NBA MON 050409 early thoughts - value hunting (Playoffs)

axp59

Jarhead
Forum Member
Oct 8, 2008
3,012
0
0
Taxachusetts
Here are my early leans in order.


Boston Over 188.5

Houston Under 193.5 Orlando +2.5

L.A. Lakers -8
 

axp59

Jarhead
Forum Member
Oct 8, 2008
3,012
0
0
Taxachusetts
I haven't locked BOS Over since I think the public is going to follow the under trend and I'll get a better number. I just like this over so please tail with some caution. This play is against the grain.
 

canuckfan77

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 17, 2009
6,587
123
63
48
BC Interior
Ax.....I hate to rush genius but I have to have my play(s) in by 7:30 pacific 10:30 eastern. If you don't have anything locked by then please post anything that is your best lean.

No internet at my job :mj01:
 

KillerKardoogan

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 22, 2009
107
0
0
Ax, if you dont mind, what's your # on the Celts'
total; and do you see any differences between G1 and a "typical" game in this series?

Oh, and can we call you Manny Paxiao?

Anyone else counting the days til we get to watch floyd getting his ass kicked?

:dizzy:
 

mpnyc76

Registered
Forum Member
Mar 24, 2009
102
0
0
By who? Pacman i assume. I fear that we will be counting for a very very long time -he's an ass but he's great.
 

Griffin8s

Devil Dog
Forum Member
Mar 18, 2009
340
0
0
Ohio
Here are my early leans in order.


Boston Over 188.5

Houston Under 193.5 Orlando +2.5

L.A. Lakers -8

Was leaning the same way on all four plays myself. I was very interested to see what you liked on the C's game. Would be happier to get the number at +3 by game time. Crossing my fingers there. Orlando is going to have to play C's like the last game with Philly and get that score up to the 100 mark. This over maybe the POD for me.
LAL -8 no question they want to send a message this first game to the East (Cavs) that we are ready to get this show on the road! We will see a great defensive L.A. here and Kobe hitting jumpers all night taking Ming's D out of the game.
kurby :00x1
 

axp59

Jarhead
Forum Member
Oct 8, 2008
3,012
0
0
Taxachusetts
Ax.....I hate to rush genius but I have to have my play(s) in by 7:30 pacific 10:30 eastern. If you don't have anything locked by then please post anything that is your best lean.

No internet at my job :mj01:

sorry pal, I always try my best to throw something out there early but I need to wait on some things to lock. I'll try, but if I get info that kills my lean, I wouldn't want you to get stuck with a bad wager. BOL
 

proguy747

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 19, 2009
425
0
0
Ax, if you dont mind, what's your # on the Celts'
total; and do you see any differences between G1 and a "typical" game in this series?

Oh, and can we call you Manny Paxiao?

Anyone else counting the days til we get to watch floyd getting his ass kicked?

:dizzy:

I would not judge two washed up oppenents as a litmus test.

going to be a great fight but no cake walk by any means.
 

coolhandluke

Registered User
Forum Member
Sep 9, 2006
108
0
0
Was leaning the same way on all four plays myself. I was very interested to see what you liked on the C's game. Would be happier to get the number at +3 by game time. Crossing my fingers there. Orlando is going to have to play C's like the last game with Philly and get that score up to the 100 mark. This over maybe the POD for me.
LAL -8 no question they want to send a message this first game to the East (Cavs) that we are ready to get this show on the road! We will see a great defensive L.A. here and Kobe hitting jumpers all night taking Ming's D out of the game.
kurby :00x1

Already +3 here in Vegas!!!
 

axp59

Jarhead
Forum Member
Oct 8, 2008
3,012
0
0
Taxachusetts
Ax, if you dont mind, what's your # on the Celts'
total; and do you see any differences between G1 and a "typical" game in this series?

Oh, and can we call you Manny Paxiao?

Anyone else counting the days til we get to watch floyd getting his ass kicked?

:dizzy:

My number for the C's is 193. I like the signals I'm seeing which makes this a good value play for me.

You can drop the ny from Manny and just call me "the man". :mj07: j/k

here's what I know about boxing that tells me Mann beats Floyd. When Manny has to fight someone bigger, they bring in guys that can muscle him during sparring sessions. Tell me who Floyd brings in to mimic Manny's speed. You can't train against speed like Manny's. No need to over-think this IMHO. Manny is "the man".

My lady was commenting as Manny entered the ring the other night. She mentioned that Manny looked excited, smiling and not a concern in the world. In conflict, when facing an adversary that has no fear of death; coupled with the tools to get the job done, the task becomes far greater.

Let's hope for the public to jump on Floyd so we can get a decent number to unload.

Back to baskets...consider dropping some juice by using CLE ml to pair. CLE doesn't lose at home in this series.

BOS Over locked. Line not moving like I expected for greater value.

BOL
 

Griffin8s

Devil Dog
Forum Member
Mar 18, 2009
340
0
0
Ohio
Anyone like any of the series plays that are out there??? Keep looking at the C's series price but looks like the value came out of it. Never bet a series before so not sure what to look for.:shrug:
 

axp59

Jarhead
Forum Member
Oct 8, 2008
3,012
0
0
Taxachusetts
Was leaning the same way on all four plays myself. I was very interested to see what you liked on the C's game. Would be happier to get the number at +3 by game time. Crossing my fingers there. Orlando is going to have to play C's like the last game with Philly and get that score up to the 100 mark. This over maybe the POD for me.
LAL -8 no question they want to send a message this first game to the East (Cavs) that we are ready to get this show on the road! We will see a great defensive L.A. here and Kobe hitting jumpers all night taking Ming's D out of the game.
kurby :00x1

I like all these plays Gunny but you know how I work so I only have action on the Over. Love to play all 4 but my bet will live and die by the ORL/BOS over. Since there are only a couple of games at most these remaining days, I thought it couldn't hurt to throw my leans out there in case others may be interested in other action.

BOL
 

Griffin8s

Devil Dog
Forum Member
Mar 18, 2009
340
0
0
Ohio
I like all these plays Gunny but you know how I work so I only have action on the Over. Love to play all 4 but my bet will live and die by the ORL/BOS over. Since there are only a couple of games at most these remaining days, I thought it couldn't hurt to throw my leans out there in case others may be interested in other action.

BOL

I'm with you I think I will narrow it down to 2 by game time. Bos Over and the LAL -8.5, it's when I go crazy or pick quickly I get in trouble but I have like both of these for a day now.

BOL to us Bro!!
 

coolhandluke

Registered User
Forum Member
Sep 9, 2006
108
0
0
here's what I know about boxing that tells me Mann beats Floyd. When Manny has to fight someone bigger, they bring in guys that can muscle him during sparring sessions. Tell me who Floyd brings in to mimic Manny's speed. You can't train against speed like Manny's. No need to over-think this IMHO. Manny is "the man".

My lady was commenting as Manny entered the ring the other night. She mentioned that Manny looked excited, smiling and not a concern in the world. In conflict, when facing an adversary that has no fear of death; coupled with the tools to get the job done, the task becomes far greater.


BOL

I"ve been capping bloodsports all my life, it's my forte and I've made most of my money that way. The ring rust alone is going to be a huge problem for him, not to mention a ton of other things just on the surface , and I've not even begun to do a full study of this matchup which will take me all week before a fight goes off. On the surface it's Manny all the way. There are a few times I've felt this way on the surface and then changed my mind after further study, but not many.
 

JBrilman

Registered User
Forum Member
Mar 18, 2009
648
0
0
Las Vegas
I like all these plays Gunny but you know how I work so I only have action on the Over. Love to play all 4 but my bet will live and die by the ORL/BOS over. Since there are only a couple of games at most these remaining days, I thought it couldn't hurt to throw my leans out there in case others may be interested in other action.

BOL

Thanks Ax! Always appreciated.
 

coolhandluke

Registered User
Forum Member
Sep 9, 2006
108
0
0
Damn Orl. line already went from +3 to +2 here in Vegas while I was gloating about it and I missed it!!!

:(
 

axp59

Jarhead
Forum Member
Oct 8, 2008
3,012
0
0
Taxachusetts
I"ve been capping bloodsports all my life, it's my forte and I've made most of my money that way. The ring rust alone is going to be a huge problem for him, not to mention a ton of other things just on the surface , and I've not even begun to do a full study of this matchup which will take me all week before a fight goes off. On the surface it's Manny all the way. There are a few times I've felt this way on the surface and then changed my mind after further study, but not many.

Hey Luke, I defer to your expertise sir. Was I off with my reasoning regarding training for speed? Thanks for the input...looking forward to your lean on this.
another off topic subject...can Forrest win?
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top