13. Brad Keselowski, #2 Miller Lite, Team Penske [Yahoo Class B]
Keselowski is off to a scorching start in 2014, but his career numbers at Auto Club Speedway are horrible. He has a 22.8 average finish in five starts at the track, and an 18th-place finish in 2012 is his only top-20 to date. Keselowski is running too well to write off completely, but depending on the format, owners may still want to pass on him at one of his worst tracks.
14. Denny Hamlin, #11 FedEx, Joe Gibbs Racing [Yahoo Class B]
With just one top-five finish in 13 starts, ACS is clearly not Hamlin's best track. Granted, he nearly pulled out a victory last season before getting tangled up with Joey Logano on the final lap, but he has just one top-10 in his last six starts at the track compared to four finishes of 25th or worse. Among the big names, Hamlin is one of the riskier plays.
15. Jeff Gordon, #24 Drive to End Hunger/Axalta, Hendrick Motorsports [Yahoo Class A]
Since finishing second in both races at ACS in 2009, Gordon's results at the track have been a little more pedestrian. He has a 16.8 average finish in his last five starts, and while he has finished in the top 20 four times, he only has one top-10 finish. Look for a decent but unspectacular showing out of Gordon this weekend.
16. Brian Vickers, #55 Aaron's Dream Machine, Michael Waltrip Racing [Yahoo Class B]
Vickers hasn't made a Cup start at ACS since 2011, but he could return with a bang this weekend. After all, the track has been one of his best throughout his career. In his last eight starts in Fontana, he has seven top-12 finishes, including an eighth-place finish in his most recent outing.
17. Tony Stewart, #14 Bass Pro Shops/Mobil 1, Stewart-Haas Racing [Yahoo Class B]
On one hand, Stewart has been excellent at ACS lately (he has six top-15s in his last seven starts at the track and has made two trips to victory lane during the stretch). On the other hand, he has been beyond terrible to open the 2014 season, so he is really hard to trust. Unless Stewart dominates during qualifying and practice this weekend, fantasy owners should probably just stay away until he starts delivering decent results.
18. Paul Menard, #27 Menards, Richard Childress Racing [Yahoo Class B]
As has been the case with several tracks, Menard has been trending in the right direction at Auto Club. After finishing 20th or worse in his first six starts at the track, he has finished inside the top 20 in four of his last five starts, including three straight. Menard finished a career-best eighth at ACS last year, and he makes a legitimate sleeper pick this weekend.
19. Martin Truex, Jr., #78 Furniture Row, Furniture Row Racing [Yahoo Class B]
Truex doesn't have a lot of upside this weekend, but he shouldn't have a horrible outing either. In 13 starts at Auto Club Speedway, Truex has just three top-10s and zero top-five finishes, but he does have eight finishes of 18th or better. Don't expect more than a top-20 finish, and you won't be disappointed.
20. A.J. Allmendinger, #47 Kingsford/Clorox, JTG Daugherty Racing [Yahoo Class B]
Allmendinger has quietly put together a solid resume at ACS. In nine career starts at the track, he has six top-20 finishes, including four straight. In fact, Allmendinger has finished 16th or better in his last three starts. He could be a sneaky sleeper option for owners this weekend.
21. Austin Dillon, #3 Dow Chemical/Cheerios, Richard Childress Racing [Yahoo Class C]
Although he has never made a Cup start at Auto Club Speedway, Dillon did look comfortable in a pair of starts at Michigan last year, recording top-15 finishes in both starts. As you will notice by some of the stats I have already mentioned, drivers that run well at one of the 2.0-mile ovals also tend to have success at the other. If Dillon's success at Michigan translates to ACS, he will make a great sleeper pick.
22. Ricky Stenhouse, Jr., #17 Best Buy/Valvoline/Zest, Roush Fenway Racing [Yahoo Class B]
He made his Auto Club Speedway debut last year, and he finished a respectable 20th. Perhaps more importantly, he actually finished in the top 20 in all three races at 2.0-mile tracks as a rookie. Even if he doesn't improve in his sophomore year, Stenhouse should challenge for a top-20 this weekend.
23. Jamie McMurray, #1 McDonald's/Cessna, Chip Ganassi Racing [Yahoo Class B]
McMurray opened his career on a tear at ACS, finishing in the top 15 in six straight starts. However, he has gone in the wrong direction since his fast start. McMurray has failed to crack the top 15 in his last 12 starts at ACS, finishing outside the top 20 six times during the stretch.
24. Kyle Larson, #42 Target, Chip Ganassi Racing [Yahoo Class C]
The rookie will be making his Cup Series debut at Auto Club Speedway, and owners should be cautiously optimistic about his chances. Larson has shown in his brief career that he loves the high line, and that high groove will definitely work at ACS. On the flip side, Larson has often gotten into the wall because of his driving style, ruining promising runs. Still, he has plenty of upside for owners willing to take the risk.