I have had long deliberation about playing this game and decided to play small wager on UGA. Was hoping the line would go up during the week but it went down so I am not playing this big.
Tommy Tuberville is a decent coach, but since 2000 when Auburn was good he very seldom ever won a meaningful game @ Jordan-Hare Stadium. He is something like 11-11 as a Home favorite and that includes the Citadel, Western carolina, UL-monroe and all those paties etc.
Any meaningful big game @ home, Alabama especially, he has tanked. Start back in 2000, with Arkansas -9.5, SU loss,
2001, Alabama -3, SU loss 31-7,
2002, Arkansas -5, SU loss,
UGa +2, SU loss,
2003, USC -3.5, SU loss
Ole Miss -8(against his previous team), SU loss.
In fact throw out a 10-9 home win over LSU this year, what big game has he ever won at home, and don't give me ly's 28-23 win as -7.5 over a subpar Alabama team.
Georgia on the other hand under mark Richt has won huge games on the road, and qb David Greene is something like 14-1 on the road vs SEC in 4 years.
This game on Saturday heavily favors Georgia's passing attack against a Tiger secondary playing poorly right now.
This situation is very similar to LSU 3/4 years ago and the Death valley mystique where the Bayou Tigers would lose games at home they never should have. What is it?? Too much hoopla during the week, too much pressure versus unrealistic expectations? Also as far as last years bowl game against a Wisconsin team that is a shell of this years team, HC Tuberville admitted it was the most poorly officiated game he has ever been a part of, game tied 14-14 and refs handed Auburn game on two indisputable bad calls(backed up by replays) in fourth quarter.
That all said, I prob. would have pounded this game if I could have got UGA +7 (w/buying pts) but line went against me. Might put small bet on the ML as well but I am losing value each and every day.