NBA SAT 032109 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)

axp59

axp59

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For totals I'm looking at:

Atlanta at Cleveland O185
New York at Orlando U215
Indiana at Charlotte U198.5
Boston at Memphis U191.5

Numbers have changed...I just copied and pasted these from previous posts
 
axp59

axp59

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Griffin8s said:
My problem is I stopped posting to much on WBA's spot because I do better not posting. My record went down hill posting there everyday. Start to get it back to even. Say I had 3 plays for the day I would lose the one posted on there thinking it was my best play. LOL Maybe I just suck. Take it how you want too.
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I understand Gunny but the point was that single game you call your POD. The 'lock' if you will. It was perfect for me since I normally play one a day and it's all or none. The more you play...the more juice you give the books. I can't afford to give any of my money away.
 
axp59

axp59

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proguy747 said:
my cavs line just went to -8 and 184.5. what are you thinking? A lot of good cappers picking cavs. I am a little scared as the cavs have not looked like the home slayers they were before.
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I'm still on the over...I know 1Hit threw you off with his under play. I'm going to wait a few more and I'll let you know if I lock it in.
 
Griffin8s

Griffin8s

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proguy747 said:
my cavs line just went to -8 and 184.5. what are you thinking? A lot of good cappers picking cavs. I am a little scared as the cavs have not looked like the home slayers they were before.
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That is close to what I was saying earlier. Now working out the number in the last 5 home game Cavs avg. 8.4 per win. The game 5 ago throws this line out of whack against MIL and Cavs win by 18. Just don't see the value in going with the side. Just adding my 2 cents.
 
proguy747

proguy747

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The more you play...the more juice you give the books. I can't afford to give any of my money away.

Boy those are some great words for all of us to follow.
 
axp59

axp59

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proguy747 said:
please share ax when you say thing like this my wallet starts buldging.
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ok PG...take the CLE game out of the picture...the other 3 I listed are very viable PODs today. Now I have to pick just one? this is the hard part of capping...I hate spraying the board...shotgunning it with 3 plays that is.
 
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Nice call on NOH/MG last night as for today my reservations on MG are they seem to have turned a corner on the offense until last night. So it seems they struggle scoring against great defenses but can play at a different level agains half the NBA. So tonights play against the Celts may show who they are, but i will only read about it Sunday. I am with you on the OM/NYK game. The Knicks are going the wrong way and the Magic are not. Someone said the IH OM -points maybe a great play, IMHO the play is the Under.

OM 110 NYK 85. This will stay under because OM will throttle back at the half. (OM IH is a value)
 
proguy747

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well for us action junkies maybe you could place these three games in order.:142smilie didnt I just quote you and praise you for playing one game. Now I am wanting all your picks. I am a junkie.
 
axp59

axp59

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40seven said:
Nice call on NOH/MG last night as for today my reservations on MG are they seem to have turned a corner on the offense until last night. So it seems they struggle scoring against great defenses but can play at a different level agains half the NBA. So tonights play against the Celts may show who they are, but i will only read about it Sunday. I am with you on the OM/NYK game. The Knicks are going the wrong way and the Magic are not. Someone said the IH OM -points maybe a great play, IMHO the play is the Under.

OM 110 NYK 85. This will stay under because OM will throttle back at the half. (OM IH is a value)
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forty...where the hell you been??? glad you could join us. Thanks for this...It's the only one I even put money on last night and I'm ready to put more into it. Just starting to get greedy with the others looking good in my opinion. Good to see you pal
 
axp59

axp59

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proguy747 said:
well for us action junkies maybe you could place these three games in order.:142smilie didnt I just quote you and praise you for playing one game. Now I am wanting all your picks. I am a junkie.
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Fair enough...Since the CLE game is off my list...I'll put some thought into the other three and will list them in order but I'll likely only play two.
 
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Slicer

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Accuscore for today: updated sheet at http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=pO5FQaf7haZKeU2N4p05-IQ&hl=en


NBA:

Cavs by 12 and 181.6
Magic by 14.5 and 211.5
Bobcats by 4.5 and 197.9
Celtics by 11.5 and 188.1
Lakers by 2.8 and 208.2
Blazers by 2.8 and 191.6
Suns by 13.4 and 227.8

NCAA: Took a wallop on sides other than early session.

Villa by .4 and 145 (Villa small play)
Memphis by 11.2 and 134 (Memphis BIG for me)
Uconn by 12.6 and 142
UNC by 8.9 and 158.9 (UNC small play)
Purdue by 1.7 and 138.7 (still like Wash personally)
Oklahoma by 9.2 and 135.6 (OK BIG for me)
Zaga 12.1 and 141.1
Duke 7.9 and 140.9 (going Under small for me)
 
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Goalie31

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As a Hawks fan and a junkie I will sprinkle a little on the over on the game.Have faith in the Axanator!
 
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coolhandluke

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LAL line on the move here in Vegas -3.5 I seen someone talking about this back a ways.................
 
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Goalie31

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Can flip back and forth between Nova and Hawk game.Start the day off with two winners!!GL..To All
 
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