HSF, FCS and FBS Week 3

Riff-Raff

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I defer to you all for California. Just not enough information gets to me about ball out there.


I do have one that I like a lot tonight.

Hewitt-Trussville +7-120 and Over 73.5; Hoover's starting QB was hurt late in the game while up 27. They went on to lose that game. Well, guess what Hoover's QB1 is out tonight also. THis line is off. Hewitt's stud RB Goodwin is ??? and most likely out but Hewitt has a stable of backs. This is going to be a high scoring game. LY's game was very high scoring with Hewitt winning. The winner of this game has scored at least 38 points in each of the last 5 years. So, high scoring shootout but expect Hewitt to really control the game with their ground game. I will not be surprised to see 50+ scored by HT.
+7-120 for limit
Over 73.5 for 7*



I do not know a ton about the teams but I bought Pomona +27 as well. For just a bit.

Pomona is a great line brother and I completely agree with Hewitt..... Seeing a lot of misconception on the bigger name teams getting way too much respect.... Let's cash
 

Musca

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Hoover game is being delayed due to weather.

Hoover QB OUT and HT running back OUT both confirmed.

Game time should be 7:30 CT
 

Riff-Raff

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Valdosta vs Colquitt... LIVE streaming for free

http://www.esenetworks.com/live-event.aspx?id=35030&live-event-id=225189


Valdosta up 14-0 and just INT ball driving inside the Colquitt 5... To try and go up 3 TD's

I loved the Over in this one...

Heading down the Hill to the DeLaSalle/Folsom game, should be well over 5,000 people there hoping public school Folsom can knock off No Cal Super Power and actually have the studs to do it........ I'm playing a couple of units on the Spartans here because while I would love to see Bulldogs win this, I saw too much talent for Spartans when they played Aquinas. The thing is that there are too many new parts on the Bulldogs as HC Kris Richardson was offered a job at Sac St.... Also QB Kaidan Bennet went to Nevada and losing the other Ngata brother to Clemson is going to be alot of talent to replace.......

The line is moving in Spartans direction and its the right call..... New HC and new OL Coach is what I'm hearing is a problem..... The new culture that new HC has brought in has been met with resistance from the kids and some parents.

Not sure this game is going to be close but I can hope

DeLaSalle -4...2 units.. WIN
 
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Musca

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I defer to you all for California. Just not enough information gets to me about ball out there.


I do have one that I like a lot tonight.

Hewitt-Trussville +7-120 and Over 73.5; Hoover's starting QB was hurt late in the game while up 27. They went on to lose that game. Well, guess what Hoover's QB1 is out tonight also. THis line is off. Hewitt's stud RB Goodwin is ??? and most likely out but Hewitt has a stable of backs. This is going to be a high scoring game. LY's game was very high scoring with Hewitt winning. The winner of this game has scored at least 38 points in each of the last 5 years. So, high scoring shootout but expect Hewitt to really control the game with their ground game. I will not be surprised to see 50+ scored by HT.
+7-120 for limit
Over 73.5 for 7*

I do not know a ton about the teams but I bought Pomona +27 as well. For just a bit.



The under was the play. Hoover coach has S L O W E D the game way down. HT jumped out 14-0 and then threw b2b pick 6's... Brutal.
 

Musca

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Thats why we are here... Share information and the love of it all. That Colquitt QB has an arm but man he missed some throws. Valdosta looked like a team possessed. Crazy to think the game started 21-0 Valdosta. The injury in the 2nd quarter really took some steam out for a minute or two. Hope the kid is o.k.

HT scored the first 14 and then Hoover scored 28 unanswered... Sorry all.

Gaffney Under 48 cashes
Colquitt Over Cashes (FWIW Valdosta the big dog cashed to but I did not have that)

Great call on Pomona! Down 4 under 2 to play cover was never really in doubt. Was nice to score 1st. They had chances.



FCS: I have some limitations on what I can share but here are a few I played
Merrimack +13.5 +290- St. Francis should be 0-2. Got lucky vs Lehigh in week 1. Their offense is pedestrian. While Merrimack may sag under the weight of a FCS/D1 schedule after moving up they look good right now. OFfense has a decent YPP.
Sacred Heart Under 43; Defense driven
JMU -31; Could get real ugly. 51-3
Taylor +22.5; I think Taylor has a chance to win SU. I know they are NAIA but Butler is not good. Taylor moved the ball well last week but made a few too many mistakes.
Davidson -19.5; I adore this Davidson offense. I believe opponent will be lucky to score 14...

Norfolk State +27 and +2050; CCU coming off "HUGE" P5 upset. Norfolk has experience and can play. Could be real real close.

Weber State +9 and +240; Weber defense is serious.

I may be able to share more once we get limits raised tomorrow.


Jason
 

Riff-Raff

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Couple of FBS Plays for tomorrow..

Maryland -8......8 u *Terps have been very impressive and they should have no trouble covering this number if what they have shown thus far isn't a mirage.

Pitts/Penn St Over 54'.....5 u

ASU/MSU Over 42.5.......10 u *MSU has been a defensive juggernaut but this is a PAC 12 team they are playing and think their offense gets on track.

Okla St/Tulsa Over 64.5.......10 u..... *Love this over

Kentucky/Florida Under 49.5......7 u

Notre Dame -35.......5 u

Iowa -2.........5 u

Kansas St +8'.......10 u *Strongest side and wouldn't be surprised to see outright win.

Duke/MTSU Over 51......8 u

Gl
 

Riff-Raff

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FCS Plays:

My power numbers start to kick in next week, so hopefully something to look forward to........ In the meantime,

Sacred Heart/Lafayette Over 43........5 u

No Dakota St/Delaware Over 54.......6 u *I played it earlier in the week at 51 but think this gets there

Monmouth -1........6 u *Noticed this has moved to -1 after getting +4 early in week but it's still the right side

,E Kentucky/Indiana St Over 53........5 u

Youngstown St/Duquesne Over 51........10 u *Pots light and this should fly over the total......... I have it at 64 so plenty of value
 

Riff-Raff

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Jacksonville St +7.........*10 u *I made a decent play when it opened at +12' and think there is still loads of value on the GameCocks... Let's throw out the obvious and do a even factor of the long trip from coast to coast that Eagles will have to endure...... Simply there is way too much respect giving Eagles 🦅 in this matchup and logistics aside. GameCocks lost to SoEast LA 41-20 which is why this line is where it's at..... Yes, they didn't look good and their Qb needs to do a much better job of taking care of the ball as I think he has a fumble and 3 INT, but overall his numbers are decent, and Zerrick Cooper is a transfer from Clemson so he knows a little about playing on a big stage. He has passed for nearly 800 yards and is avr 9.7 ypc) The kid can play and has drawn high praise from HC Grass who has gone more to the air instead of his normal mo of run first philosophy.

Of course Eagles have one of the best QBs in the FCS in Eric Barriere and took Eagles to the National Championship after replacing QB Gage Gubrud ly...... He's extremely dangerous as a dual threat and has great numbers early passing for 733 yards on 53 of 81 att/com w/6 TDs and no int. His goto WR Dre Dorton will certainly be on a NFL roster, and has already captured 295 yards (ranked in top 5 FCS WR)

So your probably thinking Riff, what gives? Why love for Jax St if you are heaping great kudo accomplishments on Eagles skills players?

Let's remember that both teams are 1-1 and it's very important to look at quality of comp, but Eagles were manhandled by Wash Huskies, who I'm not sold on (actually never sold on a PAC 12 team) but losing 47-14 caught my attention, and when I watched part of that game, the thing that stood out to me was the inability to run the football which resulted in a lot of 3 and out drives. They are only averaging less than 4 yards per carry and the Defense showed me nothing, which is further illustrated by allowing 31 points to NAIA School Lindenwood (59-31).....so all in all we have a very one dimensional offense that has put up the majority of their numbers to a NAIA program......... Yes, NAIA.

I'm not trying to sell you a 🍋, but I really believe that the oddsmakers have screwed this line up and obviously you would have been better to have bet it at +12' but there is still marked value in +6 and I would even suggest sprinkling the ML too........ Jax St Def is my only worry and 73 points may be 10 points light imo in what could turn out to develop into a shootout....... Jax St likes the home field and has won 29 straight regular season games and this one could go either way but love the insurance of a game that I had handicapped Jax St @ -2...........

Gl
 

Riff-Raff

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Couple more additional

Abilene Christian +12'.......5 u

Maine/Towson Under 66........9 u *Line opened at 55' and now sits at 66...thank you

Mcneese St/Alcorn St Over 47......6 u *This is more of a hunch play more than anything...... I just think it gets into the 20's on both sides

Alabama St +27'.....5 u

NC Central/Gardner-Webb Under 55'........5 u
 

Riff-Raff

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Line is Mater Dei -4 total 55.5..... anything you like ?:shrug:

Well that was about as anti climatic as you can get...... St Frances is definitely moving in the right direction but programs like Mater Dei and St Johns Bosco have been doing this awhile. This game kinda reminded me of a game that I coached in back in the day. I was defensive coordinator for a school in No Cal and we had an open date so the HC decided to schedule a team out of Portland, OR which was a big, inner-city school and their HC was a guy who had played QB at Duke (a long way from home). Anyway, I made contact with a couple of teams that had played these guys in their league and received some tape. Our coaching staff used to meet on Sundays to go over the tapes and game plan for the upcoming opponent. What I saw on those tapes had me nervous because these kids were bigger and stronger than our boys, so I wasn't feeling very positive about this game.

Long story short, our kids mauled this team bad (44-12) and although the opponent was huge and outclassed us at nearly every position, they were undisciplined and their resolve fell apart after we got up a couple of scores...... I think Poggi is headed in the right direction with this Panther Program but Mater Dei may be the best team in the Nation.
 
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