Mully's Derby Pic's and Info

Phenom

STRONG.
Forum Member
May 24, 2001
3,048
13
0
The Upstate
no tri or superfecta here, hit the exacta, hate to see such a gammit of emotions from the winner to a horse that had to be put down, never saw any problem with her...
 

redsfann

ale connoisseur
Forum Member
Aug 3, 1999
9,236
394
83
61
Somewhere in Corn Country
I know that dude!! Poor bastard...He's actually a really nice guy and knows the ponies pretty well. He's given out a few winners over the years, but is always dead broke. Must not be that great of handicapper. Dude sure does need a bar of soap or at least some body spray...:mj07:

Good luck neighbor!

Yeah, he really is a good guy. I've chatted with him a few times over the years; certainly knows his horse racing and helps his buddies win a buck or two.

had the winner and the show horse in my exotics; didn't see that 5 horse doing what he did..:shrug:

Did catch a nice 120 dollar trifecta earlier in the Churchill card so the day wasn't a total loss...
 

Phenom

STRONG.
Forum Member
May 24, 2001
3,048
13
0
The Upstate
I think 144 or something, not sure, I had to have Betjamaica put in my bets manually because their system went down, I hope I don't get screwed...
 

Mully

Is Blessed
Forum Member
Nov 7, 2004
5,619
31
0
54
:bump:

With this years Derby in the near future, thought I'd get these trends back up where people could see them. Didn't work out so well last year, but good info non the less.... Bound and determined to pick the winner this year!
 

Mully

Is Blessed
Forum Member
Nov 7, 2004
5,619
31
0
54
:bump:

some usefull info if interested from a couple years back. Didnt work for shit then, so take it for what its worth..
 

ageecee

Registered User
Forum Member
Aug 17, 1999
22,465
786
113
60
Louisiana
another very interesting trend I came across....

97% of ALL Derby winners won a race of at least 1 mile as a 2 year old. ( throw out Big Truck, Dennis of Cork, Pyro, Tale of Ekati, Coloniel John, Gayego, Smoothair Rapturetheglory, and most importantly Bob Black Jack)

Take it for what it's worth, but I will be playing

Z Fortune

93% chance to win from post 1-15
96% chance to win with at least 6 career starts
88% chance to win with a 100 or higher speed fig in of last 3 starts
87% chance to win if last prep race was 5 weeks ago or sooner
86 % chance to win with 3 or more starts as a 3 year old
97% chance to win with a victory as a 2 year old at a mile distance or further.
90% chance to win with a Dosage Index of 4.0 or less

This Colt is the only horse in the field that qualifies for each and every Kentucky Derby trend listed above. I'm sure there's more out there, but I couldn't find any as soild as these that have stood the test of time. You only need a 1% chance to win, so I guess you could say these mean very little. As far as I know, all the horses entered have 4 legs with a Jockey and a whip.

Will have an exotic play or two as well over the next couple days...






For 2010 you can throw out these horses that havent won at a mile in 2009


Line of David
American Lion
Make Music for Me
Paddy O Prado
Conveyance
Mission Impazible
Discreetly Mine
Awesome Act
Dublin
Backtalk
Sidneys Candy


My horse that i liked is on that list. Yikesssssss
 
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