Actually it's the "pay for picks" guy looking for some help for his subscribers, AR. Don't sweat 'em, AR and keep postin' winners
college plays for 10/31-11/5.....
- Thread starter AR182
- Start date
Actually it's the "pay for picks" guy looking for some help for his subscribers, AR. Don't sweat 'em, AR and keep postin' winners
i understand your point.
i don't have the time or the inclination to post my plays earlier in the week than i do...for various reasons which i'm not going to go into.
i'm also not going to keep separate records for when i actually make my plays with the line at that time & then when i do post my plays go back to see what the line is at the posting time. it's just too time consuming.
i actually never thought my picks were all that important. i always thought that some of the info that i find when i do research on the plays was more beneficial to the readers than the picks itself.
so right now what i'm thinking of doing is to not post my won/lost record anymore since it's only important to me..... & to just post the game that i like with the reasoning of why i like it without the line.
just a final note.....i'm not here to impress anybody with my won/lost record or my capping ability. i do a lot of research on these games. some of it i find for free, & some of it i pay for.i'm just trying to share some of that info. i know there are people who frequent this forum that either don't have the time or the resources to get this info...so this is my way of contributing to the forum....nothing more...nothing less.
good luck.
AR, I am one of those people that don't have the
time or resources to get the info, mostly time, so
the info you put out is greatly appreciated. I make
my own picks, but not blindly. There is a wealth
of information on this site, and you are one of the
main contributors. Thanks for the effort.
time or resources to get the info, mostly time, so
the info you put out is greatly appreciated. I make
my own picks, but not blindly. There is a wealth
of information on this site, and you are one of the
main contributors. Thanks for the effort.
Hey Al,
Just keep posting like you always have. Don't let this one guy ruin it for all of us.
I personally like your style and I want to know what the line was when you got it to see how it is moving.
So Please do not change anything on your posts.
Thanks and the idea for the SB party get together sounds great.
Hey Al -
I have seen this guy before on the forums and he is annoying fvcking prick. Also, it's true he's a tout and not a very good one last time I checked the sports site that has their performance records. Don't sweat it and keep posting winners like you always do
kneifl
thanks for the post
thanks for the post
screw this guy. keep posting winners the rest of us thank you for the work you do.:shrug:
:fingerc: :fingerc: moon1
thanks for the post
screw this guy. keep posting winners the rest of us thank you for the work you do.:shrug:
:fingerc: :fingerc: moon1
That guy just wants his cake and eat it too. He wants to benifit from recieving your info and picks early to get the same lines as you. The rest of us appreciate your write ups and stats when your ready to post them. Kepp up the great work and keep 'em coming.
Thanks!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Thanks!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
thanks for the feedback guys....i'll just keep posting as i have for the past few years. i'm sorry if people don't like it but am not going to change now & if anybody doesn't like it just ignore my posts...
on with the games....
i decided to sit tonight out...it's too tough for me to find any type of edge & no need to force anything....
clemson-19(120)....
i waited too long to play this game..because it jumped from 16/17-19.5/20 in a manner of hours this morning. but am not going to worry about it since i have clemson winning this game by a wide margin.
this game sets up very well for clemson. they are coming off that flat weeknight loss to v.t.(where clemson had only 8 first downs & 166 total yards), & maryland is coming off their emotional win over fla. st.(where they were outgained 458-223 in total yards). so i expect clemson to be on top of their game while maryland to be a little flat for this game.
looking at the stats....
clemson is ranked #13 in total offense (423 total yds per game & 240 rushing yards per game),5th in total defense(241 yards per game),8th in pass efficiency defense, & 12th nationally in scoring defense (13.8 pts. per game). in their 9 games so far this year they have given up only 12 tds. prior to losing to vt, clemson had won 6 straight games by an average score of 42-10....& rushed the ball for more than 320 yds. per game in 4 of those 6 games.
maryland is ranked #97 in total offense (297 yds. per game) & 83rd in total defense nationally (362 yds. per game), & ranked #100 in rushing defense. maryland has out stated only one opponent this year.....& that was william & mary.
here is a system that i read that supports this play.....
play on a saturday home team with 5+ days rest off a non-saturday, non-ot road su loss scoring less than 34 points & not playing it's 3rd game in 12 days vs. an opponent not off a home dog su loss...
since 2003 the ats record is 24-0...
a brief explanation of the system....
non-saturday games in college football are equivalent to nfl's monday night football. it's usually the only game in town & is usually nationally televised. teams want to perform well under these circumstances & home teams usually draw larger than normal crowds than they do for saturday games. teams that lose on the road have a unsatisfying feeling, & when they return home for a satuday game in front of their home town fans, they want to have a strong showing & get rid of the sour taste of that loss from everybody's mouth. by eliminating teams playing with little rest, teams that had to play beyond regulation, teams that scored a lot of points & still lost, & weak opponents off a home dog loss, this system is picking the best opportunities....
3 teams qualify this week for this system....clemson, so. fla., & utep....
of the 3 i'm choosing clemson as the best bet because they are 4-0 at home & have won by an average score of 47-5....& that's including beating g.t. by a 31-7 score.
w. mich-11...
i took this earlier in the week primarily because a well respected capper on another forum likes this game & because w. mich. is stronger on both sides of the ball.
good luck.
on with the games....
i decided to sit tonight out...it's too tough for me to find any type of edge & no need to force anything....
clemson-19(120)....
i waited too long to play this game..because it jumped from 16/17-19.5/20 in a manner of hours this morning. but am not going to worry about it since i have clemson winning this game by a wide margin.
this game sets up very well for clemson. they are coming off that flat weeknight loss to v.t.(where clemson had only 8 first downs & 166 total yards), & maryland is coming off their emotional win over fla. st.(where they were outgained 458-223 in total yards). so i expect clemson to be on top of their game while maryland to be a little flat for this game.
looking at the stats....
clemson is ranked #13 in total offense (423 total yds per game & 240 rushing yards per game),5th in total defense(241 yards per game),8th in pass efficiency defense, & 12th nationally in scoring defense (13.8 pts. per game). in their 9 games so far this year they have given up only 12 tds. prior to losing to vt, clemson had won 6 straight games by an average score of 42-10....& rushed the ball for more than 320 yds. per game in 4 of those 6 games.
maryland is ranked #97 in total offense (297 yds. per game) & 83rd in total defense nationally (362 yds. per game), & ranked #100 in rushing defense. maryland has out stated only one opponent this year.....& that was william & mary.
here is a system that i read that supports this play.....
play on a saturday home team with 5+ days rest off a non-saturday, non-ot road su loss scoring less than 34 points & not playing it's 3rd game in 12 days vs. an opponent not off a home dog su loss...
since 2003 the ats record is 24-0...
a brief explanation of the system....
non-saturday games in college football are equivalent to nfl's monday night football. it's usually the only game in town & is usually nationally televised. teams want to perform well under these circumstances & home teams usually draw larger than normal crowds than they do for saturday games. teams that lose on the road have a unsatisfying feeling, & when they return home for a satuday game in front of their home town fans, they want to have a strong showing & get rid of the sour taste of that loss from everybody's mouth. by eliminating teams playing with little rest, teams that had to play beyond regulation, teams that scored a lot of points & still lost, & weak opponents off a home dog loss, this system is picking the best opportunities....
3 teams qualify this week for this system....clemson, so. fla., & utep....
of the 3 i'm choosing clemson as the best bet because they are 4-0 at home & have won by an average score of 47-5....& that's including beating g.t. by a 31-7 score.
w. mich-11...
i took this earlier in the week primarily because a well respected capper on another forum likes this game & because w. mich. is stronger on both sides of the ball.
good luck.
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I've already played the game...just curious to what your thoughts are on tonight?...No biggie if you don't want to post; I understand...
AR,
As always I appreciate your solid info each week. Just curious have you been following the tout that appears on numerous radio shows and loves to play rushing dogs? I cant recall his name but we spoke of him last year and I believe he hails from Bama.
As always I appreciate your solid info each week. Just curious have you been following the tout that appears on numerous radio shows and loves to play rushing dogs? I cant recall his name but we spoke of him last year and I believe he hails from Bama.
mc...
no...i don't know who you're talking about.
i don't read touts unless they have reasons behind their picks.
any particular reason why you asked me that ?
no...i don't know who you're talking about.
i don't read touts unless they have reasons behind their picks.
any particular reason why you asked me that ?
We talked about him last football season, I cant recall his name but he is on WTAM out of Cleveland and he always touts rushing dogs. I was just wondering if you recalled his name
AR....
Your diligence doesn't go unnoticed by many in the forum. Thanks for everything you do. Your dedication to improve the quallity of this site is greatly appreciated by many, many members. Keep up the great work that you do
Your diligence doesn't go unnoticed by many in the forum. Thanks for everything you do. Your dedication to improve the quallity of this site is greatly appreciated by many, many members. Keep up the great work that you do
thanks walii...i appreciate your plays & positive energy that you bring to this forum....
adding for saturday...
b.c....ml
both teams are 7-1 this year.
a site that i use that rates strength of schedule lists b.c. schedule strength at 33.6, & w.f.'s at 28.
bc has played....c. mich.,clemson, byu, ncst, maine, v.t.,fla st, & buff....
wake has played syracuse,duke,conn,miss,liberty, clemson, nc st, & n.carolina....
i think b.c. has stronger line play on both sides of the ball & a better balanced offense....& i think b.c. will be able to throw on wake.
i took the moneyline because it seems that dogs do well in wake games & they have a history of doing well as a dog.....but i think b.c. is a much better team.
good luck.
adding for saturday...
b.c....ml
both teams are 7-1 this year.
a site that i use that rates strength of schedule lists b.c. schedule strength at 33.6, & w.f.'s at 28.
bc has played....c. mich.,clemson, byu, ncst, maine, v.t.,fla st, & buff....
wake has played syracuse,duke,conn,miss,liberty, clemson, nc st, & n.carolina....
i think b.c. has stronger line play on both sides of the ball & a better balanced offense....& i think b.c. will be able to throw on wake.
i took the moneyline because it seems that dogs do well in wake games & they have a history of doing well as a dog.....but i think b.c. is a much better team.
good luck.
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Thanks AR! I guess I can stay cold only for so long. Good luck on your plays this weekend. Really like BC-4, they should handle Wake Forest by dd.
