NBA Mon 031510- Early Thoughts & Value Hunting

[darkchild]

Sunday wasn't nice to me, hopefully I can bounce back this week.
Win: OKC -2.5 Suns - 9.5
Loss: Orlando -8.5 and -3, Raptors +8, Celtics +8.5

Early leans:
Knicks +3.5 vs Sixers
GS +7.5 vs LAL
Boston -9.5, Celtics maybe tired from a b2b but I just cant trust my money on Detroit

Update:
Now I'm actually leaning towards Houston +3,
-home advantage and Houston is looking to extend their first winning streak in 5 weeks
-trying to prevent a season sweep
-Denver on their 4th road game already

Adding GS/LAL Under 222.5 hoping that the Lakers defense can slow down the warriors

 

[grindstone]

3 plays today

NY/Phil U210.5
Det + 9.5
GS +8

GLTA

 

[40seven]

WOW

WOW

Grindstone love them.


I am also leaning to the Lakers and the Jazz!!

any opinion.

For me the Clippers -3 the Hornets are out manned here and they played last night!:00hour

The Wiz on a brutal trip and the Jazz at home and pissed, look out!

 

[JBrilman]

Grindstone love them.


I am also leaning to the Lakers and the Jazz!!



The Wiz on a brutal trip and the Jazz at home and pissed, look out!

Love the Jazz today 40. Also looking at the under in that game.

 

[frogster]

Hello, I hope everyone had a good weekend. Tonight I like the O 204.5 NO vs LAC game. GL to all.

 

[BillyBatts]

Leans

Leans

Looking to lock a couple of these leans in. Looks like we might be on the same page tonight. Usually a good sign:toast:


Leans
Sixers -3 and under
Pistons +9
Nugs-2.5
Jazz-11
Warriors +8
Clips-2.5


Be back in a bit with my card

 

[BillyBatts]

Info

Info

Some interesting trends on Utah

Jazz are 9-0 ATS (7.0 ppg) since April 21, 2009 after a game on the road in which they allowed at least 50% from the field.

Play UNDER WASHINGTON on the total in All games after allowing 105 points or more
The record is 4 Overs and 15 Unders this season

Play ON UTAH against the spread in All games after allowing 105 points or more
The record is 13 Wins and 3 Losses this season


No play on Nuggets either...
They are 1-7 as a road fave of 3 or less, AND 1-6 after playing 3 consecutive road games:scared

 

[grindstone]

Looking to lock a couple of these leans in. Looks like we might be on the same page tonight. Usually a good sign:toast:


Leans
Sixers -3 and under
Pistons +9
Nugs-2.5
Jazz-11
Warriors +8
Clips-2.5


Be back in a bit with my card

Hey BB looks we agree on the same three.Hope to see you at the window tonight.

:toast:

 

[grindstone]

Hello, I hope everyone had a good weekend. Tonight I like the O 204.5 NO vs LAC game. GL to all.

Hey Frogster hope all is well. Nice to see you here .

 

[Ools]

Grindstone - you will like these:

The Knicks have not had many highlights to their season, but Saturday night was one of them, with a stirring 124-98 road upset of Dallas as 10.5-point underdogs, ending the Mavs 13-game winning streak. This sets up New York for totals play as road teams off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, with the total at 210 or higher are 41-14 UNDER the last 14 years.



The Boston Celtics didn?t show a great deal of energy in being handled by Cleveland 104-90 as seven point underdogs on Sunday afternoon. If that matchup didn?t bring out the best in the Celtics, it would not figure Detroit would either, especially playing their fifth game in a week. Home favorites with a 60 to 70 percent winning record, facing a club with a 25 to 40 percent losing record are 9-33 ATS since 1996.

I like these 2 alot...the 3rd play not as much.

 

[Ools]

Some interesting trends on Utah

Jazz are 9-0 ATS (7.0 ppg) since April 21, 2009 after a game on the road in which they allowed at least 50% from the field.

Play UNDER WASHINGTON on the total in All games after allowing 105 points or more
The record is 4 Overs and 15 Unders this season

Play ON UTAH against the spread in All games after allowing 105 points or more
The record is 13 Wins and 3 Losses this season

No play on Nuggets either...
They are 1-7 as a road fave of 3 or less, AND 1-6 after playing 3 consecutive road games:scared

One more to back you up:
teams that shoot 48 percent or better and conceded 55 percent or more in last outing, to be a spread winner with 32-9 ATS record since 2005.

 

[BillyBatts]

Thanks

Thanks

Hey BB looks we agree on the same three.Hope to see you at the window tonight.

:toast:

I think you're in for a really good night sir. And If you're at the wiondow, It's lookin like I will be as well.

 

[grindstone]

Grindstone - you will like these:

The Knicks have not had many highlights to their season, but Saturday night was one of them, with a stirring 124-98 road upset of Dallas as 10.5-point underdogs, ending the Mavs 13-game winning streak. This sets up New York for totals play as road teams off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, with the total at 210 or higher are 41-14 UNDER the last 14 years.



The Boston Celtics didn?t show a great deal of energy in being handled by Cleveland 104-90 as seven point underdogs on Sunday afternoon. If that matchup didn?t bring out the best in the Celtics, it would not figure Detroit would either, especially playing their fifth game in a week. Home favorites with a 60 to 70 percent winning record, facing a club with a 25 to 40 percent losing record are 9-33 ATS since 1996.


I like these 2 alot...the 3rd play not as much.

I'm Love'n it Great stats Ools


GL

 

[grindstone]

I think you're in for a really good night sir. And If you're at the wiondow, It's lookin like I will be as well.

Hoping for a couple of these :drinky: :drinky:

 

[BillyBatts]

Grindstone - you will like these:

The Knicks have not had many highlights to their season, but Saturday night was one of them, with a stirring 124-98 road upset of Dallas as 10.5-point underdogs, ending the Mavs 13-game winning streak. This sets up New York for totals play as road teams off a win by 10 points or more as an underdog, with the total at 210 or higher are 41-14 UNDER the last 14 years.



The Boston Celtics didn?t show a great deal of energy in being handled by Cleveland 104-90 as seven point underdogs on Sunday afternoon. If that matchup didn?t bring out the best in the Celtics, it would not figure Detroit would either, especially playing their fifth game in a week. Home favorites with a 60 to 70 percent winning record, facing a club with a 25 to 40 percent losing record are 9-33 ATS since 1996.

I like these 2 alot...the 3rd play not as much.

Thanks for the info. i totally agree with these 2 plays and agree not so much on the Warriors now. LA is looking to get the best overall NBA record back, and this one could get ugly. If I was forced to pick, I would take the Warriors though.

 

[BillyBatts]

Hello, I hope everyone had a good weekend. Tonight I like the O 204.5 NO vs LAC game. GL to all.

The Hornets are on several ?over? streaks, including 9-3 on the road, 4-1 on Mondays, 5-0 on the second night of a back-to-back and 5-0 against teams with a losing record. Los Angeles has stayed below the posted total in 35 of 52 Monday contests, but it is on ?over? runs of 3-0-1 overall, 6-1 against losing teams and 15-7 against Western Conference teams.

In this series, the ?over? has been the play in each of the last five meetings.

 

[Ools]

The Hornets are on several ?over? streaks, including 9-3 on the road, 4-1 on Mondays, 5-0 on the second night of a back-to-back and 5-0 against teams with a losing record. Los Angeles has stayed below the posted total in 35 of 52 Monday contests, but it is on ?over? runs of 3-0-1 overall, 6-1 against losing teams and 15-7 against Western Conference teams.

In this series, the ?over? has been the play in each of the last five meetings.

one more for you:
NBA teams off a road loss by 10 points or more, against opponent off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more (Clippers lost by 30 at San Antonio Saturday) are 66-34 OVER in next contest.

Can all these trends be off?? :shrug:

EDIT: Line is already up 3 from open -- probably toofar up river for me

 

[Ools]

Anyone know where you can get 2nd half "ATS" and O/U stats at?

 

[BillyBatts]

one more for you:
NBA teams off a road loss by 10 points or more, against opponent off a road blowout loss of 20 points or more (Clippers lost by 30 at San Antonio Saturday) are 66-34 OVER in next contest.

Can all these trends be off?? :shrug:

EDIT: Line is already up 3 from open -- probably toofar up river for me

I still like it, but obviously would've liked the 201. There are a couple 203.5's i see. If I can get that, I may jump. I may like the Clips more though..:director:

Clippers are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
Clippers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Clippers are 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a home favorite.
Clippers are 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
Clippers are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.


Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
Hornets are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. Western Conference.
Hornets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
Hornets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hornets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Hornets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
Hornets are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Hornets are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
Hornets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
Hornets are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Hornets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
:scared


EDIT--HORNETS HAVE WON LAST 10 GAMES su BETWEEN THESE 2!!:sadwave:

 

[Ools]

Bill and anyone else:

1. whose your NCAA favorite?

2. Who are your 2 through 4 seeds that you think have a shot?

3. Real long shot to get to final four or elite 8?

My answers:

1. Duke - underrated (no scary athletic teams in their bracket)

2. Ohio State - steady and star power

3. Xavier - good matchups to get through a few games