FLORIDA MARLINS -110 - I posted my 5th consecutive Free Play victory last night with the Mets/Marlins Under, as Dontrelle Willis tossed a masterpiece in a 1-0 victory. I am staying with the same matchup tonight, only this time looking at the Florida Side. Granted, Seo has been pitching brilliantly lately, but I would go against the Mets on the road at a price close to Pick?em like this just about every time! The Mets may have gained some confidence with some big wins on the road vs. Texas and Anaheim last week, but they returned to their sputtering ways last night as they finally started facing some quality pitching again. As scary as Willis looked last night, consider that Carl Pavano actually has a LOWER ratio of 1.19 this season, and he held the Mets to 2 runs and 5 hits in 6 innings the last time he faced them. While he was hit hard in his last start at Milwaukee, Pavano has recorded an impressive 6 Quality Starts in his last 7 home starts, as he has learned to take full advantage of this pitcher?s ballpark. While Seo has a remarkable 2.88 ERA in 12 starts this season, he still does not impress me and I think he is in line for a correction. After all, he has moderate velocity at best, as indicated by the fact that he has just 42 strikeouts in 81.1 innings, and he is a fly ball pitcher with a GB/FB ratio of 0.64, a combination not normally conducive to winning baseball.
Mets/Marlins - 6/17/03
- Thread starter Eugene Michaels
- Start date
Does Seo impress you yet?
This guy has been unbelievable past month with great performances against Atlanta 2x, Seattle and tonight.
The 1 bright spot for all us Mets fans suffering through another dismal season
This guy has been unbelievable past month with great performances against Atlanta 2x, Seattle and tonight.
The 1 bright spot for all us Mets fans suffering through another dismal season
Grizape,
I'm getting there!
It is just that I am naturally skeptical of any pitcher that has a GB/FB ratio of less than 0.75 (Seo = 0.64) and does not strike out many batters (Seo = less than 5 K/9), because these pitchers allow an abnormally high amount of balls in the air. To Seo's credit, however, he has gotten away with it to this point by allowing a lot of pop-ups and weak fly balls as opposed to long bombs. Now I don't know if he tries to do this intentionally, ala Greg Maddux, but the fact that he now has 11 Quality Starts out of 13 total starts this year suggests that his success is not a fluke and that he might have a nice career here.
I'm getting there!
It is just that I am naturally skeptical of any pitcher that has a GB/FB ratio of less than 0.75 (Seo = 0.64) and does not strike out many batters (Seo = less than 5 K/9), because these pitchers allow an abnormally high amount of balls in the air. To Seo's credit, however, he has gotten away with it to this point by allowing a lot of pop-ups and weak fly balls as opposed to long bombs. Now I don't know if he tries to do this intentionally, ala Greg Maddux, but the fact that he now has 11 Quality Starts out of 13 total starts this year suggests that his success is not a fluke and that he might have a nice career here.
Nice run Gene!
Nice run Gene!
Gene,
Wondering if the FB/GB ratio is really all that relevant when considering what you were talking about, ie., Seo seems to be a pitcher like Maddux who induces alot of hitters into popups and probably alot of foul outs? I don't know personally because I have not watched him. But if a pitcher is getting guys out wether it is a GB vs. a FB whats the difference. I realize GB's will never become home runs and FB's can never become double plays(ok I guess they can, but rare), but I wonder if this is relevant for handicapping purposes. Would like your thoughts Again, great job on your picks, start another run
Franky
Nice run Gene!
Gene,
Wondering if the FB/GB ratio is really all that relevant when considering what you were talking about, ie., Seo seems to be a pitcher like Maddux who induces alot of hitters into popups and probably alot of foul outs? I don't know personally because I have not watched him. But if a pitcher is getting guys out wether it is a GB vs. a FB whats the difference. I realize GB's will never become home runs
and FB's can never become double plays(ok I guess they can, but rare), but I wonder if this is relevant for handicapping purposes. Would like your thoughts Again, great job on your picks, start another run Franky
