MLB 2018 Season Long Thread Thru the World Series / Picks,Trends,News Etc. !!

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Judge blares 'New York, New York,' as Red Sox head to Bronx
October 7, 2018
By The Associated Press


NEW YORK (AP) Aaron Judge walked past Boston's Fenway Park clubhouse early Sunday morning, Frank Sinatra's rendition of "New York, New York" blaring from a boom box atop the wheelie bag he was pulling with his left hand.

''It's a good song. And Aaron, he's one of our resident deejays, so he's got a pretty extensive playlist,'' New York manager Aaron Boone said later in the day at Yankee Stadium, a smirk filling his face. ''We like to hear that song sometimes when we win a big game.''

New York and Boston split at Fenway Park and are tied 1-1 in the best-of-five AL Division Series going into Game 3 on Monday night. Luis Severino, coming off four scoreless innings in the wild-card game against Oakland, starts for New York and former Yankees pitcher Nathan Eovaldi pitches for the Red Sox.

Severino was 10-2 with a 2.74 ERA and .217 opponents' batting average at home, just 9-6 with a 3.99 ERA and .257 opponents' batting average on the road.

''Maybe my wife cooks better food here,'' he said.

New York is 19-9 in the postseason at new Yankee Stadium, where boisterous Bronx crowds try to intimidate. The Yankees' were 53-28 there during the regular season, the second-best home record behind Boston's 57-24. The win over Oakland in last week's wild-card game improved New York to 7-0 at home in the postseason since the start of the 2017 playoffs.

''The fans, they're out there on the field with you,'' Judge said. ''Every single pitch they're locked in. It's electric.''

New York is built for Yankee Stadium, where it takes advantage of the short right-field porch and hit 144 of its record 267 home runs. Boston is constructed in a similar fashion, knowing half its games are played in front of Fenway's Green Monster lurking in left field.

''Two places that are historic franchises where the fans are definitely rowdy for their home team and against the visiting team,'' Red Sox reliever Matt Barnes said .

This will be the first postseason game in the Bronx between the rivals since Boston won Games 6 and 7 of the 2004 AL Championship Series across the street at old Yankee Stadium, becoming the first major league team to overcome a 3-0 deficit in a best-of-seven postseason series.

''All empires fall sooner or later,'' then-Red Sox president Larry Lucchino said that night.

A year earlier, Boone's 11th-inning homer off Tim Wakefield won Game 7 and the AL pennant. Now he's a rookie manager, leading a group of Baby Bombers that reached Game 7 of the AL Championship Series last year before losing to Houston.

''This fan base I feel like absolutely connected with kind of this new generation of Yankee player, this young corps that has developed,'' Boone said . ''Me watching from afar last year, especially in the postseason, you could kind of see that raw intensity connection that the fan base had with the players.''

For all the focus on big boppers, J.D. Martinez, Mookie Betts and Andrew Benintendi for Boston, and Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Gary Sanchez for New York, relievers have reigned in an error when starting pitchers often are shown the exit before they have a chance to stumble too much.

New York's bullpen has allowed one run in 10 innings, led by Dellin Betances, Zach Britton and Aroldis Chapman. Red Sox relievers have given up five in 11 innings.

Hoping for a deep outing, Boston manager Alex Cora selected Eovaldi for Game 3 over Rick Porcello, who pitched two-thirds of an inning of relief in Friday's opener and now will match up against 38-year-old left-hander CC Sabathia in Game 4.

Eovaldi was 3-3 with a 3.33 in 11 starts and one relief appearance for the Red Sox, who acquired him from Tampa Bay in July. The 28-year-old right-hander, who throws at 97-98 mph, allowed no earned runs in three of four starts this year against the Yankees. He pitched for New York in 2015 and `16 before injuring his elbow, which required Tommy John surgery for the second time.

His goal is to keep bats and fans quiet.

''Trying to keep the ball in the ballpark - try and get quick outs, try not to let the crowd get too crazy and get behind them and get them going,'' he said.

Cora and the Red Sox wouldn't sound off about Judge's musical taste - not that they could hear the famous Kander and Ebb song on Fenway's concourse through thick clubhouse walls after the 6-2 win in Game 2.

''That's probably just something they do when they win,'' the manager said.

Yankees players were ready for familiar sounds when the series resume.

''It's been a while since Boston played Yankees in the playoffs. So the fans are going to be excited,'' Betances said. ''They were pretty loud for that Oakland game. This is going to be a little crazier for this Boston game, for sure.''

AUTUMN SUNDAY

Red Sox closer Craig Kimbrel tossed a football with pitching coach Dana LeVangie before throwing a baseball in the outfield.

TRAINER'S ROOM


Red Sox: 1B Mitch Moreland had what Cora called aggressive treatment on his right hamstring, which forced him from Game 2.

Yankees: CF Aaron Hicks hopes to be back in the lineup after missing Game 2 because of right hamstring tightness, but Boone said it was unclear if the leg might need another day to deal.
 

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Red Sox to start Eovaldi in Game 3
October 7, 2018
By The Associated Press


NEW YORK (AP) Boston will start former Yankee Nathan Eovaldi rather than Rick Porcello against New York in Game 3 of the AL Division Series on Monday.

Red Sox manager Alex Cora says he made the decision because Porcello pitched two-thirds of an inning of relief in Friday's opener and he wanted to give him an extra day of rest. Porcello is scheduled to pitch Game 4 on Tuesday.

Eovaldi was 3-3 with a 3.33 in 11 starts and one relief appearance for the Red Sox, who acquired him from Tampa Bay in July. The 28-year-old right-hander, who throws at 97-98 mph, allowed no earned runs in three of four starts this year against the Yankees. He pitched for the Yankees in 2015 and '16 before injuring his elbow, which required Tommy John surgery for the second time.

New York starts Luis Severino in Game 3, followed by CC Sabathia. The best-of-five series is tied 1-1.
 

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wild card/division/championship series/world series /record and best bets:


Date w-l-t % units record

10/07/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -16.80
10/06/2018 3-1-0 75.00% +9.55
10/05/2018 4-4-0 50.00% -0.50
10/04/2018 2-1-0 66.67% +5.00
10/03/2018 1-1-0 50.00% +0
10/01/2018 2-1-1 66.67% +5.85

total..............13-11-1.......54.15%.....+3.10


best bets:................ats.....................units ..................o/u..................units............days total

10/07/2018...............0 - 0....................+0.00..................1 - 1.................-0.50..............-0.50
10/06/2018...............1 - 0....................+5.05..................1 - 1..................-0.50.............+4.55
10/05/2018...............0 - 3....................-15.00.................3 - 1..................+9.50.............-5.50
10/04/2018...............0 - 1.....................-5.00..................2 - 0.................+10.00...........+5.00
10/03/2018...............0 - 1.....................-5.00..................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+0.00
10/01/2018...............1 - 1....................+5.85..................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+10.85

total.........................2 - 6....................-14.10.................9 - 3.................+28.50...........+14.40
 

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Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top 6 picks in Week 5 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

1) Ravens, -3 (1,014)- L

2) Rams -7 (873)- L

3) Titans -3.5 (811)- L

4) Cardinals +4 (759)- W

5) Redskins +6.5 (757)

6) Broncos +1 (712)- L

Season record: 13-14-2

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday??

Browns 12, Ravens 9 OT? Cleveland is 2-2-1, with all five games decided by 4 or fewer points; Browns have 15 takeaways, are +7 in turnovers. There was only one TD in this game; Browns missed PAT after that one. Ravens are now 6-10-1 in last 17 games as road favorites; they?re 3-0 when scoring 26+ points, 0-2 when they don?t. Under is 4-1 in Cleveland games

Lions 31, Packers 23? Brutal day for Green Bay K Crosby, who missed four FGs and a PAT; in first half, Packers had ball five times- three missed FG?s, two fumbles. Green Bay outgained Lions 521-264, but Detroit had huge 25-yard edge in field position. Lions covered their last four games; four of their five games went over. Detroit was perfect (28 pts/4 trips) in red zzone.

Panthers 33, Giants 31? Graham Gano kicked a 63-yard FG at the gun and Carolina recovered a muffed punt in end zone for a TD as they improved to 3-1. What were odds that Odell Beckham would throw a TD pass before he caught one this year? He did both in this game. Giants scored 31 points without converting on 3rd down (0-7); they had three turnovers (-1).

Chiefs 30, Jaguars 14? Jacksonville threw 61 passes, ran ball 17 times; I?m sure Tom Coughlin loved that. Jaguars had ball in red zone five times, scored only one TD? four empty trips to red zone in one game!!! Chiefs covered nine of last 11 as a home favorite; they had five takeaways (+3), two more than they had in first four games combined. Chiefs play Patriots next week.

Bengals 27, Dolphins 17? Miami led 17-3 after third quarter; Cincy scored three TD?s in fourth quarter, two of them by defense- an 18-yard fumble return with 2:37 left covered the spread. Miami is now 10-18 in last 28 games as road underdogs. There were five TD?s in this game, one for each offense- Miami ran a punt back for a TD. Cincy?s offense is suspect without TE Eifert.

Vikings 23, Eagles 21? Game was 3-3 when a sack/fumble was run back 64 yards for a TD that put Minnesota ahead to stay; Vikings scored only one offensive TD, tried five FG?s (two missed), but they hung on for win, avenging loss in LY?s playoffs. Eagles scored TD down 20-6 with 12:05 left; for whatever reason, they went for 2, which NEVER happens, but they made it. All five Eagle games this season were decided by 6 or fewer points.

Steelers 41, Falcons 17? Roethlisberger tried really, really hard to get ball to Antonio Brown in this game; he targeted Brown 13 times, completed only six, but for 101 yards. Big Ben threw an awful INT in end zone at end of first half, but Steelers dominated second half. Falcons allowed 43-37-41 points in their last three games.

Here is a breakdown of Atlanta?s offense:
2 road games, both on grass fields: 22 drives, three TD?s
3 road games, all indoors on turf: 30 drives, 13 TD?s

Rams 33, Seahawks 31? LA receivers Cooks/Kupp were both KO?d in first half (concussions) but Rams scored 16 points in second half anyway, gaining 194 yards on 23 plays on three scoring drives on first three 2nd half drives, then killing clock for final 3:28 on last drive. Gurley scored three TD?s for Rams. Seattle ran ball for 190 yards, gave it their very best shot here. Seahawks are 8-2 vs spread in last ten games as home underdogs.

Bills 13, Titans 12? Only one TD in this game, and that was on a 47-yard drive by Bills; Buffalo has one TD on 20 drives in its last two games- when was last time an NFL team won a game with only 79 passing yards? Tennessee?s last four games were decided by total of 10 points; Titans turned ball over six times (-3) in their two losses, one time (+1) in their three wins.

Jets 34, Broncos 16? Jets ran ball for 323 yards, which doesn?t happen much in NFL games; they had TD plays of 77,76 yards in first 5:00 of second quarter. Gang Green is now 7-2-1 in last ten games as home underdogs; Denver is 7-11-2 in last 20 games where spread was 3 or fewer points. Jets led 24-10 at half; they had total of 31 first half points in first four games.

Chargers 26, Raiders 10? With 1:05 left in third quarter and down 20-3, Carr threw an awful INT in end zone, ending Oakland?s day. Team that won field position won all five Raider games. Chargers averaged 11.9 yards/pass play; they won field position in last two games by 19-14 yards. Bolts are +5 in turnovers in last four games; they had 14-yard edge in field position here.

Cardinals 28, 49ers 18? Cardinals are 12-4 vs spread in last 16 NFC West road games; they?ve won last seven games vs 49ers, but these were Arizona?s four TD?s Sunday:

? Arizona?s first offensive play was a 75-yard TD pass.
? 18 yards, four plays after a 49er fumble.
? Defensive touchdown
? 26 yards, five plays after a 49er INT.

San Francisco was -5 (0-5) in turnovers; hard to win that way.

Texans 19, Cowboys 16 OT? Houston outgained Cowboys 462-292, but scored only one TD on six red zone drives. Dallas is 19-60 on third down this year; they?ve scored only seven TD?s on 49 drives, 33 points on last eight red zone drives. Cowboys are desperate for an explosive WR; other than RB Elliott (7 targets), no other Cowboy had more than four targets.
 

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MLB
Dunkel

Monday, October 8



LA Dodgers @ Atlanta

Game 919-920
October 8, 2018 @ 4:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Hill) 17.663
Atlanta
(Fltynwcz) 14.985
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Dodgers
by 2 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
LA Dodgers
N/A

Boston @ NY Yankees

Game 913-914
October 8, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Eovaldi) 15.945
NY Yankees
(Severino) 18.428
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-175
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-175); Over

Houston @ Cleveland


Game 915-916
October 8, 2018 @ 1:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Keuchel) 16.012
Cleveland
(Clevnger) 14.932
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-125
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+105); Under





MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, October 8


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BOSTON (109 - 55) at NY YANKEES (102 - 63) - 7:35 PM
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. LUIS SEVERINO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 99-66 (+22.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
SEVERINO is 27-9 (+15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BOSTON is 109-55 (+31.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 51-30 (+17.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
BOSTON is 53-25 (+17.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 87-39 (+30.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY YANKEES are 59-44 (-21.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 11-10 (+1.0 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
12 of 19 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.6 Units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PORCELLO is 10-9 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.23 and a WHIP of 1.124.
His team's record is 12-11 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-13. (-7.6 units)

LUIS SEVERINO vs. BOSTON since 1997
SEVERINO is 4-6 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.090.
His team's record is 6-6 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-5. (+1.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (105 - 59) at CLEVELAND (91 - 73) - 1:35 PM
DALLAS KEUCHEL (L) vs. MIKE CLEVINGER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 41-35 (-13.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KEUCHEL is 4-10 (-9.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 144-71 (+36.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 57-24 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 154-76 (+35.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 41-15 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
CLEVELAND is 91-73 (-26.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 25-36 (-23.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVINGER is 16-16 (-8.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-3 (+2.9 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.9 Units)

DALLAS KEUCHEL vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
KEUCHEL is 4-1 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 2.39 and a WHIP of 1.163.
His team's record is 5-2 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

MIKE CLEVINGER vs. HOUSTON since 1997
CLEVINGER is 1-3 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.98 and a WHIP of 1.476.
His team's record is 1-3 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA DODGERS (94 - 72) at ATLANTA (91 - 74) - 4:35 PM
RICH HILL (L) vs. MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 7-3 (+2.2 Units) against ATLANTA this season
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.9 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

RICH HILL vs. ATLANTA since 1997
HILL is 5-0 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 1.76 and a WHIP of 0.957.
His team's record is 6-1 (+5.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

MIKE FOLTYNEWICZ vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
FOLTYNEWICZ is 1-2 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 7.43 and a WHIP of 1.725.
His team's record is 1-2 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, October 8


National League
Dodgers (93-72) @ Braves (91-73) (Dodgers lead series, 2-1)

Hill is 5-0, 3.90 in his last five starts; over is 7-1 in his last eight. LA scored 59 runs in those games. Team in his starts: 13-10, 7-5 road. Hill blanked Atlanta for seven innings here back on July 26.
5-inning record: 10-10-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-23

Foltynewicz is 2-2, 6.16 in his last four starts; under is 8-5 in his last 13. Team in his starts: 15-17, 7-9 home He is 0-2, 10.29 in two starts vs LA this season.
5-inning record: 17-10-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-32

Braves lost six of their last eight games; teams that lose first two games of a playoff series, then win Game 3, are 16-16 in Game 4. Braves are in playoffs for first time since 2013. Dodgers won six last seven games, 12 of last 16 games. LA is in playoffs for sixth year in row; they haven?t won a World Series since 1988.

American League
Boston (109-55) @ New York (102-63) (series tied, 1-1)

Eovaldi is 1-0, 1.80 in his last four appearances (20 IP). Under is 6-5 in his Boston starts. Team in his starts: 5-6, 2-4 road For the Red Sox, he?s allowed one in 16 IP vs New York.
5-inning record: 5-5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-11

Severino is 2-1, 1.66 in his last four starts, last three of which went over. Team in his starts: 25-8, 14-1 home
5-inning record: 21-8-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-33

New York is 11-5 in its last 16 games, 5-2 in last seven home games. Red Sox are 4-6 in their last ten games, 2-4 in last six on road; Boston is 11-10 vs New York this season; 3-6 in the Bronx.

New York is in playoffs for third time in last six years; they haven?t been to a World Series since 2009. Red Sox are in playoffs for third year in row; they won World Series in 2013. Both managers here are rookie managers.

Astros (105-59) @ Indians (91-73) (Astros lead series, 2-0)
Keuchel is 1-1, 5.76 in his last five starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Team in his starts: 19-15, 12-6 road. He is 0-1, 4.91 in two starts vs Cleveland this year.
5-inning record: 15-15-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 11-34

Clevinger is 2-0, 1.53 in his last three starts; under is 8-5-1 in his last 14. Team in his starts: 16-16, 10-7 home
5-inning record: 11-14-7 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-32

Astros are 5-3 vs Cleveland this year, 1-2 in this ballpark- they?re in playoffs for 3rd year in row. Tribe hasn?t won World Series since 1948, but Francona won two WS titles with the Red Sox. Cleveland won a terrible AL Central; they scored three runs in first two games of this series. Astros won World Series LY; they?re in playoffs for third time in four years. Houston won 10 of its last 12 games.




MLB
Weather Report

Monday, October 8


k9de00.jpg





MLB

Monday, October 8


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Houston Astros
Houston is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston's last 9 games
Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Houston is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Houston is 7-17 SU in its last 24 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland Indians
Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Houston
Cleveland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Houston
Cleveland is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Houston
Cleveland is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston


Los Angeles Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
LA Dodgers is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
LA Dodgers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 6 games when playing Atlanta
LA Dodgers is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
LA Dodgers is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Dodgers's last 9 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 9 games at home
Atlanta is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing LA Dodgers
Atlanta is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers


Boston Red Sox
Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games
Boston is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
Boston is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
NY Yankees is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of NY Yankees's last 9 games
NY Yankees is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games at home
NY Yankees is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games at home
NY Yankees is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing Boston
NY Yankees is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
 

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POSTSEASON STARTER STAT OF THE DAY

Mike Foltynewicz, Atlanta Braves (13-10, 2.85 ERA, -$203)

Folty was completely faulty in Game 1 of the Braves' National League Division Series with the Dodgers, surrendering four runs over two innings while issuing three walks and giving up a pair of home runs. It was his second bad outing in a four-start stretch; he gave up two homers in that one, as well, and has allowed 13 runs over 19 innings in his last four turns.

The Dodgers have had Foltynewicz's number this season, torching him for eight runs ? including four homers ? in a pair of head-to-head meetings. With a spot in the NLCS just one win away, Los Angeles is a good pick to win SU (-145) or on the runline (+110).


Consider Going Even Lower

We've established the Astros and Indians as a great Under play at the current number ? but there's a strong trend foundation to support an alternate total wager. For starters, Houston has averaged just 5.4 combined runs in its last seven road games. Also, the Indians have gone below the number in 14 of their previous 21 postseason games; 13 of those saw six or fewer combined runs.

The Under-7.5 play is an intriguing +125, while the Under-6.5 option pays out at +215; both are worth considering Monday.


Over The Hill

The Dodgers-Braves total should see plenty of betting attention, particularly after the teams combined to produce 11 total runs in Game 3 following a pair of Los Angeles shutouts in Games 1 and 2. Dodgers starter Rich Hill has been one of the top Over plays in baseball this season, with Los Angeles exceeding the total in 19 of his 25 regular-season starts.

Hill's incredible Over trend, combined with Foltynewicz's recent struggles, make this game a prime target for an over-8 bet (+100); the Over-8.5 option worth a slightly higher +110, but takes the push out of play.


Winters Of Their Discontent

Mike Winters is probably the last man Boston wants to see behind home plate for Game 3 at Yankee Stadium ? and yet, there he'll be. The Red Sox have two significant umpire trends working against them here: they're an incredible 7-19 in Winters' last 26 games calling balls and strikes, while the home team is 31-15 in his previous 46 games behind the dish.

Combined with the starter advantage New York has, the Yankees are worth a long look on the run line (+110).
 

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Indians tweak slugging lineup for Game 3 of ALDS
October 8, 2018
By The Associated Press


CLEVELAND (AP) Indians manager Terry Francona juggled his struggling lineup for Game 3 of the AL Division Series against Houston.

With his club batting .100 (6 for 60) in the series and facing left-hander Dallas Keuchel, the Indians are starting right-handed hitters Yandy Diaz at designated hitter and Brandon Guyer in right field. Also, Edwin Encarnacion will switch from DH and play first base, replacing left-handed Yonder Alonso.

The Indians were dominated in Games 1 and 2 by Astros fireballers Justin Verlander and Gerrit Cole. Cleveland has had some success against Keuchel, beating him on May 19 in Houston. The Indians scored three runs in the first inning and chased Keuchel after in five innings.

In his second matchup against Cleveland on May 25, he allowed two runs and eight hits in six innings.

Astros manager A.J. Hinch made two switches, starting Brian McCann behind the plate and using Tony Kemp as his DH instead of Tyler White, who served that role in the first two games.


***************************


Odd path to playoffs: Kratz, Voit, Brasier take longer road
October 8, 2018
By The Associated Press


Of course Erik Kratz kept hoping for a moment like this. That's why he stuck around, through a dozen big league organizations, a couple of cruel demotions in the minors, a bunch of near-misses in October.

And the time he accidentally shot himself in the hand with a nail gun.

''I really feel like I've played my last game for the last 12 years because the game doesn't owe anybody anything,'' the Milwaukee catcher said. ''When you understand that, you appreciate these times more than anything else.''

Luke Voit certainly never expected to hear crowds at Yankee Stadium chanting his name in October, especially when he was stuck at Triple-A for St. Louis in late July.

Ryan Brasier's path to these playoffs was unusual, too. The Red Sox reliever is a rookie - even though he made his major league debut in 2013.

This postseason is full of stars, including Christian Yelich, Jose Altuve and Mookie Betts. Ronald Acuna Jr., Miguel Andujar and Walker Buehler are among the many talented newcomers.

To see them here, now, that's probably not a huge surprise.

But Kratz?

Still scrapping at 38, he was a .211 career hitter in the bigs, the very definition of a veteran backup catcher. He did have a piece of World Series jewelry, however - he went 0 for 4 in the regular season for Kansas City in 2015 and even though he was nowhere near the playoff roster, the Royals rewarded him with a ring.

Kratz was in the minors this June when the Yankees traded him to Milwaukee for a player to be named. He impressed the Brewers with his work regimen and knowledge, and produced enough to earn a spot in the playoffs.

Against Colorado last week, he became the oldest position player to start in his postseason debut since Lave Cross for the Philadelphia Athletics in the 1905 World Series.

''Lave Cross from Milwaukee, yeah, he was a really good third baseman. We played together in rookie ball,'' Kratz kidded.

''It's something that is part of history, so maybe in 113 years, some dude is going to be like, Erik Kratz - is it Kratz? What is that?'' he said.

No joke: Kratz went 5 for 8 in the NL Division Series sweep of the Rockies, and his Milwaukee teammates started chanting ''MVP! MVP!'' at him in the bubbly-soaked clubhouse.

''It's gone from an unsung season to kind of a front-and-center role right now,'' Brewers manager Craig Counsell said.

During the series, Kratz reflected on his future in baseball. He realizes time is running out.

''I haven't had a good enough career to retire. I'm just going to quit. I'll just be out. That's what's going to happen,'' he said.

Brasier's trip to this postseason also took several turns. He seemed to be off to a good start as rookie with the Angels in 2013, putting together a 2.00 ERA in seven relief appearances.

That was before Tommy John surgery, more time in the minors and a detour to Japan. He signed with the Red Sox in spring training, returned to the majors shortly before the All-Star break and kept a spot in the Boston bullpen.

He's already made his presence known.

In Game 2 of the ALDS, the 31-year-old Brasier got into a verbal spat with Gary Sanchez, annoyed that the Yankees slugger kept stepping out of the batter's box. That came as he struck out Andrew McCutchen, Giancarlo Stanton and Sanchez in the same inning.

At 27, Voit's trek wasn't so winding. Rather, he was backed up in the minors for St. Louis behind star first baseman Matt Carpenter. The beefy Voit didn't exactly fit the physical profile of the athletic-minded Cardinals, either.

Dealt to the Yankees shortly before the July 31 trade deadline for Giovanny Gallegos and Chasen Shreve, Voit got off to a slow start and seemed to be a backup for Greg Bird, at best.

But then, his huge swing started clicking. He connected for 14 home runs down the stretch, hit a two-run triple in the AL wild-card win over Oakland and has two hits and two RBIs in two playoff games against Boston.

In a city known for fashion, Voit also has made his own style statement. He prefers to keep the top button on his jersey unfastened, with no T-shirt underneath.

''Let the chest hair hang, baby,'' he said.
 

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LEADING OFF: Red Sox-Yankees all even, Astros try for sweep
October 8, 2018
By The Associated Press


A look at what's happening around the majors today:

REVVED-UP RIVALS

Luis Severino starts for the Yankees when they host Boston in Game 3 of the AL Division Series. They're 1-all going into the first playoff game between the teams in the Bronx since the Red Sox finished off a comeback from an 0-3 deficit in the 2004 ALCS at the old Yankee Stadium.

Severino was 10-2 with a 2.74 ERA and .217 opponents' batting average at home, and is coming off four sharp innings against Oakland in the AL wild-card game. Ex-Yankee Nathan Eovaldi starts for Boston - he allowed no earned runs in three of four starts this year vs. New York.

ROCK IT

The Astros try to complete an ALDS sweep over Cleveland when Dallas Keuchel starts Game 3 at Progressive Field. The defending World Series champions used dominant pitching by starters Justin Verlander and Gerrit Cole to open a 2-0 lead. Indians manager Terry Francona will tweak his lineup against the left-handed Keuchel, adding righty hitters Yandy Diaz and Brandon Guyer. Mike Clevinger pitches for Cleveland.

Houston second baseman Jose Altuve says he's all set to go. He irritated his troublesome right knee when he slipped leaving the batter's box in Game 2 Saturday.

NO BROOMS

After holding off the Dodgers in a tense ninth inning, the Atlanta Braves aim to even the NLDS in Game 4 at SunTrust Park.

Mike Foltynewicz, who gave up four runs and three hits in two innings in a 6-0 loss in the opener, will pitch for Atlanta. The Dodgers could start Rich Hill.

Los Angeles was denied its second straight sweep in the NLDS, having chased Arizona last year.

REST UP

At this rate, the Milwaukee Brewers probably would rather keep playing. But they'll have to wait a while after sweeping Colorado in the NLDS. The Brew Crew has won 11 in a row - by the time they host Game 1 of the NL Championship Series at Miller Park on Friday against the Dodgers-Braves winner, it will have been nearly three weeks since their last loss.

The break will give the Brewers time to rest their deep pitching staff. It also will give fans more time to marvel over the postseason run by Erik Kratz - a 38-year-old journeyman catcher who has been part of 12 different major league organizations, he's gone 5 for 8 in his first playoff action.
 

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Dodgers tweak lineup to adjust to Braves
October 7, 2018
By The Associated Press


ATLANTA (AP) The Los Angeles Dodgers put left fielder Chris Taylor in the leadoff position and sat Yasiel Puig as manager Dave Roberts adjusted his lineup to face Atlanta Braves left-hander Sean Newcomb in Game 3 of the National League Division Series on Sunday night.

The right-handed hitting Taylor is taking the spot of the left-handed hitting Joc Pederson in the lineup.

Another right-handed hitter, David Freese, is playing first base instead of Max Muncy and hitting third. Also, Matt Kemp is taking the place of Puig in right field and hitting fifth.

Kemp, who played for the Braves in 2016-17, hit 11 homers in 183 at-bats against left-handers. He hit 10 homers in 279 at-bats against right-handers. Freese hit .321 against left-handers and .273 against right-handers.

''To get Kemp, Freese, Taylor back involved against a starter like Newcomb, I think it gives us the best chance to win,'' Roberts said.

Braves manager Brian Snitker said the lineup moves reflect the depth of the Dodgers' bench.

''It just goes to the depth of their team when you can do that,'' Snitker said. ''I mean, they have five guys on their bench that could be everyday players for a lot of teams. And the fact that they can just flip a whole lineup like that again shows the depth and the quality of club that they have.''

Roberts said the depth helped keep his players fresh through a long season.

''The versatility lends itself to overcoming 162 games ... and keeps guys sharp mentally and physically,'' Roberts said.

Newcomb is starting ahead of veteran right-hander Kevin Gausman, who will be available in the bullpen. Newcomb nearly pitched a no-hitter against Los Angeles in July, and the Dodgers have beaten right-handers in the first two games of the series.

The Braves are staying with rookie Ronald Acuna Jr. as their leadoff hitter but Snitker is moving Ender Inciarte into the No. 2 spot. Third baseman Johan Camargo, who hit second in Game 2, is hitting fifth.

Otherwise, the Braves' lineup remains unchanged.

The Dodgers lead the best-of-five series 2-0. The Braves must win to force a Game 4 on Monday.
 

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Judge blares 'New York, New York'
October 7, 2018
By The Associated Press


NEW YORK (AP) Aaron Judge walked past Boston's Fenway Park clubhouse early Sunday morning, Frank Sinatra's rendition of "New York, New York" blaring from a boom box atop the wheelie bag he was pulling with his left hand.

''It's a good song. And Aaron, he's one of our resident deejays, so he's got a pretty extensive playlist,'' New York manager Aaron Boone said later in the day at Yankee Stadium, a smirk filling his face. ''We like to hear that song sometimes when we win a big game.''

New York and Boston split at Fenway Park and are tied 1-1 in the best-of-five AL Division Series going into Game 3 on Monday night. Luis Severino, coming off four scoreless innings in the wild-card game against Oakland, starts for New York and former Yankees pitcher Nathan Eovaldi pitches for the Red Sox.

Severino was 10-2 with a 2.74 ERA and .217 opponents' batting average at home, just 9-6 with a 3.99 ERA and .257 opponents' batting average on the road.

''Maybe my wife cooks better food here,'' he said.

New York is 19-9 in the postseason at new Yankee Stadium, where boisterous Bronx crowds try to intimidate. The Yankees' were 53-28 there during the regular season, the second-best home record behind Boston's 57-24. The win over Oakland in last week's wild-card game improved New York to 7-0 at home in the postseason since the start of the 2017 playoffs.

''The fans, they're out there on the field with you,'' Judge said. ''Every single pitch they're locked in. It's electric.''

New York is built for Yankee Stadium, where it takes advantage of the short right-field porch and hit 144 of its record 267 home runs. Boston is constructed in a similar fashion, knowing half its games are played in front of Fenway's Green Monster lurking in left field.

''Two places that are historic franchises where the fans are definitely rowdy for their home team and against the visiting team,'' Red Sox reliever Matt Barnes said .

This will be the first postseason game in the Bronx between the rivals since Boston won Games 6 and 7 of the 2004 AL Championship Series across the street at old Yankee Stadium, becoming the first major league team to overcome a 3-0 deficit in a best-of-seven postseason series.

''All empires fall sooner or later,'' then-Red Sox president Larry Lucchino said that night.

A year earlier, Boone's 11th-inning homer off Tim Wakefield won Game 7 and the AL pennant. Now he's a rookie manager, leading a group of Baby Bombers that reached Game 7 of the AL Championship Series last year before losing to Houston.

''This fan base I feel like absolutely connected with kind of this new generation of Yankee player, this young corps that has developed,'' Boone said . ''Me watching from afar last year, especially in the postseason, you could kind of see that raw intensity connection that the fan base had with the players.''

For all the focus on big boppers, J.D. Martinez, Mookie Betts and Andrew Benintendi for Boston, and Judge, Giancarlo Stanton and Gary Sanchez for New York, relievers have reigned in an error when starting pitchers often are shown the exit before they have a chance to stumble too much.

New York's bullpen has allowed one run in 10 innings, led by Dellin Betances, Zach Britton and Aroldis Chapman. Red Sox relievers have given up five in 11 innings.

Hoping for a deep outing, Boston manager Alex Cora selected Eovaldi for Game 3 over Rick Porcello, who pitched two-thirds of an inning of relief in Friday's opener and now will match up against 38-year-old left-hander CC Sabathia in Game 4.

Eovaldi was 3-3 with a 3.33 in 11 starts and one relief appearance for the Red Sox, who acquired him from Tampa Bay in July. The 28-year-old right-hander, who throws at 97-98 mph, allowed no earned runs in three of four starts this year against the Yankees. He pitched for New York in 2015 and `16 before injuring his elbow, which required Tommy John surgery for the second time.

His goal is to keep bats and fans quiet.

''Trying to keep the ball in the ballpark - try and get quick outs, try not to let the crowd get too crazy and get behind them and get them going,'' he said.

Cora and the Red Sox wouldn't sound off about Judge's musical taste - not that they could hear the famous Kander and Ebb song on Fenway's concourse through thick clubhouse walls after the 6-2 win in Game 2.

''That's probably just something they do when they win,'' the manager said.

Yankees players were ready for familiar sounds when the series resume.

''It's been a while since Boston played Yankees in the playoffs. So the fans are going to be excited,'' Betances said. ''They were pretty loud for that Oakland game. This is going to be a little crazier for this Boston game, for sure.''

AUTUMN SUNDAY


Red Sox closer Craig Kimbrel tossed a football with pitching coach Dana LeVangie before throwing a baseball in the outfield.

TRAINER'S ROOM

Red Sox: 1B Mitch Moreland had what Cora called aggressive treatment on his right hamstring, which forced him from Game 2.

Yankees: CF Aaron Hicks hopes to be back in the lineup after missing Game 2 because of right hamstring tightness, but Boone said it was unclear if the leg might need another day to deal.
 

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MONDAY, OCTOBER 8
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


HOU at CLE 01:30 PM
HOU +119
O 8.5


LAD at ATL 04:30 PM
LAD -149
O 8.0

BOS at NYY 07:40 PM
NYY -175
U 8.5
 

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Fall failures: Indians swept, ousted early in October again
October 8, 2018


CLEVELAND (AP) The master plan was for Trevor Bauer to be Cleveland's secret weapon, the October surprise.

But that idea, and just about everything else the Indians tried, was tossed away.

Bauer's two throwing errors in the seventh inning helped Houston rally for three runs and the Astros overwhelmed the Indians 11-3 in Game 3 to complete a surprising sweep in the AL Division Series.

After waiting months for a chance at redemption from blowing a 2-0 lead and losing to the New York Yankees in last year's ALDS, the Indians fell flat in the fall once again.

And the majors' longest World Series title drought has aged to 71.

''We were just outplayed,'' said center fielder Jason Kipnis, who was moved from his normal spot at second for the second year in a row. ''I wish it weren't that simple. It just seems from top to bottom we were out-scouted, out-pitched, out-coached a little bit. They really did just a fantastic job over there of being ready and prepared before the series.

''I don't think we were underprepared, they just went out and executed and played the way you need to play to win.''

The Indians were inept across the board.

They batted a collective .144, with All-Star Jose Ramirez continuing his postseason slump by going hitless in 11 at-bats. He's now batting .064 (2 of 31) over the last two playoffs, hardly numbers worthy of an MVP-caliber player.

Josh Donaldson, whose acquisition was supposed to put the Indians over the top, didn't get his first hit until the ninth inning of Game 3 and the Indians were outscored 21-6 in the three-game blowout.

But pitching, and more precisely Cleveland's flawed bullpen, was the main reason why the club watched a third straight team celebrate on its field before trashing the visitors' locker room at Progressive Field.

For months, the Indians managed to work around their bullpen issues, which were exacerbated by injuries. But when it mattered most, the same problems popped up again.

Andrew Miller, the star of Cleveland's 2016 postseason run, was never himself as the left-hander spent three stints on the disabled three times for his hamstring, knee and shoulder.

Miller wasn't charged with a run in his two appearances, but he retired only one batter, walked three and gave up a go-ahead, two-run double in the sixth inning of Game 2.

''There were certainly times it was a grind,'' said the 33-year-old, who is almost certain to sign elsewhere as a free agent. ''Missing time was the hardest part for me. I felt like I was ready to go when the season wound down and I was in a good spot. There were certainly pitches that I didn't execute in the series.

''We tried to script things as best we could for me personally and for other guys on the team as well to be as sharp and as ready as we could for the playoffs. When the games started, obviously, it wasn't good enough.''

Bauer, who was having a Cy Young Award-worthy season before his leg was broken by a line drive in August, absorbed the brunt of Cleveland's relief issues.

Manager Terry Francona chose to use him in a relief role, mostly because it was his best option with both Miller and closer Cody Allen struggling.

Bauer pitched in Games 1 and 2, and entered Game 3 with the Indians clinging to a 2-1 lead in the seventh. But the right-hander made two throwing errors, one on a pickoff throw and the other on a comebacker he should have turned into an inning-ending double play.

Instead, the Astros scored three runs and wound up scoring 10 in their final three at-bats to put a bow on the blowout.

Bauer accepted the role, but it wasn't the one he envisioned having.

''I executed pretty well pitch-wise,'' he said. ''Obviously didn't execute defensively. But it is what it is, man. That was my role. Tito and I and a couple other guys had a meeting in Chicago towards the end of the year. I let them know what I had to say and they let me know what they had to say. I told them when I leave this room, `I'm 100 percent bought in on my role.' That's what I did. I left that room and got ready to pitch out of the bullpen. It is what it is.''

And it is going to be another long winter for the Indians, who could look drastically different next season with Miller, Allen and All-Star Michael Brantley all eligible for free agency.

''We tried. It's tough,'' Miller said. ''There's probably a million things you can point to why we didn't win three games. It's tough. It's one of those things. You take the hand you're dealt and make the most out of it. Unfortunately, it wasn't enough for us.''


**************************


Machado, Dodgers finish off Baby Braves in NLDS with 6-2 win
October 8, 2018


ATLANTA (AP) The Los Angeles Dodgers went through all the expected motions after winning a playoff series.

They broke out T-shirts and caps. They posed for pictures in the middle of SunTrust Park. They doused each other with beer in the clubhouse.

Then, just like that, their focus turned to bigger goals ahead.

For a power-packed team that hasn't won a World Series since 1988, nothing less will do.

''We all know that there's a lot more work to be done,'' Dodgers manager Dave Roberts said after his team finished off the Atlanta Braves with a 6-2 victory Monday in the NL Division Series. ''We have eight more wins to go.''

Manny Machado hit a three-run homer and David Freese came through again in the postseason to lead the Dodgers into the NL Championship Series for the third year in a row. Los Angeles moved on to face the Brewers after taking out the Baby Braves 3-1 in the best-of-five series.

Game 1 is Friday night in Milwaukee, the Dodgers' fourth championship series in six seasons.

''We prepared ourselves to get here,'' Machado said, ''and we're not going to stop till we get what we want.''

Of course, this is just what the Dodgers had in mind when they bolstered their already power-packed lineup by acquiring the slugging shortstop - and free agent-to-be - from lowly Baltimore back in July.

Machado had only three hits in the series, but two of them were homers to go along with six RBIs. He got the Dodgers going in Game 4 with a run-scoring double in the first , and effectively wrapped up the series with his seventh-inning shot off rookie Chad Sobotka that cleared the Dodgers' bullpen in left.

''There are so many expectations put on him,'' Roberts said. ''We have a lot of good players, but I can't say enough about his focus and preparedness.''

Coming off a tense victory in Game 3, the Baby Braves grabbed the lead on pinch-hitter Kurt Suzuki's two-run single in the fourth.

But Freese, the 2011 World Series MVP with St. Louis, countered with a pinch-hit single of his own in the sixth off Brad Brach , driving home Cody Bellinger and Yasiel Puig for a 3-2 lead.

''You just gotta be ready,'' Freese said. ''Whether you're in high school, college, whatever, just be ready. You don't have to be the best player in the world, you don't have to make the most money, but you're going to have a shot to do something cool. I learned that early in my career. I just try and stick with it.''

Ryan Madson earned the win by getting the final two outs in the fifth to escape a bases-loaded jam. The Braves' final gasp came in the eighth, when Lucas Duda's drive into the second deck in right drifted foul with two on against Kenta Maeda. Duda flied out to end the inning, and Atlanta went down quietly in the ninth.

The Braves' return to the postseason for the first time since 2013 yielded a familiar result.

Atlanta has lost nine straight playoff appearances, their last victory coming 17 long years ago against a team that is no longer in the National League. Since a sweep of Houston Astros in the 2001 NL Division Series, October has been a month of misery for the Braves.

Getting back to the playoffs ahead of schedule after a massive rebuild, Atlanta simply didn't have the experience, depth or power to stick with the power-packed Dodgers. Los Angeles had a franchise-record 235 homers during the regular season and eight more against the Braves, accounting for 14 of its 20 runs.

Tinseltown has become Boomtown.

''They're a very powerful team,'' Braves manager Brian Snitker said. ''It's what they've done all year is hit home runs. We're not built like that yet.''

Los Angeles also benefited from some shaky Atlanta defense during its go-ahead inning. Puig kept the sixth going with a popup down the line off loser Jonny Venters that fell between second baseman Ozzie Albies and right fielder Nick Markakis .

Puig stole second without drawing a throw and came home when backup shortstop Charlie Culberson failed to knock down Freese's sharp grounder up the middle. A super sub during the regular season, Culberson had to start in the playoffs because of an injury to regular Dansby Swanson.

''They played better baseball than we did,'' Culberson said.

WILD STARTERS

Rich Hill of the Dodgers walked five in 4 1/3 innings, including a pair leading off the fifth that set up Suzuki's two-run single. Atlanta's Mike Foltynewicz walked four (one intentional) in four innings before he was lifted.

TOUGH OUT

Hill isn't much of a hitter, but he sure made Foltynewicz work for an inning-ending strikeout in the fourth.

After falling behind 0-2 in the count, Hill fouled out five straight pitches.

Finally, Foltynewicz blew a 97 mph fastball by the .107 career hitter.

FIRST PITCH

The Braves brought out another Hall of Famer to deliver the ceremonial first pitch.

Former Atlanta manager Bobby Cox one-hopped his toss to the plate but still received a big ovation from the Atlanta crowd.

Chipper Jones threw out the first pitch before Game 3.

SMALLER CROWD

The announced crowd of 39,586 was nearly 3,000 smaller than the previous night's record SunTrust Park turnout, perhaps because of a 4:30 p.m. start time that coincided with Atlanta's notorious rush hour.

UP NEXT

The Dodgers beat Milwaukee 4-3 in the season series. Both teams won division titles with one-game playoff victories the day after the regular season.

Atlanta opens the 2019 season at Philadelphia on March 28.
 

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wild card/division/championship series/world series /record and best bets:


Date w-l-t % units record

10/08/2018 3-2-1 60.00% +1.70
10/07/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -16.80
10/06/2018 3-1-0 75.00% +9.55
10/05/2018 4-4-0 50.00% -0.50
10/04/2018 2-1-0 66.67% +5.00
10/03/2018 1-1-0 50.00% +0
10/01/2018 2-1-1 66.67% +5.85

total..............16-13-2.......55.17%.....+4.80


best bets:................ats.....................units ..................o/u..................units............days total

10/08/2018...............1 - 0....................+5.95..................1 - 1.................-0.50..............+5.45
10/07/2018...............0 - 0....................+0.00..................1 - 1.................-0.50..............-0.50
10/06/2018...............1 - 0....................+5.05..................1 - 1..................-0.50.............+4.55
10/05/2018...............0 - 3....................-15.00.................3 - 1..................+9.50.............-5.50
10/04/2018...............0 - 1.....................-5.00..................2 - 0.................+10.00...........+5.00
10/03/2018...............0 - 1.....................-5.00..................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+0.00
10/01/2018...............1 - 1....................+5.85..................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+10.85

total.........................3 - 6....................-8.15...................10 - 4.................+28.00...........+19.85
 

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Tuesday?s six-pack

Six interesting college football games this weekend:

? Miami (-6) @ Virginia

? Texas A&M (-2) @ South Carolina

? Colorado @ USC (-7.5)

? Washington (-3.5) @ Oregon

? Wisconsin @ Michigan (-7.5)

? West Virginia (-6.5) @ Iowa State

Quote of the Day
?He?s such a great quarterback, you have to do a really good job early in the game, otherwise he?s going to be out front, and you don?t want to play him from behind. This guy is so good, now. Even if ? there might?ve been something he hadn?t seen before early in the game, you know he?s going to dial into it pretty quick and then he?s going to have success.

It?s that whole mental toughness of playing 60 minutes against that guy because he is so dangerous in those situations.?
Lions coach Matt Patricia, on coaching against Aaron Rodgers

Tuesday?s quiz
Who was the San Diego Chargers? coach when Drew Brees was an NFL rookie?
(Hint: He?s been a major college head coach since then)

Monday?s quiz
James Buchanan was the only bachelor President of the United States.

Sunday?s quiz
Pittsburgh Steelers have had only three head coaches since 1969.

*************************

Tuesday?s List of 13: Nobody asked me, but??.

13) If you like the NFL and you?re in Las Vegas, a Sunday afternoon in the theater at the Westgate Casino is something you have to do.

1,500 seats, all the games are on, there are betting windows in the back, a concession stand on the left, and it is surprisingly quiet? everyone has always been cool when I?ve been there.

12) Saints 43, Redskins 19? New Orleans? first four drives Monday night: 30 plays, 276 yards, four TD?s, two missed PAT?s. Last of the four TD?s was a 62-yard pass that put Drew Brees on top of the all-time passing yardage list.

There was a brief ceremony after the record-setting play; Saints actually got penalized 15 yards for excessive celebration.

11) Oklahoma lost 48-45 to Texas Saturday, so of course a coach had to get fired; DC Mike Stoops was told to take a hike. Ruffin McNeill, former HC of East Carolina, will be the new DC, which ain?t going to help a damn thing. Recruit more good defensive players!!!!

10) Alabama QB Tua Tagovailoa has thrown 18 TD passes this season, and only 25 incomplete passes. Bama?s backup QB has a 26-2 record as the starter.

9) Boston 16, New York 1? Brock Holt is the first baseball player ever to hit for the cycle in a playoff game; how weird is that?

David Price sucks in the postseason, and he doesn?t pitch well against New York; Red Sox still owe Price $127M over the next four seasons, but when you?re a fat-cat team, you can afford miscues like this, and just spend more money to overcome them.

9) AFC North is only division in NFL where all the team are .500 or better.

8) If you think your favorite team is screwed up, be thankful you don?t root for the Phoenix Suns, who fired GM Ryan McDonough Monday, eight days before the season starts.

Last year, the Suns fired coach Earl Watson AFTER THREE GAMES. Oy.

7) Looks weird seeing Lebron James wearing a Lakers? jersey; Lakers-Warriors play here in Las Vegas tomorrow night at T-Mobile Center.

6) Spurs? PG Dejounte Murray tore his ACL Sunday night; he was expected to be the Spurs? PG this season, replacing the departed Tony Parker.

5) 49ers ran 92 plays in their loss to Arizona Sunday; Cardinals ran only 49, but when you?re minus-5 in turnovers, not else matters too much. Still, 92 plays is a hell of a lot for an NFL game.

4) You see Cleveland 12, Baltimore 9 and you think it was an ugly game, but yardage was actually 416-410, Browns, so both teams moved the ball well enough, they were just useless in the red zone, scoring 18 points on six drives.

3) Over $50M of the Buffalo Bills? payroll this year is going to players who aren?t on the team.

2) FOX TV analyst Chris Spielman said Sunday that he considers Aaron Rodgers to be the best QB ever. Pretty strong statement.

1) According to the 2010 US Census, Los Angeles County has more people than these 12 states combined:

Alaska, Delaware, Hawai?i, Idaho
Maine, Maryland, New Hampshire, North Dakota
Rhode Island, South Dakota, West Virginia, Wyoming
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, October 9


American League
Boston (110-55) @ New York (102-64) (Red Sox lead series, 2-1)

Porcello is 2-0, 4.76 in his last five starts; over its 11-7-1 in his last 19 starts. He is 2-0, 2.35 in five games vs New York this season. Team in his starts: 22-11, 11-7 road
5-inning record: 21-10-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-33

Sabathia is 2-0, 1.64 in his last two starts; his last three starts went over. He is 1-0, 4.50 in three starts vs Boston this season. Team in his starts: 16-13, 10-4 home
5-inning record: 14-11-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-33

Red Sox won Game 3 last nite, 16-1- they can end series here. New York is 11-6 in its last 17 games, 5-3 in last eight home games. Red Sox are 5-6 in their last 11 games, 3-4 in last seven on road; Boston is 12-10 vs New York this season; 4-6 in the Bronx.

New York is in playoffs for third time in last six years; they haven?t been to a World Series since 2009. Red Sox are in playoffs for third year in row; they won World Series in 2013. Both managers here are rookie managers.




MLB
Weather Report

Tuesday, October 9


2s79pty.jpg





MLB

Tuesday, October 9


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Boston Red Sox
Boston is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
Boston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Boston's last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
Boston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Boston is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 10 games
NY Yankees is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games at home
NY Yankees is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 8 games when playing Boston
NY Yankees is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
NY Yankees is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
 

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MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 9


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (110 - 55) at NY YANKEES (102 - 64) - 8:05 PM
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 12-10 (+2.7 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
13 of 20 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.6 Units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
PORCELLO is 10-9 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.23 and a WHIP of 1.124.
His team's record is 12-11 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-13. (-7.6 units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. BOSTON since 1997
SABATHIA is 18-15 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.38 and a WHIP of 1.368.
His team's record is 21-23 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 27-15. (+10.6 units)
 

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LEADING OFF: Red Sox try to bounce Yanks from ALDS
October 9, 2018
By The Associated Press


A look at what's happening around the majors today:

THE ONLY SHOW IN TOWN

Baseball's biggest rivalry gets the spotlight to itself as the Red Sox try to eliminate the Yankees in Game 4 of their AL Division Series. New York will be trying to rebound from the most lopsided postseason loss in the franchise's distinguished history - a 16-1 drumming Monday night capped by Brock Holt completing the first-ever postseason cycle. The blowout was so bad, backup catcher Austin Romine became the second position player ever to appear on the mound in the playoffs. He gave up Holt's ninth-inning homer.

Game 4 may be the final appearance with New York for veteran CC Sabathia, who is expected to make his 23rd career postseason start. He's made 17 of those as a Yankee, going 8-3 with a 3.29 ERA during a span that included a 2009 ALCS MVP. The 38-year-old said Monday he plans to play again next season, though it's uncertain if the upcoming free agent will be back in pinstripes.

Rick Porcello will throw for Boston after getting two outs in relief during a Game 1 victory. Porcello has allowed seven runs over 7 1/3 innings in his past two postseason starts, one each in 2016 and '17.

WAITING GAME

The Dodgers get a few days to regroup after finishing off the Braves in their NLDS on Monday. They'll begin their third consecutive NL Championship Series on Friday in Milwaukee. Los Angeles beat Milwaukee 4-3 in the season series. Both teams won division titles with one-game playoff victories the day after the regular season.

LA punched its ticket to a fourth NLCS in six years with a 6-2 win over Atlanta. Manny Machado hit a three-run homer in the seventh inning that essentially buried the Braves - exactly the sort of impact the Dodgers envisioned when they acquired the free agent-to-be from Baltimore at midseason. The reigning NL champs also have another pennant and a World Series championship in mind.

''We have eight more wins to go,'' manager Dave Roberts said.

OFFSEASONS UNDERWAY

The Indians bowed out of the postseason in a surprising sweep by the Astros, and now they'll begin a difficult winter. Michael Brantley, Josh Donaldson, Andrew Miller and Cody Allen are set to become free agents. Miller and Allen struggled this season for a bullpen that needs revamping. Brantley would be the most difficult to replace after he batted .309 over 143 games in a bounceback season after years of injuries.

Atlanta also begins to regroup after getting bounced by the Dodgers. The Baby Braves could lose Nick Markakis to free agency but should otherwise bring back the core of a breakout group. Their 3-1 NLDS loss to Los Angeles showed that Freddie Freeman and Ronald Acuna Jr. could use a deeper supporting cast, though.
 

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Red Sox win away from reaching ALCS, eliminating Yankees
October 9, 2018


NEW YORK -- New York Yankees manager Aaron Boone experienced a rough night in Game 3 while Boston Red Sox manager Alex Cora saw his decisions work out perfectly.

While Boone appeared to wait too long to get Luis Severino out of the game when the right-hander's command was lacking, Cora opted to insert Brock Holt into the lineup at second base and start Nathan Eovaldi.

Since those decisions worked out for Cora, the Red Sox can secure their trip to the American League Championship Series by beating the Yankees Tuesday in Game 4 of the American League Division Series.

Rick Porcello will start for the Red Sox against New York left-hander CC Sabathia.

The Red Sox need one win to reach the ALCS for the first time since 2013 when they won their most recent championship. If they are unable to get it Tuesday, Game 5 is Thursday at Fenway Park.

The Red Sox and Yankees are in their respective positions because of what unfolded Monday when Boston cruised to a 16-1 rout.

Holt went 4-for-6 to become the first player to hit for the cycle in a postseason game, capping the milestone with a two-run homer in the ninth off New York backup catcher Austin Romine. Eovaldi, who was originally going to start Game 4, gave the Red Sox seven strong innings and helped hold the Yankees to five hits.

"We're going to try to take this into tomorrow," Boston left fielder Andrew Benintendi said. "It's over. We've enjoyed it. Now we can focus on tomorrow and get after it."

Holt had two hits in the decisive seven-run fourth that was highlighted by Benintendi's bases-clearing double.

Those hits occurred after Boone lifted Severino with the bases loaded and nobody out. Severino's fastball velocity was diminished slightly and he was tagged for six runs on seven hits in three-plus innings.

"I mean in hindsight because he didn't get an out," Boone said.

Now because of the decisions, the Red Sox will get a chance to clinch their second postseason series win in New York, nearly 14 years after coming back from 3-0 down in the ALCS.

"No choice but to flush," Boone said after New York absorbed its worst postseason loss. "The good thing about today is it's one game and, as awful as of a night it was for us, we got to turn the page, and tomorrow's obviously do or die."

The Yankees trail a series two games to one for the third straight time. They won Game 4 from Cleveland in the ALDS last season and Game 4 of the ALCS from Houston a year ago.

New York is hoping to force a fifth game in Boston and its history, the only time the Yankees did not force a fifth game after falling behind in the ALDS two games to one was 2002 vs. the Los Angeles Angels and 2007 vs. the Cleveland Indians.

Porcello threw 15 pitches in getting two outs in the eighth inning Friday and protecting a two-run lead. He exited after allowing an infield single to Gleyber Torres, resulting in Craig Kimbrel getting the final four outs around Aaron Judge's solo homer.

"I think he'll obviously be ready," Holt said. "We're lucky to have him on the mound, that's for sure."

As for Porcello's postseason history, it is inconsistent so far. He is 0-3 with a 5.33 ERA in 12 appearances and is 0-1 with a 7.00 ERA in four postseason outings with the Red Sox.

Porcello made one postseason start against the Yankees in 2011 when he started Game 4 of the ALDS for the Detroit Tigers. Back then Judge was still at Fresno State and Sanchez completed his second season in the minor leagues in the South Atlantic League.

The Red Sox are hoping to see the version of Porcello, who was 2-0 with a 2.31 ERA in four starts against the Yankees during the regular season.

"He's actually been good against them," Cora said. "At one point of the playoffs, he was going to start regardless if it was Game 3 or 4."

CC Sabathia makes his 23rd postseason start and 24th appearance. In those appearances, he is 10-6 with a 4.20 ERA.

Sabathia has pitched particularly well in the ALDS. In 11 appearances (10 starts) he is 6-0 with a 3.32 ERA.

Since joining the Yankees in 2009 as a free agent, Sabathia is 8-3 with a 3.26 ERA in 18 postseason appearances (17 starts).

The veteran left-hander faced the Red Sox twice in the 2007 ALCS with Cleveland and was 0-2 with an 11.61 ERA while losing Games 1 and 5 of that series.

During the regular season, Sabathia was 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA in three starts against the Red Sox.

"Top to bottom, it's a tough lineup," Sabathia said. "They've got speed. They've got power. They take a lot of pitches. It's a good lineup -- bad lineup for me in the fact they take a lot of pitches, they're patient, and they do a good job of working the count."
 

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Hernandez reversed on 3 of 4 replays in Yanks-Red Sox Game 3
October 9, 2018
By The Associated Press


NEW YORK (AP) Angel Hernandez hit .250 in Game 3 of the AL Division Series. That's a mediocre batting average for a player and awful replay average for an umpire.

Hernandez was overruled on three of four video reviews of his decisions at first base during Boston's 16-1 rout of the New York Yankees on Monday night.

''There were several very close calls at first base tonight, and we are glad that instant replay allowed the umpiring crew to achieve the proper result on all of them,'' Major League Baseball said in a statement.

The Red Sox, Yankees and fans around the country will see plenty of Hernandez on Tuesday night, when he's scheduled to work the plate in Game 4.

The 57-year-old Hernandez was born in Havana, joined the major league staff in 1993 and worked the World Series in 2002 and 2005. He sued MLB in U.S. District Court in Cincinnati in July 2017, alleging race discrimination and citing his lack of World Series assignments in the past decade and baseball not promoting him to crew chief. The suit alleges MLB chief baseball officer Joe Torre ''has a history of animosity towards Hernandez stemming from Torre's time as manager of the New York Yankees.''

MLB moved to dismiss the case, but U.S. District Judge Michael Barrett transferred it to federal court in Manhattan in Sept. 30 without ruling on the motion to dismiss.

''Angel was horrible,'' Hall of Famer Pedro Martinez said on TBS' postgame show. ''Major League Baseball needs to do something about Angel. It doesn't matter how many times he sues Major League Baseball. He's as bad as there is. That's the main reason we're sitting here so late.''

Hernandez's troubles started in the second inning, when Didi Gregorius bunted with Giancarlo Stanton on first and the umpire ruled Gregorius beat the throw from pitcher Nathan Eovaldi . The call was overturned, giving New York a runner on second with one out.

When Gleyber Torres hit a three-hopper off the mound in the third with the Yankees trailing 3-0, shortstop Xander Bogaerts gloved the ball, continued onto the second-base side of the dirt and threw to first, when Hernandez signaled safe . That, too, was overturned by the replay room umpires, which include Marvin Hudson, Brian Knight, David Rackley and Bill Welke during the Division Series.

New York trailed 10-0 in the fourth when Luke Voit hit a comebacker off the bare hand of Eovaldi, and Hernandez signaled Voit beat the throw from second baseman Brock Holt for an infield hit . That was upheld by the replay room umpires.

Stanton then singled to put runners at the corners, and Gregorius grounded to Holt. The second baseman made a backhand flip to Bogaerts covering second for a forceout, and Bogaerts threw to first, where Hernandez signaled out for a double play . That led to Hernandez's third reversal.

Expanded video review in the major leagues began in 2014.

Hernandez has had first-base calls overturned in 14 of 18 video reviews during the last three regular seasons, according to Sports Info Solutions, and his 78 percent overturn rate was above the 60 percent overall figure for first-base calls during that span, the company said.

''The guy's had a long career and a good career. You know he's going to get it right,'' Voit said. ''It happens, man. I mean, so many bang-bang plays consistently. You get it, and you just hope he makes the right calls.''

Former Yankees catcher John Flaherty took issue with Hernandez on the postgame broadcast of the Yankees' YES Network.

''I think back to the replay of the Luke Voit play at first base, that Angel Hernandez actually got right. And when he came back, next to Voit, he made a little comment to him and smiled a little bit, almost like, you know, `I got one right,''' Flaherty said. ''It's not that funny, Angel. These are playoff games. These are big deals. And replay bails him out - the play eventually is going to be right. But you got to be thinking at first base, maybe take a little more pride in what you're doing.''
 

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wild card/division/championship series/world series /record and best bets:


Date w-l-t % units record

10/08/2018 3-2-1 60.00% +1.70
10/07/2018 1-3-0 25.00% -16.80
10/06/2018 3-1-0 75.00% +9.55
10/05/2018 4-4-0 50.00% -0.50
10/04/2018 2-1-0 66.67% +5.00
10/03/2018 1-1-0 50.00% +0
10/01/2018 2-1-1 66.67% +5.85

total..............16-13-2.......55.17%.....+4.80


best bets:................ats.....................units ..................o/u..................units............days total

10/08/2018...............1 - 0....................+5.95..................1 - 1.................-0.50..............+5.45
10/07/2018...............0 - 0....................+0.00..................1 - 1.................-0.50..............-0.50
10/06/2018...............1 - 0....................+5.05..................1 - 1..................-0.50.............+4.55
10/05/2018...............0 - 3....................-15.00.................3 - 1..................+9.50.............-5.50
10/04/2018...............0 - 1.....................-5.00..................2 - 0.................+10.00...........+5.00
10/03/2018...............0 - 1.....................-5.00..................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+0.00
10/01/2018...............1 - 1....................+5.85..................1 - 0.................+5.00.............+10.85

total.........................3 - 6....................-8.15...................10 - 4.................+28.00...........+19.85



TUESDAY, OCTOBER 9
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


BOS at NYY 08:07 PM
NYY -139
O 9.0
 
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