NBA WED 110409 early thoughts - value hunting
- Thread starter axp59
- Start date
I usually wait til HT....
I usually wait til HT....
as you all know, but obviously I watch a lot of NBA games. Here is my list of "looks" and why:
MIAMI OVER 194
HEAT suffered their first loss last night at home vs the SUNS. They had controlled most of the game and then the SUN took over and ran them out. Well, the WIZ KIDS are a similar bunch now that AGENT ZERO is back and playing well. DeShaun, Mike Miller, Caron Butler, and others can all shoot the 3. With them at home, I like the WIZ to jump all over the HEAT early on and get them running. May lead to an Under play at the half, depending on the score.
IND/NY Under 113 FH & 223.5
Murphy is NOT expected to play tonight. Add to that Granger still gimpy, I don't like the PACERS chances of running with NY. There only chance is to keep it slowed down, which will get a boost with NATE THE SKATE out. I figure this game goes to the half around 105 or so, so a FH Under play is in order and Under for the game for sure.
BOS UNDER whatever...
Nobody is DEEing it like these guys. As mentioned, until they give you a reason to do otherwise, count on them to keep it low scoring, and its not like MINN is an offensive juggernaut!
LAKERS OVER 102 FH
This game could get real chippy... Artest returns, Ariza shows off his "RING", who knows. Rematch of last year's playoffs and I think they go at it early on and then LAKERS DEE it up 2H and win this one.
Dallas +2.5 FH
Also love this play with the way last night's game ended. DAL suddenly finding their groove after the home opening loss to WASH. Now they've beaten three good teams in a row (YES, I consider the CLIPPERS a good team WHEN they get Griffin back), 2 in LA then one at home. DAL should carry the mojo over to BOURBON STREET tonight!
Good luck! :SIB
I usually wait til HT....
as you all know, but obviously I watch a lot of NBA games. Here is my list of "looks" and why:
MIAMI OVER 194
HEAT suffered their first loss last night at home vs the SUNS. They had controlled most of the game and then the SUN took over and ran them out. Well, the WIZ KIDS are a similar bunch now that AGENT ZERO is back and playing well. DeShaun, Mike Miller, Caron Butler, and others can all shoot the 3. With them at home, I like the WIZ to jump all over the HEAT early on and get them running. May lead to an Under play at the half, depending on the score.
IND/NY Under 113 FH & 223.5
Murphy is NOT expected to play tonight. Add to that Granger still gimpy, I don't like the PACERS chances of running with NY. There only chance is to keep it slowed down, which will get a boost with NATE THE SKATE out. I figure this game goes to the half around 105 or so, so a FH Under play is in order and Under for the game for sure.
BOS UNDER whatever...
Nobody is DEEing it like these guys. As mentioned, until they give you a reason to do otherwise, count on them to keep it low scoring, and its not like MINN is an offensive juggernaut!
LAKERS OVER 102 FH
This game could get real chippy... Artest returns, Ariza shows off his "RING", who knows. Rematch of last year's playoffs and I think they go at it early on and then LAKERS DEE it up 2H and win this one.
Dallas +2.5 FH
Also love this play with the way last night's game ended. DAL suddenly finding their groove after the home opening loss to WASH. Now they've beaten three good teams in a row (YES, I consider the CLIPPERS a good team WHEN they get Griffin back), 2 in LA then one at home. DAL should carry the mojo over to BOURBON STREET tonight!
Good luck! :SIB
- Mar 22, 2009
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Ax, I am riding the yankees ml as well with you tonight. The yankees close this match out.
Still too early in the season, and getting here after some line moves, here are my leans:
WAS
NYK
LAL/HOU under
On the LAL/HOU game, Lakers in what has been a really bad spot for teams, but not touching it as it's right on the number that the spot calls for, hope that the linesmakers haven't caught on.
Good Luck,
Bart
WAS
NYK
LAL/HOU under
On the LAL/HOU game, Lakers in what has been a really bad spot for teams, but not touching it as it's right on the number that the spot calls for, hope that the linesmakers haven't caught on.
Good Luck,
Bart
I know i am going against some of you guys tonight. Locking in on nor over.
g/l with whatever you played.
g/l with whatever you played.
Joe I like this play tonight on the Dallas Under. Here is what I like:
11/03/09 UTA W 96-85
10/31/09 @LAC W 93-84
10/30/09 @LAL W 94-80
10/27/09 WAS L 91-102
These are some low scores this year in the Dallas games against teams alot better then N.O.. I'll be riding this one to the window with you. :00hour
11/03/09 UTA W 96-85
10/31/09 @LAC W 93-84
10/30/09 @LAL W 94-80
10/27/09 WAS L 91-102
These are some low scores this year in the Dallas games against teams alot better then N.O.. I'll be riding this one to the window with you. :00hour
- Mar 18, 2009
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Hey Bart here are the public #
Opening line Current
LAL - 2.5 - 2
Hou
Currently
LAL 84 %
Hou 16%
Line drops and the lakers are being bet even harder.
The line should be risiing to 3 instead of coming downIs Vegas setting us up???
- Oct 27, 2009
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Agree 100%, I think all the value in this play is with NOH -4. Dallas + pts seems way too easy. Could just be the contrarion in me, but to me you either like NOH or pass on this game.
Hey Bart here are the public #
Opening line Current
LAL - 2.5 - 2
Hou
Currently
LAL 84 %
Hou 16%
Line drops and the lakers are being bet even harder.
Is Vegas setting us up???
I don't believe in setups, but in prior seasons, think that we would have been getting 4-6 points here, and I'd like Houston more, but am staying away from the game.
- May 6, 2009
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LOL - I thought it was today - yeah 11/7. I don't bet the ponies but a buddy is in to it and he claims Richard's Kid has a decent chance for the price...
- Mar 18, 2009
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Hey Mindframe. Seen many of your posts on the forums. I play mostly in Union County. Been in Cranford my whole life but just moved to Keyport 3 months ago. That woul be in Jersey. LOL Rahway Park, Linden, Metuchen and Edison. I was fortunate and blessed to go down to Florida for the National UTRIP Tourny in September. 208 teams from the USA. What an experience that was. PM me across the street and we can shoot the shit. BOL to you my brother!!!!
- Mar 21, 2009
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- Mar 18, 2009
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I think you're right. I am not touching it, but to me it looks like NJN +6 or no play at all.
- Mar 18, 2009
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