- Mar 19, 2006
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Denver Broncos vs Baltimore Ravens
- Thread starter MadJack
- Start date
- Mar 2, 2006
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- Feb 23, 2005
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gl Jack, i played the ravens at 9.5 and figured line would go down by gametime
i see a close game, and a 3 to 7 point finish either way
i see a close game, and a 3 to 7 point finish either way
I think you might have jumped the gun a little early on the ML. I'm seeing lines in the +375 to +395 range.
I don't know who would lay the Broncos at -400 or higher, but I guess suckers are really adamant about them advancing. A better bet would be to put them in a 6.5 or 7 pt teaser, it seems to me. But most of those people are probably tying in the same teaser with NE and will almost surely lose one of those this weekend.
I like your confidence Jack. I bet well see some buyback on the ML if it gets up to +400. :0corn
I don't know who would lay the Broncos at -400 or higher, but I guess suckers are really adamant about them advancing. A better bet would be to put them in a 6.5 or 7 pt teaser, it seems to me. But most of those people are probably tying in the same teaser with NE and will almost surely lose one of those this weekend.
I like your confidence Jack. I bet well see some buyback on the ML if it gets up to +400. :0corn
- Mar 19, 2006
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i know some of this stems from your obsessive hatred of the ravens...but unfortunately,you appear to be dead on regarding manning....the ravens just can`t beat him....what`s it,9 times in a row?....i`d say that`s a fricking pattern.... and a problem...
if rice has a big day,i think the ravens can keep it close....but denver has the qb and defensive edges(i.e. pass rushers,the ravens` wolfsbane..and the stats don`t lie in this case)...throw in home court and it`s obvious that we have the potential for a very bad day...
that said,i`m not crazy about manning`s offensive supporting cast...it`s not eye-popping,imo....without manning,this offense is meh.....
i`m not laying 9 or 10 so i`ll probably tease it with something to cushion the disappointment...
i guess it`s possible we knock manning out of the game...or jump out to a big lead like we did vs new england a few years back...but it`s manning,not brady....not sure how big a lead we`d need and it won`t be as easy to accomplish vs this caliber defense...
- Mar 19, 2006
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I actually cheer for Ravens at times during the season..Grew up a Colt fan and cried the day they left.
there is no hatred..
the stark reality of these matchups gets lost in some kind of fantasy idea that this Raven team defies fathertime and their less than stellar personell just rises to the occassion because they are "The Ravens"
well guess what..it all sounds gritty and tuff stuff..but this isn't last decades Ravens ...and the odds of a Ravens team glorious D stand for the ages is........well ..+370 at SIA
the stark dark reality of the matchup is Peyton eats the Raven scheme of secondary coverage for breakfast ..lunch and dinner..
AND AN EVEN..better kept secret..a very talented crew of receivers.
and an even better kept secret..
Ravens D..overall rank 17
Broncos D..................2
and points allowed per game
Ravens 21
Broncos 18
can the Ravens win..
of course they can... they play the game for a reason..
just ask the Balt. Colt team members about their game on January 12, 1969
shyt happens...
there is no hatred..
the stark reality of these matchups gets lost in some kind of fantasy idea that this Raven team defies fathertime and their less than stellar personell just rises to the occassion because they are "The Ravens"
well guess what..it all sounds gritty and tuff stuff..but this isn't last decades Ravens ...and the odds of a Ravens team glorious D stand for the ages is........well ..+370 at SIA
the stark dark reality of the matchup is Peyton eats the Raven scheme of secondary coverage for breakfast ..lunch and dinner..
AND AN EVEN..better kept secret..a very talented crew of receivers.
and an even better kept secret..
Ravens D..overall rank 17
Broncos D..................2
and points allowed per game
Ravens 21
Broncos 18
can the Ravens win..
of course they can... they play the game for a reason..
just ask the Balt. Colt team members about their game on January 12, 1969
shyt happens...
My last comment before the game.
Look at Denver's strength of schedule.
http://www.theredzone.org/Features/NFLStrengthofSchedule.aspx
Look at the injuries the Ravens had this year.
Look at Manning's record in temps below 40 degrees.
Look at Manning's UNDER 500 playoff record at 9-10.
Look at Flacco's playoff record at 6-4
Look at the Ravens experience in the playoffs.
It's not Manning vs Flacco, it's the BRONCOS VS THE RAVENS.
My play is a homer play, yes! But I think I have a damn good shot at nearly 4-1 odds.
I promise I'm done with this thread, I'm superstitious and the game means a lot to me. :0008
- Mar 19, 2006
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If you're taking the Ravens on the ML here, you might think about taking them to win the AFC at about 10-1 odds, and the SB at about 20-1. Maybe a unit on each. If you are right, you could hedge later...could be fun.
Big buyback on Raven ML recently. I see it down to 330 at most shops.
Now you have the better price Jack
