This is really for conversation sake:in the NFL there is this angle where a team covers and goes over the total and scores more than 30 two weeks in a row the play is to go against them with the spread ,play the under or both in the third game.The theory is a that all the stuff that had to go right for them to do all that scoring evens out in subtle ways in the third game(sometimes 4th game.This theory is not to be applied to the great offensive teams of recent memory like the Warner/Faulk/Holt/Bruce/Hakim Rams for example.You never lnow how long they'll go without a clunker,but one will come,just don't bet when with those kinda teams.)Eventually even with the great teams,sideline passes are juggled,other critical passes droppped,turnovers in the red zone,great defensive plays at timely points in the game,inopportune penalties,guards stepping on the qbs foot on third and goal,fumbled snap from center,it all comes home to roost at one time it seems after an extended period of excellence offensively.Oklahoma ,being the first team to go 60+ 5 straight gamesto end the season has to be close to being in this position going into this game.They allegedly have had only one under all season.They are playing a defense that is faster and has better dbcks for sure than anything in the big 12.Fla gave up 20 to bama and 21 to Lsu.Is oklahoma better thru the O line than alabama and lsu?I see Florida really trying to make a point of holding bradford and okla to as few as they possibly can to make a point about who should have won the Heisman,so (please no fan reaction here,I am trying to handicap the game not insult any sooner lovers.I am not saying oklahomas o is shitty,just that I am gambling that this will not be their game and why!) I could envision Florida holding oklahoma to less than the 21.I understand what a feat this would be,they will need a great deal of dline speed to negate oklas offensive line,a very fine group.I projected floirda for 48,but they too have gone over a whole series of games in a row,I know because I bet 'em under in a couple of those games,stopped and watched with great interest as they went over twice more to close out the season with about 6 or 7 straight overs(now I'm not going back to check so I may be off by a game or so,but the number whatever it is is a LOT of overs in a row for Florida too!)So now we have two teams everybody knows are scoring out their every orifice,a million games in a row each,and the number is set lower than three other bowl games at just over 10 simple little touchdowns.If it is an over,why set the number for two such highpowered offenses so low?Seems fishy.Lastly,This game shares something in common with the last two,both of which were unders and that is all these last six teams were involved in very high scoing overs in last years bowl season,the sooners got the pat white treament as wvu routed the sooners and went over last year,florida got the retiring coach rout put on 'em by michigan and bo schembechler err lloyd carr as they upset florida and went over the total as well.All these over streaks on both sides of the field,last years losses with both d's playing poorly led me to the conclusion days ago that the under was the unlikely sounding play for the total in this game,so I've got it parlayed with florida-3- in one card at under 72-having hit the under in the mon and tues games as the other legs of the 4 teamer.Got florida-3- as the 4th wheel in a second 4 teamer(under38 Baltimore/Mia NFL,Ohio st+9-,Tulsa-1-.)Hopefully,like tulsa Tuesday night the side in this game was too easy too handicap,explaining the florida landslide of action.Seems their defense is the better of the two,their o vs oklas d is where they appear to hold an advantage.Call it the revenge of Tebow.We'll see soon.GL to all handicappers
Last edited:
