Is this gonna be another anti public play tonight?

[Theboundbook]

Line has gone from -3 to -2.5.... Another full point and I am all WV.... Again, like last night I KNOW NOTHING really about either team but I really CRUSHED the book yesterday by going with Louisville thanks to line movement all day.... (And it was 2.5 pts worth of money!!! :scared :scared :scared )

If this gets to -1.5 or poss. 2 I probably will hit this one (WV)....

 

[ThrowinPicks]

It could also be a completely different story. How often does Vegas really have to move the line to the underdog?

 

[vinnie]

WV is the public play over 60% on them :shrug: last night it was KSU over 65%

 

[MadJack]

WV is the public play over 60% on them :shrug: last night it was KSU over 65%

true dat :shrug:

 

[vinnie]

true dat :shrug:

............

 

[Destructor D]

Colorado has done a good job stopping the run, but against weak competition... we all know WVU lives with their ground game. West Virginia is also traveling a LONG ways for this game which typically isn't a recipe for success.

I took CU +3.5 (-120) earlier today. Home crowd and with a decent QB in Hawkins, I'll take my chances. West Virginia was mandhandled my East Carolina. They won't get whipped, but could lose tonight. Hopefully if WVU wins, it's by 3 points and we're both winners:mj06:

 

[Glenn Quagmire]

Personally, I think the line is begging for WVU money. I'm sure there are tons of people who think WVU is much better than Colorado and will jump on such a low number.

Another thing to note is that it's usually a bad idea to bet against the home team on these weeknight games. Home team usually covers in these games (at least over the last few years).

 

[Theboundbook]

It could also be a completely different story. How often does Vegas really have to move the line to the underdog?

True. I just through this thread out there to get the pot stirred so I can see people's thoughts on this and then apply it to "my system" whatever the hell that is and post some of my own thoughts after thinking through it.

I see you are a fan. My book has it at -2.5 and 57 now. Over getting hit some now.

 

[Theboundbook]

WV is the public play over 60% on them :shrug: last night it was KSU over 65%

Yep, this is the info that says COL!!!!!

 

[vinnie]

Yep, this is the info that says COL!!!!!

so wv is not the anti public play :shrug:

 

[vinnie]

moved back to 3

 

[KsYaS]

my book has it at 3 for both, game and FH, I really think WV is the way to go

 

[Save It]

Well here in Wisconsin seems like people think West Virginia have won this game before it started - and that it will be high scoring shootout...FYI i played Colorodo & the under...gl w/ whatever you play

 

[Theboundbook]

so wv is not the anti public play :shrug:

Not yet in any way. Thats why my thread IS IT GONNA...... I think with the stat you threw up there that I am gonna stick with the home dog getting the points. Small, but enough.

9/18/2008 8:22 PM Spread 145.00 100.00 Football - 304 Colorado (Football) +? -145 for 1st Quarter

58274065-1 9/18/2008 8:25 PM Parlay 100.00 350.00 Football - 304 Colorado (Football) +125 for Game
Football - 306 Connecticut (Football) -7 +100 for 1st Half


58274583-1 9/18/2008 8:30 PM Spread 150.00 150.00 Football - 304 Colorado (Football) +2? +100 for Game


58274583-2 9/18/2008 8:30 PM Spread 150.00 150.00 Football - 304 Colorado (Football) +? +100 for 1st Half


I believe truly that the books are BEGGING for WV money since Joe Public thinks since they are ranked they are good. And I think they are getting it and the line is going down. Good sign we (COL backers) are on the right side tonight....

 

[Theboundbook]

:142smilie :142smilie :142smilie :142smilie

I really hope that these weekday games are all this easy to begin with.... I sure saw how the books pushed it down to 2.5 and got a bunch more cash in. Col up 14-0 early!!!! :00hour :00hour :00hour

 

[Theboundbook]

1-0 +100.00 with Col covering by +7.5 in the 1st qtr. Really want Col up by 14 at half. Great middle opp if that happens.... Go Buffaloes!

 

[Theboundbook]

Ballsy 4 n 1 call to get the 1st with 4 minutes left in the half. Gonna cover half for sure now...
2-0 on game so far.... +250.00 :00hour :00hour :00hour Wish I would have pumped more on this. I hope WV doesnt score here and if they do just 3 at the half.

Been something like 10-2 since Sun night NFL on anti public stuff. Pitt (NFL) Dal (NFL), K State (NCAAF), and WV (NCAAF). Went against them all and cashed em all so far.... (Still need 2nd half here.)

What do you guys like here? Is that turnover huge for WV? Or just a turnover that isnt taken advantage fully with momentum. I think there is a middle here for the taking. I do have Col ML play and the +2.5 even pending.

 

[Save It]

hey bound - i'd just sit tight - i used to try for alot of middles, but i found in the longrun it was just best to sit tight w/ my "right side"...just my input - congrats on your run - i always respect you as a capper over the years - man i really want this Colorodo & under to come in! gl bud

 

[Theboundbook]

hey bound - i'd just sit tight - i used to try for alot of middles, but i found in the longrun it was just best to sit tight w/ my "right side"...just my input - congrats on your run - i always respect you as a capper over the years - man i really want this Colorodo & under to come in! gl bud

Hey thanks. Its nice to hear that once in a while someone who has made money with me over the YEARS.... Means alot.

I might actually hit Col. again 2nd half. WV is exposed as the fraud of the ranked teams like Tenn is in my opinion. True, the safe bet is to leave it alone. The over 2nd half would be a huge middle though..... hmmm....

 

[Theboundbook]

Not yet in any way. Thats why my thread IS IT GONNA...... I think with the stat you threw up there that I am gonna stick with the home dog getting the points. Small, but enough.

9/18/2008 8:22 PM Spread 145.00 100.00 Football - 304 Colorado (Football) +? -145 for 1st Quarter

58274065-1 9/18/2008 8:25 PM Parlay 100.00 350.00 Football - 304 Colorado (Football) +125 for Game
Football - 306 Connecticut (Football) -7 +100 for 1st Half


58274583-1 9/18/2008 8:30 PM Spread 150.00 150.00 Football - 304 Colorado (Football) +2? +100 for Game


58274583-2 9/18/2008 8:30 PM Spread 150.00 150.00 Football - 304 Colorado (Football) +? +100 for 1st Half


I believe truly that the books are BEGGING for WV money since Joe Public thinks since they are ranked they are good. And I think they are getting it and the line is going down. Good sign we (COL backers) are on the right side tonight....

AND IT ALL CASHES AGAIN! PUBLIC 0, ANTI PUBLIC 2 this week on weeknight anti line move bets.... :shrug: :shrug: :shrug:

Too bad I tried to get greedy and lost on COL over 2nd half and COL +3 2nd half giving up some profit.

THE HEDGE does and will pay in the long run more often than not with middles as large as they have been the last two nights. I promise. Dont do what I did tonight and lose... HEHE.....

See you guys tomorrow! You all rock! (Except for the dipschit haters.... the one's I openly hate on this board for trying to put down success or those who are....)