Mlb Plays Monday May 6

[ndnfan]

Yesterday: 2-2 (-0.2 Unit)

SEASON: 68-51 (+13.05 UNITS)
Sides: 51-41 (+5.4 Units)
Totals: 17-10 (+7.65 Units)
________________________________________

Playing just one game today:

OVER 11 TEXAS -110 (1 UNIT)


Good luck in all your plays today.

-ndnfan

 

[ndnfan]

OVER 11 TEXAS:

Even without the Home Plate Ump info, I'm gonna take a chance at this OVER.....believe it's strong enough to make it a normal play.

8 of the last 11 meetings between these two teams have gone Over the total.

You gotta like that trend, but I guess what really stood out to me is the career numbers that these players have put up vs Garland and Burba. Check them out:

Career averages of White Sox players vs Dave Burba:

R Durham .333
T Graffanino .375
F Thomas .381
M Ordonez .333
P Konerko .333
C Lee .300
R Clayton .400
M Johnson .333
J Valentin .231
S. Alomar NO AB
K. Loften NO AB

This comes out to a .337 AVERAGE VS BURBA (60 Hits 178 AB) Pretty Amazing Numbers.
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Career averages of Rangers players vs Garland:

G Kapler .600
M Young .500
R Greer .625
A Rodriguez .500
R Palmeiro .667
B Haselman .667
C Everett .000
H Perry NO AB
H Blalock NO AB
C Murray NO AB

This comes out to a .586 AVERAGE VS GARLAND (27 Hits 46 AB)
Also, pretty amazing!


Both pitcher also have a tendency to walk more than the average pitcher. Which would of course mean more possible base runners and hopefully more runs scored.

Garland has walked 16 in 32 innings pitched this year.
Burba has walked 16 in 33 innings pitched this year.

Bullpens are also suspect for these teams. The Texas pen has been good of late, but this is a pen that still has a very high ERA of 5.08 for the year and 5.08 at home as well.

The White Sox Pen has not been very good either, especially of late. The last 10 games, the bullpen has an ERA of 5.21 and on the Road the bullpen has been really bad this year sporting an ERA of 6.86

Chances are you will see the Pens pretty early in this one, especially with the fact that Garland and Burba are only averaging around 5.2 innings per start this year.


Again, no special angles for playing this game over, just pretty much bad career number matchups for the pitchers and a couple of suspect bullpens. Should see some runs in this one. Worth a shot anyways.

Good Luck.

 

[topspinner]

Hey ND, I really appreciate the time you put into your writeups, they are inciteful. I was just wondering where you get the batter vs pitcher matchups from? I used get the info from Stats on Aol, but that is not available anymore. I now use Yahoo, but it is a pain in the neck to find the info for each game.

Thanks in advance

 

[MadJack]

here's one place:

http://www.vegasinsider.com/u/baseball/mlb/2002/probables/index.html

 

[wigs]

good writeup--a little more here--from dallasnews
Burba was 1-4 with a 9.58 ERA against the WhiteSox last year--
Garland allowed the Rangers five home runs in 11 1/3 innings last year but has not allowed a homer in his last 22 2/3 innings this season. Garland has won each of his last four starts. He left his last start after allowing Seattle no runs on three hits in five innings on a rainy and cold night--

additionally-
"Pittsburgh, seeking offense, had a scout watching Kapler throughout the week in case a potential deal picks up steam. Kapler did little to enhance his trade value, however, on Sunday. He misplayed a line drive to right and went 1-for-4. He struck out with a pair of runners on base in the sixth, dropping his average with runners in scoring position to .083 (1-for-12) this season. Kapler has one RBI in 71 at-bats. Limping noticeably, outfielder Carl Everett reported little improvement Sunday in the right calf muscle he strained while running to first base a day earlier. Everett did not play Sunday and is listed as day-to-day
good luck tonight!!

 

[THE HITMAN]

topspinner........STATS was great, wasnt it? THE HITMAN

 

[ndnfan]

topspinner,

Another useful site:

http://bigleaguers.yahoo.com/mlb/players/m_p.html

This site comes in really handy. You can get batter vs pitcher, pitching splits, situational along with alot of other useful info.

 

[EASY MONEY!]

Looks Like a Push.

Dam I Couldn't believe it pushed with 6 Runs in the 1st.


:shrug: :shrug: Thanks for your Picks.EASY MONEY!!

 

[GENO]

NICE TRY BUDDY


I jumped on board for the ride solid job of handicapping and we get to put the money to work again.

 

[Digger24]

Excellent Job

Excellent Job

NDFAN,

I have been following you lately, one of the hottest cappers in here lately, you have excellent insight and I have been winning a little cash because of it. Keep up the excellent work!!!!!!!!!

Thanks, Digger