Navy/MD

[lowell]

Going to tail you on the Duke plays. Hope Cut turns Daniel Jones loose to throw the ball downfield. He has a chance to improve his draft chances. Duke receivers have dropped a lot of passes recently. Hope that doesn?t happen today.
By the way my first Duke game I attended was Navy vs Duke in 1963. Some guy named Roger was the QB for Navy.

 

[BASON]

Very, very cool. Lets go Duke!!

 

[BASON]

Jones is the whole reason I made the Duke bets. If he is out for the game, I will then look for an in-game out of much of my exposure and sit with the over.

 

[BASON]

Huge second half to get the big sweep (+, ML and Over) in the Duke game. Bigger bowl plays continue to do well (Iowa State is the next one).

A Wisky win will cap off a huge day, so lets go Wisconsin!!

Already have Baylor +11 to finish off the 3-team 7 pointer so that is enough for me on that game as I think it is a tough one to cap.

 

[lowell]

Won every play on Duke game except over 29 for Temple.
Good luck tonight.

 

[BASON]

Tough loss on the Temple TT.

Like I said, I hate betting on Wisconsin. They should be winning this game big, but they play as conservative as you can. I do not care how young the QB is. Let him play, it is a bowl game! They are going to have to open up a little as I am thinking Miami switches QBs.

I have Wisky rather big +3.5, the ML, and a ML parlay nice payoff, so:

Miami -3 2nd Half

Pure greed play given my situation. Love having the TD middle in a game where no one can score.

 

[BASON]

Didn't hit greed bet, but do not really care as Wisky win was big. Great day today no matter what happens in the Baylor game.

I am already in big on Iowa State tomorrow, so I put this 3-team 10 point teaser in for action on the other two:

Syracuse +7.5
Purdue Ov 45
Wash St. Ov 45.5

Syracuse line is getting steam rolled. Getting to be too much of an overreaction, but I will take the points. I think the other two games are at least in the mid 50's.

I will try to pose more on Iowa State in the morning, but I certainly like the set up for this one.

 

[BASON]

I just love it when all the dogs win outright since I love ML parlays. All three hit yesterday!

Could we see the same today? Not sure we see all three, but I have money to play with so:

Iowa St +125
Purdue +150

Iowa St +125
Purdue +150
WVU +135

Iowa State is another motivation game for me. No matter what they are saying now Washington State does not want to be in this bowl and certainly do not want to be playing Iowa State. I think Iowa State gets extra motivation from that and we also have the benefit that Leach sucks in bowl games. He is 1-7 ATS in his last 8.

I think Purdue is another motivation play. I think there is a lot to the kid with cancer story. Brohm staying is also added motivation. I have not been a fan of Auburn all year as I simply think they are not that good. Again, we get an added benefit of Malzhan being a bad bowl coach as he has lost 4 of his last 5. Sure, Auburn has the better overall talent, but I think Purdue will be sky high for this one while Auburn is going through the motions.

Purdue +4 -120

I really do not like the WVU game but the massive line move (-7 to +3) has certainly got my attention. Huge moves like this actually backfire a lot and I am not sure it is warranted here. I will go against the grain, but only in the ML par and maybe a 7 point tease since I can now get 10. Staying away from any other plays as I think this is too tough to cap. (Yes, I know I have Cuse +7.5 above but that is a very small play and I do think the game will be close)

Lets hope the dogs keep barking!!

 

[ldabdou]

[/LIST]
299187]

Iowa State is another motivation game for me. No matter what they are saying now Washington State does not want to be in this bowl and certainly do not want to be playing Iowa State. I think Iowa State gets extra motivation from that and we also have the benefit that Leach sucks in bowl games. He is 1-7 ATS in his last 8.

Cougs looking for first 11 win season. Leach looking to win a bowl since losing last two. Think they will be plenty motivated.

 

[BASON]

We will find out soon enough but the Leach/Pac 10 combo will almost always be a play against for me.

Only think that scares me is that it is a very popular play as the line is down to 1.5.

 

[BASON]

Iowa State save my ass yesterday. Maybe did not cap it perfectly, but it was a big play and they got the cover.

Today will be an extremely popular betting day and in my younger years I would be betting big on the Championship games, but I have learned my lessons over the years and now just treat these like any other games. I am not in love with anything today given where the lines are but I just put this in (right when Bama moved down):

Michigan+5
ND +22
Bama -3.5

Too much Florida love out there, I will take the team with the better QB.

South Carolina moved the ball on Clemson and they are not a very good team. ND will be able to throw the ball today and that will keep them in the game. I am also playing:

ND TT Ov 23

I think Bama is vulnerable in this game defensively, but the one thing I do know is that Oklahoma's defense is terrible. It is not going to get better with some extra time off. The 14 scares me a bit as the backdoor could be open with the Ok offense. Everyone put 40+ on the Oklahoma defense so:

Bama TT Ov 46

 

[BASON]

Man did Michigan suck today. Almost as bad as South Carolina. Big line moves are doing well.

I added a another tease since Michigan blew the first one and I have some soccer winnings to play with:

ND +20.5
Ov 47
Bama -4

Again this is just for some action. Team totals are bigger plays for me.

 

[BASON]

I was adamant that ND did not belong in the final 4 and they are making it easy to prove me right. There is no doubt in my mind that GA and Ohio State are better and I did say this weeks ago. They are pathetic on offense. Only good thing was that I recognized this early in the game and jumped on the in-game. I am not a huge fan of in-game betting but it certainly helps when you know you are on the wrong side.

My guess is the next game is going to be very good as this one totally sucks.

 

[BASON]

Not sure how Alabama did not get to 46 points. Perfect example of why I do not over bet big games. Took some loses but not a big deal overall.

I will be on the following one way or another tomorrow and will update once I finish the NFL and Soccer this morning:

Va Tech +6/+190
Mich St +3/+120
Northwestern+7
A&M -7

 

[BASON]

First one for tomorrow is in, had to jump in now as I am starting to see this line move at some outs:

Michigan State +3 -125/+120

I do not like the Pac 10 at all. Michigan State is great ATS in bowl games, 5-1 in last 6 with only loss against Alabama in Championship semi. They crushed Wash St. last year in the Rose Bowl. They are the much better defensive team. Their offense blows but so does Oregon's defense

 

[BASON]

Put this is as soon as it went to 6.5:

Va Tech +7 -120

I like Cincy as they are better than many think. However, Va Tech had a very young team this year so I think the time off will do them good. I like Fuentes as a coach. Plus I think this game will look like a Tech home game in a small stadium. Lots of Tech fans already in DC area and plenty more will come to DC/Annapolis for NYE. I will take the points here.

 

[BASON]

Northwestern +7.5 -125

Once again the Pac 10, though this is a harder choice since Whittingham is so good in bowl games (11-1), but this Northwestern team is tough. The underdog in their games this year are 11-1-1. This is going to be an ugly game but it should be a close one, so I will take as many points as I can.

Last one for today

Texas A&M -6.5 -125

Simply a feel tat Fisher will be promoting this as the start of next season. He is great at winning meaningless games. NC State with a few key players out.

Staying away from the Stanford game and I lean Ok State + the points in a shootout.

 

[BASON]

I lied, adding two more

Mizzu TT Ov 40.5
Game Ov 71.5

Liking this one more and more. I think Mizzu puts up 50.

 

[BASON]

Can not believe how absolutely awful Michigan State's offense is. Seriously, they are fucking terrible. They are playing a Pac 10 defense, have field position most of the game and can not score. If they have an offensive coordinator she should be fired after this one. I am already pissed that I am watching this horrible game, but if they do not cover I will be more pissed.

 

[BASON]

These games are just shit. Whoever drafts Lock will be sorry. No way this kid is an NFL QB. You would think they would show him off a bit in the bowls but all they do is run the ball up the middle. Its a freaking bowl game, through the damn ball. Ok State keeps scoring and Mizzu keeps running it up the middle.

Sorry for the rants but this is just bad football everywhere. Michigan State is an embarrassment, well what should you expect from that athletic department!

Got the State cover (if they win I hit a huge parlay which is why I am so pissed) Their QB is the worst I have ever seen at a top level program. If he is the best they got Michigan State football is going into the toilet.