NBA MON 033009 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)

[axp59]

We have a perfect situation for a sys play for MON:

The Warriors are 11-0-1 OU (17.8 ppg) since March 26, 2007 at home when facing a team that covered by double digits against them in their previous same-season meeting.

t:team=Warriors and site=home and tP:ats margin<=-10 and tP:season=season and 20070326<=date

MEM/GS Over

BOLTA

 

[proguy747]

The best thing about you AX is you get right back on that horse. :toast:

 

[proguy747]

We have a perfect situation for a sys play for MON:

The Warriors are 11-0-1 OU (17.8 ppg) since March 26, 2007 at home when facing a team that covered by double digits against them in their previous same-season meeting.

t:team=Warriors and site=home and tP:ats margin<=-10 and tP:season=season and 20070326<=date

MEM/GS Over

BOLTA

wow that is very impressive diamond Ax.

 

[axp59]

The best thing about you AX is you get right back on that horse. :toast:

Got too pal. Lots of homework but this is my job. GL pal

 

[axp59]

wow that is very impressive diamond Ax.

I'm going to play this. Short card so it's worth a shot.

 

[proguy747]

Jackson is out. what number are you thinking the game will be? Hopefully they base it of the last few meeting numbers.

 

[t20boss]

I'm going to play this. Short card so it's worth a shot.

Agree - the NOT UNDER is the play here in this game. Good job, Ax - that's what I'm talkin' about. :SIB

 

[axp59]

Jackson is out. what number are you thinking the game will be? Hopefully they base it of the last few meeting numbers.

I'm thinking anything less than 200 is a bargain. Will have to look close in the 200-205 range. I hope they use the meetings from this season which will be somewhere in the high 190's

 

[axp59]

Agree - the NOT UNDER is the play here in this game. Good job, Ax - that's what I'm talkin' about. :SIB

Oh yeah boss...i ran some numbers and this is actually a decent play.:SIB

 

[Eagle123]

Hi Ax,
Try hard to avoid a losting week last week but failed....

Best of luck to us on this coming week!!

 

[axp59]

Hi Ax,
Try hard to avoid a losting week last week but failed....

Best of luck to us on this coming week!!

We'll work hard this week Eagle. That's all we can do and we should be ok..BOL pal

 

[JCWhy]

Here are my numbers:

Magic/Heat 195.5
Bucks/Nets 196.5
Knicks/Jazz 215.5
Grizz/Warriors 214.5

 

[Eagle123]

Hi Ax, so you leaning on MEM/GS Over tomorrow?

I thought you like U play only

 

[axp59]

Hi Ax, so you leaning on MEM/GS Over tomorrow?

I thought you like U play only

4 games Eagle...not seeing much right now..

 

[Eagle123]

4 games Eagle...not seeing much right now..

Ok then.

Lets start a winning week today.

Talk later

BOL

 

[PickNPop]

MEM/GS Over

BOLTA

PM'd you across the street about this.

Got fuckin' murdered today! Shouldn't have doubled down on SA :nono: :sadwave: Sunday Bloody Sunday, bro. Public got POUNDED! Lakers, Nets, Bulls, Spurs, Suns. Vegas is sleeping on a mountain of cash tonight no doubt.

 

[Ools]

Here are my numbers:

Magic/Heat 195.5
Bucks/Nets 196.5
Knicks/Jazz 215.5
Grizz/Warriors 214.5

Still no line yet -- but I figure line has to open at least 206-208 range

 

[Ools]

Also interested in the "not under" with jazz/ny -- jazz come off back to backs vs phoenix and now play "phoenix east" in NY. Conditioned for the track meet. I think ny's last 2 low games were based on good D opponents, not a change in philosophy. Ax, See any value here at 212.5?

 

[LookKaPyPy]

Also interested in the "not under" with jazz/ny -- jazz come off back to backs vs phoenix and now play "phoenix east" in NY. Conditioned for the track meet. I think ny's last 2 low games were based on good D opponents, not a change in philosophy. Ax, See any value here at 212.5?

I like under, and what might push it way down low is the way Jazz blew their 21p lead vs Suns, and Sloan noted ""We had a nice lead and then we just quit competing. You can't afford to do that." after that game.
That would imply that they will be playing proper D the whole game this time around (the only thing that can disturb is their div game (vs Blazers), the next game).

Does proper D mean they will keep Knicks to less than 100 ? Lines certanly suggest that, 11p fav with 212.5...and if that's the case, then this is a simple choice:

Knicks scoring 100 or less ytd: 1-21 SU (-12.1), 7-16 ATS, 1-22 o/u (-16.2)
scoring 99 or less: 1-18 SU, 5-14 ATS, 0-19 o/u

 

[axp59]

PM'd you across the street about this.

Got fuckin' murdered today! Shouldn't have doubled down on SA :nono: :sadwave: Sunday Bloody Sunday, bro. Public got POUNDED! Lakers, Nets, Bulls, Spurs, Suns. Vegas is sleeping on a mountain of cash tonight no doubt.

New week brother! Got your PM. This is POD material I think. Funny, Cappy gave me the same game...