NBA SAT 121209 early thoughts - value hunting
- Thread starter Joe_Vienna
- Start date
It's 5:30 AM ... just got home from a poker game ... life is good !!! I just went back to Friday's thread ... WTF ... who are all the haters and lerkers ???
I only played one game ( Philly under ) and obviously it won because I'm good at this shit :director:
Nap time ...........
I only played one game ( Philly under ) and obviously it won because I'm good at this shit :director:
Nap time ...........
NCAA GEM OF THE DAY
Week 1 5-2
Week 2 4-3
Week 3 4-3
YTD: 13-8 (61.90%)
Ohio Bobcats -3.5 @ Delaware Blue Hens
The Bobcats come into this game at 4-3 on the season, their last 3 all losses by a combined 10 points, including a 1 pt loss and a 2 pt loss to a pair of 7-1 and 6-2 teams on the road @ Tulsa and Marshall, both respected CUSA teams at the top of their league.
The Bobcats sport a balanced starting lineup with 4 players averaging 11+ points and the 5th at 9.7 ppg. While they are not an outstanding shooting team, they are decent from the FT line and ranked #20 in the country in rebounding. They have a deep bench with alot of players getting 10+ minutes per game and are still averaging 77.9 pts per game as a team.
The Blue Hens are a dismal 2-6 on the year with 1 win @ home and 1 on the road, their latest win was the one at home over Hamtpon a 2-8 team and even then the Blue Hens recorded only 55 pts on a team that gives up an average of 65. The Blue Hens are a 3 man team essentially with Carter, Dawson and Boney. They lack quality off the bench, they shoot horribly from 3pt land and the FT line.
The one stat the Blue Hens have in their favor is Ohio's lack of ability to win on the road going 2-8-1 in their last 11. However, there is a nice little revenge angle to this game as the Blue Hens delivered an 11 pt victory last year over Ohio. Delaware was led by 21 pts from Marc Egerson who is no longer there and contributed 11 of the blue hens 33 rebounds in a game where Ohio still won the rebounding 38-33.
My money is on the fact that despite the 2 close losses on the road by the Bobcats, they are almost there as a team and the Blue Hens will not be able to catch up to the Bobcats scoring pace, nor will they be able to obtain many 2nd chance baskets as the Bobcats should dominate the boards.
Had to make a change to line it's -3.5 not 3, was 3 when I looked at it, then went to lock it in and it was -3.5, all the same :mj06:
Week 1 5-2
Week 2 4-3
Week 3 4-3
YTD: 13-8 (61.90%)
Ohio Bobcats -3.5 @ Delaware Blue Hens
The Bobcats come into this game at 4-3 on the season, their last 3 all losses by a combined 10 points, including a 1 pt loss and a 2 pt loss to a pair of 7-1 and 6-2 teams on the road @ Tulsa and Marshall, both respected CUSA teams at the top of their league.
The Bobcats sport a balanced starting lineup with 4 players averaging 11+ points and the 5th at 9.7 ppg. While they are not an outstanding shooting team, they are decent from the FT line and ranked #20 in the country in rebounding. They have a deep bench with alot of players getting 10+ minutes per game and are still averaging 77.9 pts per game as a team.
The Blue Hens are a dismal 2-6 on the year with 1 win @ home and 1 on the road, their latest win was the one at home over Hamtpon a 2-8 team and even then the Blue Hens recorded only 55 pts on a team that gives up an average of 65. The Blue Hens are a 3 man team essentially with Carter, Dawson and Boney. They lack quality off the bench, they shoot horribly from 3pt land and the FT line.
The one stat the Blue Hens have in their favor is Ohio's lack of ability to win on the road going 2-8-1 in their last 11. However, there is a nice little revenge angle to this game as the Blue Hens delivered an 11 pt victory last year over Ohio. Delaware was led by 21 pts from Marc Egerson who is no longer there and contributed 11 of the blue hens 33 rebounds in a game where Ohio still won the rebounding 38-33.
My money is on the fact that despite the 2 close losses on the road by the Bobcats, they are almost there as a team and the Blue Hens will not be able to catch up to the Bobcats scoring pace, nor will they be able to obtain many 2nd chance baskets as the Bobcats should dominate the boards.
Had to make a change to line it's -3.5 not 3, was 3 when I looked at it, then went to lock it in and it was -3.5, all the same :mj06:
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I only played one game ( Philly under ) and obviously it won because I'm good at this shit :director:
Nap time ...........
:mj07: that is an awesome quote Chump :mj06:
- Mar 18, 2009
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It's 5:30 AM ... just got home from a poker game ... life is good !!! I just went back to Friday's thread ... WTF ... who are all the haters and lerkers ???
I only played one game ( Philly under ) and obviously it won because I'm good at this shit :director:
Nap time ...........
yeah - Sixers took a nap in the 3rd qtr only scoring 13...good call...almost bought out my over out when I saw it was your POD. I atleast covered my 2 sixers losers with ORL 2H and Minn later...so I survive for another day!
- Mar 18, 2009
- 418
- 1
- 0
It's 5:30 AM ... just got home from a poker game ... life is good !!! I just went back to Friday's thread ... WTF ... who are all the haters and lerkers ???
I only played one game ( Philly under ) and obviously it won because I'm good at this shit :director:
Nap time ...........
LOL, I agree with Slicer...that's classic
I posted I was waiting on some late info before releasing my plays and it seems that wasn't good enough. :shrug: It wasn't like I posted 5 minutes before tip. I think I finally posted a little after 7PM for 8PM or later games. Pretty heated last night
:wtf: :cursin:
- Mar 19, 2009
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These losers are just a bunch of chasers that do not want to take the time to cap. Then they have the nerve to yell at other cappers that have won them money. ungrateful bastards.
It would be awesome if jack had a rule if you bash in this thread you are banned!
This by far is the best place to throw out ideas and get some feedback from great insightful cappers.
BOLTA.
It would be awesome if jack had a rule if you bash in this thread you are banned!
This by far is the best place to throw out ideas and get some feedback from great insightful cappers.
BOLTA.
Never even heard of that guy who came in here bashing away yesterday. No worries, guys. The reason why we're all here instead of across the street is to minimize idiots like that being around, and overall, that's still the case. Keep up the good work and dialogue. :Yep:
- Mar 18, 2009
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Det/GS U 205.5
Det/GS U 205.5
GS playing their 3rd in 4 nights, shot a horrific 38%against the Bulls last night and didn't hit the century mark even with OT. Detroit may be w/out Gordon again tonight which equates to lower scoring with Rip and Prince out as weil. Stuckey can't provide all the offense as was evident against Den. Stuckey had 25 and only 1 other starter hit double figures with 12. This should be very similar to Det/Den the other night. Det will slow the pace keeping this in the mid 90's at best.
GL - Granpa :toast:
Det/GS U 205.5
GS playing their 3rd in 4 nights, shot a horrific 38%against the Bulls last night and didn't hit the century mark even with OT. Detroit may be w/out Gordon again tonight which equates to lower scoring with Rip and Prince out as weil. Stuckey can't provide all the offense as was evident against Den. Stuckey had 25 and only 1 other starter hit double figures with 12. This should be very similar to Det/Den the other night. Det will slow the pace keeping this in the mid 90's at best.
GL - Granpa :toast:
LOL, I agree with Slicer...that's classic
I posted I was waiting on some late info before releasing my plays and it seems that wasn't good enough. :shrug: It wasn't like I posted 5 minutes before tip. I think I finally posted a little after 7PM for 8PM or later games. Pretty heated last night
For your (hopefully) amusement
But all they see is
AX HASN'T POSTED YET. OH MY GAWD!!! :scared
HE -MUST- BE MAKING PLAYS AND NOT TELLING US ABOUT THEM. WHY WOULD HE DO THAT? :00x32
THEN HE WANTS US TO ACTUALLY READ? BUT THERE'S :tmi:
I MEAN, WE PAY HIM SOOOO MUCH MONEY FOR THIS, HE SHOULD KEEP US INFORMED EVERY SECOND OF EVERY DAY WHAT HE'S DOING!!
YEAH, HE SAID SOMETHING ABOUT E-MAILS ACROSS THE STREET. I BET HE HAS A SOOOPER SEEKRIT INNER CIRCLE AND JUST GIVES THEM THE REAL
adlock:!!! Here's a thought
:00x33
They should just
:mfpost
and
:stfu:
okay, back to your regularly scheduled capping.
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Well TY again Axp and gang.. split with own selections and made a little cause TWolves were biggest bet for me but tailed Port and OKC from you all and made a nice hit on those two plays.:00hour
I have a couple leans..just need to see what happens with $$ and line moves..hope we are on same page.
TWolves
Charlotte
I have a couple leans..just need to see what happens with $$ and line moves..hope we are on same page.
TWolves
Charlotte
Just throwing out the Boston/Chicago under. Even though it's moved down from 188, there may be some value in this one. Chicago not scoring much, especially at home. Plus, C's will be motivated after the run/gun game w/Wash the other night.
there's only 1 or 2 people here that know the real guy behind the picks. he's nuttin' like what u have pictured in your head.
ax, thanks again for telling me about this
see you at manny/mayweather get-together in boston
ax, thanks again for telling me about this
see you at manny/mayweather get-together in boston
WOW looks what happens when you go shot pool
WOW looks what happens when you go shot pool
You got to love it Jack banned the dude.
It is amazing this place is great... plays later
WOW looks what happens when you go shot pool
You got to love it Jack banned the dude.
It is amazing this place is great... plays later
I like your Phoenis/Denver under 228.5 ... my guy has dropped the number to 224.5 so I'll pass but I hope you cash !!! That's what I get for sleeping-in and getting a bashed number !!!
GOOD LUCK
My leans
My leans
Crazy as it seems.
The Jazz + points
The Jazz and Lakers Over
two leans the Bob's which looks really good and
the Bulls and are playing the Celtic's....
Anybody?...
BTW i believe if everyweek you played for 50 buckets every Chump and Ax play you will cover the money you loose on your own.:mj07:
My leans
Crazy as it seems.
The Jazz + points
The Jazz and Lakers Over
two leans the Bob's which looks really good and
the Bulls and are playing the Celtic's....
Anybody?...
BTW i believe if everyweek you played for 50 buckets every Chump and Ax play you will cover the money you loose on your own.:mj07:
GENTLEMEN ........ I wish you all the best of luck tonight ... there is no value left at this time for me ... so I'll probably take gramdma out for dinner tonight ( we have 9 grandchildren ) ... :scared
Stay thirsty my friends ..................
Stay thirsty my friends ..................
Just a thought on the game most are talking about.
It's one of the 4 I'm tossing around. I think this could still be available @225 with some real value. That's were I set my lower limit for an Under play last night. No doubt this one goes into the hundreds for both teams but 225? I'm going to keep diggin. :walk:
It's one of the 4 I'm tossing around. I think this could still be available @225 with some real value. That's were I set my lower limit for an Under play last night. No doubt this one goes into the hundreds for both teams but 225? I'm going to keep diggin. :walk:
