Just wanted to get people's thoughts on this line. Personally, I think it's too low. But then I automatically start thinking trap. I don't know, it seems like Pitt has been living on borrowed time to me. They caught a huge break with Palmer getting injured in the first game and they could have easily lost today if Indy hadn't crapped the bed at the end. I realize Pitt is playing well but I think Denver is the better team and they're playing at home. I think it would be a huge upset if Pitt won. Thoughts?
Denver -3.5...
- Thread starter Glenn Quagmire
- Start date
I think the door is WIDE open now for Denver. I like them to beat Pitt but would buy it to 3 right now. Line should go up.
At V-Wager:
FL Football for Game Spread MoneyLn Total Points Team Total
Points
Sun 1/22 105 Pittsburgh Steelers +3 -110 Over 42? -110
3:00pm 106 Denver Broncos -3 -110 Under 42? -110
FL Football for Game Spread MoneyLn Total Points Team Total
Points
Sun 1/22 105 Pittsburgh Steelers +3 -110 Over 42? -110
3:00pm 106 Denver Broncos -3 -110 Under 42? -110
Agent 0659 said:
Yeah, I was definitely going to buy the half. Like I said, Pitt has been cruising lately. I just get the feeling it comes to an end next week. Then again, I thought the Carolina/Chicago game wouldn't break 20. :mj07:
tuff game to figure, not like broncs didnt get their share of breaks yest too--and Plummer hasnt won too many games of import
pt1gard said:
Agreed. Without that interception by Bailey NE was going to take the lead. Totally changed the game. And yeah, backing Plummer in the playoffs is scary. If the O-line can give him time he should be alright though. Not a very good secondary for Pitt...
the o/u is 42.5 at vwager. that's pretty high considering oly,5dimes,pinny all have it at 41. either they're slow at updating the lines or they're taking a stand i think its odd they have den -3 (-110) and under 42.5 -110.
That's a good line considering Pitt just beat Indy and Denver was the better regular season team this year. If Pitt plays at that level of defense again, they confuse Plummer enough to win. Don't forget, Pitt is a better road team than home team.
Keep in mind most of Denver's D line is castoffs from Cleveland, to which happened for a reason...the Steelers ran all over them.
Pittsburgh is tough against the run, and it will fall in Jake's hands to make some plays again.
Scary point is this is the third game on the road for the Steelers, and to boot in the playoffs, which can be a little more emotionally/physically draining. Denver is undefeated at home this season too.
I thought the line would at least open at -4 or 5.
jr11
Pittsburgh is tough against the run, and it will fall in Jake's hands to make some plays again.
Scary point is this is the third game on the road for the Steelers, and to boot in the playoffs, which can be a little more emotionally/physically draining. Denver is undefeated at home this season too.
I thought the line would at least open at -4 or 5.
jr11
fla said:
Thanks fla. I appreciate your insight. You've done very well for yourself in foots this year so I value your opinion. I take nothing away from Pitt for today's win. They played a helluva game. But how much blame has to be placed on Indy for losing? They just looked out of sync all day. Maybe the layoff was a killer? It seems like the line only being 3 or 3.5 is a result of Pitt being overvalued because they beat the Colts today? It just seems like all these road wins have to be taking a toll on them physically and mentally. They can't have much left in the tank can they?
i like the dogs in both of those games. carolina isn't impressive and i wouldn't consider laying points with them.
HoopsGuru said:
I'm a Seahawks fan so I may burn in hell for saying this, but I'll probably be taking either Chicago or Carolina next week. Both of these defenses will wreak havoc on Seattle. Seattle has HUGE problems with physical defenses, so they are in trouble. Alexander will be a non-factor, if he plays that is. I'll probably do a pretty big prop bet on him under the rushing yards total.
Glenn,
I see your point completely and keep in mind that I'm a little biased being from Pittsburgh originally. However Pitt is a far better road team than home team. And I think there is something to be said for the Bettis factor after the response of other Steelers after they lost in the AFC championship game last year.
Denver will be a tough game. I will almost certainly hedge some of my futures on the Denver ml. But Pitt has a damn good chance of winning based on the talent (at least as good as Denver's talent) and wanting to give Bettis a ring. It should be a great game because I respect Shannahan and the Broncos a lot.
I see your point completely and keep in mind that I'm a little biased being from Pittsburgh originally. However Pitt is a far better road team than home team. And I think there is something to be said for the Bettis factor after the response of other Steelers after they lost in the AFC championship game last year.
Denver will be a tough game. I will almost certainly hedge some of my futures on the Denver ml. But Pitt has a damn good chance of winning based on the talent (at least as good as Denver's talent) and wanting to give Bettis a ring. It should be a great game because I respect Shannahan and the Broncos a lot.
Yeah, that's what I was thinking. After what we've seen today from these teams, and more importantly what we saw from Sea yesterday, no friggin way I'd take Sea.
fla said:
Great points. I honestly didn't realize that Pitt was better on the road than at home. And I was forgetting about the Bettis last hurrah. Your point is well taken. This game won't just be about x's and o's, there are other things to consider. Congrats on your Steelers. They're having a helluva year!
forest29 said:
I'll be the first to admit that there are a ton of handicappers on this site who are better than I am. The Seahawks are one team that I know very well though. I thought they would struggle yesterday, and they did. They ended up covering, but it took a drop in the endzone at the end for that to happen. I don't think they will beat either one of these teams. I only hope Alexander DOES play, so the line doesn't get ridiculously inflated the other way.
