college plays for 11/10 - 11/15....

LDB

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friday i have 2 plays....


w. virginia+10....

when i capped this game i found that cin. averages at home only 26:54 minutes in time of possession on offense & allows 33:05 top minutes on defense....both are very poor....but i guess the explantion is that cin. is a quick strike offense....looking at w. virginia's minutes....on the road they average an excellent 34:20 minutes on offense & allow an excellent 25:40 minutes on defense....i think it is fair to say that w. virginia will have more top than cin in tomorrow's game....so i think getting 10 points is a good play....provided that w. virginia can prevent many long passing plays....

w. virginia is 6-0 ats as conference dogs of 6 or more points....& is 40-11 su in big east games with only 4 of those losses being double-digits....

undefeated favorites of more than 8 points off 4 su/ats wins are 16-29 ats (35.5%)....


under 45(120) temple / akron....

play under - all teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 (temple) - off 3 or more consecutive overs....

over the last 5 seasons the record for this system is....65-28....70%....

the average total posted in these games was....46....the average total points scored....40.3....


good luck....

on both ar... bol tonight :toast:
 

Irish

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It does not scare you that Cincy has lost both times over the past two years and are coming off a scare? OR that South Florida shut Devine down and Rutgers tore through them? I am looking at WVU and I just don't think they are a good squad.

Miami OH sure didn't post in the second half of the game.... wow

GL this weekend

Cheers
Irish
 

AR182

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thanks guys....

irish....

i look for w. virginia to control the line of scrimmage & play keep away....but of course there is a concern but i have double digit head start in my favor....
 

AR182

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here is a system on the georgia play that i posted earlier in the week....

georgia-4....

play on - favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (georgia) - average passing team (175-230 py/game) against an average passing defense (175-230 py/game), after allowing 4.5 or less passing yards per attempt last game....

over the last 5 seasons the record for this system is....25-3....89.3%....

the average line posted in these games was....team favored by 6.3....the average score in these games was....team 32, opponent 15.4....the number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 18....64.3% of all games....

the system's record this season is....2-0....100%....

over the last 3 seasons the system's record is....17-1....94.4%....


good luck....
 

AR182

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adding....

illinois-4....

this should be a flat spot for nw because they became bowl eligible last week by pulling off a large upset over iowa & it was their 1st win over a top 10 team since 2004....in addition their qb position is hurting with their starter, kafka having hamstrung injuries (he is more effective as a running qb) & their 2nd string getting knocked out last week with a hand injury....on the defensive side, because of injuries nw has had 20 different players (9 dbs) start this year....last week the illinois qb,williams hurt his ankle but their backup,charest played effectively....

nw is 2-8 ats in their next game after pulling off a su dog win....in addition road teams who upset an 8-0 or greater opponent are 3-14 ats(17.6%) in their next game....


good luck....
 

AR182

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here is who i am playing so far for saturday....

vandy+3....
middle....nebraska-3(120)....kansas+5(135)....
georgia-4....
n.carolina+4(120)....
miss.st+14(130)....
middle....monroe-20(120)....w. kent.+23(140)....
mich.+10....
missouri+3(125)....
north texas+3(125)....
under 47(120) utah / tcu....
under 49 ucla / wash st....
lafayette +14(130)....
marshall+3....
under 47(120) tenn. / miss....
notre dame+7....
under 49(120) vt / maryland....
illinois-4....
under 66(125) houston / maryland....
under 54(120) laf. / mid tenn st....


good luck....
 
Last edited:

Senor Capper

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what game on the card don't you like ?

what game on the card don't you like ?

HOLY SHI:scared


:mj07: :142smilie :142smilie :mj07:

seriously best of luck as usual Uncle Albert :toast:
 

AR182

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thanks my friend....appreciate it....

i read somewhere that it is usually profitable betting against teams that have covered 3 straight times....this has lead me to my next play....

ncst+9(120)....

play against - a road team (clemson) - after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread, in weeks 10 through 13.....

over the last 5 seasons the record for this system is 70% & over the last 3 seasons it is 75%....but this year the record for this system is....7-1....87.5%....

here is another system....

play on - home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ncst) - after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games against opponent after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games....

over the last 5 seasons the record for thi system is 71% & over the last 3 seasons the record is....10-2....83.3%....& this year the record is....1-0....


good luck....
 

AR182

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adding....

under 59(120) fla st / wf....

play under - all teams where the total is between 56.5 and 63 (fla.st.) - in a game involving two good passing teams (7.5-8.3 pya) after 7+ games.

over the last 10 seasons the record for this system is....44-10....81.5%....

the average total posted in these games was....59.9....the total points scored in these games was....53.3....


good luck....
 

PJ12

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Gunna tail ya on that Jawja play have Mizzou too but only at a pick. GL today :toast:
 

Skipper

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thanks my friend....appreciate it....

i read somewhere that it is usually profitable betting against teams that have covered 3 straight times....this has lead me to my next play....

ncst+9(120)....

play against - a road team (clemson) - after 3 or more consecutive wins against the spread, in weeks 10 through 13.....

over the last 5 seasons the record for this system is 70% & over the last 3 seasons it is 75%....but this year the record for this system is....7-1....87.5%....

here is another system....

play on - home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (ncst) - after having lost 4 out of their last 5 games against opponent after having won 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games....

over the last 5 seasons the record for thi system is 71% & over the last 3 seasons the record is....10-2....83.3%....& this year the record is....1-0....


good luck....


Couple that with the fact that Clemson usually fawks up a wet dream and I really like this play. I have never seen a team that snatches defeat out of the jaws of victory like Clemson:142smilie

GL AR
 
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