I know that dude!! Poor bastard...He's actually a really nice guy and knows the ponies pretty well. He's given out a few winners over the years, but is always dead broke. Must not be that great of handicapper. Dude sure does need a bar of soap or at least some body spray...:mj07:
Good luck neighbor!
another very interesting trend I came across....
97% of ALL Derby winners won a race of at least 1 mile as a 2 year old. ( throw out Big Truck, Dennis of Cork, Pyro, Tale of Ekati, Coloniel John, Gayego, Smoothair Rapturetheglory, and most importantly Bob Black Jack)
Take it for what it's worth, but I will be playing
Z Fortune
93% chance to win from post 1-15
96% chance to win with at least 6 career starts
88% chance to win with a 100 or higher speed fig in of last 3 starts
87% chance to win if last prep race was 5 weeks ago or sooner
86 % chance to win with 3 or more starts as a 3 year old
97% chance to win with a victory as a 2 year old at a mile distance or further.
90% chance to win with a Dosage Index of 4.0 or less
This Colt is the only horse in the field that qualifies for each and every Kentucky Derby trend listed above. I'm sure there's more out there, but I couldn't find any as soild as these that have stood the test of time. You only need a 1% chance to win, so I guess you could say these mean very little. As far as I know, all the horses entered have 4 legs with a Jockey and a whip.
Will have an exotic play or two as well over the next couple days...
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