OAKLAND +6 vs. DENVER
I was hoping this line would move up, but had no idea it would finally reach +6. When it did, that calls for a wager. One factor I look at when taking a dog, is asking myself "is this team capable of winning outright?" In this case with Oakland, the answer to this question is clearly YES. Would anyone be surprised to see the Raiders pull of an outright upset? I'm not saying that it wil happen, only that it plays into an assessment of the game matchup. We also get lots of extra value with the Raiders in this game, based on public perceptions that Denver in one of the hottest teams in the NFL right now, while Oakland has completely reversed itself from a 4-0 start. If anything, Oakland has the GREATER MOTIVATION in this game, with their backs against the wall against a division rival. Add the factor of this being an intense inter-division game between two bitter rivals who normally play close games -- and that's another reason to take the +6. In terms of matchups, Oakland can match the Broncos point for point offensively, but does have some problems on defense. Still, as long as Oakland is capable of scoring, I think that plays into a bet for the dog here. In it's last big primetime game at Mile High, Denver lost outright to Miami -- and face a very similar spot here. Both teams have enjoyed two weeks to prepare for this game, which plays into an intense game that should be close. We get two angles that favor a bet on the Raiders -- first, HOME FAVS OFF A BYE are only hitting about 40 percent historically over the past five seasons (they are a terrible bet). Second, something about Monday Night Football always brings out the best in the Raiders. You can count on a solid performance by this team tonight. Finally, I'll take Gannon as the more consistent QB over Greise anyday. Loks like a 3 points game either way. Playing Oakland. I'm also adding bets for smaller amounts on:
RAIDERS TO WIN:
1Q: +.5 (-120)
1H: +3.5 (-115) FULL UNIT BET
2Q: +.5 (+115)
3Q: +.5 (EVEN)
4Q: +.5 (-105)
SIX PLAYS ON THE RAIDERS TONIGHT. BIG GAME.
Nolan Dalla
I was hoping this line would move up, but had no idea it would finally reach +6. When it did, that calls for a wager. One factor I look at when taking a dog, is asking myself "is this team capable of winning outright?" In this case with Oakland, the answer to this question is clearly YES. Would anyone be surprised to see the Raiders pull of an outright upset? I'm not saying that it wil happen, only that it plays into an assessment of the game matchup. We also get lots of extra value with the Raiders in this game, based on public perceptions that Denver in one of the hottest teams in the NFL right now, while Oakland has completely reversed itself from a 4-0 start. If anything, Oakland has the GREATER MOTIVATION in this game, with their backs against the wall against a division rival. Add the factor of this being an intense inter-division game between two bitter rivals who normally play close games -- and that's another reason to take the +6. In terms of matchups, Oakland can match the Broncos point for point offensively, but does have some problems on defense. Still, as long as Oakland is capable of scoring, I think that plays into a bet for the dog here. In it's last big primetime game at Mile High, Denver lost outright to Miami -- and face a very similar spot here. Both teams have enjoyed two weeks to prepare for this game, which plays into an intense game that should be close. We get two angles that favor a bet on the Raiders -- first, HOME FAVS OFF A BYE are only hitting about 40 percent historically over the past five seasons (they are a terrible bet). Second, something about Monday Night Football always brings out the best in the Raiders. You can count on a solid performance by this team tonight. Finally, I'll take Gannon as the more consistent QB over Greise anyday. Loks like a 3 points game either way. Playing Oakland. I'm also adding bets for smaller amounts on:
RAIDERS TO WIN:
1Q: +.5 (-120)
1H: +3.5 (-115) FULL UNIT BET
2Q: +.5 (+115)
3Q: +.5 (EVEN)
4Q: +.5 (-105)
SIX PLAYS ON THE RAIDERS TONIGHT. BIG GAME.
Nolan Dalla
(all of them!!!)
