First and Ten
- Thread starter lostinamerica
- Start date
Hey, Boss. :0008 I hope we agree on the right games.
Houston(-2) over San Francisco (1*)
- - Two teams playing hard, but I think there is much better 54%/46% value here with Houston today, and if not, their consistent effort still merits carrying my cash.
GL
Houston(-2) over San Francisco (1*)
- - Two teams playing hard, but I think there is much better 54%/46% value here with Houston today, and if not, their consistent effort still merits carrying my cash.
GL
NFL YTD: 48-42 (+0.33*)
NCAA YTD 74-73 (-8.01*)
Los Angeles Chargers(-1) over Kansas City (1*)
- - The Chiefs have now shown multiple weaknesses for weeks, starting with their OL, while IMO the Chargers have looked like a team with no significant weaknesses for weeks, with their defensive front a real strength. While KC has faced the more difficult schedule, the Chargers accomplishments and surge have come without the benefit of any home field advantage. With so much on the line the game should be a great showcase (if it was readily available) to start the weekend for the league, but I?m definitely siding with San Diego as the team that emerges with their vibe looking legit, and for value I've dabbled on some +1000 for AFC champions as well.
GL
NCAA YTD 74-73 (-8.01*)
Los Angeles Chargers(-1) over Kansas City (1*)
- - The Chiefs have now shown multiple weaknesses for weeks, starting with their OL, while IMO the Chargers have looked like a team with no significant weaknesses for weeks, with their defensive front a real strength. While KC has faced the more difficult schedule, the Chargers accomplishments and surge have come without the benefit of any home field advantage. With so much on the line the game should be a great showcase (if it was readily available) to start the weekend for the league, but I?m definitely siding with San Diego as the team that emerges with their vibe looking legit, and for value I've dabbled on some +1000 for AFC champions as well.
GL
Minnesota(-11) over Cincinnati (1.5*)
- - Minnesota will be flexing plenty of their muscles after three straight on the road.
Dallas(-3)(+100) over Oakland (1*)
- - IMO Dallas has fought through adversity and emerged a better team than they were to start the season, and they can carry my cash in a showdown moment against Jack Del Rio?s squad.
Green Bay(+3) over Carolina (1*) (1 Biscuit)
- - It?s no accident these Packers have made the playoffs 8 straight years and made it to the NFC Championship game 2 of the last 3 years, and it?s not all Aaron Rodgers why these Packers started the season 4-1 and are looking to peak while in the December playoff mix. Going on the road after back to back OT wins would more often than not suggest a tough spot, but my capping says Sunday does not culminate a week in which the Packers are either flat or drained, and I won?t go against them here.
Arizona/Washington (Ov40) (1*)
- - I don?t see the tone being set in this one by virtually impenetrable defenses, and it will instead be a question of whether the offenses take advantage of numerous opportunities.
Jacksonville(-10') over Houston (1*)
- - I gotta back one of my darling teams once again here.
San Francisco(-1)(-120) over Tennessee (1*)
- - I believe there is a solid ATS trend for teams with double digit losses that are favored over a team with a winning record . . . San Fran definitely seems to fit the profile for living up to their side of any such trend, and while I?m not quite sure whether Tennessee has underachieved or overachieved, their will definitely be some tough sledding today to earn a happy flight home.
Pittsburgh(+3)(-125) over New England (1*)
- - Gotta cap this game and take a side. This one stays very competitive.
Los Angeles Rams(+2) over Seattle (1*)
- - Gotta cap this game and take a side. The Rams learned in the first game that they can't turn the ball over against Seattle, and I think turnovers are not the story today, but instead control of the division race will come down to Russell Wilson with some sort of chance to crush the Rams late.
Philadelphia(-7') over New York Giants (1*)
- - I stand by exactly what I said the last two weeks about Eli Manning?s late season and late career prospects, and IMO the visitor has absolutely no disadvantages at QB today . . . Last week I thought there were nothing but reasons to oppose Minnesota at the end of a grueling three game road trip, but here I see Philadelphia as in a night and day different place than the Giants, and I?m expecting good things today.
Cleveland(+7) over Baltimore (1*)
- -
GL
- - Minnesota will be flexing plenty of their muscles after three straight on the road.
Dallas(-3)(+100) over Oakland (1*)
- - IMO Dallas has fought through adversity and emerged a better team than they were to start the season, and they can carry my cash in a showdown moment against Jack Del Rio?s squad.
Green Bay(+3) over Carolina (1*) (1 Biscuit)
- - It?s no accident these Packers have made the playoffs 8 straight years and made it to the NFC Championship game 2 of the last 3 years, and it?s not all Aaron Rodgers why these Packers started the season 4-1 and are looking to peak while in the December playoff mix. Going on the road after back to back OT wins would more often than not suggest a tough spot, but my capping says Sunday does not culminate a week in which the Packers are either flat or drained, and I won?t go against them here.
Arizona/Washington (Ov40) (1*)
- - I don?t see the tone being set in this one by virtually impenetrable defenses, and it will instead be a question of whether the offenses take advantage of numerous opportunities.
Jacksonville(-10') over Houston (1*)
- - I gotta back one of my darling teams once again here.
San Francisco(-1)(-120) over Tennessee (1*)
- - I believe there is a solid ATS trend for teams with double digit losses that are favored over a team with a winning record . . . San Fran definitely seems to fit the profile for living up to their side of any such trend, and while I?m not quite sure whether Tennessee has underachieved or overachieved, their will definitely be some tough sledding today to earn a happy flight home.
Pittsburgh(+3)(-125) over New England (1*)
- - Gotta cap this game and take a side. This one stays very competitive.
Los Angeles Rams(+2) over Seattle (1*)
- - Gotta cap this game and take a side. The Rams learned in the first game that they can't turn the ball over against Seattle, and I think turnovers are not the story today, but instead control of the division race will come down to Russell Wilson with some sort of chance to crush the Rams late.
Philadelphia(-7') over New York Giants (1*)
- - I stand by exactly what I said the last two weeks about Eli Manning?s late season and late career prospects, and IMO the visitor has absolutely no disadvantages at QB today . . . Last week I thought there were nothing but reasons to oppose Minnesota at the end of a grueling three game road trip, but here I see Philadelphia as in a night and day different place than the Giants, and I?m expecting good things today.
Cleveland(+7) over Baltimore (1*)
- -
GL
Tennessee(+6) over Los Angeles Rams (1*)
- -
Atlanta(+5) over New Orleans (1*)
- -
Buffalo(+11') over New England (1*)
- -
Washington(-3) over Denver (1*)
- -
Cleveland(+6) over Chicago (1*)
- -
GL
- -
Atlanta(+5) over New Orleans (1*)
- -
Buffalo(+11') over New England (1*)
- -
Washington(-3) over Denver (1*)
- -
Cleveland(+6) over Chicago (1*)
- -
GL
Dallas(-4) over Seattle (1*)
- - Dallas wins, maybe covers.
Arizona(-3)(-123) over New York Giants (1*)
- - I'm convinced, hope it's convincing.
GL
- - Dallas wins, maybe covers.
Arizona(-3)(-123) over New York Giants (1*)
- - I'm convinced, hope it's convincing.
GL
Philadelphia(-10) over Oakland (1*)
- - Expecting a stadium on point flashing whatever is their Super Bowl look instead of chucking snowballs at Santa.
GL
- - Expecting a stadium on point flashing whatever is their Super Bowl look instead of chucking snowballs at Santa.
GL
2017 NFL YTD: 56-52 (-2.67*)
2017-2018 Bowl Season YTD: 10-10 (-0.40*)
2017 NCAA Season YTD 74-73 (-8.01*)
Minnesota(-12) over Chicago (1*)
- - There is nothing about this game that works out for the Bears IF Minnesota is showing a serious Super Bowl look.
San Francisco(-5) over Los Angeles Rams (1*)
- - LA won?t tank the game but they are obviously content to get the 4th NFC seed and be healthy and rested. In what is likely to play out as a fierce divisional scrap, you have to question how long before LA pulls more key starters. Simply put in a roundabout way, a live dog that deserves to be the favorite.
Los Angeles Chargers(-6') over Oakland Raiders (1*)
- - For years my first take on the situational angles has been an opinion that teams are in a must win spot because they are really not very good, and then the circumstances just tighten the pressure. And in this game we have a team that has played without the benefit of any home field advantage, and this week the call has gone out and Raider Nation is expected to fill as many as 75% of the stadium seats. But for once a seriously capable San Diego team has a shot on the last weekend to overcome a historically slow start, and I think they make plays today that their opponent does not.
Washington(-4) over New York Giants (1*)
- - Frigid and windy is exactly the character revealing and bad for old Mannings conditions I want in this game.
Green Bay(+7)(+100) over Detroit (1 Biscuit)
- - No good reasons.
Buffalo(-2') over Miami (1*)
- - A tougher spot here with the team with the longest playoff drought in the league. I saw Buffalo give a great effort last week against New England in a game that was much closer than the final score, and I definitely expect this week to take them to a great shot in the closing minutes, and I?m wagering they find a way.
Atlanta(-4) over Carolina (1*)
- - I don?t like the number, but he twists and turns and bounces here are a lot friendlier for Atlanta than they were last week.
GL
2017-2018 Bowl Season YTD: 10-10 (-0.40*)
2017 NCAA Season YTD 74-73 (-8.01*)
Minnesota(-12) over Chicago (1*)
- - There is nothing about this game that works out for the Bears IF Minnesota is showing a serious Super Bowl look.
San Francisco(-5) over Los Angeles Rams (1*)
- - LA won?t tank the game but they are obviously content to get the 4th NFC seed and be healthy and rested. In what is likely to play out as a fierce divisional scrap, you have to question how long before LA pulls more key starters. Simply put in a roundabout way, a live dog that deserves to be the favorite.
Los Angeles Chargers(-6') over Oakland Raiders (1*)
- - For years my first take on the situational angles has been an opinion that teams are in a must win spot because they are really not very good, and then the circumstances just tighten the pressure. And in this game we have a team that has played without the benefit of any home field advantage, and this week the call has gone out and Raider Nation is expected to fill as many as 75% of the stadium seats. But for once a seriously capable San Diego team has a shot on the last weekend to overcome a historically slow start, and I think they make plays today that their opponent does not.
Washington(-4) over New York Giants (1*)
- - Frigid and windy is exactly the character revealing and bad for old Mannings conditions I want in this game.
Green Bay(+7)(+100) over Detroit (1 Biscuit)
- - No good reasons.
Buffalo(-2') over Miami (1*)
- - A tougher spot here with the team with the longest playoff drought in the league. I saw Buffalo give a great effort last week against New England in a game that was much closer than the final score, and I definitely expect this week to take them to a great shot in the closing minutes, and I?m wagering they find a way.
Atlanta(-4) over Carolina (1*)
- - I don?t like the number, but he twists and turns and bounces here are a lot friendlier for Atlanta than they were last week.
GL
