NBA FRI 032009 early thoughts - value hunting

[JCWhy]

N. Orl O/A up to 191 1/2

NJ/Mia off board ?? poss value hear - is this a Wade thing?

Lastly - did u give much thought to Houst/Minn Under? Houst b2b OT - good 'D' Minn can't score -Ax, this is obviously the 'burnetto arm chair stuff' - so feel free to knock me around

It is because of Wade.
Wade In: Heat -4 & 200
Wade Out: Nets -2 & 194

 

[axp59]

1/2 unit U 188
1/2 unit U 188.5
1 unit U 190.5

Let's get this, fellas! kurby

Huge play PnP and I know some are very worried about the movement but I LOVE this play. If I get nuked tonight, I will be comfortable with the decision I made for myself here.

 

[burnetto57]

burnetto57

burnetto57

GL to you as well :toast:

JC,

U watchin Mizzou - bout freakin time - wud have luved bein in their locker room @ H time.:director:

 

[JCWhy]

JC,

U watchin Mizzou - bout freakin time - wud have luved bein in their locker room @ H time.:director:

Yea, Anderson got their attention and they are playing like they should. Hope they hold on to cover.

I'm watching this Dayton game and keeping an eye on that Pitt score :scared

 

[PickNPop]

Huge play PnP and I know some are very worried about the movement but I LOVE this play. If I get nuked tonight, I will be comfortable with the decision I made for myself here.

Like I said yesterday I loved the play as well. NO can't score without Peja and if he does come back tonight he won't be 100% anyway. Rasual Butler is getting exposed as the bench player he is (only 2-13 3pt FG L3 games). Plus if Chandler is out then 6 easy points gone from the alley-oops from Paul. I don't follow MEM much but etz makes some strong points about them playing to their opponents play which bodes well or us. Win or lose, definitely the right play.

:toast:

 

[JBrilman]

Getting crushed in the noon games...

PITT and WV are just laying down...

 

[PickNPop]

I show 71% on the SQUARE over............
I also like the UTAH under.
They have only played 2 games over 200 last 10 games:
211 in DENVER - thin air run run run........
201 in PHOENIX - nuff said.

UTAH's last 10 have produced over 200 4 times - probably the main reason for this number.
Looking at how these over 200s were produced - OT in MIAMI where they had to keep up with scoring leader Wade's MVP bid........
212 at IND, 210 at TOR, 216 at GS............3 teams that have never heard the word DE-fence, except when their home crowd chants it as the score of their opponents approaches 110 :mj07:
I like OKC to fight to win this game at home, and DEN to fight to win to stay in control of their division - so defensive intensity should be higher..................i hope :toast:

I'm actually on this @ U199.5 myself, BWD, although not by intention. Small play though, so it's okay. BOL! :toast:

 

[axp59]

Like I said yesterday I loved the play as well. NO can't score without Peja and if he does come back tonight he won't be 100% anyway. Rasual Butler is getting exposed as the bench player he is (only 2-13 3pt FG L3 games). Plus if Chandler is out then 6 easy points gone from the alley-oops from Paul. I don't follow MEM much but etz makes some strong points about them playing to their opponents play which bodes well or us. Win or lose, definitely the right play.

:toast:

:toast: my sports beeper will be in my car tonight. I have a problem!

BOLTA

 

[JCWhy]

GL to everyone. I have to go to a calling then play some ball. Hopefully I get to check in before the last 4 NCAA games tip off tonight.

 

[axp59]

GL to everyone. I have to go to a calling then play some ball. Hopefully I get to check in before the last 4 NCAA games tip off tonight.

BOL JCW

 

[Griffin8s]

AX

Good luck to night man we will all be pulling for you. Remember adapt and over come. Hell I did I won a CBB game today woohooo :em71:

 

[axp59]

AX

Good luck to night man we will all be pulling for you. Remember adapt and over come. Hell I did I won a CBB game today woohooo :em71:

Nice...Gunny collect on a CBB game :mj06:

Thanks buddy. Gonna give it my all...oohhh rahhhh

 

[Goalie31]

Good call on Mizzou JC

 

[Goalie31]

Go kick some azzzz Ax..GL

 

[axp59]

First one I'm going to throw out there for a number that may be 'off' just a bit. Looking at minimum value for this since this is a hook off my buy-in number

Charlotte at Toronto U196

This is slowly getting money on the over and I think we might be able to wait and get a good number. It's a good start for a Friday.

Just to be clear since I posted this first...this made it as high as 196 (-115u) and got hit hard under. down to 194.5

this was minimum value @196 so I hope there is no misunderstanding. This is NO PLAY. GL all

 

[axp59]

Go kick some azzzz Ax..GL

Thanks pal...just praying for no injuries like last time. :scared

 

[burnetto57]

Great finish w/ Mizzou - That was my POD, so far Big 12 payin off well in 1st round - OK, Ok St. and now Mizzou - all covered

 

[axp59]

Great finish w/ Mizzou - That was my POD, so far Big 12 payin off well in 1st round - OK, Ok St. and now Mizzou - all covered

Drinks on KB tonight!!:toast:

 

[JBrilman]

Anyone look at HOU/MINN game?

Minnesota:

* Under is 8-0 in MIN last 8 vs. Western Conf
* Under is 9-1 in MIN last 10 games as an Udog
* Under is 9-2 in MIN last 11 overall.

Houston:

* Under is 7-1 in HOU last 8 Fri. games.

Minn only broken 100 2 times in last 10 games and that was against Mem and Cha and the Cha game we had the under (nost of us) and thought we had that one right.

Hou only 3 times in last 10 games, OT vs DET, PHO and the Craptors.


Any thoughts?

 

[PickNPop]

BTW, does anyone know where I can find 1Q lines for past games? Phillip_Rivers mentioned how he's been making a killing betting SAC 1Q overs so wanted to check that out.