NBA MON 032309 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)

[burnetto57]

burnetto57

burnetto57

hi guys, its nice to see everybody giving their 2 cents, instead of bashing each other , i will try to help and give me feedback but im still learning,.....
Den/Pho line dropped to 236.5......what u guys think ???


i was also looking at that stanford game.....

Welcome to the thred. Just an FYI, we don't do bashing. We have fun, try to be respectful and r very interested in others in-put. As you may have noticed our primary focus seems to be NBA, but we r wide open to ColBall esp @ this time of year. Even have a few soccer fans here. If u spend the time and read through the posts, laborious as it is at times, it provides a good perspective on which games are seriously being looked at. I think some games are dispenced of early, but, if new info is introduced w/ some compelling cap stats, thath game cud get some attention.

I heard a well respected capper say earlier - believed Org St. would get favorable calls (from refs) :topic: :shrug: related to recent media attention re: his close relat. w/ Pres. Obama (1st ladie's brother and took the young Senator out on the court for some one-on-one, partly to 'size him up' back when 1st lady was considering dating him). Latest action is on Vermont, down from +1 to PK. Personally don't follow W. St. much more that to view them as a very schizo team - they are hard to read.

 

[GMan321]

GO Celt!:00hour

.5 unit teaser: under ATL + C wins.

 

[jim844]

i think maybe the total on the orl/nyk game is moving up is because david lee is expected to play now and with nyk having lost 2 nights ago in what is basically a repeat of that game, nyk might be looking for some revenge in nyk fashion (high points, 3 balls, fast tempo)
and as such most people think orl will just play their game and hope their 3's are falling at a better rate then nyk's rather then actually d'ing them up...
i am new to capping/sportsbetting so pls take whatever i say with a grain of salt
i do watch nba a lot so i may be speaking as a fan

 

[Slicer]

good insight, thx jim, I think Im gonna just stick with the side play here, i might throw $100 action play on the under just for fun, but i can see it going up tempo especially playing at MSG.

 

[burnetto57]

Burnetto57

Burnetto57

I won't be on the side. My play for that game is the Over 135.5. I think Stanford has been looking to run and I could see them putting up close to 70 shots again. I think Wichita will look to play a slower style but will eventually get caught up and the pace will be uptempo.

Thanks for stopping over - read your post awile ago re: tightening up can bet I'll be following your posts closely. Love your Unit goal:00hour

 

[Slicer]

crap, brb, F'ing lawyers...

LOL, my father is one of those!! :142smilie

 

[grindstone]

Hey AX I hope all is well and hello to everyone here. AX just wanted to let you know I sent you a PM on the other site. Not much time to contibute since I'm still vacationing in Virginia, here at the internet cafe with the wife and cousins having a good time but will be back this weekend with the daily % public #'s. Take care guys and GLTA with all your plays.

Life seems so great here at Madjacks sports

:toast: dance1 :mj05:

 

[axp59]

Absolutely scares the crap out of me when I see everyone on one play. I hit some discussion boards earlier and everyone and their mother is on this MIN/ATL U.

 

[LFTNUT]

ORL

ORL

I REALLY LIKE UNDER ON DIS GAME. 217. AX WHAT U THINK?

 

[jim844]

Absolutely scares the crap out of me when I see everyone on one play. I hit some discussion boards earlier and everyone and their mother is on this MIN/ATL U.

i agree
have yet to see anyone on the over
even with the line dropping like that everyone's on the under
either this was a freebie from vegas or we all fell into the trap :|

 

[Crockie]

Absolutely scares the crap out of me when I see everyone on one play. I hit some discussion boards earlier and everyone and their mother is on this MIN/ATL U.

Yes you're right. I saw only ONE capper who is on the over

 

[axp59]

Ax I'm so afraid of the opening line of Golden State/San Antonio tomorrow. Hope we'll get a line like Phoenix/San Antonio or Golden State/New Orleans.

I think it's a good choice of buying back the Chicago under.

Thanks Crockie...must be bedtime for you soon in the deutschland.

Man, you are way ahead of me here, I took a peek at tomorrow's card but that was it...just to see who's playing. Come back fresh when you wake up and give us something to start our day with. Thanks pal!!!

 

[40seven]

Absolutely scares the crap out of me when I see everyone on one play. I hit some discussion boards earlier and everyone and their mother is on this MIN/ATL U.

:toast: i unit here max and a prayer or two.

I like the fact the line has dropped, I am in at 194 1/2.

Someone is talking Stanford so i will comment. The lines sucks 86% of the money is on them and the points continue to climb. It is a no play for me.

 

[axp59]

Didn't know where to find you and came across this link and here you are. (lips are sealed)

Thanks bro, wanted to keep it low key but I do appreciate all the feedback from the guys here. I lurk over there now, still got some friends that call it home over there. I just hate the damn soap opera. Welcome bro.

 

[GMan321]

Absolutely scares the crap out of me when I see everyone on one play. I hit some discussion boards earlier and everyone and their mother is on this MIN/ATL U.

same here...this under play is a no-brainer. too good to be true?

Hope the hawks will continue to play their slow tempo at home after cavs dominated them in cle. I am afraid of 4th qrter garbage time. MIN can put up pts quick and so can ATL's bench.

rule of thumb: ONLY BET WITH HOW MUCH YOU CAN AFFORD TO LOSE OR WILLING TO LOSE.

 

[axp59]

Im just curious, but why hasn't the under in orl/nyk been discussed more. Wasn't this a play just 2 days ago? I'm curious as to what has changed between these two that its not a possibility.

location, location, location

 

[Joe_Vienna]

Thanks Crockie...must be bedtime for you soon in the deutschland.

Man, you are way ahead of me here, I took a peek at tomorrow's card but that was it...just to see who's playing. Come back fresh when you wake up and give us something to start our day with. Thanks pal!!!

I also have my numbers for tomorrow!

that's european power! :box2: :SIB

 

[axp59]

Hilarious, it's the "Dark Side"

minn/atl = opened 196.5 currently 194.5
22%
78%

crowded at the window or lots of confetti on the floor

 

[LFTNUT]

I REALLY LIKE UNDER ON DIS GAME. 217. AX WHAT U THINK?

DO U THINK LINE GOING UP MORE AND SHOULD WAIT?

 

[LookKaPyPy]

At least there is chance for 2p middle while buying out in Hawks game


The more I look at Suns game the more I like going over. Just doing the pace + avg shooting vs avg D I get around 200pts, add 10+ extra pts of three pointers, 70% of at least 30-40 FTs and a buncha fastbreak points of turnovers (Suns #2, Nuggies #3 in TOs) and it looks like it can hit in 250s
Both teams rested, both liking to run, both doing well from the floor while playing dodgy Ds...

forgot to add that looking by the line no blowout is expected, Suns D can't give them enough stops to make them pull away, so it might be a 2 possesion game by the end and few extra late fouls.