NBA SUN 032209 early thoughts - value hunting (NO PICKS INSIDE)

t20boss

Sportsaholic
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Mar 18, 2009
140
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California
Chris, I think that's the correct call on this one. I needed to hear that. Of course you know I've dug deep into this already but a couple of extra sets of eyes never hurts. Thanks Bro.

Line just moved to + 5.5 - locked it in.
 

granpa

Kid at heart
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Mar 18, 2009
137
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why is this line only at Philly favored by 5? Even taking into consideration that this game is in Sacramento, Philly should still be favored by 8-10 in my opinion, yet the line has sat at 5 most of the day, and it appears that roughly 70% of the of the public is on Philly. Yet no line movement, hummmmmmm.
I think you guys are on the right track here w/ backing Sacramento with the +5.


Just my 2 cents on this. If you look at Philly the last 2 games it seems evident they can't play run & gun & win. They beat the Lakers holding them to 20 in the 4th in a low scoring game (187 T), but lose to Pho and GS? Obviouly they can score, but their defense suffers for it. They're best ball is played at a slower tempo. Sac as we know is horrific on D and plays run & gun O, & after seeing Philly the past 2 games, it would lead one to believe this game should easily go over and Sac +5 is the way to go. Question is, has Philly figured out after the last 2 games they can't win playing the same style of the past 2 games. My thought is no just because I don't believe it's their style to slow it down, even if it was proven against LAL that it works.

Thanks, G
 
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chrisb02us

Registered User
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Mar 21, 2009
49
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Cleveland, OH
Hi Ebxchange,

That total is a tough one. It depends on who controls the tempo, something I try to figure out first. I can honestly see these 2 teams light it up for over 210 points, but that's if Sacramento comes out hot. If they don't, and can keep it close with Philly, then this one will stay under the 200 threshhold. Personally, I am going to lay off of it, as I like the Sacramento +5 lean more. Good luck with whatever you choose. Rembember, get as much info as you possibly can, absorb it all, make a good argument for each side, and then go with what your gut/head tells you.
 

axp59

Jarhead
Forum Member
Oct 8, 2008
3,012
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Taxachusetts
I think most of you know what I am talking about. I really like this place said:
Welcome home Bro... welcome home!

The day I left, I lost like my 2nd/3rd game in 2 weeks. I was getting bashed I just humped their dog. :142hump: :s4:
 

burnetto57

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Mar 18, 2009
295
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burnetto57

burnetto57

Assuming they maintain this pace and I cash...looking for some action on Sac town. Got a lean?

Hey Ax,

Was able to hedge that parlay @ 1/2 time(s) to end up buying it all back and making some pocket change w/ it and put largest wager in a while on Norlins (that's how livin in Miss for 8 years teaches how to pronounce New Orleans) Under. When ya get a min ck yer e-mail. Norlens, SCREAMING:director: UNDER
 

chrisb02us

Registered User
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Mar 21, 2009
49
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Cleveland, OH
Golden State might not even score 80 points tonight. :mj07:
This is awesome. I didn't pull the trigger, as I went with the Cavs, but those of you on it have to be feeling good at the half. I am about 3 minutes away from locking that Sacramento game in, waiting on the Cavs to finish first. Anyone here think that Sacramento line increase from +5 to +5.5 has anything to do with the public trying to get their money back after a rough day in the college games?
 

chrisb02us

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Mar 21, 2009
49
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Cleveland, OH
I saw that. You hit 85% - 90% in a 2 week span, and after losing 2 in a row, they go for your throat, unreal!!! Some of the stuff that gets said is just uncalled for. Good to be here though, and good thing is that baseball season starts soon.
 

PickNPop

Registered User
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Mar 18, 2009
200
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Any 2H action on the GS/NO game?

105 seems really damn high considering the first half???
 

ebxchange

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Mar 21, 2009
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sorry about the lack of info about the game, but just questions Chris02us !

My gut tells me that Sac will cover the plus points, but I don't know how the game will go since the number is just too close. I would lean more on the Sac +5 since this is their home and most of the public is on Philly. Just my 2 cents, ...
 

chrisb02us

Registered User
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Mar 21, 2009
49
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Cleveland, OH
sorry about the lack of info about the game, but just questions Chris02us !

My gut tells me that Sac will cover the plus points, but I don't know how the game will go since the number is just too close. I would lean more on the Sac +5 since this is their home and most of the public is on Philly. Just my 2 cents, ...
No worries at all. That's why I love forums like these. You can get all sorts of additional info/angles that you may have overlooked. Trust me, you and others will be pointing out info/angles that I miss, as there's just too much out there for 1 person to full comprehend, and that's whatb I look forward to. Go with your gut man, if you win, you know you won b/c it was your decision, and if you lose, you know you lost based on your decisions. In this case though, I am pulling for the both of us to get those winning tickets. Lets get them shall we.
 

ebxchange

Registered User
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Mar 21, 2009
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yeah, that's what I like too, opinion, angles and winning together, that's all we need and enjoy on doing !

take care my friend,
 

axp59

Jarhead
Forum Member
Oct 8, 2008
3,012
0
0
Taxachusetts
Hey Ax,

put largest wager in a while on Norlins (that's how livin in Miss for 8 years teaches how to pronounce New Orleans) Under. When ya get a min ck yer e-mail. Norlens, SCREAMING:director: UNDER

Beautiful KB and your email...you know me sir. I have the utmost respect for that capper. I hope this turns out well. Great cappers do not threaten me, they only make me better!! Thanks KB
 
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