NBA SAT 103109 early thoughts - value hunting

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doccjc

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Ax,,

Thanks for the Over in the Nets game,,,,

still 9 minutes to go in the 4th and it hit.....:mj07:


easy win
 
CUBBOY69

CUBBOY69

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multitasking

multitasking

:toast: the man is sidtracked carving pumpkins and still picks winners...lol nice job ax
 
proguy747

proguy747

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I am having a carving party too.. Just about to try the roto zip to do some custom faces from the net.. :0corn :00hour
 
axp59

axp59

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No tails...

I'm distracted and haven't updated my info for the last game. I'm going over my notes and I'm going to play off that info.

DAL
and Under

BOL
 
rragga2727

rragga2727

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ax, busy day hope everything ended in the positive. I appreciate everyone's input on the over in the wiz +my gut on the wiz. With all the number movement sometimes it's better for me to pass. bring on tommorrow!!!!:box2: :toast:
 
axp59

axp59

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You know I'm just playing. :)

What I'm really excited about are my 2 full unit plays (posted) on FLA and GT.
 
axp59

axp59

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axp59 said:
rragga, by mid-season form you mean dazed and confused with all these line moves, then yes. :mj07:

I'm going to focus on these the next few hours:

In the order as listed on the board:

NJ/WAS O
POR/HOU U
DET/MIL U
SAC/SAS O
DAL -
DAL/LAC U

didn't list the numbers because they will vary across books and shopping is part of the game.
Click to expand...

I do feel awful I had no time to post one of these plays. Guess? I had to go "entertain", not my friends but my woman's friends. It was a good night without the blood pressure since I couldn't watch any of the games. Had a nice bill on Gm 3 Ov9 also. Today was definitely a good day and believe it or not, I made more today than I did at poker last night.

Here's the deal, tomorrow is Sunday and I have this new thing I picked up over the summer. I go to church now and bible study for 2 hours after. I know...but that's just part of my life for now. I'll try to cap and get some games out but no promises ok? I really think this is the reason why I'm 2-8 in the NFL on Sundays...Geez, you think??

LOL

Thanks for the appreciation fellas. All the thanks I ever need is knowing you guys are cashin' with me.
 
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barts185

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arabmoney said:
DOES EVERYONE KNOW THAT THE GT LINE DROPPED FROM 13.5 TO 12 WITH THE PUBLIC ALL OVER GT
Click to expand...

Sometimes the public wins.

What are your numbers this college season on Reverse Line Movement? The people I know who track it say that it is below .500 but I don't actually track it since I have a lot of unanswered questions about the source of the data and the validity of the data.

If you know somewhere that tracks every bet made at every book, both legal and illegal, I'd be happy to look at that data. Looking at subsets from a small group of books doesn't really seem to carry as much weight (although I'm sure the people selling that data claim it is valuable).

Since everyone moves on air, this is a lot more suspect as well. 2 to 3 max bets (sometimes less) at Pinnacle will move the line at a lot of offshore books. So there's a lot of bets on a game and then a couple of people make bets at Pinnacle. The line moves, and you have the Reverse Line Movement without knowing whether or not the people making the bets at Pinnacle are sharp or not. At least that's my opinion (except for the part about bets at Pinnacle moving the line at a lot of places - that I know for certain because I've seen it happen).
 
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