THE SCIENCE.
THE SCIENCE.
I SPENT THE WEEKEND THINKING ABOUT WHAT MAKES DOMINIC LORENZO SO GREAT.
IT'S NOT MY GREEK GOD LIKE ABS. IT'S NOT MY PERFECT HAIRLINE. IT'S NOT ALL THE BITCHES I SMASH WEEKLY.
IT'S THE SCIENCE.
I HAVE HEARD THE HATERS TALK A LOT OF SHIT ABOUT HOW I ONLY PLAY MONEYLINES OR BUY POINTS IN MY GAMES.
THE HATERS TALK ABOUT THE JUICE, TALK ABOUT THE RISK, TALK ABOUT HOW THERE'S NO SKILL IN BUYING POINTS, YADA YADA YADA... AND IT'S ALL BULLSHIT.
THE FACT IS YOU MOTHERFUCKERS WHO PLAY STRAIGHT LINES AT EVEN MONEY STATISTICALLY HAVE LESS OF A CHANCE TO WIN MONEY.
STRAIGHT LINE BETTERS MAY HAVE LESS OF A CHANCE OF LOSING BIG IN ONE GAME, BUT YOU HAVE LESS OF A CHANCE OF WINNING OVERALL AS WELL.
HERE'S THE LOGIC:
HANDICAPPERS ARE WITHIN FOUR POINTS OF AN NBA LINE 71% OF THE TIME
THE FAVORITE IN AN NBA LINE WILL WIN THE GAME OUTRIGHT 83% OF THE TIMES
FEW THAN 10% OF ALL NBA GAMES ARE DECIDED BY THREE POINTS.
WHEN YOU TAKE THE ABOVE, AND THEN FACTOR IN OTHER BULLSHIT THAT IS SPECIFIC TO THE TEAMS YOU ARE BETTING ON (PERCENTAGE WISE), YOU CAN PICK THE CORRECT TEAM WITHIN 4 POINTS, 7-10 TIMES.
NOW, OF THOSE 10 GAMES IF YOU CAN DISTINGUISH BETWEEN THE "HIGHER RISK" AND "LOWER RISK" AND ADJUST THE MONEY YOU ARE BETTING ACCORGINGLY... YOU CAN MAKE SERIOUS FUCKING CASH.
NOW I'M 5-0 SINCE MY RETURN, AND I'M UP $4,500.00
USUALLY I'M LAYING $2,000 TO WIN $1000 - BUT YOU HAVE SEEN ME ON OCCASSION LAY $1000 TO WIN $500
SO IMAGINE IF MY PICKS WENT LIKE THIS:
PLAY 1: LAY 2K TO WIN 1K - RESULT: WIN
PLAY 2: LAY 2K TO WIN 1K - RESULT: WIN
PLAY 3: LAY 1K TO WIN 500 - RESULT: LOSS
PLAY 4: LAY 2K TO WIN 1K - RESULT: LOSS
PLAY 5: LAY 1K TO WIN 500 - RESULT: WIN
PLAY 6: LAY 2K TO WIN 1K - RESULT: WIN
PLAY 7: LAY 1K TO WIN 500 - RESULT: WIN
PLAY 8: LAY 2K TO WIN 1K - RESULT: WIN
PLAY 9: LAY 1K TO WIN 500 - RESULT: LOSS
PLAY 10: LAY 2K TO WIN 1K - RESULT: WIN
I WOULD BE: +$2,000
WHEN YOU BET STRAIGHT, AND FACTOR IN TYPICAL JUICE, YOU ARE BETTING LESS ON PROBABILITY A MUCH MORE ON LUCK.
JUICE ALWAYS WINS WHEN BETTING ON LUCK.