Found this elsewhere:
For the most part, new coaches are brought into college football programs that are in need of a transfusion. Much like a body that undergoes alterations during a lifestyle change of
diet and exercise, it also takes a while before fi rst year coaches turn a program around. In fact, all teams with 1st year head coaches are
1077-1205-35, or 46.8% ATS, since 1990.
The groundwork is laid in the fi rst year, when new coaches install new playbooks and game plans. Consequently, these teams really struggle out of the gate. That?s confirmed by the
fact that, since 1990:
? 1st Year College Football Head Coaches in Game One are
a 42.7% pointspread proposition, going 71-95-6 ATS.
A lousy team is often defined as winning four or fewer games the previous year. We agree with that statement because:
? Four win (or less) teams, with a new 1st year head coach,
are 30-48-5 ATS in their initial game scheduled. No less thaneleven teams open the season in this role: Army, Florida International, Idaho, Iowa St, Michigan St, North Carolina, NC State, North Texas, Stanford, Tulane (9/8) and UAB.
Pair a ?new coach lousy team? against a ?good team? (one who won six or more games last year) in season openers and you have the makings of a massacre, as these pairings find ?new head coach-lousy team? combinations at 4-42 SU & 11-30-2 ATS. There are five such pairings to open the 2007 season (the ?new head coach-lousy team? listed first):
8/30 ? IOWA STATE vs Kent State, 9/1 ? IDAHO vs Usc, FLORIDA INT?L vs Penn State, NORTH TEXAS vs Oklahoma and Stanford vs UCLA.
GL:weed: