I think the HOU ML is a MUST play. Dig out some change from you pants and put it on the ML. The way this series has gone, who knows. The value at the current # +1034 is about $82 per $100. Let's say you lay $10 each on the HOU ML and this game is played 100 times. For the expected 16 Ws HOU pulls out, you can eat the 84 losses and still be up $825. What's $10 to win $103. BOL
Hey Ax nice to have you back. Always nice to see family.
What I'm asking myself will Orlando have another stellar night by D Howard??Rondo who had 19 points 4 steals 6 assists and 16 rebounds. Dwight Howard retaliated back with his 22 points 23 rebounds. Howard was effective and went to have his share of FT. He went 5-12 FT shooting.Maybe Shaq can do a better job at the line than Howard!!! Let's not forget one thing Boston has been going through this since last year. The C's can overcome pressure, because they have been there before . Meantime if Orlando wants to come up with this win, they need the same Howard who had a 20-20 night and a better performance from Hedo Turkoglu who finised 3-13 and had 7 points. Hedo attempted 5 3ptrs and only making 1. Even though they won the game , Hedo needs a better performance since this is on the Road. What concerns me is the this line Bost - 2.5 ??? I would of thought maybe - 4, - 5 for the defending champs but vegas gives us this short line.Right now 72 % of the public are taking the C's, therefore I will have to watch this line to see if the public will pound it even more, because this seems like a gift to me.
Sounds like you are leaning on two doggies on today games
Am I right Ax?
Thanks GS. I've read and studied this game most of the day. I've even contacted a friend who's a sportswriter here. Like I said, the books capped this at -1. The money is saying they are wrong. Make no mistake, ORL will come to play. I'm thinking they jump on BOS early and be content with trading baskets the rest of the way. Can BOS do anything about it later in the game? They've shown they can and I have no doubt they will.
Going against the grain but I think ORL pulls out a game 7 win. I never saw the line at -1 at my book but even at -2.5 I was thinking that something was fishy.
Go back to a few games... the odds to win the series favored ORL when the series was tied at 2-2. The books knew that ORL would have to win one at Boston but that's how they lined it even after momentum had swung to Boston with Big Baby's game winning shot.
I think ORL is going to jump out to a lead and unlike the other night, they will find a way to hold on. I agree with previous posters that Boston has veterans and has shown they are a gutsy team. But you have to ask yourself, what are they really playing for?... They won a championship last year. Their best player is out. Will anyone blame them if they get bounced in game 7 of this series? Think about what's waiting for them if they do win... A potential ass-kicking by the Cavs.
Just my two cents. I know it won't be a popular opinion.
Accuscore:
Magic by .1 and 184.5
Lakers by 11.5 and 195.3
Sides Record: 27-35-3
Totals: 41-24-1
Trend Notes:
2.6 dog is 22-25-1
1.0 dog is 26-30-1
2.0 under is 30-16-1
1.3 over is 17-14-1
Fading off both dogs, C's and Lakers for me
Playing totals as predicted: C's Under, Lakers Over for me
1/2 unit all plays, best of luck to all, back to bases!
Here are some Sunday's public #'s
Orl/Bost Bet# 13245
Spread
Bost 72%
Orl 28%
Total
56% Over
44% Under
LAL/Hous Bet# 13259
Spread
56% Hou
44%LAL
Total
71% Over
29% Under
Interesting to note that the line on HOU/LAL moved up to 13 yet the ML went down under +1000 on HOU. Someone wasn't matching numbers correctly when they initially set the original numbers. HOU is even a bigger dog now @ +13 yet you get less money from betting them SU?
I know different money moves each number independently but this is just a small sign that all bettors should be aware of. There are fallible humans making decisions on the other side. That's why they stack everything against the player because they know they are no smarter. Stay smart, stay disciplined. If these guys are going to get your money, make them work for it.
I'm leaning both overs today FWIW. Seems like the cappers on this thread are polarized on the ORL/BOS side and since I'm a complete homer, I'm not going to comment.
I will comment on the HOU/LAL side. There was very good reason why I took HOU for gm6 (my dad and I were on the same side but he had HOU SU). They were embarrassed by their performance in gm5. Gm6 was a redemption game at home. I think the LAL were embarrassed by their performance in HOU. Well, that argument just states they're going to win. 13 is a big number.
Got some last minute stuff. BRB
Hey AX did your Dad give you his input on both game 7's. Maybe he should of posted as AXP59 Sr,
it would of been an honor to see a legend post here.
Hey AX just wondering if you anything locked before 14:00, I have to leave for a family function and wont be around a computer. Thanks in advance. Sorry to be a:director:
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