nebraska/michigan state under 49....really like the fact that both defenses are proficient in stopping the opponents offensive strength. smoker and the msu pass game will be very tested by a solid husker pass defense and secondary. conversely, michigan state stops the run pretty well, which is obviously important when it comes to shutting down nebraska. the huskers defense has played solid down the stretch. even though theyre not the most exciting team to watch, their defensive principles are excellent and they dont give up huge chunks of yards at a time. the unders are starting to come in a little bit (2 of the L3 bowl games) and now that were after christmas, the major power conference teams are stepping on the field. i think theres gonna be some long, sustained drives for both teams in this one. the side in this game is damn near impossible to predict imo. but i dont think this is much more than a 23-17 game.
ncaa bowl plays (christmas day and beyond)........
- Thread starter gman2
- Start date
great call gman
great call gman
Great call man. I just wish I would have played it at least in a parlay. Oh well, I had ALOT of money on Nebraska tonight so I'm happy. Post early tomorrowv - I think there are some hard games letss figure them out.
kneifl
great call gman
Great call man. I just wish I would have played it at least in a parlay. Oh well, I had ALOT of money on Nebraska tonight so I'm happy. Post early tomorrowv - I think there are some hard games letss figure them out.
kneifl
Was with ya all the way on the Neb/MSU under...Had a feeling the Nebraska might shut down Smoker.
I think that the real action gets started tommorrow. I have two solid plays.
Navy +12.5 - 2 Units
Texas -9 - 2 Units
This Navy team has rushed for 200+ yrds every game this year except one, Delaware(a very strong team IAA and all). Texas Tech will get their points but their Rush D is terrible and they have not faced an attack like Navy all year. In fact when giving up 200+ rush yrds, they have lost every game this year.
Texas - 207
Missouri - 469
Oklahoma St - 352
NC State - 217
Granted that Texas Tech's schedule was far superior to Navy's. Navy did play Notre Dame (Hardest Schedule in the Nation) within 3 points. I feel that Navy has the D to hold them within a reasonable number, say 30 and Navy's Offense can put up enough to keep within a TD. (love getting almost two TDs).
Texas, is just incredible. I don't think that anyone will argue that if this team comes out fired up they put 50+ up on Washington St. I know that the cougars have a solid D, but so do the Longhorns. This is a perfect case of playing the stronger conf, rush offense, and one of the top passing Defenses in the Nation.
Texas also finished strong winning their last five against solid Big-12 opponents (two rivalry games). Whereas Wash. St. lost the Apple cup and sufferred a severe emotional letdown. I think that if Texas were to conceed the season as a loss it would have happened following the home loss to Arkansas or surely Oklahoma, but they played outstanding ball and put together a 10-2 season.
I think that the real action gets started tommorrow. I have two solid plays.
Navy +12.5 - 2 Units
Texas -9 - 2 Units
This Navy team has rushed for 200+ yrds every game this year except one, Delaware(a very strong team IAA and all). Texas Tech will get their points but their Rush D is terrible and they have not faced an attack like Navy all year. In fact when giving up 200+ rush yrds, they have lost every game this year.
Texas - 207
Missouri - 469
Oklahoma St - 352
NC State - 217
Granted that Texas Tech's schedule was far superior to Navy's. Navy did play Notre Dame (Hardest Schedule in the Nation) within 3 points. I feel that Navy has the D to hold them within a reasonable number, say 30 and Navy's Offense can put up enough to keep within a TD. (love getting almost two TDs).
Texas, is just incredible. I don't think that anyone will argue that if this team comes out fired up they put 50+ up on Washington St. I know that the cougars have a solid D, but so do the Longhorns. This is a perfect case of playing the stronger conf, rush offense, and one of the top passing Defenses in the Nation.
Texas also finished strong winning their last five against solid Big-12 opponents (two rivalry games). Whereas Wash. St. lost the Apple cup and sufferred a severe emotional letdown. I think that if Texas were to conceed the season as a loss it would have happened following the home loss to Arkansas or surely Oklahoma, but they played outstanding ball and put together a 10-2 season.
big nick:
appreciate the time youve put into capping your gms and exchanging your info. im starting to take a closer look at navy for the exact reasons you mentioned. planned on passing that game, but will try and look for a favorable number. or could just wait until halftime to see if navy does indeed dominate the line of scrimmage and control the pace of the game.
as for texas, definitely wouldnt argue with your projection IF motivated. thats the only problem. longhorns scare me as a chalk in this holiday bowl. theyve been here twice in the last 3 years and had the superior team by far both times. problem is, the fact that the holiday bowl is pre-new years day means they didnt live up to expectations. they were flat defensively both times. thats my main concern. personally, im playing the over. if i could know for sure that texas had their hearts in it, i think they could name the score. but laying pts with mack brown in bowls is dangerous.
gonna type some more in the morning. gl and continued success
appreciate the time youve put into capping your gms and exchanging your info. im starting to take a closer look at navy for the exact reasons you mentioned. planned on passing that game, but will try and look for a favorable number. or could just wait until halftime to see if navy does indeed dominate the line of scrimmage and control the pace of the game.
as for texas, definitely wouldnt argue with your projection IF motivated. thats the only problem. longhorns scare me as a chalk in this holiday bowl. theyve been here twice in the last 3 years and had the superior team by far both times. problem is, the fact that the holiday bowl is pre-new years day means they didnt live up to expectations. they were flat defensively both times. thats my main concern. personally, im playing the over. if i could know for sure that texas had their hearts in it, i think they could name the score. but laying pts with mack brown in bowls is dangerous.
gonna type some more in the morning. gl and continued success
texas/washington state over 58.5......public play? sure. wrong side? i dont think it is. horns offense really hitting on all cylinders late in the season. seems like its the same ol' same ol' with texas. have expectations. get drilled by oklahoma to get knocked out of the title race. then beat the piss outta every team the rest of the way to save face. also cannot be overlooked that this is the holiday bowl, which annually is one of the highest scoring bowls every season. theres been some flat out wacky games over the years. its almost like espn and the teams go in knowing they should be seeing/involved in a shootout. texas has been in this game two of the last three years. lost 35-30 to oregon in 2000, won 47-43 in 2001 over washington. this bowl just finds a way to have points scored. that texas/washington game two years ago was 0-0 after the 1st quarter and 23-14 at HALFTIME, and ultimately a 47-43 final. it just seems like whenever power conference teams like texas play on new years day, they are up for it and bring a good defensive effort. but when they play pre-nyd it seems as though theyre just there to have a good time and get into a shootout. almost feel like the holiday bowl over is an obligatory play. somehow, someway this bowl is a classic every year.
gman,
i'm looking hard at the under in the ucla/fresno game.
do you have any thoughts on that ?
thanks
good luck
i'm looking hard at the under in the ucla/fresno game.
do you have any thoughts on that ?
thanks
good luck
gman - regarding the holiday bowl, I totally agree with everything you said my only concern is that there is a 30% chance of rain tonight that is the only thing keeping me from making it a pretty good size play on the over but regardless I'll be on the over as I am every year for this bowl game. GL
navy 2h.....hate betting on a team that is in catch-up mode with an option offense but the fact remains that navy blew opportunities just like tech did in the 1h. as expected, tech's defensive principles vs the option are less than stellar. i think navy can take the 2h kickoff down into the endzone and get it to 14-7. seems a little too easy to assume that tech just rolls in the 2h. could easily be a 7-7 or 14-7 game right now. even though navy consumes clock on some drives, it seems that their pace is bothering tech. raiders still moving the ball, but they still seem to be a little 'off' today. i think this 2h could be played evenly
auburn.........simply not sold on wisconsin. i know they had some injuries late in the season, but they still stumbled to the finish. if they cant run the ball effectively, theyre at a major disadvantage. auburn stops the run very well and should be able to chunk away yards when they have the ball as well. still feel like the talent is there for the tigers. i know this isnt the bowl they wanted to be in before the season started, but they are superior to wisconsin. am aware that badgers are a tough bowl dog, but i cant see them consistently making enough plays to shut down a physical auburn team.
I agree with you. I took my winnings from WSU tonight and put them all on Auburn tom. Auburn wins this game because of their front 7. I also think the Auburn team speed will play a factor as well. This should allow AU to stuff the Badgers run game (which they like to do) and the only thing AU has to worry about is slowing down Evans. Badgers also are banged up a little, but they get their QB and RB back for this game.
On offense, AU needs to complete a few passes early and their run game should take off. If AU comes out motivated, i see a hard fought 10pt AU victory. Once again, the difference in this game is AU front 7 and team speed. Don't forget speed kills, and I know AU has more team speed than Wiscy, especially at LB.
One thing i do not like is I read Wiscy has practiced 19 times while AU has practiced only 9 times. Not sure if this is true or not. Also i think Alveraz is 7-1 in bowl games
Good Luck G-Man2!
On offense, AU needs to complete a few passes early and their run game should take off. If AU comes out motivated, i see a hard fought 10pt AU victory. Once again, the difference in this game is AU front 7 and team speed. Don't forget speed kills, and I know AU has more team speed than Wiscy, especially at LB.
One thing i do not like is I read Wiscy has practiced 19 times while AU has practiced only 9 times. Not sure if this is true or not. Also i think Alveraz is 7-1 in bowl games
Good Luck G-Man2!
I am with you guys on Auburn.............after watching MSU last night I have to hesitate before even considering a Big Ten team. The only thing that kind of worries me about Auburn is the QB play but hopefully Campbell just doe'snt turn the ball over.
oregon....i just cant pass up the ducks as a bowl dog. oregon had a weird season. good win vs michigan, but that was a crazy game in itself. then had some bad losses. then finished the season strong. i think they can carry that momentum into this one. no way can i lay points with minnesota and that defense. gophers run the ball very well (no denying that) but they dont know how to hold leads. youre never out of a game vs minnesota- which is surprising because i consider mason to be a good coach. but his teams dont always finish. this game should see a lot of points and a lot of offense. i think these teams are pretty even. i like the way oregon finished the season. with osu dominating their bowl game, the ducks civil war win looks a little more impressive now.
added colorado state at pick......just a gut feeling play here. somewhat of an action play. just feel like van pelt caps his career off in style. this kid is a warrior and i get a kick out of watching him run around like hes playing pee-wee football. somehow he manages to get it done. rams find a way. not earth-shattering logic whatsoever. just never win betting against lubbick and van pelt. been having a real good bowl season, so will try to kick off '04 with a win
sun tzu:
lemme know which one youd like from this group:
http://images.search.yahoo.com/search/images?p=Steve+Spurrier&ei=UTF-8&fr=fp-tab-img-t&cop=mss&tab=3
otherwise, youll have to supply me with a picture. if you can supply me with somethin good, ill consider it figured something on that above link would work
lemme know which one youd like from this group:
http://images.search.yahoo.com/search/images?p=Steve+Spurrier&ei=UTF-8&fr=fp-tab-img-t&cop=mss&tab=3
otherwise, youll have to supply me with a picture. if you can supply me with somethin good, ill consider it
figured something on that above link would work i like the one where he's tearing caldwell a new ass on the first page, lmao. theres a couple pics of him being dejected- but would like to see him tossing his visor around- youre right, would be a nice one.
