My NCAA selection thread (Sweet 16 & Elite 8)

ppabart

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Still can't believe that went under. Scored only 6 points in the final 3:30 or so.

I guess that's payback for the OT game that I lost earlier. Those 2 games are now a wash :00hour
 

ppabart

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Ok....calmed down a bit. I'm crushing this under for the 2nd half. I think everything points in that direction. Avoid the OT noid is the only thing to do.

1st half, by all means, should have gone over. The teams shot well enough.....but got sloppy. Both defenses started really digging in. The refs are letting them play......and when this game winds down and it's close.....each team will maximize the use of time on each possession.

This adds up to a 2nd half under that's without question....a solid, solid play!
 

ppabart

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Tourney Record: 35-28-1 (+1370)
Money Lines: 7-6
(Wins with VCU +160, Richmond +135, Morehead St +420, Gonzaga +100, VCU +205, Butler +305, Butler +180)
(Losses with Mich St -120, Utah St +120, Villanova -120, Georgia +205, UNLV -135, WVU +160)
Sides: 10-12-1
Totals: 18-10


Just did my figures. For what it's worth, base numbers are.... small = 50, no notation or medium = 100, big = 150, very big or large = 200
 
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smax

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ANOTHER MEAN BASTARD .......... TAKING THEIR EASTER CANDY. GREAT DAY :0008 GREAT CALLS :0008
 

ppabart

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Sweet 16 Friday

Sweet 16 Friday

Ok guys....done the research.

UNC -190
I can't justify laying the 4.5 points here. I think the Tarheels are the better team (all bias aside). Trust me, I wouldnt lay the -190 if I didn't believe in it. Overall, the moneylines have been very good to me, so I'm going with the Heels here to win, SU. I think this game just comes down to matchups....and I feel like the Tarheels matchup better with Marq than vice versa. Go Heels!

Richmond-Kansas under 136 BIG
I think Richmond has to try and control tempo in this game in order to stand a punchers chance. They are so poor on the boards that they really need to try and maximize each possession. Slow pace hunting for good shots is what the Spiders have to do.

Kentucky +6
Going with the points here. I think KY gives OSU a far, far better game than most people expect. Kentucky has the personnel to guard OSU's weapons. Thinking about laying a little on the ML too, but havent made that decision yet.

FSU-VCU over 130.5
Both of these teams are coming in, brimming with confidence. They are both athletic teams. VCU has to try and push tempo and not let FSU setup on D. Look at what they did to Purdue. Now I know Purdue is no FSU when it comes to defense, but if Shaka is smart (which he obviously is), he'll try and play up tempo. FSU won't mind playing that way....so I have this game in the low 140s.
 

Cash Man

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Nice Bart! I'm with ya!
What is ur take on that hedge bet of mine?

NC ML and Kentucy ML
then hedged with
NC ML and Ohio ML
 

ppabart

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Nice Bart! I'm with ya!
What is ur take on that hedge bet of mine?

NC ML and Kentucy ML
then hedged with
NC ML and Ohio ML

Well I am with ya on the UNC ML. I wanna see UNC come out with a little fire in their bellies early on. Their achilles heel right now is slow starts. If they can avoid that....I think we are golden. Seems like this team just loves to play from behind, which is just hard on the nerves!!!
 

ppabart

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Ok guys....done the research.

UNC -190
I can't justify laying the 4.5 points here. I think the Tarheels are the better team (all bias aside). Trust me, I wouldnt lay the -190 if I didn't believe in it. Overall, the moneylines have been very good to me, so I'm going with the Heels here to win, SU. I think this game just comes down to matchups....and I feel like the Tarheels matchup better with Marq than vice versa. Go Heels!

Richmond-Kansas under 136 BIG
I think Richmond has to try and control tempo in this game in order to stand a punchers chance. They are so poor on the boards that they really need to try and maximize each possession. Slow pace hunting for good shots is what the Spiders have to do.

Kentucky +6
Going with the points here. I think KY gives OSU a far, far better game than most people expect. Kentucky has the personnel to guard OSU's weapons. Thinking about laying a little on the ML too, but havent made that decision yet.

FSU-VCU over 130.5
Both of these teams are coming in, brimming with confidence. They are both athletic teams. VCU has to try and push tempo and not let FSU setup on D. Look at what they did to Purdue. Now I know Purdue is no FSU when it comes to defense, but if Shaka is smart (which he obviously is), he'll try and play up tempo. FSU won't mind playing that way....so I have this game in the low 140s.

Adding.....

1st half UNC -2 +100 small

1st half Richmond +6.5 -115
 
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