My NCAA selection thread (Sweet 16 & Elite 8)
- Thread starter ppabart
- Start date
Day: 4-2 +$275
Tourney Record: 47-32-1 (+2110)
Money Lines: 9-6
(Wins with VCU +160, Richmond +135, Morehead St +420, Gonzaga +100, VCU +205, Butler +305, Butler +180, UNC -190, UConn -145)
(Losses with Mich St -120, Utah St +120, Villanova -120, Georgia +205, UNLV -135, WVU +160)
Sides: 13-13-1
Totals: 25-13
Base numbers are.... small = 50, no notation or medium = 100, big = 150, very big or large = 200
Tourney Record: 47-32-1 (+2110)
Money Lines: 9-6
(Wins with VCU +160, Richmond +135, Morehead St +420, Gonzaga +100, VCU +205, Butler +305, Butler +180, UNC -190, UConn -145)
(Losses with Mich St -120, Utah St +120, Villanova -120, Georgia +205, UNLV -135, WVU +160)
Sides: 13-13-1
Totals: 25-13
Base numbers are.... small = 50, no notation or medium = 100, big = 150, very big or large = 200
1st half VCU-Kansas over 68.5
VCU has to score in transition. It'll be tough sledding for them in the halfcourt. I think both teams come out running and gunning. KU has been sharp from the outside (9-19 last game)....and should have no problem getting open looks. Solid play here.
VCU has to score in transition. It'll be tough sledding for them in the halfcourt. I think both teams come out running and gunning. KU has been sharp from the outside (9-19 last game)....and should have no problem getting open looks. Solid play here.
KU 41 - VCU 35
That's about right I think. I'm very confident that KU will get to the 40s by halftime. That means VCU only needs to muster 29. I think this will happen more times than not.
This play is a large play for me.
220 to win 200
Confident!
Thanks Theismann. It's been a good run. I hope a Tarheels win is the cherry on top of a great week!!!
03/27/2011 by ONLINE at 05:40 AM [Ticket #: 94806731] 2 Team Teaser 6, 6?, 7 pts Football & 5, 5?, 6 pts Basketball
03/27/2011 @ 01:55 PM CBB [719] KENTUCKY +4-110 (B+5?)
03/27/2011 @ 11:10 AM CBB [722] KANSAS -5?-110 (B+5?)
600.00 500.00
03/27/2011 by ONLINE at 06:32 AM [Ticket #: 94807452] STRAIGHT BET
03/27/2011 @ 01:55 PM CBB [720] NORTH CAROLINA +2-120 (B+?)
600.00 500.00
03/27/2011 by ONLINE at 06:32 AM [Ticket #: 94807453] STRAIGHT BET
03/27/2011 @ 11:10 AM CBB [1721] TOTAL o68?-110
(1H VA COMMONWEALTH vrs 1H KANSAS)
550.00 500.00
03/27/2011 @ 01:55 PM CBB [719] KENTUCKY +4-110 (B+5?)
03/27/2011 @ 11:10 AM CBB [722] KANSAS -5?-110 (B+5?)
600.00 500.00
03/27/2011 by ONLINE at 06:32 AM [Ticket #: 94807452] STRAIGHT BET
03/27/2011 @ 01:55 PM CBB [720] NORTH CAROLINA +2-120 (B+?)
600.00 500.00
03/27/2011 by ONLINE at 06:32 AM [Ticket #: 94807453] STRAIGHT BET
03/27/2011 @ 11:10 AM CBB [1721] TOTAL o68?-110
(1H VA COMMONWEALTH vrs 1H KANSAS)
550.00 500.00
think i'll tail you on the over bart. i sent you a message on FB... good luck.... :0074
Ok Rip. I'll log in and check facebook in a bit.
Good luck to all of us on some early scoring in the first game
Looks like word has hit the books that I am on the first half over. Line has gone up half a point already
:mj07: :mj07: :mj07:
:mj07: :mj07: :mj07:
UNC vs KY......my breakdown of the Tarheels
Well, first off, I think this has the potential to be another great game in this tournament. Both teams are playing some of the best ball of the season. Obviously I know a good bit about UNC. Here's some of what I am thinking.
First, the players......
Tyler Zeller - Playing as well as he has all year. If he catches the ball in the blocks, his baby hook is money. In general, he has good hands, so he just needs to be fed the ball, so he can score. He also shoot free throws well for a big guy...a big plus in a game that will be close.
John Henson - Dude is just long. He alters shots down low just by being in the game. His big detrement is his love of the jumper. He seems to take 2-4 jumpers a game, which he's lucky to make 1. John needs to concentrate on getting boards on both ends and less about being a viable offensive option. His free throw shooting has improved lately.....but is still not reliable.
Harrison Barnes - Needs to work for open looks. If he gets off early, he seems to not cool off. Problem is, sometimes he just vanishes from the offense. If he gets an open look at 3, book it. His stroke is just sweet.
Dexter Strickland - Needs to be a slasher. His best games come when he goes to the goal. once or twice a game, there's a "No Dex!" moment. This generally occurs when he catches the ball coming off a screen and fires an off-balanced jump shot from the top of the key (or a shot of similar distance), that seldom goes in. He's been snakebit of late with charge calls....so hopefully that doesnt affect his mindset today.
Kendall Marshall - Which kendall shows up today? There have been games where he looks like a future All-American point guard. He needs to have confidence in his passing. He's made some amazing passes this year. He still has freshman moments though. If he comes out with confidence today, it'll be good for the Heels. Also, his ability to score has improved. He definitely looks to score second, but when he is left open on the perimeter, he can drain it. He's also improved on his penetration shooting enough to where his defender must respect his abiility to put the ball up on the rim.
Leslie McDonald - Comes in and gives positive minutes. He's not what I would call a sharp-shooter, but you must respect the J. Can't leave him open or he'll make you pay. Good role player.
Justin Knox - The good.....his experience. Being older, I think he's got a good demeanor to have on this team. Unfortunately, his play of late has been lackluster. He comes in to give Zeller a break from time to time....hopefully those moments will be few and far between. Knox gives good effort....but the ball isn't going in the goal lately.
Justin Watts - I'd be ok if he just stayed on the bench. Very similar to Knox in that he's not played well lately. He'll come in and get a few minutes but don't look for much out of him.
......................................
Now, we all know Roy Williams is a pretty good coach. He seems to know what buttons to push at the right times. However, Roy never calls timeouts. There have been so many games where the game is coming down to crunchtime, and you look and the Tarheels have all 4 of their timeouts remaining. He almost always lets his players play through adversity. Now, I think a little bit of that is ok....but there are also times where a timeout would be good to just curb the other team's momentum. If Kentucky goes on a 8-0 run in the first half....down be surprised to see Roy sitting on his hands on the bench....waiting for the next media timeout. That just drive me nuts sometimes.
Well, first off, I think this has the potential to be another great game in this tournament. Both teams are playing some of the best ball of the season. Obviously I know a good bit about UNC. Here's some of what I am thinking.
First, the players......
Tyler Zeller - Playing as well as he has all year. If he catches the ball in the blocks, his baby hook is money. In general, he has good hands, so he just needs to be fed the ball, so he can score. He also shoot free throws well for a big guy...a big plus in a game that will be close.
John Henson - Dude is just long. He alters shots down low just by being in the game. His big detrement is his love of the jumper. He seems to take 2-4 jumpers a game, which he's lucky to make 1. John needs to concentrate on getting boards on both ends and less about being a viable offensive option. His free throw shooting has improved lately.....but is still not reliable.
Harrison Barnes - Needs to work for open looks. If he gets off early, he seems to not cool off. Problem is, sometimes he just vanishes from the offense. If he gets an open look at 3, book it. His stroke is just sweet.
Dexter Strickland - Needs to be a slasher. His best games come when he goes to the goal. once or twice a game, there's a "No Dex!" moment. This generally occurs when he catches the ball coming off a screen and fires an off-balanced jump shot from the top of the key (or a shot of similar distance), that seldom goes in. He's been snakebit of late with charge calls....so hopefully that doesnt affect his mindset today.
Kendall Marshall - Which kendall shows up today? There have been games where he looks like a future All-American point guard. He needs to have confidence in his passing. He's made some amazing passes this year. He still has freshman moments though. If he comes out with confidence today, it'll be good for the Heels. Also, his ability to score has improved. He definitely looks to score second, but when he is left open on the perimeter, he can drain it. He's also improved on his penetration shooting enough to where his defender must respect his abiility to put the ball up on the rim.
Leslie McDonald - Comes in and gives positive minutes. He's not what I would call a sharp-shooter, but you must respect the J. Can't leave him open or he'll make you pay. Good role player.
Justin Knox - The good.....his experience. Being older, I think he's got a good demeanor to have on this team. Unfortunately, his play of late has been lackluster. He comes in to give Zeller a break from time to time....hopefully those moments will be few and far between. Knox gives good effort....but the ball isn't going in the goal lately.
Justin Watts - I'd be ok if he just stayed on the bench. Very similar to Knox in that he's not played well lately. He'll come in and get a few minutes but don't look for much out of him.
......................................
Now, we all know Roy Williams is a pretty good coach. He seems to know what buttons to push at the right times. However, Roy never calls timeouts. There have been so many games where the game is coming down to crunchtime, and you look and the Tarheels have all 4 of their timeouts remaining. He almost always lets his players play through adversity. Now, I think a little bit of that is ok....but there are also times where a timeout would be good to just curb the other team's momentum. If Kentucky goes on a 8-0 run in the first half....down be surprised to see Roy sitting on his hands on the bench....waiting for the next media timeout. That just drive me nuts sometimes.
Awesome write-up Bart..... be careful today man betting on N.C. I'm seeing some weird line movement.. making me think books want N.C. money... I;m with ya on the 1st half over.. also did this
3 Team Teaser #210309985 (Placed by Web)
Basketball - College Lines (Game) Point Spread
NCAA TOURNAMENT - REGIONAL FINAL @ Alamodome -San Antonio, TX
(722) Kansas -3? Sun@2:10p
Competitor721) Va Commonwealth
Teased 8.0 points
Basketball - College Lines (Game) Point Spread
NCAA TOURNAMENT - REGIONAL FINAL @ Prudential Center - Newark, NJ
(720) North Carolina +9 Sun@4:55p
Competitor719) Kentucky
Teased 8.0 points
Basketball - College Lines (Game) Total
NCAA TOURNAMENT - REGIONAL FINAL @ Prudential Center - Newark, NJ
(719) Kentucky vs. (720) North Carolina Over 138 Sun@4:55p
Teased 8.0 points
$700 to win $600
3 Team Teaser #210309985 (Placed by Web)
Basketball - College Lines (Game) Point Spread
NCAA TOURNAMENT - REGIONAL FINAL @ Alamodome -San Antonio, TX
(722) Kansas -3? Sun@2:10p
Competitor
721) Va CommonwealthTeased 8.0 points
Basketball - College Lines (Game) Point Spread
NCAA TOURNAMENT - REGIONAL FINAL @ Prudential Center - Newark, NJ
(720) North Carolina +9 Sun@4:55p
Competitor
719) KentuckyTeased 8.0 points
Basketball - College Lines (Game) Total
NCAA TOURNAMENT - REGIONAL FINAL @ Prudential Center - Newark, NJ
(719) Kentucky vs. (720) North Carolina Over 138 Sun@4:55p
Teased 8.0 points
$700 to win $600
Now.....Kentucky only plays 6 players. I think they absolutely have to control tempo and not let the Tarheels run, which is what they want to do. Tyler Zeller is one of the best bigs in the country when it comes to getting out on the break. To combat the Tarheels break, I think kentucky won't be able to crash the offensive glass. That'll definitely slow the game down and give Kentucky the best chance to win.
I think there will be fast moments to this game, but the majority of the game will be played in the halfcourt, which favors Kentucky.
All this being said.....I like the under. I think the game is too close to call to make a play.....but I see a good chance that this game goes under the total. So I have locked in.....
UNC-Kentucky under 145.5 LARGE
Risking 220-200 here....same as the other total i have already played. I feel like there is sound reasoning behind both plays. Please, please, please, don't OT me for the 4th time. Thanks in advance
I think there will be fast moments to this game, but the majority of the game will be played in the halfcourt, which favors Kentucky.
All this being said.....I like the under. I think the game is too close to call to make a play.....but I see a good chance that this game goes under the total. So I have locked in.....
UNC-Kentucky under 145.5 LARGE
Risking 220-200 here....same as the other total i have already played. I feel like there is sound reasoning behind both plays. Please, please, please, don't OT me for the 4th time. Thanks in advance
Thanks CashMan....best of luck to you too. Won't be playing the Heels at all today. Pulling for my team is enough motivation
Just trying to provide any insight that I can offer. I've watched every game we've played this year, so I feel like I sorta know the team
Just trying to provide any insight that I can offer. I've watched every game we've played this year, so I feel like I sorta know the team
