First and Ten

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lostinamerica

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Oct 10, 2001
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Between Green Bay and Iowa City
lostinamerica said:
Iowa(-11) over Illinois (1.5*)

(Iowa is staking) out Kinnick Stadium as a bad place to visit in 2015.

Very much un-road-tested Illinois is very overvalued in this spot at Kinnick.
Click to expand...

I think the line movement in this game is absurd. This is not a let down spot for this team. Bring on Illinois, and let's see which is the surging I team.


Ohio(-15) over Miami Ohio (1*)
- - My takeaway from weeks ago that Miami Ohio is a really poor team has not changed at all, and that spells real trouble in this third straight road game against a really solid Frank Solich Ohio squad.

Pittsburgh(-8) over Virgina (1*)
- - I don't know if there is any value in this number, but I know Pitt has earned my support in this spot.

Indiana(+6) over Penn State (1*)
- - Hard to gauge how Indiana responds after last week, but I strongly believe they are the team being undervalued with this number.

Northwestern(+10) over Michigan (1*)
- - These teams are mirror images in lots of ways, from their coaches to their defenses to their blue collar offenses to their look-ahead spots.

Texas(+16') over Oklahoma (1*)
- - IMO an absolutely great spot for all the young Texans and their raw triggerman, but the question is whether the Sooners might have too much.


GL
 
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lostinamerica

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Miami(+6') over Florida State (1*)
- - Florida State was outgained by Wake Dorest last week, and almost outgained the week before by BC. The desperate dog should be a live dog (but HC Al Golden usually finds a way to end up snatching air).

Utah(-7)(-125) over California (1*)
- -

Arkansas(+16) over Alabama (1*)
- -

GL
 
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lostinamerica

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Northwestern(+2) over Iowa (1*)
- - I've been on Iowa since before August, in a season in which there has been a concerted focus on getting in all ways stronger to finish plays, finish drives, finish games and finish seasons, and to date the season has been everything I envisioned. But even with the easiest schedule in the nation of any power conference team, I never looked at these guys as an 11-1 team, but win today, then get a bye and a home win over Maryland, and only a 10-2 season to finish would then be a real disappointment.

Northwestern does not like Iowa. http://www.insidenu.com/2014/10/30/7130711/nu-iowa-is-the-hatred-still-there-hate I was at last year's 48-7 beat down of Iowa over Northwestern, and it was embarrassing for HC Fitz's team. It has not been forgotten . . . Iowa built a new trophy case before the season and has been focused on reclaiming the trophies from its rivalry games against Iowa State, Wisconsin, Minnesota and Nebraska. Northwestern has had a singular focus on this Iowa game, so much so it just happens to be their homecoming game, and it could be argued last week they were caught looking ahead . This Northwestern team has been responding to Fitzgerald all season, and now he also has last week's beat down to motivate them.

If looking for Iowa's biggest vulnerability this season, I would have to single out holding up against fierce pressure from the pass rush, and only C.J. Bethard's skills in the pocket have saved the day. Now they are on the road with I believe both starting OT out, and Northwestern definitely doesn't hold back from getting after the quarterback in their schemes.

Two big wins in the Big Ten have not set up a banged up Iowa team for this hornet's nest, and the electricity flowing from the Cubs on the eve of the NLCS makes it additionally likely we will see Chicago's best efforts in this homecoming spot. But I'll be REALLY happy if I donate this wager to the cause of being proven wrong.

Purdue(+23') over Wisconsin
- - Coming into this season I thought Wisconsin was looking at a rather middling 8-4 or 9-3 season under their new coach, and that's what they've been. IMO this game sets up for Purdue to give the more spirited showing and manages to stay well within this number.

Baylor(-20') over West Virginia (1*)
- - On top of everything else, I hear West Virginia is staying over a 1.5 hour bus ride from the stadium for an 11:00 a.m. kickoff, which seems like a big mistake. Sleepy doesn't get it done on this field of revenge today.

Ohio(-3)(-116) over Western Michigan (1*)
- -

Louisville(-7)(-120) over Florida State (1*)
- -

GL
 
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lostinamerica

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Arizona(-6') over Colorado (1*)
- -

Penn State(+18) over Ohio State (1*)
- -

Washington(-2') over Oregon (1*)
- -

Notre Dame(-5) over USC (1*)
- -

Arizona State(+5') over Utah (1*)
- -

LSU(-6') over Florida (1*)
- -

GL
 
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lostinamerica

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It's Great to Be a Hawkeye!

Much work still to do, but chasing a season for the ages . . .


Alabama(-14') over Tennessee (1*)
- -

Cincinnati(-10') over Connecticut (1*)
- -

Missouri(-1) over Vanderbilt (1*)
- -

Penn State(-5') over Maryland (1*)
- -

Indiana(+14') over Michigan State (1*)
- -

Oklahoma(-14)(-118) over Texas Tech (1*)
- -


GL
 
L

lostinamerica

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Oct 10, 2001
7,539
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Between Green Bay and Iowa City
Iowa(-17) over Maryland (1*)
- - I actually get a feel the line seems too high, possibly to attract Maryland action . . . I like this Hawk team's chances of having taken advantage of their late season bye as they build on a finish.

Minnesota(+12') over Michigan (1*)
- -

Notre Dame(-10') over Temple (1*)
- - Been a really good Notre Dame squad.

Mississippi(-7') over Auburn (1*)
- - Win or lose in 4 OT and I think I'd be asking for a different opponent.

Florida(-2') over Georgia (1*)
- -

Washington(-4) over Arizona (1*)
- -

California(+4) over USC (1*)
- - This is as good of a spot as a dangerous Cal team could wish for to catch the new regime on the road.

GL
 
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lostinamerica

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Oct 10, 2001
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Between Green Bay and Iowa City
Indiana(+7) over Iowa (1*)
- -

TCU(-4') over Oklahoma State (1*)
- -

Illinois(-3) over Purdue (1*)
- -

Tennessee(-17') over South Carolina (1*)
- -

Middle Tennessee State(-2') over Marshall (1*)
- -

Northwestern(+2) over Penn State (1*)
- -

Texas Tech(+8') over West Virginia (1*)
- -

Florida(-20') over Vanderbilt (1*)
- -

Colorado(+16') over Stanford (1*)
- -

Iowa State(+24) over Oklahoma (1*)
- -

- - Seems everyone is on Indiana, Illinois, West Virginia and Penn State.

GL
 
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lostinamerica

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 10, 2001
7,539
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83
Between Green Bay and Iowa City
Iowa(-9) over Minnesota (1*)
- -

Washington State(+11') over UCLA (1*)
- -

BYU(-4') over Missouri (1*)
- -

California(-21') over Oregon State (1*)
- -

Utah(-5') over Arizona (1*)
- -

LSU(-6') over Arkansas (1*)
- -

Stanford(-9) over Oregon (1*)
- -

GL
 
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