friday ncaa hoops

loophole

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last night chops as austin peay fades in the second half, tenn martin get their revenge in ot, and halftime plays earn us a kiss from sis. tonight there's a nice little value play with an early 6:30 tip:

tex a&m corpus christi -2: cc is a nice guard oriented, pace pushing team that likes to force the tempo. they have a solid nucleus back from last year's 20 win team. s fla is extemely thin at the guard position. their best returning guard by far, brian mosely, was suddenlly stricken with renal cancer in the offseason and died in october. fr pg chris howard, who had been pegged to take over the point position from graduated senior brian swift, recently blew out his knee and is lost for the season. three other backup guards have been lost in the last several weeks to injury, defection and dismissal. islanders are going to present huge matchup problems for the bulls that are only going to be compounded by the pace of the game. remember that this is a neutral court game in springfield, mo.


speaking of springfield, host team mo st finds itself in ranking anomoly position in the early season that may give some value tonight. mo st (formerly sw mo) is about the fifth best team in the mvc, yet finds itself placed in the power rankings ahead of n iowa , siu and wichita st, all better teams imo. this quirk presents us with good value with a well rounded ga southern team catching 12- currently. like the dog early but i'd like to see what the line does today.

ga st gave us a nice ml win earlier in the week catching 2- points at home vs ul laf, but tonight is catching the same number at home vs a much better geo mason team. methinks the linesmaker is trying trick us into the same bet, but i'm likely to pass the bait and take the visitor.

mont st catching 8 at home vs stanford is enticing also. quite an intriguing slate for a friday.

for now, tex am cc is the only sure play, be back later with the rest.
 

loophole

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pinnacle just put the s fla total up at 140 and i immediately played the over.
 

HoopsGuru

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loop, i see its at +114 now ov 140. do you think s fla is gonna try to slow down the pace or will it be run & gun all game, thanks!
 

loophole

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you gotta have confidence to bet early, i've already bet on cc and the over as much as i'm willing to put on a play this early in the season, and now i see that the early money is on sfla and the under. hg, i feel s fla will try to play a halfcourt game tonight as they are outmatched at guard and the islanders are thin in the post. but i'm one of those guys that believe that everything starts in the back court, so i feel like cc will have their way with the uptempo.
 

bjfinste

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Looks like the Grizz are getting hit early. Down to 7 at infinity and 6.5 at pinnacle. Was just at 8.5 a couple hours ago.
 

loophole

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played ga st/geo mason over, splitting my money between over 67- 1st half and over 146 for the game. that's probably all for me tonight unless i'm around for some 2nd half plays. thought about averaging down on my s fla over 140 since the line is now 136-, but like i mentioned earlier i like to keep fairly modest bet limits this early in the season.

some fishy movement going on out there so be careful out there tonight, friday nights are always a little freaky in ncaa hoops.


glta
 

IE

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loophole said:
some fishy movement going on out there so be careful out there tonight


heckva line swings on totals so far today, good luck tonight loop...

played one over so far myself:

Valparaiso / Tulane over 141 -109
 

loophole

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ga st +6: that's a ridiculous line move. wish i'd bet geo mason early today at -2- and i''d middle that bitch in a heartbeat.
 

loophole

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bad news is this game never had a chance of goi ng over, line drop due to someone letting out that s fla was going to hold the ball. good news is that bulls have five guys logging just about all the minutes and this should tell in the second half. thus:

tex a&m cc -1- second half.
 

loophole

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going out so lat play of the evening:

ga st -1- 2nd half: give us ga st +11- for the game.


g/l
 

loophole

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going out so last play of the evening:

ga st -1-: gives us ga st +11- for the game.


g/l
 
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