college play for 9/10 - 9/12.....
- Thread starter AR182
- Start date
Like the So Miss play
Iowa ISU I never bet it--ISU just goes wild at Ames then they play Iowa--scary game
Af will be an interesting game--new stadium-the FlyBoys never give up
You always have good write ups
GL
Iowa ISU I never bet it--ISU just goes wild at Ames then they play Iowa--scary game
Af will be an interesting game--new stadium-the FlyBoys never give up
You always have good write ups
GL
thanks guys..appreciate the comments....
adding...
unlv+7.5(115).....
under riley,osu has been slow starters as they have gone 0-9 su & 1-8 ats on the road in the 1st 4 weeks of the season with an average ats loss of 15.8 ppg....
osu is returning 3 starters from last years defense & last week they allowed port. st. to pass for 349 yds......with unlv returning 7 from last years offense, including the qb, clayton & having a very good group of receivers, i think unlv will be able to stay within a td of osu & maybe even pull an upset...in addition under sanford, unlv is 8-2 ats as home dogs....while osu has a revenger next game vs. cin. who beat osu 34-3 2 years ago....
wash.st+3(125)....
hawaii is 4-16 su & 9-11 ats in its 1st road game on the mainland in the last 20 yrs. including 1-5 su vs. bcs teams....& with wsu's offense returning 8from last year's starters, i think they will be able to take advantage of the hawaii defense who is returning only 2 players from last years starters....
good luck....
adding...
unlv+7.5(115).....
under riley,osu has been slow starters as they have gone 0-9 su & 1-8 ats on the road in the 1st 4 weeks of the season with an average ats loss of 15.8 ppg....
osu is returning 3 starters from last years defense & last week they allowed port. st. to pass for 349 yds......with unlv returning 7 from last years offense, including the qb, clayton & having a very good group of receivers, i think unlv will be able to stay within a td of osu & maybe even pull an upset...in addition under sanford, unlv is 8-2 ats as home dogs....while osu has a revenger next game vs. cin. who beat osu 34-3 2 years ago....
wash.st+3(125)....
hawaii is 4-16 su & 9-11 ats in its 1st road game on the mainland in the last 20 yrs. including 1-5 su vs. bcs teams....& with wsu's offense returning 8from last year's starters, i think they will be able to take advantage of the hawaii defense who is returning only 2 players from last years starters....
good luck....
I really like the Tulane play. As usual, your analysis on this one is well thought out and appears to be right on the money.
thanks spang...appreciate it...
ucla+10(130)....
think ucla is a real value at this price because imo there isn't much difference between the 2 teams...& probably a good argument can be made for ucla being better especially with norm chow calling the offense for ucla & working against a suspect tenn. 2ndary...
for years there was talk of betting against neuheisel as a favorite....& betting with him as a dog since he is 26-15-1 ats as a dog since he became a head coach....also ucla is 12-3 ats in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1992......
w. mich.+2(120)......
w. mich. has a large edge at qb & after being manhandled by a motivated mich. team last week think hiller will rebound vs. an indy team going downhill.....also wm beat iowa & illinois each of the last 2 years knocking both from bowls......
good luck...
ucla+10(130)....
think ucla is a real value at this price because imo there isn't much difference between the 2 teams...& probably a good argument can be made for ucla being better especially with norm chow calling the offense for ucla & working against a suspect tenn. 2ndary...
for years there was talk of betting against neuheisel as a favorite....& betting with him as a dog since he is 26-15-1 ats as a dog since he became a head coach....also ucla is 12-3 ats in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1992......
w. mich.+2(120)......
w. mich. has a large edge at qb & after being manhandled by a motivated mich. team last week think hiller will rebound vs. an indy team going downhill.....also wm beat iowa & illinois each of the last 2 years knocking both from bowls......
good luck...
Great write ups AR, i always enjoy them! However, a few comments on the IA-ISU game you had are a bit off.
Iowas top runner is not a former walk on. O'Meara got the start in week 1, however Adam Robinson and Jeff Brinson (injured week 1) are the top 2 backs.
Also, keep in mind Iowa had 2 OL out in week 1. Calloway (3rd yr senior right tackle) was suspended and is back this week. Also, Julian Vandervelde will back back as well (injured last week). The line will look much different this week.
Now, even being a hawkeye fan, i would not bet Iowa
You probably still capped it right as Iowa always struggles in Ames. Thanks again for all of your writeups, they are awesome!!!
Damn you have a lot of plays.....was hoping you would get to West Mich.........looks like a play of the week to me........GL
Great write ups AR, i always enjoy them! However, a few comments on the IA-ISU game you had are a bit off.
Iowas top runner is not a former walk on. O'Meara got the start in week 1, however Adam Robinson and Jeff Brinson (injured week 1) are the top 2 backs.
Also, keep in mind Iowa had 2 OL out in week 1. Calloway (3rd yr senior right tackle) was suspended and is back this week. Also, Julian Vandervelde will back back as well (injured last week). The line will look much different this week.
Now, even being a hawkeye fan, i would not bet Iowa
Thanks again for all of your writeups, they are awesome!!!
thanks for your input greene...i appreciate it....
cie....it's me, you & mully...all i can tell you is to be prepared & wear a bathing suit...
good luck....
statman...i'm not good enough to narrow down my plays & this is the only way i know...
thanks & good luck also....
adding....
kent st.+21(115).....
it seems like boston college is on a coaching carousel & it has to be unsettling to the players...they also seem to be unsettled at the qb position between a redshirt freshman & a player who hasn't played football in 6 years & who wasn't around for spring practice....last year bc avaeraged 24.7 ppg.....also the usually staunch defensive interior that bc has had for years lost their top 2 players in the nfl draft..while injury & illness has taken away key lb?s herzlich & mclaughin, with starter thompson also missing last saturday, though he should return this week.....
without thompson they started 2 freshman & a sophomore at lb, & since thompson is only a soph himself they are extremely untested....
kent state has a veteran o-line leading the way for a very good back in jarvis (rushed for 1370 yds.), who can be effective against bc young lb?s....btw kent ranked 11th nationwide in rushing averaging 230 yds. per game...in addition kent may have found a new weapon in freshman wr goode....also the defense has a chance to be vastly improved over last year's unit that ranked 98th in scoring defense allowing a little over 31 ppg....in total kent returns 7 from last year's starters....
next week bc has a big acc game vs. clemson....& last year against kent & right before a big game vs. gt, bc played very conservatively attempting only 12 passes vs. 47 running attempts & beat kent 21-0....
bc is not an explosive team, they are a plodding team that usually doesn't pull away from their opponent unless they get many turnovers...
under 59 (115) kst / lafayette...
i'm basically tailing hawkeye on this play....but this is kst's 1st year starting qb very 1st road start & last week against southern he completed an unimpressive 52% of his throws for 182 yds.....& although ull returns 16 starters from last year,they did lose their top 3 skill players (qb,rb,& wr) who were long time starters.....also both teams have veteran defenses with ull returning 9 starters & 3 in the 2ndary from last year, while kst returns 8 & 3 in the 2ndary......
good luck...
kent st.+21(115).....
it seems like boston college is on a coaching carousel & it has to be unsettling to the players...they also seem to be unsettled at the qb position between a redshirt freshman & a player who hasn't played football in 6 years & who wasn't around for spring practice....last year bc avaeraged 24.7 ppg.....also the usually staunch defensive interior that bc has had for years lost their top 2 players in the nfl draft..while injury & illness has taken away key lb?s herzlich & mclaughin, with starter thompson also missing last saturday, though he should return this week.....
without thompson they started 2 freshman & a sophomore at lb, & since thompson is only a soph himself they are extremely untested....
kent state has a veteran o-line leading the way for a very good back in jarvis (rushed for 1370 yds.), who can be effective against bc young lb?s....btw kent ranked 11th nationwide in rushing averaging 230 yds. per game...in addition kent may have found a new weapon in freshman wr goode....also the defense has a chance to be vastly improved over last year's unit that ranked 98th in scoring defense allowing a little over 31 ppg....in total kent returns 7 from last year's starters....
next week bc has a big acc game vs. clemson....& last year against kent & right before a big game vs. gt, bc played very conservatively attempting only 12 passes vs. 47 running attempts & beat kent 21-0....
bc is not an explosive team, they are a plodding team that usually doesn't pull away from their opponent unless they get many turnovers...
under 59 (115) kst / lafayette...
i'm basically tailing hawkeye on this play....but this is kst's 1st year starting qb very 1st road start & last week against southern he completed an unimpressive 52% of his throws for 182 yds.....& although ull returns 16 starters from last year,they did lose their top 3 skill players (qb,rb,& wr) who were long time starters.....also both teams have veteran defenses with ull returning 9 starters & 3 in the 2ndary from last year, while kst returns 8 & 3 in the 2ndary......
good luck...
a capper at another site gave me this idea & i thought that i would follow only if i could find supporting info.....
under 22(110) 1st half clemson / gt.....
from what i have read clemson has an inexperienced qb, has a very good running back (spiller) with all 5 starters back from the o-line & mediocre receivers...also gt returns 1 starter from last years d-line...& because of that i don't think that cu is going to take many chances early in the ball game & instead help the qb get used to playing acc football on the road.........last year clemson probably did one of the best jobs in defending the gt offense & held them to under 300 yards of total offense....this year clemson returns 8 starters from last years defense, including 2 on the d-line....
since 1992....7 of 10 games in this series have gone under the 1st half total....in 2007 a total of 10 points was scored in the 1st half & last year 17 points was scored....
since 1992....gt is 18-4 under the 1st half total when playing on a thursday....the average score was gt 12.0, opponent 7.1....
play under - road teams where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 (clemson) - good defense from last season - allowed 315 or less total yards/game......
over the last 10 seasons the systems record is.....45-14.......76.3%........
the average first half total posted in these games was.....23......the average first half score in these games was.....team 9.4, opponent 9.8.....total first half points scored.....19.2.....
play under - all teams where the first half total is 21.5 to 24.5 (gt) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season, in conference games.......
over the last 10 seasons the systems record is....30-10......75%.....
the average first half total posted in these games was......23.3.....the average first half score in these games was....team 9.1, opponent 9.1.....total first half points scored.....18.2......
good luck....
under 22(110) 1st half clemson / gt.....
from what i have read clemson has an inexperienced qb, has a very good running back (spiller) with all 5 starters back from the o-line & mediocre receivers...also gt returns 1 starter from last years d-line...& because of that i don't think that cu is going to take many chances early in the ball game & instead help the qb get used to playing acc football on the road.........last year clemson probably did one of the best jobs in defending the gt offense & held them to under 300 yards of total offense....this year clemson returns 8 starters from last years defense, including 2 on the d-line....
since 1992....7 of 10 games in this series have gone under the 1st half total....in 2007 a total of 10 points was scored in the 1st half & last year 17 points was scored....
since 1992....gt is 18-4 under the 1st half total when playing on a thursday....the average score was gt 12.0, opponent 7.1....
play under - road teams where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 (clemson) - good defense from last season - allowed 315 or less total yards/game......
over the last 10 seasons the systems record is.....45-14.......76.3%........
the average first half total posted in these games was.....23......the average first half score in these games was.....team 9.4, opponent 9.8.....total first half points scored.....19.2.....
play under - all teams where the first half total is 21.5 to 24.5 (gt) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season, in conference games.......
over the last 10 seasons the systems record is....30-10......75%.....
the average first half total posted in these games was......23.3.....the average first half score in these games was....team 9.1, opponent 9.1.....total first half points scored.....18.2......
good luck....
Last edited:
Cannot find many on your card that I do not like, or had circled, so we will either sink or swim together
I followed you but if someone could cap an 80 yard off tackle run, gadget punt for 80 yd td, and gadget fg for td, then he/she should be setting the lines. That sucked, no apologies neccessary. Clemson should be playing on friday nights!
GL
GL
adding....
fresno st.+10 (125)....
play on - underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (fsu) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses, team that had a winning record last season......
over the last 10 seasons the system's record is......26-4......86.7%
the system's record this season is.....2-0......
michigan+3.5.....
play against an undefeated away favorite (nd) of 7 or less points off a 20+ points ats win vs. an opponent off a su & ats win.......
since 1980 the system's record is............ 25-3-2.........89.3%........
memphis+1.....
play against - all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (mts) - poor rushing team from last season - averaged 125 or less rushing yards/game, with an inexperienced QB as starter.......
over the last 10 seasons the system's record is......27-6......81.8%......
over the last 3 seasons the system's record is.......3-0......
san jose st+14(120)......
play on - home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (sjs) - after being outgained by 225 or more total yds in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning........
since 1992 the system's record is.......26-6........81.2%......
good luck....
fresno st.+10 (125)....
play on - underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (fsu) - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses, team that had a winning record last season......
over the last 10 seasons the system's record is......26-4......86.7%
the system's record this season is.....2-0......
michigan+3.5.....
play against an undefeated away favorite (nd) of 7 or less points off a 20+ points ats win vs. an opponent off a su & ats win.......
since 1980 the system's record is............ 25-3-2.........89.3%........
memphis+1.....
play against - all teams where the line is +3 to -3 (mts) - poor rushing team from last season - averaged 125 or less rushing yards/game, with an inexperienced QB as starter.......
over the last 10 seasons the system's record is......27-6......81.8%......
over the last 3 seasons the system's record is.......3-0......
san jose st+14(120)......
play on - home underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points (sjs) - after being outgained by 225 or more total yds in their previous game, with 8 or more offensive starters including the QB returning........
since 1992 the system's record is.......26-6........81.2%......
good luck....
Last edited:
It keeps getting worse for the Hawkeyes. Iowas #1 OL, starting LT Brian Buluga is OUT for Saturday as well. The Hawkeyes will start a RS freshman, Riley Reiff, this will be his first game action as a hawkeye.
Iowa now has a line as follows:
LT- Reiff (first start)
LG- Vandervelde/Gettis (VV has been injured all fall and wil get the start, Gettis wil see time and he struggled last week
C- Eubanks
RG- Richardson (missed the the previous 2 years of action with injuries until last week....he played RT last week.
RT- Calloway- back in action after serving a one game suspension
