Early thoughts week 2...

[gardenweasel]

The "great call" pats on the Broncos game (or any other that comes down to a fluke play or getting super lucky all game) are hilarious to me.

Can't it just be "great win" or "great hit?"

The winning side wasn't always the "right" side. If you don't understand this, you do not understand math or gambling. I sincerely mean this to help.

If I lay 400 to win a 100 on heads and heads it - I didn't make the correct call. I just got lucky that my 50/50 shot came up on that particular toss. Obviously, if I do this all day, I will go bankrupt.

In poker, if I call off all my chips, but then hit runner runner to take the pot, I didn't make the correct call - I got lucky. Again, if I make that call regularly, I will go bankrupt.

I don't care to argue about last nights game - but in principle, you HAVE to understand this.

inordinately strange start to the season by any measure.....,it took some very strange/unusual things to happen to lose those wagars....8 or 9 times out of 10 you hit both ends.....hopefully the law of averages evens out the craziness as the season progresses......

 

[Jord20]

FYI, my Hilton Contest plays...

Last week, I had a lot of similar selections between the 2 - i mixed it up a bit this week...

Entry 1 (4-1)...

Pitt
Buffalo
Chicago
Cinn
Cleveland

Entry 2 (4-1)...

TB
Minn
Hous
Cinn
Philly

 

[Jord20]

Bengals -3/2

20/10

 

[Jord20]

All 10 units...

Pitt -6.5/3.5
Hous +3/1.5
Cleve +1.5/.5
Tb +10/6.5
Minn -2.5/.5
Bears +2/1
Bills pk/pk

Will add to some tomm

 

[hammer1]

The "great call" pats on the Broncos game (or any other that comes down to a fluke play or getting super lucky all game) are hilarious to me.

Can't it just be "great win" or "great hit?"

The winning side wasn't always the "right" side. If you don't understand this, you do not understand math or gambling. I sincerely mean this to help.

If I lay 400 to win a 100 on heads and heads it - I didn't make the correct call. I just got lucky that my 50/50 shot came up on that particular toss. Obviously, if I do this all day, I will go bankrupt.

In poker, if I call off all my chips, but then hit runner runner to take the pot, I didn't make the correct call - I got lucky. Again, if I make that call regularly, I will go bankrupt.

I don't care to argue about last nights game - but in principle, you HAVE to understand this.

Good Post and Correct..If i wd have said this some Troll wd have appeared and spit up Blood !!!

 

[Jord20]

Thx. Good luck, hammer!

Hotlanta +2.5/.5

Seems way too easy to take Giants minus less than a FG. This game may be quietly easy?

10 u each

 

[Bear Tracks]

Thx. Good luck, hammer!

Hotlanta +2.5/.5

Seems way too easy to take Giants minus less than a FG. This game may be quietly easy?

10 u each

I don't know what to think about this game. Durty Birds on a shorter week & they were the tale of 2 teams - looked great in 1H & shitty for most of 2H ... which team shows up? Shouldn't this line be at least a full FG or even 3.5? Giants stole a loss from the jaws of victory although they caught several breaks w/the TO's to find themselves in the position to blow it in the first place.

GL today Jord! :0074

 

[Jord20]

Added 5 to Houston and Cleveland

 

[Jord20]

Bears and Falcons both going to win. Can't believe I laid off Skins

 

[Jord20]

Bears overs may be $$ all year. The D just has zero talent

 

[tulah]

All 10 units...

Pitt -6.5/3.5
Hous +3/1.5
Cleve +1.5/.5
Tb +10/6.5
Minn -2.5/.5
Bears +2/1
Bills pk/pk

Will add to some tomm

What's left to add? You played them all:toast:

Best of luck with all the early games...:mj07:

Just bustin chops. I would never play that much volume.

 

[Jord20]

What's left to add? You played them all:toast: Best of luck with all the early games...:mj07: Just bustin chops. I would never play that much volume.

Lol, was going to add some units. And, don't forget about the 3:15 games, bro

 

[Jord20]

Cinn pk
Tb +6.5

10 ea

 

[Jord20]

Atl pk h 10u

 

[Jord20]

Bills -2
Bears +.5

10 ea

 

[Jord20]

Bears over 23
Bills over 24

7.5 ea

 

[Jord20]

Texans pk

10 u

 

[Jord20]

Jags +5.5/3 10 ea

 

[Jord20]

Eagles -6/3.5 10 u

 

[Jord20]

Packers -3/2.5 20/10