NBA MON 042009 early thoughts - value hunting (Playoffs)
- Thread starter axp59
- Start date
thanks fellas. we're up a few more than normal. changed money management strategy for the playoffs and giving stoffo's 2_6 system a shot. working quite nicely. up almost 5U instead of 2.9U. I think the system might work for a one/two play guy like myself. back to work, gotta get another winner for tomorrow.
Yea I started using the 2-6 a few months ago mainly because Im infected with atrocious money mngt skills. It has been good for me (keeps me from crazy chasing), you're correct though, its only really plausible if you play one or two plays a day, other wise you need to run multi sytems, which seems a little self defeating for my purpose.
Anyway ,I enjoy your anaylisis, thanks, I dont seem to have the time I used to and its nice to
have confidence in your (and others) efforts.
BOL
Thanks Ice. This is great feedback. I looked at it from a logical point of view and it seems to make sense. I had a hard time buying into game 'value". I've always played games as though they were equal. I'm glad to hear someone else has used this and finds it useful. BTW, I'm not going to get caught up in running multi-series. Seems like one/two is plenty.
Thanks bro.
I actually did google the stoffo 2-6 system and couldn't find a complete description.
Looks like a modified martingale, or cross-off system.
But the example showed 4 losses followed by 2 wins.
What happens if you win the first game. Start a new series or still bet the second level?
Here's what I found.
The 2-6 Straight Bet System requires that you win a minimum of just 2 wagers in every 6 bets made in a Series, and pre-calculates your ?Series? of wagers at $11, $22, $44, $66, $88 and $132. In other words, your ?Series Amounts,? or the dollar figure you will be wagering or attempting to win, will be
11-22-44-66-88-132.
In keeping with this, I am going to have you take your Personal Betting Bankroll and divide it evenly into 4 equal ?Betting Blocks.? For example, if you?re starting with a Personal Betting Bankroll of $1,600 (based on a portion of your Total Disposable Income), break it into 4 equal Betting Blocks of $400 each.
$1,600 Personal Betting Bankroll divided by 4 = Betting Blocks of $400 each.
The Proof
It?s one thing for me to boast that this System can turn a profit for you if you can pick just 33% winners, and it?s another to see it in black and white. Below is the proof.
First, let?s look at example where you pick just 2 of 6 (or 33%) winners while betting traditional 11-10 odds against the spread, say on football or basketball games.
Bet $ Wagered Result $ W/L Net Profit
#1 11 lose -11 -11
#2 22 lose -22 -33
#3 44 lose -44 -77
#4 66 lose -66 -143
#5 88 win +80 -63
#6 132 win +120 +57
Looks like a modified martingale, or cross-off system.
But the example showed 4 losses followed by 2 wins.
What happens if you win the first game. Start a new series or still bet the second level?
Here's what I found.
The 2-6 Straight Bet System requires that you win a minimum of just 2 wagers in every 6 bets made in a Series, and pre-calculates your ?Series? of wagers at $11, $22, $44, $66, $88 and $132. In other words, your ?Series Amounts,? or the dollar figure you will be wagering or attempting to win, will be
11-22-44-66-88-132.
In keeping with this, I am going to have you take your Personal Betting Bankroll and divide it evenly into 4 equal ?Betting Blocks.? For example, if you?re starting with a Personal Betting Bankroll of $1,600 (based on a portion of your Total Disposable Income), break it into 4 equal Betting Blocks of $400 each.
$1,600 Personal Betting Bankroll divided by 4 = Betting Blocks of $400 each.
The Proof
It?s one thing for me to boast that this System can turn a profit for you if you can pick just 33% winners, and it?s another to see it in black and white. Below is the proof.
First, let?s look at example where you pick just 2 of 6 (or 33%) winners while betting traditional 11-10 odds against the spread, say on football or basketball games.
Bet $ Wagered Result $ W/L Net Profit
#1 11 lose -11 -11
#2 22 lose -22 -33
#3 44 lose -44 -77
#4 66 lose -66 -143
#5 88 win +80 -63
#6 132 win +120 +57
- Mar 18, 2009
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Thanks to Ax I have found some more information on this system...it seems very interesting. Seems like it might work well too...I think I may give it a shot and see how it goes.
BigW,
There is a little more to it than the small paragraph that was posted about it. I have a link with a lot more info on the topic, but I know we are not allowed to post links in here.
BigW,
There is a little more to it than the small paragraph that was posted about it. I have a link with a lot more info on the topic, but I know we are not allowed to post links in here.
- Mar 18, 2009
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BW,
Its a .pdf file that I am reading so I can't really copy/paste it. Atleast I don't know how...is there way to message each other on here...I have no problem sharing...just don't want to get in trouble for posting a link.
Its a .pdf file that I am reading so I can't really copy/paste it. Atleast I don't know how...is there way to message each other on here...I have no problem sharing...just don't want to get in trouble for posting a link.
BW,
Go to google, then search for "stoffo 2-6 system money"
Then when the results come up from the search, click the third result from the search which reads "PDF] Money Management For the Year Round Professional Sports Handicapper"
Its has all info you need about it...
Go to google, then search for "stoffo 2-6 system money"
Then when the results come up from the search, click the third result from the search which reads "PDF] Money Management For the Year Round Professional Sports Handicapper"
Its has all info you need about it...
- Mar 18, 2009
- 158
- 0
- 0
