight games overall- they crushed Delaware Sunday, only one Husky played more than 29:00. UNCW is 0-7 vs top 100 teams this season.

Horizon Valley tournament, Detroit
Milwaukee has already upset Wright State twice this year by total of six points; Panthers were 19-35 on the arc in the two games- they?re 6-4 in last 10 series games overall. Milwaukee beat Ill-Chicago 80-75 last night- they were +8 in turnovers. Three Panthers played 33:00+ in game they trailed by 7 with 12:00 left. Wright State had yesterday off; they won four of last five games and are 15-4 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Wright hasn?t won Horizon tourney since 2007, losing in finals three of last five years. Milwaukee lost to No Kentucky in Horizon finals LY.

Oakland?s win over IUPUI Sunday was just their second conference tourney win in last eight games; Nunn played whole 40:00, Brock played 38:00. Grizzlies beat Cleveland State twice this year, by 13-16 points; Oakland won six of last seven series games. Grizzlies split pair with IUPUI this year, going 8-31 on arc in 74-67 loss at IUPUI two weeks ago. Vikings are playing 3rd game in four nights after ousting #1 seed NKU Saturday; CSU won five of its last seven games after starting season 6-20. Oakland is 14-5 against teams ranked outside the top 200.

MAAC tournament, Albany
Iona rallied from 14 down with 15:28 left to nip St Peter?s by 3 Sunday; they used three starters 32:00+. Gaels won MAAC tourney three of last five years, lost in finals the other two years; they split pair with Fairfield this year, losing last meeting 103-100 in OT, when Stags were 14-27 on arc. Iona won seven of last ten series games; teams split the last six. Fairfield won their last seven games after being 10-15 on Feb 12; Stags are playing 4th game in five nights- they beat Quinnipiac by 10 last nite- two guys played the whole 40:00, another Stag played 38:00.

Southern Conference tournament, Asheville, NC
East Tennessee State beat NC-Greensboro 79-74 in SoCon final LY; now teams meet again in same spot. Home side won both UNCG-ETSU games this season; Buccaneers are 5-4 vs Greensboro in SoCon tilts. Spartans won 10 of their last 11 games; they?re 9-5 vs teams ranked in top 200. ETSU lost four of last seven games overall; only one But played more than 30:00 in a fairly easy win Sunday. UNCG beat Wofford 56-55 in semis, rallying from down 6 with 11:54 left and surviving an 8-28 day on arc. Only one Spartan played more than 29:00.

Summit tournament, Sioux Falls, SD
South Dakota State beat North Dakota State twice this year, by 7-19 points; Jackrabbits won four of last six series games- teams split pair of Summit tourney meetings in 2015-16. North Dakota State lost six of last eight D-I games; they?re 2-8 this year vs teams ranked in top 200. Bison damn near blew 23-point 2nd half lead last night, but hung on to win by 4. Three Bison played 33:00+- they made 11-21 on arc. SD State won its last nine games; they had yesterday off. Jackrabbits are 19-1 since a 112-103 double OT loss at Colorado on December 15.

Denver is 6-5 vs South Dakota in Summit meetings; teams split pair this year. Pioneers needed double OT to beat Oral Roberts 90-88 last nite- three Denver guys played 45:00+. PG Rosga played all 50:00. Denver won its last five games and eight of last ten; since 2006, they?re 1-5 in second games of conference tourneys. South Dakota won 11 of its last 13 games; they had a bye Sunday. Coyotes didn?t play anyone more than 26:00 in easy win over Neb-Omaha Saturday, so their players should have edge, with Denver playing double overtime late last night.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB

Monday, March 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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WILLIAM & MARY @ COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON
William & Mary is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of William & Mary's last 19 games
College of Charleston is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of College of Charleston's last 8 games

BOWLING GREEN @ CENTRAL MICHIGAN
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Bowling Green's last 5 games when playing Central Michigan
Bowling Green is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 6 games
Central Michigan is 12-3 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Bowling Green

NORTHERN ILLINOIS @ KENT STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games when playing Kent State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games
Kent State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Kent State is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home

OHIO @ MIAMI-OHIO
Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Miami-Ohio
Ohio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Miami-Ohio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami-Ohio's last 5 games when playing Ohio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami-Ohio's last 7 games when playing at home against Ohio

NORTH DAKOTA STATE @ SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
North Dakota State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing South Dakota State
North Dakota State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing South Dakota State
South Dakota State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
South Dakota State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

CLEVELAND STATE @ OAKLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland State's last 5 games when playing Oakland
Cleveland State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Cleveland State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games

FAIRFIELD @ IONA
Fairfield is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Fairfield's last 6 games when playing Iona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iona's last 6 games when playing Fairfield
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Iona's last 11 games

AKRON @ WESTERN MICHIGAN
Akron is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Western Michigan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Akron's last 5 games
Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Western Michigan's last 11 games when playing Akron

UNC WILMINGTON @ NORTHEASTERN
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UNC Wilmington's last 5 games
UNC Wilmington is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Northeastern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Northeastern's last 6 games

SAN FRANCISCO @ GONZAGA
San Francisco is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Francisco's last 9 games when playing Gonzaga
Gonzaga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Gonzaga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Francisco

EAST TENNESSEE STATE @ UNC GREENSBORO
UNC Greensboro is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UNC Greensboro's last 6 games when playing East Tennessee State

WISCONSIN-MILWAUKEE @ WRIGHT STATE
Wisconsin-Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin-Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Wright State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wright State's last 6 games when playing Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Wright State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

DENVER @ SOUTH DAKOTA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing South Dakota
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Dakota's last 5 games when playing Denver
South Dakota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

BYU @ SAINT MARY'S-CALIFORNIA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of BYU's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of BYU's last 6 games when playing Saint Mary's-California
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saint Mary's-California's last 5 games
Saint Mary's-California is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing BYU

 

[Cnotes53]

West Coast Conference Tournament semifinals betting preview and odds

WCC Player of the Year Jock Landale had 31 points and 13 rebounds in the St. Mary's Gaels' overtime win in Provo, Utah back on December 25th.

The semifinals of the West Coast Conference Tournament are set and will tip off Monday evening at the Orleans Arena in Las Vegas as the upstart San Francisco Dons take on the Gonzaga Bulldogs and the BYU Cougars will face off against the St. Mary's Gaels.

Tournament to be played at Orleans Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada.

San Francisco Dons vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs (-13, 140.5)

Seventh-ranked Gonzaga struggled to put away eighth-seeded Loyola Marymount in Saturday's quarterfinals of the West Coast Conference tournament, trailing 40-39 early in the second half and leading by just five with seven minutes to go before recording a 83-69 victory. But coach Mark Few wasn't surprised and expects another tough battle in Monday's semifinals in Las Vegas when the Bulldogs face fourth-seeded San Francisco, which edged Pacific 71-70 in overtime in the quarterfinals.

Gonzaga faces a San Francisco squad that lost by just nine points (82-73) in Spokane in the last meeting - trailing by three points with three minutes to go. The Zags bounced back from a sluggish first half that saw them score just 29 points to shoot 79.4 percent (19-of-24) from the floor after intermission and 61.2 percent for the game against Loyola Marymount in the quarterfinals. Killian Tillie led the way with 24 points and was 5-of-5 from 3-point range while senior forward Johnathan Williams, who leads the team in both scoring (13.8) and rebounding (8.1), finished with 20 points and 10 rebounds.

The Dons rode the backcourt of Jordan Ratinho and Frankie Ferrari into the semifinals as the duo combined for 37 points and made 8-of-16 from 3-point range. Ferrari, who leads the team in scoring (11.4), finished with 17 points and eight assists and hit a key 3-pointer near the end of regulation to get the Dons into overtime while Ratinho, who is third in scoring (10.8), finished with a game-high 20 points and sank a 3-pointer to start OT - a lead USF never relinquished. Freshman guard Souley Boum (11.2), who had 22 points in a 75-65 home loss to the Zags on Jan. 13, and senior forward Chase Foster (10.2) also average in double figures for the Dons.

BETTING STATS:

BETTING ACTION AND MOVEMENT:

The pointspread opened with Gonzaga installed as lofty 13-point favorites and the total set at 140.5. As of Monday morning neither number has moved despite 79 percent of the ************s*************

MATCHUP CHART:

TRENDS:

* Dons are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games following a straight up win.
* Bulldogs are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 vs. West Coast.
* Over is 7-2 in Dons' last 9 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Over is 4-0 in Bulldogs' last 4 neutral site games.
* Over is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings.




Brigham Young Cougars vs. St. Mary's Gaels (-5, 136.5)

No. 20 Saint Mary's nearly saw it's NCAA Tournament bubble burst in Saturday's West Coast Conference tournament quarterfinals in Las Vegas, needing to rally from a 15-point first half deficit to edge No. 10 seed Pepperdine 69-66. The second-seeded Gaels now move on to a semifinal matchup Monday with third-seed BYU, an 85-79 winner over San Diego, with seventh-ranked Gonzaga likely looming in Tuesday night's championship final.

BYU will be trying to snap a five-game losing streak to the Gaels, including a 74-64 overtime loss at home on Dec. 30. The Cougars will also be trying to avenge a 81-50 loss to Saint Mary's in last year's WCC Tourney semifinals. The one-two punch of junior guard Elijah Bryant (17.9 points, 6.4 rebounds) and sophomore forward Yoeli Childs (17.5, 8.7), who combined for 49 points in the quarterfinal win over San Diego, lead the Cougars with sophomore guard TJ Haws (12.0) also averaging in double figures.

Pepperdine, which finished its injury-plagued season with a measly 6-26 record, sent jaws dropping by jumping out to a 19-4 lead on the Gaels and led 62-57 with 4:17 to go. But forward Calvin Hermanson came to the rescue, sinking three consecutive 3-pointers over a two-minute span. WCC Player of the Year Jock Landale, a 6-11 senior center who is averaging a league-leading 21.3 points and 10.5 rebounds per game, presents a big problem for a lot of teams but has been especially troublesome for BYU. Landale had 31 points and 13 rebounds in the overtime win in Provo and finished with 32 points and 14 boards in a 75-62 victory over the Cougars on Jan. 25 at home.

BETTING STATS:

BETTING ACTION AND MOVEMENT:

St. Mary's opened as 5.5-point favorites Sunday evening and, ****************action on their side, that number was dropped to -5 on Monday morning. The total hit betting boards at 136.5 and has yet to move.

MATCHUP CHART:

TRENDS:

* Cougars are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
* Gaels are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. West Coast.
* Over is 6-1 in Cougars' last 7 overall.
* Under is 37-14 in Gaels' last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Favorite is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

 

[Cnotes53]

Conference Championship Odds
March 5, 2018

?Championship Week? for the major and mid-major college basketball conferences will begin this week and continue for two weeks up until "Selection Sunday" which is slated for Mar. 11, 2018.

bettors can start placing wagers on select tournaments at BetOnline.ag.

Listed below are the six major conferences.

ACC Tournament
Date: Mar. 6-Mar. 10
Venue: Barclays Center
Location: Brooklyn, NY
2017 Winner: Duke Blue Devils

Virginia 5/2
Duke 3/1
North Carolina 5/1
Clemson 8/1
Virginia Tech 12/1
NC State 14/1
Florida State 16/1
Miami Florida 16/1
Louisville 25/1
Syracuse 25/1
Notre Dame 33/1
Boston College 50/1
Georgia Tech 100/1
Wake Forest 100/1
Pittsburgh 250/1

Big 12 Tournament
Date: Mar. 7-Mar. 10
Venue: Sprint Center
Location: Kansas City, MO
2017 Winner: Iowa State Cylcones

Kansas 9/4
West Virginia 4/1
Texas Tech 9/2
Kansas State 7/1
TCU 10/1
Baylor 12/1
Oklahoma 20/1
Texas 20/1
Oklahoma State 20/1
Iowa State 25/1

Big East Tournament
Date: Mar. 7-Mar. 10
Venue: Madison Square Garden
Location: New York City, NY
2017 Winner: Villanova Wildcats

Villanova 5/4
Xavier 5/2
Butler 7/1
Seton Hall 8/1
Creighton 8/1
Providence 16/1
Marquette 25/1
Georgetown 50/1
St. John's 50/1
DePaul 100/1

Conference USA Tournament
Date: Mar. 7-Mar. 10
Venue: The Ford Center at the Star
Location: Frisco, TX
2017 Winner: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Middle Tennessee 7/5
Old Dominion 4/1
Western Kentucky 4/1
Marshall 4/1
UTSA 10/1
UAB 14/1
North Texas 20/1
Louisiana Tech 25/1
Florida International 50/1
Southern Mississippi 50/1
Florida Atlantic 50/1
UTEP 100/1
Rice 250/1

Pac-12 Tournament
Date: Mar. 7-Mar. 10
Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Location: Paradise, Nevada
2017 Winner: Arizona Wildcats

Arizona 11/4
USC 9/2
Utah 5/1
UCLA 6/1
Arizona State 7/1
Stanford 8/1
Washington 8/1
Oregon 10/1
Colorado 16/1
Oregon State 20/1
Washington State 66/1
California 66/1

SEC Tournament
Date: Mar. 7-Mar. 11
Venue: Scottrade Center
Location: St. Louis, MO
2017 Winner: Kentucky Wildcats

Auburn 7/2
Tennessee 4/1
Kentucky 5/1
Mississippi State 7/1
Alabama 10/1
Florida 10/1
Missouri 14/1
Arkansas 14/1
Texas A&M 16/1
LSU 25/1
Georgia 50/1
South Carolina 50/1
Ole Miss 100/1
Vanderbilt 100/1

Odds Subject to Change - Updated 2.27.18

 

[Cnotes53]

MONDAY, MARCH 5
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

FAIR at IONA 07:00 PM
IONA -3.0
U 150.5

NIU at KENT 07:00 PM
NIU +6.5
O 146.0

BGSU at CMU 07:00 PM
BGSU +7.0
O 148.5

OHIO at M-OH 07:00 PM
OHIO +3.0

CLEVST at OAK 07:00 PM
CLEVST +9.0
O 145.5

NDSU at SDST 07:00 PM
SDST -6.0
U 145.5

AKR at WMU 07:45 PM
WMU -8.5

UNCW at NE 08:30 PM
NE -7.5
O 149.5

SF at GONZ 09:00 PM
SF +13.0
O 141.0

UMES at NORF 09:00 PM
NORF -11.5

ETSU at UNCG 09:00 PM
UNCG +2.0

MILW at WRST 09:00 PM
WRST -3.5

DEN at SDAK 09:30 PM
SDAK -11.0

BYU at SMC 11:30 PM
BYU +5.5

 

[Cnotes53]

Top 25 Betting Recap
March 5, 2018

Each week until March Madness we'll take a look at how the Top 25 fared from college basketball, but straight up and against the number, while also taking a look at their upcoming schedule.

Before we get started, a big thank you for reading all season! Hopefully you have been cashing some winners along the way, and this column has played at least a small part.

Ohio State (24-8 SU, 15-15 ATS) is a difficult team to figure. They have been nearly unstoppable at home, they won many key conference games on the road and they were sailing along as the No. 2 seed entering play in the Big Ten Tournament. However, they met their kryptonite, Penn State (21-13 SU, 17-12-1 ATS) in their opening game of the conference tourney. It turned out to be the only game for the Buckeyes, as they lost 69-68 to the Nittany Lions, falling to 0-3 SU/ATS this season against the boys from Happy Valley. They were 24-5 SU/15-12 ATS against everyone else. It's a good thing these teams won't likely meet again this season barring a Final Four matchup, at least it's good for Ohio State.

Like the Buckeyes, Michigan State (29-4 SU, 15-16-2 ATS) did not come away with the Big Ten title. Sparty was shown the door by rival and eventual champ Michigan (28-7 SU, 22-11-1 ATS), who helped their resume the most in the first Big Ten tournament to be played in New York City. The Wolverines entered last week looking like at a seed anywhere from No. 5 to maybe No. 7 in the NCAA Tournament. Now, they might have risen up as high as the two line, or perhaps they're now sitting as a solid three. Coach Beilein's group toppled Purdue (28-6 SU, 15-17-1 ATS) in the title game for the third consecutive cover, and eighth in the past nine outings. The Wolverines have certainly been a friend at the bettor's window lately.

The Big Ten was the only major conference to have its conference tournament this past weekend, and that's because of a scheduling conflict at Madison Square Garden with the Big East Conference.

Duke (25-6 SU, 19-10 ATS) and North Carolina (22-9 SU, 16-13-1 ATS) were still hashing things out in the ACC regular season, with the Blue Devils locking up the No. 2 seed in the conference tourney behind No. 1 seed Virginia (28-2 SU, 18-8-1 ATS). The Blue Devils won the second installment of the Battle of the Blues, 74-64, and that set off the annual celebration in the quad with a bonfire in Durham. Don't look now, but Coach K's group has suddenly covered six of their past seven, while also going 6-1 SU during the span. On the flip side, Coach Roy's club is on an extended ugly streak, losing two in a row, while failing to cover three straight, and they're a very ordinary 6-5 SU/5-6 ATS over the past 11, and 10-7 SU/8-8-1 ATS across the past 17.

Rhode Island (23-6 SU, 15-11-1 ATS) picked a poor time for their worst stretch of play this season. The Rams have dropped back-to-back games for the first time this season, and they're just 1-4 ATS across the past five outings. In fact, the offense is averaging a dismal 59.5 PPG in the two-game losing streak, a far cry from their 76.4 PPG average, which ranks 99th in the nation. URI likely has sunk as low as the five- or six-line with their results lately, but they could climb a bit higher if they are able to secure the A-10 Championship. A poor showing in the conference tourney could have them slipping even further.

Middle Tennessee (24-6 SU, 16-11 ATS) fell out of The Associated Press Top 25 after a loss to Marshall (21-10 SU, 17-11 ATS), a team they certainly do not want to see in the Conference USA Tournament. The Thundering Herd are 2-0 SU/ATS against the Blue Raiders this season. MTSU is looking for a conference three-peat, and they will kick off their tournament Thursday against the winner of the eight-nine matchup between Florida International (14-17 SU, 15-9-1 ATS) and Southern Mississippi (14-17 SU, 13-13 ATS). The Blue Raiders were 1-0 SU/0-1 ATS vs. FIU, a road overtime win Jan. 4, and 2-0 SU/ATS vs. USM during the regular season.

Cincinnati (27-4 SU, 16-11-1 ATS) is playing like a two-seed, and they stuck another feather in their cap with a regular-season finale victory against Wichita State (25-6 SU, 19-10 ATS) on the road Sunday, 62-61. The Bearcats have rattled off four wins in a row, avenging a 76-72 loss at home to the Shockers on Feb. 18. The loss seemed to serve as an alarm clock, and they haven't lost since heading into the AAC Tournament. They're back to playing defense during their winning streak, as the 'under' is 3-1, while going 8-4 across their past 12. The 'under' is also 4-0 in neutral-site games for the Bearcats this season, something to remember as we get into conference tournament play.

Going into conference tourneys, here are some key notable ATS numbers on neutral sites:

NOTABLE NEUTRAL SITE RECORDS
Conference Team Neutral Site ATS record
AAC Cincinnati 3-1
AAC Houston 3-1
AAC Temple 4-0
AAC Wichita State 2-1

A10 La Salle 1-4
A10 Rhode Island 1-1
A10 St. Bonaventure 2-1

ACC Clemson 3-1
ACC Duke 4-0
ACC Florida State 3-1
ACC North Carolina 4-1
ACC Notre Dame 3-1
ACC Virginia 2-0

Big East Villanova 6-0

Big 12 Iowa State 4-0
Big 12 TCU 3-0
Big 12 West Virginia 3-1

Big Sky Northern Colorado 3-0
Big Sky Sacramento State 0-3
Big Sky Weber State 0-3

CUSA Louisiana Tech 3-0
CUSA Middle Tennessee 1-3
CUSA Southern Mississippi 1-3
CUSA UAB 0-3

MAC Akron 0-3
MAC Central Michigan 3-0

MWC Boise State 2-1
MWC Colorado State 0-2
MWC Utah State 2-0

Pac-12 Arizona 1-3
Pac-12 Arizona State 3-0
Pac-12 California 0-3
Pac-12 Colorado 3-1
Pac-12 Stanford 0-3
Pac-12 UCLA 3-1
Pac-12 USC 3-1
Pac-12 Washington State 3-0

SEC Arkansas 3-1
SEC Auburn 3-1
SEC Texas A&M 3-1
SEC Vanderbilt 0-2

SWAC Arkansas Pine-Bluff 0-4

*************************

TOP 25

Rank Team Past Week (SU, ATS) Last 10 ATS Upcoming Week Schedule

1 Virginia 2-0, 0-2 5-4-1 ACC Tournament
2 Villanova 2-0, 1-1 6-4 Big East Tournament
3 Xavier 2-0, 0-2 6-4 Big East Tournament
4 Michigan State 1-1, 0-2 2-7-1 NCAA Tournament
5 Duke 1-1, 1-1 7-3 ACC Tournament
6 Gonzaga 1-0, 0-1 3-7 WCC Tournament
7 Michigan 4-0, 3-1 8-2 NCAA Tournament
8 Cincinnati 2-0. 2-0 6-4 AAC Tournament
9 Kansas 1-1, 0-2 4-5-1 Big 12 Tournament
10 Purdue 2-1, 0-3 1-8-1 NCAA Tournament
11 Wichita State 1-1, 0-2 4-6 AAC Tournament
12 North Carolina 0-2, 0-2 5-5 ACC Tournament
13 Tennessee 2-0, 1-1 6-4 SEC Tournament
14 Texas Tech 1-1. 0-1-1 4-5-1 Big 12 Tournament
15 Arizona 2-0, 0-2 4-6 Pac-12 Tournament
16 Auburn 1-1, 0-2 5-5 SEC Tournament
17 Ohio State 0-1, 0-1 4-6 NCAA Tournament
18 West Virginia 1-1, 1-1 5-5 Big 12 Tournament
19 Clemson 1-1, 1-1 5-5 ACC Tournament
20 St. Mary's (CA) 1-0, 0-1 3-7 WCC Tournament
21 Houston 2-0, 1-1 6-3-1 AAC Tournament
22 Nevada 0-0, 0-0 5-5 MWC Tournament
23 Florida 2-0, 2-0 4-5-1 SEC Tournament
24 Miami (FL) 2-0, 1-1 3-7 ACC Tournament
25 Rhode Island 0-2, 0-2 4-6 A-10 Tournament

 

[Cnotes53]

Conference Best Bets
March 5, 2018

Conference Championship Predictions

It?s Championship Tournament time! If you?re like some of us who don?t follow college basketball until about this time of year, the conference brackets are the best way to get primed for the awesomeness that is March Madness.

Here?s a quick rundown of the best bets remaining throughout the week and heading in to this weekend.

The full board for NCAA Conference Futures is here, and we?ve listed the best bets in each grouping for the coming weekend. Get excited. This is when college basketball is at its absolute best. And like I said previously, there?s no better way to get accustomed to these teams for the Big Dance.

ACC Tournament Duke +175
Next Best: Virginia +225 and UNC +600

Everyone else in the ACC is getting very long odds, and while Duke is the obvious pick there?s a good reason that they?re getting great odds here. The team is 19-10 ATS on the regular season and has gone through a rigorous adjustment period following the injury of Marvin Bagley. Shifting Grayson Allen to point guard and installing a zone defence has converted Duke in to a true powerhouse that lives up to its reputation. And now that they have their best player back, Duke is rolling heavy.

People will point to Virginia Tech as a potential sleeper at +1200 seeing as how they have wins over Duke and Virginia but that?s a big stretch. If you?re going to bank on a longshot, then the Hokies are certainly the way to go, but Duke is the most logical play overall.

Big East Tournament Xavier +230
Next Best: Villanova -110

The Big East is an intensely tight group with schools like Butler, Seton Hall and Creighton all getting admirable outsider odds at +700 and +800. Villanova has long been the standard in the Big East, but Xavier has been creeping for quite some time. They were blasted by Villanova the last time they played in a 79-95 blowout loss on their own court, but neutral territory is a worthy equalizer here. The Musketeers play extremely well on the road at 8-3 ATS. Villanova is a heavy favorite here for good reason, but it?s mostly based on reputation. They?ve been pushed to overtime by Seton Hall and Creighton in recent weeks.

Big 12 Tournament West Virginia +300
Next Best: Kansas +200, Texas Tech +450

Is this the year the Mountaineers push it over the top? West Virginia has entered the Big 12 tournament as the second seed twice in the last two years, and lost in the finals both times. They are a wildly entertaining team that has sort of fallen off the radar since the oddsmakers had them dead to rights all season. Kansas?s +200 odds here are more so for reputation than anything else. They are not the kingpin of this conference like many would have you believe, and West Virginia hits the crescendo in 2018 to take their first conference title ever.

Pac-12 Tournament Arizona +225
Next Best: USC +400, Utah +600, Oregon +650

The biggest shock out of championship week would be Arizona losing the Pac-12 Tournament. Their odds are a little bit higher than they should be given that the program is under the microscope, but ESPN?s ?investigation? has proven to be flawed and that?s seriously galvanized this team and its head coach Sean Miller. They are rallying and have perhaps the best player in the country in DeAndre Ayton who is averaging 19.9 points and 11.4 boards this season. People like USC here for good reason, and this conference is very wide open, but no program has an ancillary motivator like Arizona. Love the odds here.

SEC Tournament Kentucky +450
Next Best: Auburn +400, Tennessee +400

Kentucky pretty much owns this tournament and they?re getting big time betting odds here to defend their title for the fourth year in a row. To be clear, they are not the juggernaut that they?ve presented in years past. This is one of the weaker recruiting classes of Calipari?s tenure which is why the mark here is so high. Also, there?s lots of action around Alabama at +1200 despite their five losses to end the regular season. Florida is also getting some nudges in the book as a +500 outsider. For my money, I?m going with the coach who does it time and again but it?s hard not to admit that the SEC is as wide open as ever.

West Coast Conference Gonzaga -220
Next Best: Saint Mary?s +225

If there?s a no brainer in conference championship betting, it?s Gonzaga. They have the easiest conference, are five-time champions and are clearly the class of the group. Don?t overthink this one. They?re just too proven.

American Conference Wichita State +300
Next Best: Cincinnati +175

Cincinnati?s defence shut down the Shockers in the regular season finale during a 62-61 thriller and that?s going to set up a daring rematch in the finals of this conference tournament. Houston is lurking as a +500 third favorite, but we all know that this will come down to the two most grizzled teams. Wichita State gets revenge against Cincinnati?s great defence (2nd in the country) in the finals. I can?t wait for that one.

 

[Cnotes53]

ACC Trends and Angles
March 5, 2018

Venue: Barclays Center - Brooklyn, New York

Overall Betting Results
Favorites/Underdogs: 0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS
Over/Under: 0-0

Tuesday, March 6

OPENING ROUND

Matchup Records Skinny Projection

No. 13 Georgia Tech
Overall: 13-18 SU, 14-13 ATS
Totals: 13-14 O/U

No. 12 Boston College
Overall: 17-14 SU, 13-12 ATS
Totals: 15-9-1 O/U

No. 13 Georgia Tech vs. No. 12 Boston College (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)

The Yellow Jackets started and closed ACC play strong, but the middle portion was the problem. Tech began 3-1, which included home victories over Miami and Notre Dame, while topping N.C. State and Wake Forest to finish conference play. However, the Ramblin' Wreck went on a 1-11 run following the 3-1 start, but are currently on a 4-0 ATS run. Tech squandered a double-digit lead in its only meeting with Boston College this season, falling to the Eagles in overtime in early February, 80-72.

The Eagles had been the doormat of the ACC for several seasons before posting a 7-11 record. To put it in perspective, the Eagles won six conference in the previous three seasons combined. BC started ACC play with a bang by upsetting Duke in December as 15-point home underdogs, 89-84, while compiling an 11-8 ATS record in conference play. The Eagles struggled down the stretch by losing four of five games, but BC is seeking its third ACC tournament win since 2012 as the previous two victories both came against Georgia Tech.

Georgia Tech 67
Boston College 65


No. 15 Pittsburgh
Overall: 8-23 SU, 14-12 ATS
Totals: 5-21 O/U

No. 10 Notre Dame
Overall: 18-13 SU, 12-15 ATS
Totals: 14-12 O/U

No. 15 Pittsburgh vs. No. 10 Notre Dame (ESPN2, 2:30 p.m. ET)

The Panthers haven't won a game since 2017 as Pittsburgh finished an incredible 0-18 in the ACC. Pitt put together nearly a brand new roster this season, resulting in their struggles as the Panthers posted a 9-9 ATS record within the conference. The Panthers and Fighting Irish met only once, but it came in the regular season finale in South Bend as Notre Dame pulled away from Pitt, 73-56 as 19-point favorites.

The Fighting Irish suffered through injuries early in ACC season as they started 3-0 in conference play prior to a seven-game skid. Notre Dame won only three of nine ACC games away from South Bend, but the Irish have won the opening game in the ACC tournament in each of the past three years. .

Pittsburgh 62
Notre Dame 75


No. 14 Wake Forest
Overall: 11-19 SU, 9-18-1 ATS
Totals: 13-15 O/U

No. 11 Syracuse
Overall: 19-12 SU, 13-16 ATS
Totals: 13-16 O/U

No. 14 Wake Forest vs. No. 11 Syracuse (ESPNU, 7:00 p.m. ET)

The Demon Deacons split their first two ACC games, including a 73-67 come-from-behind win over Syracuse in early January. Wake Forest would win only three of its final 16 conference games, which included a victory over Pittsburgh, who finished 0-18 in the ACC. During its 3-13 stretch to close the season, Wake covered three times, including a 2-9 ATS mark as an underdog.

The Orange needs a solid showing in the ACC tournament for a shot at an at-large bid in the NCAA tournament. Syracuse edged Clemson in the season finale to end a three-game skid, while also beating Miami, Louisville, and Virginia Tech in conference action. The Orange avenged the loss in Winston-Salem to knock off Wake Forest at the Carrier Dome in mid-February, 78-70 as seven-point favorites. Syracuse has never won an ACC tournament by posting an 0-3 record since joining the league.

Wake Forest 67
Syracuse 74

 

[Cnotes53]

March CBB Record:

DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD

03/05/2018 13-8-0 61.90% +16.00
03/04/2018 5-3-0 62.50% +8.50
03/03/2018 52-56-1 48.15% -48.00
03/02/2018 13-16-0 44.83% -23.00
03/01/2018 20-24-1 45.45% -32.00

Totals............103-107-2....49.04%.....-68.50


************************


Tuesday?s 6-pack

? Cleveland State (+9) 44, Oakland 43? 8th-seeded Vikings are in Horizon final.

? Iona (-3) 83, Fairfield 71? Gaels win their 11th MAAC title.

? NC-Greensboro (+2) 62, East Tennessee 47? Spartans avenge loss in LY?s SoCon title game.

? BYU 85, St Mary?s 72? This will be a very, very long week for the Gaels.

? Akron (+8) 79, Western Michigan 78? Zips were only one of four MAC road teams to win in Monday?s first round.

? Since 2013, Tom Brady has earned $74,784,964; Matthew Stafford has earned $111,008,969, and Stafford has never won a playoff game (0-3). I?ll have more on this tomorrow.

Quote of the Day
?I wanted a truth-teller, somebody to tell me, ?You gotta do this, and you gotta do that,? completely unfiltered. Somebody whose experience and wisdom made everyone stand up and listen. I knew right then that we were talking to the right guy, and I?m just thankful we have him because he?s been instrumental in all that we?ve done.?
Steve Kerr, talking about 70-year old assistant coach Ron Adams

Tuesday?s quiz
What is last WCC team other than Gonzaga or St Mary?s to win the WCC tournament?

Monday?s quiz
Vanderbilt University is located in Nashville.

Sunday?s quiz
Cal-Santa Barbara?s teams are known as the Gauchos.

************************

Tuesday?s List of 13: Some college knowledge??.

13) Over the last 15 years, of the 60 teams who made the Final Four, 26 won their conference tournament. Over last six years, only 7 of 24 Final Four teams won their conference tourney; from 2004-11, 19 of 32 Final Four teams did.

12) 7 of the last 15 national champs won their conference tourney, but only one of the last six.

11) Since 2003, only 8 of 60 Final Four teams lost their first conference tourney game: Here are those teams:
2003? Marquette, Texas
2005? Michigan State
2007? UCLA
2009? UConn
2010? Michigan State (only team to do it twice)
2016? Syracuse
2017? South Carolina

10) Since 2006, two CAA teams have made the Final Four; George Mason in ?06 and VCU five years later. Weird thing is that neither of those teams won the CAA tournament that year. CAA ain?t getting more than one team in NCAA?s anymore, but they did as recently as 2011.

9) In 2011, UConn did something that will never be surpassed; not only did they win the NCAA tournament, winning six games, they had to win another five games to win the Big East tournament? they weren?t getting into the NCAA?s unless they won that tournament.

8) In 2006 and 2007, Florida finished the season by winning both the SEC tournament and the NCAA tournament? thats a very underrated accomplishment- 9-0 finishes both years.

7) In the last 15 years, 2008 was the only Final Four where all four teams won their conference tournament; in 2003 and 2009, none of the Final Four teams won their tournament.

6) Not putting pressure on Montana or anything, but the #1 seed won the last seven Big Sky tournaments. Most of those were at the home court of the #1 seed; they play the tournament on a neutral floor in Reno these days, but still??.

5) Fairfield has basketball players from nine different countries, plus Puerto Rico.

4) Eastern Washington?s Bogdan Bliznyuk has made 74 foul shots in a row, which is an NCAA single-season record.

3) Since the NCAA tournament went to 64, and then 68 teams, #2 seeds are 124-8 in their first round tournament games; here are the eight #2 seeds who lost in the first round:

1990? Richmond (+9) 73, Syracuse 69
1993? Santa Clara (+20) 64, Arizona 61
1997? Coppin State (+17) 78, South Carolina 65
2001? Hampton (+17.5) 58, Iowa State 57
2012? Lehigh (+12) 75, Duke 70
2012? Norfolk State (+21.5) 86, Missouri 84
2013? Florida Gulf Coast (+13.5) 78, Georgetown 68
2016? Middle Tennessee State (+18) 90, Michigan State 81

2) Since 2003, Big Sky teams are 1-14 in first round NCAA tourney games; over the last 11 years, they?re 2-8-1 vs spread in first round games.

1? Big West teams have also had problems in the NCAA?s recently; since 2006, Big West teams are 2-0 in play-in games, but are 1-11 in first round games, 4-8 vs spread.

 

[Cnotes53]

ACC Conference Tournament First Round betting preview and odds

The first round of the ACC Tournament gets underway in Brooklyn and if any of the teams involved in Tuesday's opening round hope to go dancing, it will take a miracle deep run to a conference tournament title.

Tournament to be played at Barclays Center, Brooklyn, New York.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets vs. Boston College Eagles (-2, 138.5)

Boston College has concluded its winningest season since 2010-11 and looks to extend that success into the opening round of the ACC Tournament on Tuesday against Georgia Tech at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, N.Y. The No. 12-seed Eagles won seven games in conference play this season - sparked by league player-of-the-year runner-up Jerome Robinson and his ACC-leading 20.7 points per game - but struggled down the stretch in Saturday?s 85-76 defeat at Florida State.

The 13th-seeded Yellow Jackets lost seven league games in a row before winning their final two games of the regular season, earning victories over North Carolina State and Wake Forest last week. Josh Okogie hit six free throws in the final 17 seconds of Saturday?s 64-56 victory over the Demon Deacons, and enters the tournament averaging a team-best 18.4 points per game. Tadric Jackson averages 12.1 points per game and has taken over at point guard following the season-ending elbow injury to freshman Jose Alvarado. The Yellow Jackets allow 67.3 points per game, fourth in the ACC and 47th in the nation.

Robinson enjoyed a stellar regular season, averaging 24.3 points per game in ACC contests while hitting 44.5 percent of his 3-point attempts in league action. Fellow guard Ky Bowman is the only player in the nation to average at least 16.9 points, 6.7 rebounds and 4.8 assists per game this season. Boston College leads the ACC in made 3-pointers per game (8.8) and the Eagles are one of just three teams in the nation to have a trio of players (Jordan Chatman, Robinson and Bowman) to make at least 73 3-pointers this season.

BETTING STATS:

BETTING ACTION AND LINE MOVEMENT:

Boston College opened as 2-point favorites and as of Monday evening that number has not moved. The total hit betting boards at 138.5 and has also held steady thus far.

MATCHUP CHART:

TRENDS:

* Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. Atlantic Coast.
* Eagles are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games.
* Under is 6-1 in Yellow Jackets' last 7 games following a straight up win.
* Over is 4-1 in Eagles' last 5 overall.
* Over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.




Pittsburgh Panthers vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish (-16.5, 133.5)

Notre Dame finally has a healthy lineup as it attempts to make a run in the ACC Tournament, which starts with a matchup against 15th seed Pittsburgh on Tuesday at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, N.Y. Senior forward Bonzie Colson has averaged 18 points and 12 rebounds in two games since his return from a broken foot for the 10th-seeded Fighting Irish, who gave No. 1 Virginia all it could handle in a 62-57 setback Saturday.

The Irish, who are 12-4 with Colson in the lineup, will most likely need multiple wins in the ACC tournament to open the eyes of the NCAA committee to earn a bid in the Big Dance and knocking off a young Pittsburgh squad is essential. The Irish were also 1-4 when Matt Farrell was out with an ankle injury and the senior guard contributes 16.8 points with team highs of 5.3 assists and 86 made 3-pointers while being named third team All-ACC.

The Panthers have lost a program-record 18 consecutive games - all in ACC play - and were beaten by double figures in 15 of them, including a 73-56 decision at Notre Dame on Wednesday. Junior guard Jared Wilson-Frame scored 20 in the loss against the Irish and is the only active Panther averaging in double figures (12.8) while draining 71 shots from 3-point range.

BETTING STATS:

BETTING ACTION AND LINE MOVEMENT:

The Fighting Irish opened as huge 16.5-point favorites with the total hitting betting boards at 133.5. As of Monday evening neither number has moved.

MATCHUP CHART:

TRENDS:

* Panthers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
* Fighting Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games.
* Under is 38-15 in Panthers' last 53 vs. Atlantic Coast.
* Over is 5-1 in Fighting Irish's last 6 games following a straight up loss.
* Panthers are 4-0-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.




Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Syracuse Orange (-4, 133)

Syracuse and Wake Forest clash for the third time this season Tuesday as the 11th-seeded Orange and the 14th-seeded Demon Deacons meet in the first round of the ACC Tournament at the Barclays Center in Brooklyn, N.Y. The teams split the two meetings this season, with Wake Forest winning 73-67 at home Jan. 3 and Syracuse returning the favor 78-70 on Feb. 11.

The Orange come in feeling good about themselves after boosting their NCAA Tournament hopes with a much-needed marquee win as they edged No. 20 Clemson in their regular-season finale Saturday. Sophomore guard Tyus Battle and freshman forward Oshae Brissett each had 17 points to lead the way against Clemson and both were recognized by the league on Sunday, with Battle earning All-ACC second team honors and Brissett being named to the All-ACC freshman team. Battle is the offensive leader for the Orange and finished the season ranked third in ACC scoring at 20 points per game on 41 percent shooting while leading the NCAA in minutes per game (38.9).

Wake Forest's final regular-season game didn't go as well as it fell 64-56 at Georgia Tech on Saturday for its second consecutive loss. Bryant Crawford, the team's leading scorer (16.7), had 22 to lead Wake Forest against Georgia Tech for his ninth 20-point game of the season and sixth in conference play. Doral Moore, a 7-1 junior center, added 12 points and 13 rebounds for his 12th double-double of the season and was one of just two players to average a double-double in ACC action - with Duke's Marvin Bagley III being the other.

BETTING STATS:

BETTING ACTION AND LINE MOVEMENT:

Syracuse opened as 3-point favorites and that number was quickly pushed up slightly to -4. The total hit betting boards at 133 and has yet to move as of Monday night.

MATCHUP CHART:

TRENDS:

* Demon Deacons are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 vs. Atlantic Coast.
* Orange are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games.
* Over is 4-0 in Demon Deacons' last 4 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Under is 4-1 in Orange's last 5 neutral site games.
* Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


GEORGIA TECH (13 - 18) vs. BOSTON COLLEGE (17 - 14) - 3/6/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA TECH is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGIA TECH is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 2-1 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


PITTSBURGH (8 - 23) vs. NOTRE DAME (18 - 13) - 3/6/2018, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games in first round tournament games since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 3-0 against the spread versus NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 2-1 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


WAKE FOREST (11 - 19) vs. SYRACUSE (19 - 12) - 3/6/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WAKE FOREST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games this season.
WAKE FOREST is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
WAKE FOREST is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
WAKE FOREST is 31-53 ATS (-27.3 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) against conference opponents this season.
WAKE FOREST is 21-44 ATS (-27.4 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
WAKE FOREST is 31-53 ATS (-27.3 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 33-55 ATS (-27.5 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
WAKE FOREST is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WAKE FOREST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
SYRACUSE is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
SYRACUSE is 3-1 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 3-1 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MONTANA ST (13 - 18) vs. N DAKOTA (11 - 19) - 3/6/2018, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTANA ST is 48-78 ATS (-37.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.
N DAKOTA is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after allowing 80 points or more this season.
N DAKOTA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
MONTANA ST is 3-2 against the spread versus N DAKOTA over the last 3 seasons
N DAKOTA is 3-2 straight up against MONTANA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


N ARIZONA (5 - 26) vs. N COLORADO (20 - 11) - 3/6/2018, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ARIZONA is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
N ARIZONA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
N ARIZONA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
N COLORADO is 2-2 against the spread versus N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
N COLORADO is 3-1 straight up against N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SOUTHERN UTAH (11 - 18) vs. IDAHO ST (14 - 15) - 3/6/2018, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IDAHO ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
IDAHO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent this season.
IDAHO ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.


Head-to-Head Series History
IDAHO ST is 4-1 against the spread versus SOUTHERN UTAH over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO ST is 4-1 straight up against SOUTHERN UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SACRAMENTO ST (7 - 24) vs. PORTLAND ST (19 - 12) - 3/6/2018, 11:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO ST is 4-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND ST over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND ST is 3-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO ST over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


FLORIDA A&M (8 - 24) vs. HOWARD (10 - 22) - 3/6/2018, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA A&M is 3-2 straight up against HOWARD over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


COPPIN ST (5 - 26) vs. NC CENTRAL (15 - 15) - 3/6/2018, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC CENTRAL is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
NC CENTRAL is 2-1 straight up against COPPIN ST over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


S CAROLINA ST (10 - 21) vs. MORGAN ST (11 - 18) - 3/6/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S CAROLINA ST is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all games since 1997.
S CAROLINA ST is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
S CAROLINA ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA ST is 2-1 straight up against MORGAN ST over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LONG ISLAND (17 - 16) at WAGNER (23 - 8) - 3/6/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LONG ISLAND is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
WAGNER is 1-0 against the spread versus LONG ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
LONG ISLAND is 5-2 straight up against WAGNER over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


STONY BROOK (13 - 18) at VERMONT (26 - 6) - 3/6/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
VERMONT is 0-0 against the spread versus STONY BROOK over the last 3 seasons
VERMONT is 5-2 straight up against STONY BROOK over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


HARTFORD (19 - 12) at MD-BALT COUNTY (22 - 10) - 3/6/2018, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
MD-BALT COUNTY is 3-3 straight up against HARTFORD over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MISS VALLEY ST (4 - 27) at ARK-PINE BLUFF (12 - 20) - 3/6/2018, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MISS VALLEY ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MISS VALLEY ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MISS VALLEY ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
ARK-PINE BLUFF is 4-2 straight up against MISS VALLEY ST over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


JACKSON ST (12 - 19) at SOUTHERN U (14 - 17) - 3/6/2018, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN U is 3-2 against the spread versus JACKSON ST over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN U is 5-3 straight up against JACKSON ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ALABAMA ST (8 - 22) at TEXAS SOUTHERN (12 - 19) - 3/6/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) as a favorite since 1997.


Head-to-Head Series History
ALABAMA ST is 2-0 against the spread versus TEXAS SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 7-0 straight up against ALABAMA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


ALCORN ST (11 - 20) at PRAIRIE VIEW A&M (15 - 18) - 3/6/2018, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.


Head-to-Head Series History
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M is 3-3 straight up against ALCORN ST over the last 3 seasons




--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LOUISVILLE (19 - 12) vs. FLORIDA ST (20 - 10) - 3/7/2018, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games in March games over the last 3 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 124-92 ATS (+22.8 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
FLORIDA ST is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA ST is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


Head-to-Head Series History
LOUISVILLE is 3-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA ST is 2-2 straight up against LOUISVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB

Tuesday, March 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GEORGIA TECH @ BOSTON COLLEGE
GEORGIA TECH

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Georgia Tech's last 7 games when playing Boston College
Georgia Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
BOSTON COLLEGE

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston College's last 7 games when playing Georgia Tech
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games
PITTSBURGH @ NOTRE DAME
PITTSBURGH

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Notre Dame
NOTRE DAME

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Notre Dame is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
MONTANA STATE @ NORTH DAKOTA
MONTANA STATE

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montana State's last 5 games
Montana State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing North Dakota
NORTH DAKOTA

The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Dakota's last 6 games when playing Montana State
North Dakota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
FLORIDA A&M @ HOWARD
FLORIDA A&M

No trends to report
HOWARD

No trends to report
NORTHERN COLORADO @ NORTHERN ARIZONA
NORTHERN COLORADO

Northern Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Northern Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
NORTHERN ARIZONA

Northern Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Northern Arizona's last 9 games
COPPIN STATE @ NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
COPPIN STATE

No trends to report
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

No trends to report
LIU-BROOKLYN @ WAGNER
LIU-BROOKLYN

No trends to report
WAGNER

No trends to report
STONY BROOK @ VERMONT
STONY BROOK

No trends to report
VERMONT

No trends to report
WAKE FOREST @ SYRACUSE
WAKE FOREST

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wake Forest's last 5 games when playing Syracuse
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Wake Forest's last 8 games
SYRACUSE

Syracuse is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Wake Forest
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Syracuse's last 5 games when playing Wake Forest
NORTHEASTERN @ COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON
NORTHEASTERN

Northeastern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Northeastern's last 7 games
COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON

College of Charleston is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of College of Charleston's last 9 games
CLEVELAND STATE @ WRIGHT STATE
CLEVELAND STATE

Cleveland State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Wright State
WRIGHT STATE

Wright State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland State
Wright State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
HARTFORD @ UMBC
HARTFORD

No trends to report
UMBC

No trends to report
JACKSON STATE @ SOUTHERN
JACKSON STATE

No trends to report
SOUTHERN

No trends to report
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE @ ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY STATE

No trends to report
ARKANSAS-PINE BLUFF

No trends to report
SOUTHERN UTAH @ IDAHO STATE
SOUTHERN UTAH

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Utah's last 5 games when playing Idaho State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Utah's last 5 games
IDAHO STATE

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Idaho State's last 5 games when playing Southern Utah
Idaho State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Southern Utah
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE @ MORGAN STATE
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE

No trends to report
MORGAN STATE

No trends to report
ALABAMA STATE @ TEXAS SOUTHERN
ALABAMA STATE

No trends to report
TEXAS SOUTHERN

No trends to report
SOUTH DAKOTA @ SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
SOUTH DAKOTA

South Dakota is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Dakota's last 6 games when playing South Dakota State
SOUTH DAKOTA STATE

South Dakota State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Dakota State's last 6 games when playing South Dakota
BYU @ GONZAGA
BYU

The total has gone OVER in 7 of BYU's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of BYU's last 17 games when playing Gonzaga
GONZAGA

Gonzaga is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Gonzaga is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing BYU
ALCORN STATE @ PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
ALCORN STATE

No trends to report
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M

No trends to report
SACRAMENTO STATE @ PORTLAND STATE
SACRAMENTO STATE

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Sacramento State's last 11 games when playing Portland State
Sacramento State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland State
PORTLAND STATE

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Portland State's last 11 games when playing Sacramento State
Portland State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 6

ACC tournament, Brooklyn
Georgia Tech lost 80-72 in OT at Boston College Feb 4, after leading by 13 in first half; Eagles won last five series games, with four wins by 1 or 2 points or in OT- this is 4th time in last six years these teams have met in ACC tourney. Jackets lost their last seven games away from home- they won last two games overall after a 1-11 skid. Eagles lost four of their last five games; they?re 12-0 this season vs teams ranked outside top 100. Last six years, BC is 2-6 in ACC tourney; Tech is 2-7 in last seven ACC tourneys, with both wins in OT games.

Pitt lost 73-56 at Notre Dame six days ago, going 7-30 on arc; teams split last six meetings, but Panthers start four freshmen this year and went 0-18 in ACC, while Irish just got star Colson back from injury (missed 15 games, played in last two) and likely need couple wins to make NCAA?s. Notre Dame is 5-3 in its last eight games. Pitt?s last two losses were by 29-17 points. Notre Dame is 6-2 in last three ACC tourneys, winning it in ?15; they?re 8-1 in first game of last nine conference tourneys. Pitt won its first tourney game four of the last six years.

Since joining ACC, Syracuse is 0-3 in ACC tourney games, losing by 3-1-5 points. Orange lost four of last six games overall and six of last nine road games. Wake lost 15 of last 19 games overall, nine of last ten on road; shot 37.8% on arc in ACC play, which helps vs 2-3 zone. Orange bench plays fewest minutes of any bench in country. Syracuse-Wake Forest split pair this year; Orange is 5-1 overall vs Wake in ACC games. Deacons are 2-8 in last eight ACC tourneys. Brooklyn site gives Syracuse big crowd edge here.

Big Sky tournament, Reno
Montana State lost finals of ?09 Big Sky tourney; other than that year, since ?03, Bobcats are 0-11 in Big Sky tourney games, losing in first round last six years. North Dakota is 8-3 in last four Big Sky tourneys, winning it LY. Hawks lost 8 of last 12 games; three of their last five games were decided by 4 points or in OT. Bobcats lost last six games and 12 of last 14 after starting out 4-0 in Big Sky play. State-UND split pair of games this year; State blew 9-point 2nd half lead in losing last meeting in Grand Forks by a point. Teams split their last eight meetings.

Northern Arizona lost 95-60 at Northern Colorado Feb 15, but game was only 44-37 at half; Bears won three of last four series games, but they lost 63-57 to the Lumberjacks in this event three years ago. Under Murphy, NAU is 1-5 in Big Sky tourney, with three first round losses by 13+ points. Bears didn?t play in this event last year; they lost in first round the two years before that. NAU is 5-26 and lost nine of last ten games; they turn ball over 21.9% of time. Northern Colorado won six of last eight games but got upset in last game in Sacramento.

Southern Utah lost five of its last six games; three of their last four games were decided by 3 or fewer points or in OT. Idaho State is 4-3 in its last seven games; they split last six road games. SUU/Idaho State split paid of games this season; Bengals won four of last five series games, but they led by 11 with with 10:18 left in last meeting Feb 3 before losing 84-80 to the Thunderbirds. SUU is 3-11 in last 11 conference tourneys; they did win first round game here LY, in triple OT. ISU hasn?t won a Big Sky tourney game since ?09, losing last three first round games.

Sacramento State was 4-14 in Big Sky this year but they beat 9-9 Portland State twice; Hornets won seven of last ten series games. Hornets won their first round tourney game the last three years; PSU won eight of last nine first round tourney games. Sac State snapped 9-game losing skid with upset of Northern Colorado Saturday; Hornets are 1-15 this season away from home. Vikings won four of their last five games; three of their last six went to OT. Portland State is #34 experience team in country- they?re 12-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200.

WCC tournament, Orleans Arena, Las Vegas
BYU snapped an 0-5 skid vs Gonzaga/St Mary?s in WCC tourney last night, but they worked their butts off doing it, playing two guys 40:00 minutes, a 3rd guy 39:00. Gonzaga won its last 13 games overall; they also won their last 16 WCC tourney games, but Zags are 4-11 vs spread in their last 15 games this season. BYU lost to Gonzaga twice this season, by 14-8 points; both teams had Sunday off, which means teams are playing 3rd game in four nights. Zags haven?t worked too hard; they won their last three games, by 14-14-28 points.

CAA tournament, Charleston
Charleston beat Northeastern twice this year, by 16-5 points; teams split their 10 CAA meetings. Cougars won 13 of their last 14 games; they won last two nights by 7-10 points, playing four starters 35:00+ minutes last nite. Northeastern won its last nine games overall- they won first two tourney games by 24-27 points- only one Husky played more than 29:00 last night. Northeastern has deeper bench; teams are both playing for 3rd night in row. This game is in Charleston, but not in Cougars? home gym.

Horizon Valley tournament, Detroit
8-seed Cleveland State upset No Kentucky/Oakland to get to finals here; they split pair of games with Wright State this year, losing by 8 in last meeting 15 days ago when they led by 8 in second half. Cleveland State is playing 4th game in five nights; they won six of last eight games after starting season 6-20. Raiders haven?t won Horizon tourney since 2007, losing in finals three of last five years. Wright State won five of its last six games, is 16-4 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Raiders played only seven guys last night; four played 30:00+.

Summit tournament, Sioux Falls, SD
South Dakota State won its last ten games; they?re 20-1 since a 112-103 double OT loss at Colorado on December 15, with only loss 87-68 at South Dakota Jan 24- Jackrabbits won rematch 76-72 two weeks ago. State won 10 of last 13 series games. Both teams cruised last night; State played their PG 37:00 last nite- no one else played more than 28:00. Coyotes didn?t play anyone more than 30:00. Jackrabbits are #49 experience team, South Dakota is #136. South Dakota won 12 of its last 14 games overall.

 

[Cnotes53]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 6


Georgia Tech @ Boston College

Game 517-518
March 6, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Tech
59.737
Boston College
64.824
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston College
by 5
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston College
by 2
140
Dunkel Pick:
Boston College
(-2); Under

Pittsburgh @ Notre Dame

Game 519-520
March 6, 2018 @ 2:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
47.823
Notre Dame
67.895
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Notre Dame
by 20 1/2
128
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Notre Dame
by 16 1/2
134
Dunkel Pick:
Notre Dame
(-16 1/2); Under

Wake Forest @ Syracuse

Game 521-522
March 6, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Wake Forest
62.337
Syracuse
64.409
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Syracuse
by 2
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Syracuse
by 4 1/2
133
Dunkel Pick:
Wake Forest
(+4 1/2); Over

Cleveland State @ Wright State

Game 523-524
March 6, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland State
00.000
Wright State
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland State

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland State

Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland State
( );

Northeastern @ Coll of Charleston

Game 525-526
March 6, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northeastern
00.000
Coll of Charlesto
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northeastern

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northeastern

Dunkel Pick:
Northeastern
( );

Brigham Young @ Gonzaga

Game 527-528
March 6, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brigham Young
00.000
Gonzaga
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brigham Young

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young

Dunkel Pick:
Brigham Young
( );

Montana State @ North Dakota

Game 529-530
March 6, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montana State
44.523
North Dakota
48.429
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Dakota
by 4
158
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Dakota
by 1 1/2
154
Dunkel Pick:
North Dakota
(-1 1/2); Over

Northern Arizona @ Northern Colorado

Game 531-532
March 6, 2018 @ 5:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Arizona
38.737
Northern Colorado
53.665
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Colorado
by 15
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northern Colorado
by 12 1/2
144 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Colorado
(-12 1/2); Over

Southern Utah @ Idaho State

Game 533-534
March 6, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Southern Utah
41.512
Idaho State
46.674
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Idaho State
by 5
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Idaho State
by 3 1/2
152 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Idaho State
(-3 1/2); Under

Sacramento St @ Portland St

Game 535-536
March 6, 2018 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento St
43.124
Portland St
52.278
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland St
by 9
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland St
by 6
157
Dunkel Pick:
Portland St
(-6); Under

South Dakota @ South Dakota St

Game 537-538
March 6, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Dakota
00.000
South Dakota St
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Dakota

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Dakota

Dunkel Pick:
South Dakota
( );

Florida A&M @ Howard

Game 539-540
March 6, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida A&M
34.763
Howard
35.824
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Howard
by 1
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Howard
by 3
145 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Florida A&M
(+3); Over

Coppin State @ NC Central

Game 541-542
March 6, 2018 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Coppin State
35.519
NC Central
39.614
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC Central
by 4
138
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC Central
by 7
133
Dunkel Pick:
Coppin State
(+7); Over

South Carolina St @ Morgan State

Game 543-544
March 6, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina St
36.454
Morgan State
38.339
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Morgan State
by 2
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Morgan State
by 4
145 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Carolina St
(+4); Over

LIU-Brooklyn @ Wagner

Game 545-546
March 6, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LIU-Brooklyn
44.534
Wagner
54.612
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wagner
by 10
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wagner
by 8
150
Dunkel Pick:
Wagner
(-8); Under

Stony Brook @ Vermont

Game 547-548
March 6, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stony Brook
46.364
Vermont
60.785
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vermont
by 14 1/2
128
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Vermont
by 12
134
Dunkel Pick:
Vermont
(-12); Under

Hartford @ MD-Baltimore Co

Game 549-550
March 6, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Hartford
51.398
MD-Baltimore Co
52.896
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
MD-Baltimore Co
by 1 1/2
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
MD-Baltimore Co
by 5
139
Dunkel Pick:
Hartford
(+5); Over

Miss Valley St @ AR-Pine Bluff

Game 551-552
March 6, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miss Valley St
34.618
AR-Pine Bluff
39.534
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
AR-Pine Bluff
by 5
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
AR-Pine Bluff
by 9 1/2
134 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miss Valley St
(+9 1/2); Over

Jackson State @ Southern

Game 553-554
March 6, 2018 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jackson State
32.612
Southern
40.723
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Southern
by 8
125
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Southern
by 5 1/2
130
Dunkel Pick:
Southern
(-5 1/2); Under

Alabama State @ Texas Southern

Game 555-556
March 6, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama State
33.217
Texas Southern
46.345
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas Southern
by 13
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas Southern
by 11 1/2
155 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas Southern
(-11 1/2); Under

Alcorn State @ Prairie View

Game 557-558
March 6, 2018 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alcorn State
34.298
Prairie View
46.867
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Prairie View
by 12 1/2
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Prairie View
by 9 1/2
148
Dunkel Pick:
Prairie View
(-9 1/2); Under

 

[Cnotes53]

TOP 25 THIS WEEK: League tourneys set to impact NCAA seeding
March 6, 2018

RALEIGH, N.C. (AP) Selection Sunday is now days away, making this week the last chance for teams to earn a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament, stay close to home - or simply earn a bid.

The Big Ten has already wrapped up its early tournament , with seventh-ranked Michigan playing its way into similar position as last year when the Wolverines got hot late, won the league tournament and went on to the NCAA Sweet 16. And the West Coast Conference concludes with Tuesday's final between No. 6 Gonzaga and BYU in Las Vegas.

Now college basketball's other top conferences are heading into their tournaments. The Atlantic Coast Conference opens Tuesday. The Big East, Big 12, Pac-12, Southeastern Conference open play Wednesday, while the American Athletic Conference Tournament starts Thursday.

Here are storylines to watch:

ACC

Top-ranked Virginia, which became the unanimous No. 1 in the AP Top 25 on Monday, begins in Thursday's quarterfinals and looks solid for a No. 1 NCAA seed regardless of what happens in Brooklyn . The Cavaliers are No. 1 in the RPI and in KenPom, won the ACC regular-season race by four games and own a 9-1 record against Quadrant 1 opponents through Sunday's games - Quadrant 1 contests are home games vs. teams ranked 1-30 in RPI, neutral games vs. 1-50 and away games vs. 1-75.

The other question is what happens with rivals Duke and North Carolina.

The fifth-ranked Blue Devils open play in Thursday's quarterfinals while sitting at No. 3 in KenPom and No. 4 in the RPI. A run to a second straight ACC Tournament title could help them snag a No. 1 seed.

As for the No. 12 Tar Heels, they finished tied for third in the standings but ended up as the No. 6 seed due to tiebreakers. Yet they enter Wednesday's second-round game against the Wake Forest-Syracuse winner with 10 Quadrant 1 wins, second only to Kansas (11) - and that could have them in contention for a 2-seed despite their low ACC Tournament seeding.

The ACC has a national-best five teams in the AP Top 25.

BIG EAST

Villanova hopped over Xavier to reach No. 2 in Monday's poll, though the third-ranked Musketeers are the No. 1 seed in the Big East Tournament. And Villanova swept the regular-season series.

Both teams open play in Thursday's quarterfinals in New York's Madison Square Garden, with Xavier facing the St. John's-Georgetown winner and Villanova facing the DePaul-Marquette winner. And one - maybe both? - could end up earning No. 1 NCAA seeds.

BIG 12

Ninth-ranked Kansas enters the Big 12 Tournament in Kansas City, Missouri, as the top seed and in the running for a No. 1 NCAA seed. The Jayhawks face the Oklahoma-Oklahoma State winner in Thursday's quarterfinals.

No. 14 Texas Tech, the second seed, opens play against the Iowa State-Texas winner, while No. 18 West Virginia faces bubble team Baylor to wrap up the quarterfinals.

PAC-12

No. 15 Arizona enters the Pac-12 Tournament in Las Vegas as the top seed. The Wildcats will face the Arizona State-Colorado winner in Thursday's quarterfinals as the only AP Top 25 team in the field.

SEC

The Southeastern Conference Tournament begins Wednesday in St. Louis and ends Sunday a few hours before the field of 68 is announced. No. 13 Tennessee and No. 16 Auburn shared the regular-season title, though the Tigers claimed the No. 1 seed.

Both teams open play in Friday's quarterfinals, with Auburn facing the Alabama-Texas A&M winner and Tennessee facing the LSU-Mississippi State winner.

No. 23 Florida is the other ranked team in the SEC field.

AAC

No. 8 Cincinnati and No. 11 Wichita State met over the weekend to determine the American Athletic Conference regular-season title. Could they do it again in the AAC Tournament?

Both look like candidates to be a No. 3 seed at least depending on how things go in Orlando when the tournament begins Thursday. The top-seeded Bearcats open in Friday's quarterfinals against the SMU-Connecticut winner, while the second-seeded Shockers face the Tulane-Temple winner.

Also lurking in Wichita State's half of the bracket is No. 21 Houston, which is closing in on its first NCAA Tournament bid since 2010 and only its second in 26 years. The Cougars face the East Carolina-UCF winner.