NBA MON 032309 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)

[axp59]

I posted last night that I saw value on Phil/PortU.

Chooch, get a chance to read post 68?

 

[axp59]

What? that's absurd, I do have it at 190.5.

:mj07: J/k
I fixed it, thank you for the heads up.
wouldn't it be something if Phi/port was 237?

The edit is great...but not as great as the emoticons!!

 

[axp59]

Guys,

I am very new to this whole sports betting thing. I have enjoyed messing around with it in the past, but am looking to get better and learn as much as I can. Thanks for all the posts. I am soaking up everything and hopefully I will be able to contribute in the future.

Welcome, I'm learning from these guys here everyday!

 

[Crockie]

Thanks Crockie...must be bedtime for you soon in the deutschland.

Man, you are way ahead of me here, I took a peek at tomorrow's card but that was it...just to see who's playing. Come back fresh when you wake up and give us something to start our day with. Thanks pal!!!

Yes it's time to go to sleep in a few minutes. Wish you all a good time and hope we'll hit! See you tomorrow :0corn

 

[axp59]

The public is pounding the shit out of this over, and you raise a good point. Of course the game they had in NY was higher scoring than the one @ home in Orlando, but this number is starting to approach a level where an Under play might come in for me at least.

218 is a good minimum value buy-in for the under...IMHO

 

[Crockie]

Here Ax for tomorrow:

Lakers/Thunder 205
GS/Spurs 208.5
Rockets/Jazz 193

Good night

 

[axp59]

Thanks for the time and attention.

You just crack me up ETZ. Is there any commentator you like? in the NBA, not EPL?

 

[axp59]

Den/Pho line dropped to 236.5......what u guys think ???

Welcome...yes, we adhere to the no bashing rule!!!

as for your play. Don't like anything else? This number has something about it that I just don't like...yes I remember now, it's tied to a team from PHO. Bro, find something else. PHO games in PHO is a totals nightmare IMHO. GL

 

[coolhandluke]

Thanks Ax

 

[axp59]

BTW, we have a good thread here. Thanks.

Thansk Bro and welcome. IMHO...wait long enough and value may just present itself for an unders play. Patience Let the public have its say and then be the smart player

 

[axp59]

Stanford +1.5

Trend of the Game: Stanford is 4-0 ATS in their last four non-conference games.


Stanford 75, Wichita State 69

WOW...I'm laying off anything in the NIT but I'm sure there's value there also since no one (j/k) really pays much attention. GL Milt

 

[JCWhy]

Sorry JCW, busy with the lawyers again.

I bought that back because the trends that kept popping up wasn't so positive for my position. I weighed the ORL side vs this under play and I just thought there was more value going with ORL.

GL sir.

Thank you for your response. I like the idea of Butler being back and him possibly disrupting the offensive flow(if they even have one)
The last game in Washington was with Butler in the line-up and it went under 207. I actually like the trends I have looked at :mj08: Maybe I am not looking at the right ones.
These are some of my thoughts and I think I am going to go ahead at lock this in for a full unit unless someone can show me something to make me stay away.

 

[axp59]

That's a seriously nice writeup - haven't followed college ball as ardently this year so can't comment one way or the other, but would invite you to continue to contribute as such 'cause it'll be of interest to someone who's as engaged as you are...

agreed, made me want to jump on board if I were a betting man...

There's some talent on this thread!

 

[bostonsbetter]

Just wanna say you guys are amazing with what your doing here... especially Ax... I have been looking for info on some plays you've been talking about but everything I find you guys are all over it already.

Unreal work... keep it up, let me know if theres anything i can do to help

 

[joe_shmoe]

Welcome...yes, we adhere to the no bashing rule!!!

How are we supposed to feel at home with a rule like that??? :shrug:

 

[axp59]

Welcome to the thred. Just an FYI, we don't do bashing. We have fun, try to be respectful and r very interested in others in-put. As you may have noticed our primary focus seems to be NBA, but we r wide open to ColBall esp @ this time of year. Even have a few soccer fans here. If u spend the time and read through the posts, laborious as it is at times, it provides a good perspective on which games are seriously being looked at. I think some games are dispenced of early, but, if new info is introduced w/ some compelling cap stats, thath game cud get some attention.

I heard a well respected capper say earlier - believed Org St. would get favorable calls (from refs) :topic: :shrug: related to recent media attention re: his close relat. w/ Pres. Obama (1st ladie's brother and took the young Senator out on the court for some one-on-one, partly to 'size him up' back when 1st lady was considering dating him). Latest action is on Vermont, down from +1 to PK. Personally don't follow W. St. much more that to view them as a very schizo team - they are hard to read.

Well put KB! I'm sure you're the one that Let Chump know we were over here. Thanks. If you're not, Thanks to the person that did!!

 

[Griffin8s]

Guys,

See you guys been very hard at work here today. I on the other hand been selling cars today and haven't had anytime to do anything else. Like the Min/Atl under play. Just 2 cents that make you feel even better about it. About 2-3 weeks ago I saw a guy (if I remembered who it was I would say) at the old place post "always play under on the first game on the nites card from your book". Now I never tracked this myself but he said he has and it hits pretty good. I don't know if you ever heard this or have tracked it yourself. But guess whats first on the card tonight. GL guys!:toast:

 

[axp59]

good insight, thx jim, I think Im gonna just stick with the side play here, i might throw $100 action play on the under just for fun, but i can see it going up tempo especially playing at MSG.

I agree, I think the side here has better value. With this numbers kurby I'm happy with my -6

 

[axp59]

LOL, my father is one of those!! :142smilie

and I'm a non-practicing one!

 

[burnetto57]

burnetto57

burnetto57

WOW...I'm laying off anything in the NIT but I'm sure there's value there also since no one (j/k) really pays much attention. GL Milt

Yeah and you'd think they'd give in a better name like Not Invited (to) Tourney or someting like that.

I'll defintely be peeking in on Joe tonight, like his lofty goals and that he knows the only real value is in O/Us, IMHO.