NFL 2021-2022 FOOTBALL SEASON PREVIEWS-NEWS-NOTES-PICKS-RUMORS !
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NFL OCTOBER RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:
NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP
WLT Pct Units Rank
ATS Picks ........26-23-00 ..........53.06%..........+ 3.50
O/U Picks ........18-24-01 ..........42,85%...........- 42.00
Totals..............44-47-01...........48.35%...........- 38.50
BEST BETS:
ATS Picks...........24-17-00............. 58.53% .............+26.50
O/U Picks...........15-22-00..............40.54%..............- 46.00
Totals................39-39-00...............50.00%..............- 19.50
UPDATED ON 10/28/2021
NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP
WLT Pct Units Rank
ATS Picks ........26-23-00 ..........53.06%..........+ 3.50
O/U Picks ........18-24-01 ..........42,85%...........- 42.00
Totals..............44-47-01...........48.35%...........- 38.50
BEST BETS:
ATS Picks...........24-17-00............. 58.53% .............+26.50
O/U Picks...........15-22-00..............40.54%..............- 46.00
Totals................39-39-00...............50.00%..............- 19.50
UPDATED ON 10/28/2021
- Sep 10, 2018
- 19,287
- 25
- 48
Gridiron Angles - Week 8
Vince Akins
NFL Play ON ATS Trend
Matchup: Pittsburgh at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Steelers are 18-0-1 ATS since November 2008 coming off a game as a home favorite when they are playing a team with a better record and are not 7+ point dogs.
NFL Play AGAINST ATS Trend
Matchup: Philadelphia at Detroit (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Lions are 0-10 ATS since December 2016 as a dog coming off a loss where they allowed fewer points than expected.
NFL Play OVER OU Trend
Matchup: Tampa Bay at New Orleans (4:25 p.m. ET)
-- The Buccaneers are 14-0 OU since November 2008 as a favorite when they allowed less than 17 points last game. This was 4-0 OU in 2020.
NFL Play UNDER OU Trend
Matchup: Jacksonville at Seattle (4:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Jaguars are 0-11 OU since September 25, 2016 as a dog when they threw for at least 285 yards last game.
NFL Super System of the Week
Matchup: Miami at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- Teams are 47-63-6 ATS as at least a 13-point favorite when coming off a loss. Active against Buffalo.
Vince Akins
NFL Play ON ATS Trend
Matchup: Pittsburgh at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Steelers are 18-0-1 ATS since November 2008 coming off a game as a home favorite when they are playing a team with a better record and are not 7+ point dogs.
NFL Play AGAINST ATS Trend
Matchup: Philadelphia at Detroit (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Lions are 0-10 ATS since December 2016 as a dog coming off a loss where they allowed fewer points than expected.
NFL Play OVER OU Trend
Matchup: Tampa Bay at New Orleans (4:25 p.m. ET)
-- The Buccaneers are 14-0 OU since November 2008 as a favorite when they allowed less than 17 points last game. This was 4-0 OU in 2020.
NFL Play UNDER OU Trend
Matchup: Jacksonville at Seattle (4:05 p.m. ET)
-- The Jaguars are 0-11 OU since September 25, 2016 as a dog when they threw for at least 285 yards last game.
NFL Super System of the Week
Matchup: Miami at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- Teams are 47-63-6 ATS as at least a 13-point favorite when coming off a loss. Active against Buffalo.
- Sep 10, 2018
- 19,287
- 25
- 48
Buffalo has won seven straight divisional games.
Miami has failed to cover the spread in four straight games.
The point total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings.
Buffalo has won five straight games when facing Miami.
Buffalo has gone OVER the point total in four of its last six games.
Carolina has failed to cover the spread in four straight games.
Atlanta has won six of its last seven games when facing Carolina.
Carolina has gone UNDER the point total in eight of its last 10 games.
The underdog has covered the spread in three of the last four meetings.
The point total has gone UNDER in four of the last five meetings.
Philadelphia has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games when playing as the favorite.
Detroit has gone UNDER the point total in five straight games.
Philadelphia has lost four straight games when facing a team with a losing record.
Detroit has lost seven straight games.
The point total has gone OVER in five straight meetings.
Detroit has covered the spread in four of its last five games when facing Philadelphia.
Tennessee has won eight of its last nine divisional games.
Tennessee has gone OVER the point total in nine of its last 10 games.
Tennessee has covered the spread in five of its last six games.
The point total has gone OVER in three of the last four meetings.
The favorite has covered the spread in three of the last four meetings.
Los Angeles has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games when facing the AFC.
Houston has gone UNDER the point total in four of its last five games.
Houston has lost 18 straight games when playing as a +7-point underdog or more.
Los Angeles has won two straight games when facing Houston.
Los Angeles has won three straight road games.
Cincinnati has gone UNDER the point total in five of its last six games.
New York has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games.
Cincinnati has won five of its last six games when facing the AFC.
Cincinnati has covered the spread in three straight games when facing New York.
The home team has won three of the last four meetings.
Pittsburgh has won seven of its last eight games when playing in October.
Cleveland has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine divisional games.
Pittsburgh has gone UNDER the point total in five of its last six games.
Pittsburgh has covered the spread in three of its last four games when facing Cleveland.
The home team has won four of the last five meetings.
San Francisco has lost four straight games when playing as the favorite prior to a divisional games.
Chicago has won the first quarter in six straight home games.
Chicago has gone UNDER the point total in six straight games.
San Francisco has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 games when playing as the favorite.
The point total has gone UNDER in three straight meetings.
Jacksonville has failed to cover the spread in four of its last six games when facing Seattle.
Seattle has lost five of its last six games.
Seattle has gone UNDER in six of its last eight home games.
The point total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings.
Los Angeles has won six of its last seven games when facing the AFC.
Los Angeles has covered the spread in five of its last six games when playing as the favorite.
New England has gone UNDER the point total in six of its last seven games when playing as the underdog.
New England has won and covered the spread in five straight games when facing Los Angeles.
Washington has lost seven straight games when playing as the underdog.
Washington has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games.
Washington has gone UNDER the point total in four straight games when facing the AFC West.
Tampa Bay has won 14 of its last 15 games.
New Orleans has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games when playing as the underdog.
New Orleans has gone UNDER the point total in six straight divisional games.
New Orleans has covered the spread in four of its last five games when facing Tampa Bay.
Dallas has covered the spread in six straight games.
Dallas has won five straight games.
Ezekiel Elliott has scored a TD in four of his last five games.
Minnesota has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven home games.
Ezekiel Elliott has seen 95 or more rushing yards in three of his last four games.
Miami has failed to cover the spread in four straight games.
The point total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings.
Buffalo has won five straight games when facing Miami.
Buffalo has gone OVER the point total in four of its last six games.
Carolina has failed to cover the spread in four straight games.
Atlanta has won six of its last seven games when facing Carolina.
Carolina has gone UNDER the point total in eight of its last 10 games.
The underdog has covered the spread in three of the last four meetings.
The point total has gone UNDER in four of the last five meetings.
Philadelphia has failed to cover the spread in seven of its last eight games when playing as the favorite.
Detroit has gone UNDER the point total in five straight games.
Philadelphia has lost four straight games when facing a team with a losing record.
Detroit has lost seven straight games.
The point total has gone OVER in five straight meetings.
Detroit has covered the spread in four of its last five games when facing Philadelphia.
Tennessee has won eight of its last nine divisional games.
Tennessee has gone OVER the point total in nine of its last 10 games.
Tennessee has covered the spread in five of its last six games.
The point total has gone OVER in three of the last four meetings.
The favorite has covered the spread in three of the last four meetings.
Los Angeles has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games when facing the AFC.
Houston has gone UNDER the point total in four of its last five games.
Houston has lost 18 straight games when playing as a +7-point underdog or more.
Los Angeles has won two straight games when facing Houston.
Los Angeles has won three straight road games.
Cincinnati has gone UNDER the point total in five of its last six games.
New York has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games.
Cincinnati has won five of its last six games when facing the AFC.
Cincinnati has covered the spread in three straight games when facing New York.
The home team has won three of the last four meetings.
Pittsburgh has won seven of its last eight games when playing in October.
Cleveland has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine divisional games.
Pittsburgh has gone UNDER the point total in five of its last six games.
Pittsburgh has covered the spread in three of its last four games when facing Cleveland.
The home team has won four of the last five meetings.
San Francisco has lost four straight games when playing as the favorite prior to a divisional games.
Chicago has won the first quarter in six straight home games.
Chicago has gone UNDER the point total in six straight games.
San Francisco has failed to cover the spread in nine of its last 10 games when playing as the favorite.
The point total has gone UNDER in three straight meetings.
Jacksonville has failed to cover the spread in four of its last six games when facing Seattle.
Seattle has lost five of its last six games.
Seattle has gone UNDER in six of its last eight home games.
The point total has gone OVER in five of the last six meetings.
Los Angeles has won six of its last seven games when facing the AFC.
Los Angeles has covered the spread in five of its last six games when playing as the favorite.
New England has gone UNDER the point total in six of its last seven games when playing as the underdog.
New England has won and covered the spread in five straight games when facing Los Angeles.
Washington has lost seven straight games when playing as the underdog.
Washington has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven games.
Washington has gone UNDER the point total in four straight games when facing the AFC West.
Tampa Bay has won 14 of its last 15 games.
New Orleans has covered the spread in seven of its last eight games when playing as the underdog.
New Orleans has gone UNDER the point total in six straight divisional games.
New Orleans has covered the spread in four of its last five games when facing Tampa Bay.
Dallas has covered the spread in six straight games.
Dallas has won five straight games.
Ezekiel Elliott has scored a TD in four of his last five games.
Minnesota has failed to cover the spread in six of its last seven home games.
Ezekiel Elliott has seen 95 or more rushing yards in three of his last four games.
SUNDAY, OCTOBER 31
Game Time(ET) Pick Units
CAR at ATL 01:00 PM
ATL -2.5
O 47.0
+500 +500
LAR at HOU 01:00 PM
HOU +17.0
O 47.0
+500 +500
PIT at CLE 01:00 PM
CLE -5.5
U 43.0
+500 +500
PHI at DET 01:00 PM
PHI -3.0
U 48.5
+500 +500
CIN at NYJ 01:00 PM
NYJ +11.5
O 43.5
+500 +500
MIA at BUF 01:00 PM
MIA +15.0
O 48.5
+500 +500
SF at CHI 01:00 PM
SF -4.5
U 40.0
+500 +500
TEN at IND 01:00 PM
IND -3.0
U 51.0
+500 +500
*************************
JAC at SEA 04:05 PM
JAC +4.0
O 44.0
+500 +500
NE at LAC 04:05 PM
LAC -3.5
U 50.5
+500 +500
TB at NO 04:25 PM
NO +4.0
O 48.5
+500 +500
WAS at DEN 04:25 PM
WAS +4.0
O 45.0
+500 +500
Game Time(ET) Pick Units
CAR at ATL 01:00 PM
ATL -2.5
O 47.0
+500 +500
LAR at HOU 01:00 PM
HOU +17.0
O 47.0
+500 +500
PIT at CLE 01:00 PM
CLE -5.5
U 43.0
+500 +500
PHI at DET 01:00 PM
PHI -3.0
U 48.5
+500 +500
CIN at NYJ 01:00 PM
NYJ +11.5
O 43.5
+500 +500
MIA at BUF 01:00 PM
MIA +15.0
O 48.5
+500 +500
SF at CHI 01:00 PM
SF -4.5
U 40.0
+500 +500
TEN at IND 01:00 PM
IND -3.0
U 51.0
+500 +500
*************************
JAC at SEA 04:05 PM
JAC +4.0
O 44.0
+500 +500
NE at LAC 04:05 PM
LAC -3.5
U 50.5
+500 +500
TB at NO 04:25 PM
NO +4.0
O 48.5
+500 +500
WAS at DEN 04:25 PM
WAS +4.0
O 45.0
+500 +500
NFL OCTOBER RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:
NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP
WLT Pct Units Rank
ATS Picks ........32-33-01 ..........49.23%..........- 21.50
O/U Picks ........22-39-01 ..........36.06%...........- 104.50
Totals..............54-72-02...........42.85%...........- 126.00
BEST BETS:
ATS Picks...........28-21-00............. 57.14% .............+24.50
O/U Picks...........17-28-00..............37.77%..............- 69.00
Totals................45-49-00...............47.87%..............- 44.50
UPDATED ON 10/31/2021
NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP
WLT Pct Units Rank
ATS Picks ........32-33-01 ..........49.23%..........- 21.50
O/U Picks ........22-39-01 ..........36.06%...........- 104.50
Totals..............54-72-02...........42.85%...........- 126.00
BEST BETS:
ATS Picks...........28-21-00............. 57.14% .............+24.50
O/U Picks...........17-28-00..............37.77%..............- 69.00
Totals................45-49-00...............47.87%..............- 44.50
UPDATED ON 10/31/2021
- Sep 10, 2018
- 19,287
- 25
- 48
Kansas City has failed to cover the spread in five of its last seven games.
New York has lost eight straight games when facing the AFC as the underdog.
Kansas City has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine home games.
Kansas City has gone UNDER the point total in four straight games when playing on a Monday.
New York has lost eight straight games when facing the AFC as the underdog.
Kansas City has failed to cover the spread in eight of its last nine home games.
Kansas City has gone UNDER the point total in four straight games when playing on a Monday.
NFL NOVEMBER RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS:
NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP
WLT Pct Units Rank
ATS Picks ........00-01-00 ..........00.00%............- 5.50
O/U Picks ........00-01-00 ...........00.00%...........- 5.50
Totals..............00-02-00............00.00%...........-11.00
BEST BETS:
ATS Picks ........00-01-00 ..........00.00%............- 5.50
O/U Picks ........00-01-00 ...........00.00%...........- 5.50
Totals..............00-02-00............00.00%...........-11.00
UPDATED ON 11/01/2021
NFL WORLD SPORTS BETTING CHAMPIONSHIP
WLT Pct Units Rank
ATS Picks ........00-01-00 ..........00.00%............- 5.50
O/U Picks ........00-01-00 ...........00.00%...........- 5.50
Totals..............00-02-00............00.00%...........-11.00
BEST BETS:
ATS Picks ........00-01-00 ..........00.00%............- 5.50
O/U Picks ........00-01-00 ...........00.00%...........- 5.50
Totals..............00-02-00............00.00%...........-11.00
UPDATED ON 11/01/2021
BETTING RECAP - WEEK 8
November 1, 2021
By Joe Williams
OVERALL NOTES
NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE WEEK 8 RESULTS
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 6-8
Against the Spread 4-9-1
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 5-9
Against the Spread 5-8-1
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 7-7
NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE YEAR-TO-DATE RESULTS
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 73-47
Against the Spread 55-64-1
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 58-62
Against the Spread 53-66-1
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 55-63-2
THE LARGEST UNDERDOGS TO WIN STRAIGHT UP
Jets +11.5 (ML +230) vs. Bengals, 34-31
Packers +6.5 (ML +175) at Cardinals, 24-21 (Thu.)
Steelers +5 (ML +145) at Browns, 15-10
Cowboys +4.5 (ML +130) at Vikings, 20-16
THE LARGEST FAVORITES TO COVER
49ers (-4.5) at Bears, 33-22
Broncos (-4) vs. Washington, 17-10
Seahawks (-4) vs. Jaguars, 31-7
Eagles (-3) at Lions, 44-6
THE BIGGEST DISAPPOINTMENT OF THE WEEK
If you were holding a Miami Dolphins (+15) ticket, the fourth quarter against the Buffalo Bills on Sunday was a complete disaster.
The Bills went ahead 17-3 with 13:23 to go in the fourth quarter, and it looked like things were going to go in the wrong direction. However, QB Tua Tagovailoa popped one in from a yard out, and the Dolphins hit the two-point conversion to slice the lead to 17-11 with 9:39 to go.
At 3:29 to go, PK Tyler Bass booted through a 39-yard field goal to make it 20-11, and with a two-score lead, it appeared the Bills were going to salt away the win, and the Dolphins were going to cover. However, the Bills got the ball back, and with 1:07 left in regulation, Bills QB Josh Allen ran it in from seven yards out, and the point-after attempt made it 26-11. Most shops closed this game at -15, so it was a push.
The line opened at 13.5 at most shops, and stayed at 14.5 or under until late Sunday morning, so many bettors backing Miami took the loss.
THE BIGGEST DISAPPOINTMENT OF THE WEEK - PART II
Total bettors in the Philadelphia Eagles-Detroit Lions (48) who had the UNDER still cannot believe the finish.
It was all Philadelphia all day. It took a 17-0 lead at the half, and UNDER bettors were looking good. Even after 21 points in the third quarter and the Eagles taking a 38-0 lead, the UNDER was still looking to be in good shape.
Eagles PK Jake Elliott booted a 26-yard field goal with 9:53 to go, pushing the Philadelphia lead to 41-0. The Lions finally got on the board, as RB Jermar Jefferson ran it in from eight yards out to cut the lead to 41-6, and a failed two-point conversion still has UNDER bettors on the right side.
For whatever reason, with 1:49 to go, head coach Nick Sirianni elected to kick a field goal with 1:49 to go, making it 44-6. There really was no good reason to not just go for it on fourth down. It's almost like he knew the decision would change the result of the total.
TOTAL RECALL
The lowest total on the board in Week 8 was in the San Francisco 49ers-Chicago Bears (40) game. The Bears were already behind the 8-ball a little bit, with head coach Matt Nagy away from the team due to COVID protocols. They were terribly disjointed on offense, however. It was 3-3 after the first quarter, and Chicago led 13-9 at half. After three quarters, the Bears led 16-15. However, the teams combined for 24 total points in the fourth, and just like that we had 55 points on the board, easily posting an OVER.
The second lowest number on the board was in the Cincinnati Bengals-New York Jets (43) and Pittsburgh Steelers-Cleveland Browns (43) games. The Bengals and Jets had a wild one, combining for 65 points in the victory for Gang Green. It was a game which also escorted a lot of people out of survivor pools, if you're into those. And at +450 ML, the Jets were the largest underdog to win outright. The Steelers and Browns were tied 3-3 at half, and the OVER was never threated there.
The highest total on the board for Week 8 is actually the Monday night affair between the New York Giants-Kansas City Chiefs (52) later tonight. For Sunday, the highest total was in the Tennessee Titans-Indianapolis Colts (51) game, and that one didn't disappoint. We had 31 points in the board by halftime, and 45 points going into the final quarter. There actually was a little bit of drama with the OVER, however. It was 24-24 all the way until 1:26 to go. QB Carson Wentz inexplicably was picked off deep in his own end, and DB Elijah Molden for a 2-yard pick-six. The flipped the total to OVER. The Colts fired back with a late score to force overtime, but the Titans came away with a field goal to spoil the day for Colts money line bettors, too.
In the primetime games, the UNDER was 2-0, with the MNF game still pending. That's now 11-9-1 (55.0%) through 21 primetime games. In 2020, the UNDER was 28-19-1 (59.5%) in 48 primetime contests. In 2019, the UNDER went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.
LOOKING AHEAD TO WEEK 9
ATLANTA FALCONS AT NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (SUNDAY, 1 P.M. ET)
The Falcons (3-4) and Saints (5-2) hit the road for the Caesars Superdome, and they'll find a New Orleans team which just pushed past the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but also lost starting QB Jameis Winston to what looks to be a serious knee injury. QB Trevor Siemian finished up with QB Taysom Hill out nursing an injury. So it's possible Siemian could start, Hill could start and potentially see time under center, if not start, or the Saints could even bring someone in prior to Tuesday's NFL trade deadline.
As it stands, the Saints are 4.5-point favorites with a total of 44 on the board for Sunday's NFC South showdown.
The Falcons lost 19-13 at home to a Panthers team which had lost four in a row, and Atlanta saw its modest two-game win streak snapped. The Falcons are now 1-5 ATS in the past six against NFC South teams, while the Saints are 8-3 ATS in the past 11 divisional games following a win over the Bucs. New Orleans is also 11-4 ATS in the past 15 against teams with a losing record.
The UNDER is 22-9 in Atlanta's past 31 against teams with a winning record, while the UNDER is 6-1 in New Orleans' past seven inside the division, and 7-3 in the past 10 games overall.
In this series, Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in the past seven meetings, and 3-7 ATS in the past 10 trips to New Orleans. The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four meetings in NOLA, and 5-0 in the past five meetings overall.
CLEVELAND BROWNS AT CINCINNATI BENGALS (SUNDAY, 1 P.M. ET)
The Browns (4-4) and Bengals (5-3) are both coming off disappointing losses. Cleveland lost 15-10 to Pittsburgh, while Cincinnati was dropped 34-31 on the road against N.Y. Jets.
The Browns are 10-26-1 ATS in the past 37 games inside the AFC North Division. They're also a dismal 10-29-2 ATS in the past 41 games against teams with a winning record.
The Bengals are 4-0 ATS in the past four following a straight-up loss, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five following a non-cover. Cincinnati is just 2-5 ATS in the past seven as a favorite, and 2-5 ATS in the past seven as a home fave.
In this series, Cincinnati is an impressive 11-2 ATS in the past 13 meetings, and 5-1 ATS in the past six battles at Paul Brown Stadium. The OVER is 5-0 in the previous five meetings, and 6-0-1 in the past seven meetings in Cincinnati.
ARIZONA CARDINALS AT SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (SUNDAY, 4:25 P.M. ET)
In the third and final divisional matchup of Week 9, the Cardinals (7-1) and 49ers (3-4) meet for the second time this season. Oddly enough, Arizona is coming off a loss, while San Francisco picked up a win last time out.
The Cardinals fell 24-21 at home to the Packers for an UNDER result. The 49ers won 33-22 against the Bears to hit the OVER at Soldier Field.
Arizona is 4-0 ATS in the past four road games, while going 5-1 ATS in the past six games overall. San Francisco is 1-6 ATS in the past seven home games, and 1-4 ATS in the past five games overall.
In this series, the Cardinals are 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight meetings, including a 17-10 win in Week 5 as the UNDER hit. Arizona is also 4-0-1 ATsi n the past five trips to Levi's Stadium. The road team is 7-3-1 ATS in the past 11 meetings, too, with the UNDER 7-3 in the past 10.
November 1, 2021
By Joe Williams
OVERALL NOTES
NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE WEEK 8 RESULTS
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 6-8
Against the Spread 4-9-1
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 5-9
Against the Spread 5-8-1
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 7-7
NATIONAL FOOTBALL LEAGUE YEAR-TO-DATE RESULTS
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 73-47
Against the Spread 55-64-1
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 58-62
Against the Spread 53-66-1
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 55-63-2
THE LARGEST UNDERDOGS TO WIN STRAIGHT UP
Jets +11.5 (ML +230) vs. Bengals, 34-31
Packers +6.5 (ML +175) at Cardinals, 24-21 (Thu.)
Steelers +5 (ML +145) at Browns, 15-10
Cowboys +4.5 (ML +130) at Vikings, 20-16
THE LARGEST FAVORITES TO COVER
49ers (-4.5) at Bears, 33-22
Broncos (-4) vs. Washington, 17-10
Seahawks (-4) vs. Jaguars, 31-7
Eagles (-3) at Lions, 44-6
THE BIGGEST DISAPPOINTMENT OF THE WEEK
If you were holding a Miami Dolphins (+15) ticket, the fourth quarter against the Buffalo Bills on Sunday was a complete disaster.
The Bills went ahead 17-3 with 13:23 to go in the fourth quarter, and it looked like things were going to go in the wrong direction. However, QB Tua Tagovailoa popped one in from a yard out, and the Dolphins hit the two-point conversion to slice the lead to 17-11 with 9:39 to go.
At 3:29 to go, PK Tyler Bass booted through a 39-yard field goal to make it 20-11, and with a two-score lead, it appeared the Bills were going to salt away the win, and the Dolphins were going to cover. However, the Bills got the ball back, and with 1:07 left in regulation, Bills QB Josh Allen ran it in from seven yards out, and the point-after attempt made it 26-11. Most shops closed this game at -15, so it was a push.
The line opened at 13.5 at most shops, and stayed at 14.5 or under until late Sunday morning, so many bettors backing Miami took the loss.
THE BIGGEST DISAPPOINTMENT OF THE WEEK - PART II
Total bettors in the Philadelphia Eagles-Detroit Lions (48) who had the UNDER still cannot believe the finish.
It was all Philadelphia all day. It took a 17-0 lead at the half, and UNDER bettors were looking good. Even after 21 points in the third quarter and the Eagles taking a 38-0 lead, the UNDER was still looking to be in good shape.
Eagles PK Jake Elliott booted a 26-yard field goal with 9:53 to go, pushing the Philadelphia lead to 41-0. The Lions finally got on the board, as RB Jermar Jefferson ran it in from eight yards out to cut the lead to 41-6, and a failed two-point conversion still has UNDER bettors on the right side.
For whatever reason, with 1:49 to go, head coach Nick Sirianni elected to kick a field goal with 1:49 to go, making it 44-6. There really was no good reason to not just go for it on fourth down. It's almost like he knew the decision would change the result of the total.
TOTAL RECALL
The lowest total on the board in Week 8 was in the San Francisco 49ers-Chicago Bears (40) game. The Bears were already behind the 8-ball a little bit, with head coach Matt Nagy away from the team due to COVID protocols. They were terribly disjointed on offense, however. It was 3-3 after the first quarter, and Chicago led 13-9 at half. After three quarters, the Bears led 16-15. However, the teams combined for 24 total points in the fourth, and just like that we had 55 points on the board, easily posting an OVER.
The second lowest number on the board was in the Cincinnati Bengals-New York Jets (43) and Pittsburgh Steelers-Cleveland Browns (43) games. The Bengals and Jets had a wild one, combining for 65 points in the victory for Gang Green. It was a game which also escorted a lot of people out of survivor pools, if you're into those. And at +450 ML, the Jets were the largest underdog to win outright. The Steelers and Browns were tied 3-3 at half, and the OVER was never threated there.
The highest total on the board for Week 8 is actually the Monday night affair between the New York Giants-Kansas City Chiefs (52) later tonight. For Sunday, the highest total was in the Tennessee Titans-Indianapolis Colts (51) game, and that one didn't disappoint. We had 31 points in the board by halftime, and 45 points going into the final quarter. There actually was a little bit of drama with the OVER, however. It was 24-24 all the way until 1:26 to go. QB Carson Wentz inexplicably was picked off deep in his own end, and DB Elijah Molden for a 2-yard pick-six. The flipped the total to OVER. The Colts fired back with a late score to force overtime, but the Titans came away with a field goal to spoil the day for Colts money line bettors, too.
In the primetime games, the UNDER was 2-0, with the MNF game still pending. That's now 11-9-1 (55.0%) through 21 primetime games. In 2020, the UNDER was 28-19-1 (59.5%) in 48 primetime contests. In 2019, the UNDER went 31-17-1 (64.6%) during primetime games.
LOOKING AHEAD TO WEEK 9
ATLANTA FALCONS AT NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (SUNDAY, 1 P.M. ET)
The Falcons (3-4) and Saints (5-2) hit the road for the Caesars Superdome, and they'll find a New Orleans team which just pushed past the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but also lost starting QB Jameis Winston to what looks to be a serious knee injury. QB Trevor Siemian finished up with QB Taysom Hill out nursing an injury. So it's possible Siemian could start, Hill could start and potentially see time under center, if not start, or the Saints could even bring someone in prior to Tuesday's NFL trade deadline.
As it stands, the Saints are 4.5-point favorites with a total of 44 on the board for Sunday's NFC South showdown.
The Falcons lost 19-13 at home to a Panthers team which had lost four in a row, and Atlanta saw its modest two-game win streak snapped. The Falcons are now 1-5 ATS in the past six against NFC South teams, while the Saints are 8-3 ATS in the past 11 divisional games following a win over the Bucs. New Orleans is also 11-4 ATS in the past 15 against teams with a losing record.
The UNDER is 22-9 in Atlanta's past 31 against teams with a winning record, while the UNDER is 6-1 in New Orleans' past seven inside the division, and 7-3 in the past 10 games overall.
In this series, Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in the past seven meetings, and 3-7 ATS in the past 10 trips to New Orleans. The UNDER is 4-0 in the past four meetings in NOLA, and 5-0 in the past five meetings overall.
CLEVELAND BROWNS AT CINCINNATI BENGALS (SUNDAY, 1 P.M. ET)
The Browns (4-4) and Bengals (5-3) are both coming off disappointing losses. Cleveland lost 15-10 to Pittsburgh, while Cincinnati was dropped 34-31 on the road against N.Y. Jets.
The Browns are 10-26-1 ATS in the past 37 games inside the AFC North Division. They're also a dismal 10-29-2 ATS in the past 41 games against teams with a winning record.
The Bengals are 4-0 ATS in the past four following a straight-up loss, while going 4-1 ATS in the past five following a non-cover. Cincinnati is just 2-5 ATS in the past seven as a favorite, and 2-5 ATS in the past seven as a home fave.
In this series, Cincinnati is an impressive 11-2 ATS in the past 13 meetings, and 5-1 ATS in the past six battles at Paul Brown Stadium. The OVER is 5-0 in the previous five meetings, and 6-0-1 in the past seven meetings in Cincinnati.
ARIZONA CARDINALS AT SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (SUNDAY, 4:25 P.M. ET)
In the third and final divisional matchup of Week 9, the Cardinals (7-1) and 49ers (3-4) meet for the second time this season. Oddly enough, Arizona is coming off a loss, while San Francisco picked up a win last time out.
The Cardinals fell 24-21 at home to the Packers for an UNDER result. The 49ers won 33-22 against the Bears to hit the OVER at Soldier Field.
Arizona is 4-0 ATS in the past four road games, while going 5-1 ATS in the past six games overall. San Francisco is 1-6 ATS in the past seven home games, and 1-4 ATS in the past five games overall.
In this series, the Cardinals are 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight meetings, including a 17-10 win in Week 5 as the UNDER hit. Arizona is also 4-0-1 ATsi n the past five trips to Levi's Stadium. The road team is 7-3-1 ATS in the past 11 meetings, too, with the UNDER 7-3 in the past 10.
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NY JETS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing >=350 yards/game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after a loss in the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS are 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 in the current season.
BALTIMORE is 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) in the 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 26-9 ATS (16.1 Units) in road games off 3 or more consecutive overs since 1992.
BUFFALO is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in the 2nd half of the season in the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games after the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.
LAS VEGAS are 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after gaining 300 or more passing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 27 or more points/game in the last 3 seasons.
LA CHARGERS are 42-20 ATS (20 Units) in road games vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the se...
ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in the 2nd half of the season in the last 2 seasons.
LA RAMS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2+ SU wins in the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after a home loss in the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after a loss in the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS are 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 in the current season.
BALTIMORE is 15-3 ATS (11.7 Units) in the 2nd half of the season in the last 3 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 26-9 ATS (16.1 Units) in road games off 3 or more consecutive overs since 1992.
BUFFALO is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in the 2nd half of the season in the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games after the first month of the season in the last 3 seasons.
LAS VEGAS are 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) after gaining 300 or more passing yards in 2 straight games since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) vs. very bad defensive teams who give up 27 or more points/game in the last 3 seasons.
LA CHARGERS are 42-20 ATS (20 Units) in road games vs. poor punt return teams, less than 7.5 yards per return since 1992.
KANSAS CITY is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) vs. poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse in the second half of the se...
ARIZONA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in the 2nd half of the season in the last 2 seasons.
LA RAMS are 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 2+ SU wins in the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games after a home loss in the last 3 seasons.
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NFL
Week 9
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Trend Report
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NY Jets @ Indianapolis
NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Jets's last 10 games when playing Indianapolis
Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
Atlanta @ New Orleans
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Denver @ Dallas
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo @ Jacksonville
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 7 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
Houston @ Miami
Houston
Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
New England @ Carolina
New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 7 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Carolina's last 11 games
Minnesota @ Baltimore
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland @ Cincinnati
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Las Vegas @ NY Giants
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Las Vegas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Giants's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Giants's last 15 games
LA Chargers @ Philadelphia
LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
LA Chargers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Philadelphia's last 18 games at home
Arizona @ San Francisco
Arizona
Arizona is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games when playing Arizona
Green Bay @ Kansas City
Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing Green Bay
Kansas City is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home
Tennessee @ LA Rams
Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games on the road
Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Rams
LA Rams is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Rams's last 7 games when playing Tennessee
Chicago @ Pittsburgh
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
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Week 9
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Trend Report
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NY Jets @ Indianapolis
NY Jets
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Jets's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Jets's last 10 games when playing Indianapolis
Indianapolis
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
Atlanta @ New Orleans
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Denver @ Dallas
Denver
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games when playing Dallas
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo @ Jacksonville
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Jacksonville
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Jacksonville
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 7 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games
Houston @ Miami
Houston
Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 6 games
New England @ Carolina
New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 7 games on the road
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New England
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Carolina's last 11 games
Minnesota @ Baltimore
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore
Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Cleveland @ Cincinnati
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
Las Vegas @ NY Giants
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Las Vegas is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
NY Giants
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Giants's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of NY Giants's last 15 games
LA Chargers @ Philadelphia
LA Chargers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
LA Chargers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing LA Chargers
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Philadelphia's last 18 games at home
Arizona @ San Francisco
Arizona
Arizona is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
San Francisco
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of San Francisco's last 10 games when playing Arizona
Green Bay @ Kansas City
Green Bay
Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Green Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing Green Bay
Kansas City is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home
Tennessee @ LA Rams
Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 5 games on the road
Tennessee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
LA Rams
LA Rams is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Rams's last 7 games when playing Tennessee
Chicago @ Pittsburgh
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
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New York has lost 31 of its last 33 games when playing as a +7-point underdog or more.
Jonathan Taylor has scored 2 TDs in three of his last four games when Indianapolis is the favorite.
New York has gone OVER the point total in four straight games.
Indianapolis has covered the spread in four of its last five games.
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 9
Thursday game
NJ Jets (2-5) @ Indianapolis (3-5)
? Rookie QB White threw for 405 yards in winning first NFL start.
? Jets gave up 54-31 points in last two games.
? Jets have been outscored 44-7 in first quarter, 123-34 in first half.
? Last two years, Jets 2-9 ATS as road underdogs, 0-3 TY.
? Last five years, Jets are 5-7-1 ATS coming off a win.
? Last four Jet games went over the total.
? Rookie QB?s struggle; they?re 11-24 ATS so far this season.
? Colts covered five of their last seven games.
? Indy lost three of four home games SU this season, beating Texans.
? Last five weeks, Colts outscored opponents 57-35 in first half.
? Last three games, Colts outscored opponents 52-26 in second half.
? Colts have 17 takeaways in last seven games (+8)
? Last five years, Colts are 12-9-1 ATS in AFC South home games.
? Last 11 years, Indy is 4-2-1 ATS as double digit favorites.
? Four of their last five games went over the total.
? Jets won five of last seven series games.
? Favorites covered four of last five series games.
? Jets won three of last four visits to Indianapolis.
Jonathan Taylor has scored 2 TDs in three of his last four games when Indianapolis is the favorite.
New York has gone OVER the point total in four straight games.
Indianapolis has covered the spread in four of its last five games.
NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 9
Thursday game
NJ Jets (2-5) @ Indianapolis (3-5)
? Rookie QB White threw for 405 yards in winning first NFL start.
? Jets gave up 54-31 points in last two games.
? Jets have been outscored 44-7 in first quarter, 123-34 in first half.
? Last two years, Jets 2-9 ATS as road underdogs, 0-3 TY.
? Last five years, Jets are 5-7-1 ATS coming off a win.
? Last four Jet games went over the total.
? Rookie QB?s struggle; they?re 11-24 ATS so far this season.
? Colts covered five of their last seven games.
? Indy lost three of four home games SU this season, beating Texans.
? Last five weeks, Colts outscored opponents 57-35 in first half.
? Last three games, Colts outscored opponents 52-26 in second half.
? Colts have 17 takeaways in last seven games (+8)
? Last five years, Colts are 12-9-1 ATS in AFC South home games.
? Last 11 years, Indy is 4-2-1 ATS as double digit favorites.
? Four of their last five games went over the total.
? Jets won five of last seven series games.
? Favorites covered four of last five series games.
? Jets won three of last four visits to Indianapolis.
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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 9
Sunday games
Houston (1-7) @ Miami (1-7)
? Texans lost last seven games, giving up 30.3 ppg.
? Last seven games, Houston was outscored 123-39 in 2nd half.
? Houston was outscored 102-8 in last three road games.
? Last two years, Texans are 3-6 ATS as road underdogs.
? Last five games, Texans are minus-8 in turnovers (3-11)
? Rookie QB?s struggle; they?re 11-24 ATS so far this season.
? First-time head coaches are 21-31 ATS this season.
? AFC South non-divisional dogs are 11-8 ATS, 7-3 on road.
? Miami lost last seven games, giving up 31 ppg.
? Miami is 0-5 ATS the last five weeks.
? Dolphins? one win was 17-16 at New England in Week 1.
? Miami has only four takeaways in last five games (-5)
? Miami has given up 48 plays of 20+ yards, has only 29 themselves.
? Last five years, Miami is 7-2-2 ATS as home favorites.
? Last seven games, Dolphins were outscored 134-71 in 2nd half.
? Four of last six Dolphin games went over the total.
? Houston won eight of last nine series games.
? Texans won/covered three of last four visits to Miami.
? Teams haven?t met since 2018.
Denver (4-4) @ Dallas (6-1)
? Denver lost four of last five games, outscored 64-30 in first half.
? Three of their four wins were against rookie/backup QB?s.
? Denver has three takeaway in last five games (-5).
? Last four years, Denver is 11-7-1 ATS as a road underdog.
? Denver gave up 13 or less points in its wins, 25.3 ppg in losses.
? Six of eight Denver games stayed under the total.
? Broncos traded star LB Miller Monday; they?re building for future.
? AFC West non-divisional road underdogs are 2-3 ATS. I
? No word yet if QB Prescott will play (check status)
? Cowboys won in Minnesota LW, backup QB Rush?s first NFL start.
? Dallas is 7-0 ATS; their only loss was 31-29 at Tampa in Week 1.
? Cowboys have 14 takeaways in last six games (+5).
? Dallas has converted 42-89 third down plays (47.2%).
? Cowboys scored defensive TD in three of last five games.
? Over is 5-2 in Cowboys? games this season.
? Last six years, Dallas is 16-14-1 ATS as home favorites.
? Denver won five of last six meetings, scoring 42-51 points in last two.
? Broncos won their last three visits to Dallas.
? Underdogs covered five of last six series games.
Minnesota (3-4) @ Baltimore (5-2)
? Six of Vikings? seven games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
? Vikings converted only 1-13 third down plays vs Dallas LW.
? Minnesota is +4 in turnovers last two games (even first 5 games)
? Last eight years, Vikings are 19-10 ATS vs AFC opponents.
? Minnesota is 10-13 ATS last 23 games as a road underdog.
? Minnesota has been outscored 60-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
? Four of Vikings? last five games stayed under the total.
? NFC North road underdogs are 5-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
? Baltimore won four of last five games, scoring 28.6 ppg.
? Ravens gave up 33-41 points in their two losses.
? Baltimore is 3-1 in games decided by 6 or less points.
? Last seven years, Ravens are 18-23-2 ATS as home favorites.
? Last seven years, Ravens are 14-20-3 ATS coming off a loss.
? Baltimore gave up 10+ yards/pass attempt in three of last six games.
? Over is 3-1 in Ravens home games this year.
? Baltimore is 14-5 ATS in last 19 post-bye games, 4-4 last eight.
? Home side won last five series games.
? Vikings lost last three visits here, by 3-7-16 points.
? Favorites are 3-2 ATS in last five meetings.
New England (4-4) @ Carolina (4-4)
? New England won 3 of last 4 games, scoring 33.8 ppg.
? Patriots are 3-0 vs rookie QB?s, 1-4 vs everyone else.
? NE is 2-3 in games decided by 3 or less points, or in OT.
? Patriots are +7 in turnovers in their wins, minus-6 in losses.
? Last four games, New England had 24 plays of 20+ yards (+5).
? Last four years, New England is 9-11 ATS as a road favorite.
? Last four Patriot games went over the total.
? AFC East favorites are 2-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
? Carolina QB Darnold (concussion) is a ??; check status.
? Carolina lost four of last five games after a 3-0 start.
? Panthers lost last two home games, by total of nine points.
? Carolina outscored opponents 88-52 in first half.
? Last five games, Panthers were outscored 83-45 in second half.
? Under is 6-2 in Carolina games this season.
? Carolina is 2-6-1 ATS last nine games as home underdogs.
? Panthers converted 10-17 third down plays LW (were 9-42 previous 3 games).
? Carolina won last two meetings, by total of seven points.
? Patriots are 1-3 vs Carolina since beating them in Super Bowl 38.
? Underdogs covered four of last five series games.
? New England lost 24-20/27-17 in last two visits to Charlotte.
Buffalo (5-2) @ Jacksonville (1-6)
? Bills won/covered five of its last six games.
? All five of their wins are by 15+ points.
? Buffalo has given up 11 TD?s on 72 drives.
? Bills are 6-4 ATS last ten games as road favorites.
? Last five games, Bills are +13 in turnovers.
? Buffalo outscored first seven foes 114-47 in first half.
? Buffalo has converted 41-82 third down plays (50%).
? Over is 7-2-2 in Bills? last 11 road games.
? Jaguars lost 21 of their last 22 games.
? Jaguars are 0-3 ATS at home TY, losing by 10-12-18 points.
? Jacksonville already has five losses by 10+ points.
? Jacksonville is minus-11 in turnovers (2-13)
? Last 2+ years, Jacksonville is 13-20 ATS as underdogs.
? Jaguars converted 26 of 81 third down plays (32.1%).
? Five of their last six games stayed under.
? AFC South non-divisional home dogs are 3-5 ATS.
? Home side won last four series games.
? Underdogs covered all four of those games.
? Bills lost five of last seven visits to Jacksonville.
? Teams haven?t met since 2018.
Cleveland (4-4) @ Cincinnati (5-3)
? Cleveland lost three of its last four games.
? Browns scored 14-17-10 points in last three games.
? Last four games, Browns were outscored 74-36 in 2nd half.
? Cleveland outscored foes 42-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
? Three of Cleveland?s four losses were by 5 or fewer points.
? Browns threw for 6.1+ yards/pass attempt in one of last six games.
? Last three games, opponents converted 23-49 third down plays.
? Last two years, Browns were 1-5 ATS in AFC North road games.
? Cincinnati won four of its last six games.
? Rookie QB White threw for 405 yards vs Bengals last week.
? LW was first game Bengals didn?t have had a TD play of 31+ yards.
? Bengals averaged 8+ yards/pass attempt in 4 of last 6 games.
? Cincy outscored last five opponents 108-57 in 2nd half.
? Last five years, Bengals are 5-9 ATS as a home favorite.
? Last three games, Cincinnati scored 34-41-31 points.
? Five of last seven Bengal games stayed under the total.
? Browns won five of last six series games.
? Cleveland won LY?s games, 35-30/37-34.
? Underdogs covered five of last six series games.
? Browns lost nine of last 12 visits to Cincinnati.
Las Vegas (5-2) @ NY Giants (2-6)
? Raiders are 2-0 since Gruden left, scoring 34-33 points.
? Raiders threw for 348-323 yards, were +5 in turnovers.
? Raiders led last two games 17-7 at halftime.
? Las Vegas outscored opponents 112-82 in 2nd half/OT of games.
? Last four years, Raiders were 2-4-1 ATS as road favorites.
? Only 20 of Raiders? last 115 plays came on third down.
? AFC West road teams are 6-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
? Raiders are 0-4 ATS in last four post-bye games.
? Giants are 1-3 SU at home; only SU win was over Carolina.
? Big Blue is 5-16 ATS last 21 games as a home underdog.
? Giants are 9-15-1 ATS last 25 games with spread of 3 or less points.
? Giants are 2-8 ATS last ten games vs AFC opponents.
? Giants have been outscored 61-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
? Opponents have started nine drives in Giant territory (minus-6).
? Giants are 9-6 ATS last 15 games coming off a loss.
? NFC East teams are 3-8 ATS in non-divisional home games.
? Giants won three of last four series games.
? Raiders lost 24-20/44-7 in last two meetings played here.
Atlanta (3-4) @ New Orleans (5-2)
? Atlanta won/covered last three games away from home.
? Falcons led their last five games at halftime.
? Atlanta has been outscored 121-65 in second half.
? Last three years, Atlanta is 8-7 ATS as a road underdog.
? Falcons have been outscored 111-62 in 2nd half of games.
? Atlanta threw for only 131 yards LW; its longest play was 18 yards.
? Atlanta?s last five games were all decided by 7 or less points.
? Over is 4-2 in last six Atlanta games.
? Unsure if Hill or Siemian will start at QB; Winston is OFY.
? Saints won last three games, scoring 27.3 ppg.
? New Orleans held six of seven opponents under 100 yards rushing.
? Underdogs won/covered five of their seven games.
? Last seven years, Saints are 12-7 ATS in NFC South home games.
? Last four years, Saints are 10-12 ATS as home favorites.
? New Orleans has 16 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 32.
? Three of their last four games went over the total.
? Saints won six of last eight series games.
? Falcons are 3-7 ATS last ten trips to the Superdome.
? Last four series games stayed under the total.
LA Chargers (4-3) @ Philadelphia (3-5)
? Chargers lost last two games, giving up 34-27 points.
? Last three games, Chargers gave up 186 rushing yards/game.
? Last three years, Bolts were 6-5-1 ATS as road favorites.
? LA is 3-9-2 ATS last 14 games with spread of 3 or less points.
? Bolts lost field position by 17 yards LW, also gave up defensive TD.
? Five of seven Charger games this year stayed under total.
? Last three years, Bolts are 7-13-1 ATS coming off a loss.
? AFC West non-divisional road favorites are 4-2 ATS.
? Eagles lost five of their last seven games.
? Philly is 0-3 SU at home TY, losing by 6-12-6 points.
? Last week was first time Eagles were favored this year.
? Last six years, Eagles are 9-6 ATS as home underdogs.
? Philly had 236 YR last week (98.6 average previous five games)
? Last seven weeks, Eagles were outscored 101-60 in first half.
? Last four weeks, Philly outscored foes 72-29 in second half.
? NFC East teams are 4-8 ATS in non-divisional home games.
? Eagles won three of last five series games.
? Last two meetings were decided by total of five points.
? Underdogs covered last three meetings.
? Chargers lost two of last three visits to Philly.
Green Bay (7-1) @ Kansas City (4-4)
? Green Bay won its last seven games (6-0-1 ATS)
? Packers have been positive in turnovers last seven games (+11)
? Green Bay is 13-6-1 ATS in last 20 road games.
? Last two games, Packers converted 12-26 third down plays.
? Green Bay is 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 games vs AFC teams.
? Last 4 years, Pack is 10-4-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
? Last four Packer games stayed under the total.
? NFC North road teams are 6-5-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
? Short week for Chiefs after their 20-17 win Monday night.
? Kansas City is 3-4 in its last seven games.
? Chiefs have only two TD?s on their last 18 drives.
? Chiefs turned ball over 19 times in last seven games (-13)
? Kansas City is 0-3 ATS at home this season.
? KC has 29 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 38.
? Chiefs? last three games stayed under the total.
? AFC West home teams are 4-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
? Green Bay won last two series games, 31-24/38-28
? Teams split last two series games played here.
Arizona (7-1) @ San Francisco (3-4)
? Arizona won seven of first eight games (6-2 ATS).
? Cardinals played last Thursday, had extra time to prep for this.
? Arizona is 4-0 SU/ATS on road, scoring 35.8 ppg.
? Under Kingsbury, Arizona is 13-6-1 ATS on the road.
? Cardinals have 29 TD?s on 80 drives this season.
? Arizona has 202 points on 35 drives to red zone (5.77)
? Arizona has 34 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 20.
? Under is 3-1 in last four Arizona games.
? 49ers are 0-3 SU at home, giving up 29.3 ppg.
? 49ers snapped 4-game skid with win at Chicago LW.
? All three of their wins came on road (Lions/Eagles/Bears)
? Thru seven games, 49ers are minus-7 in turnovers.
? Last four games, 49ers ran ball for 137.8 yards/game.
? Last four games, SF converted 10-46 third down plays.
? Last four years, Niners are 4-15-1 ATS as home favorites.
? Last five years, 49ers are 4-8-1 ATS in NFC West home games.
? Cardinals (-6) nipped San Francisco 17-10 in Week 5.
? Underdogs are 6-0-1 ATS in last seven meetings.
? Arizona won 10 of last 13 series games.
? Cardinals won four of last five visits to Santa Clara.
? Season series was swept five of last six years.
Tennessee (6-2) @ LA Rams (7-1)
? Tennessee won/covered six of last seven games, scoring 30.6 ppg.
? Star RB Henry broke his foot, is out 6-10 weeks.
? Titans gave up 27+ points in five of eight games.
? Last five weeks, Titans ran ball for 164.4 yards/game.
? Last five weeks, Titans are +6 in turnovers.
? Last four years, Tennessee is 8-5 ATS as road underdogs.
? Tennessee has only five TD plays longer than 18 yards.
? Over is 4-1 in Tennessee?s last five games.
? Rams won last four games, scoring 32.5 ppg.
? Last three games, Rams scored 16 TD?s on 41 drives.
? Last four games, LA is +6 in turnovers.
? Last three games, Rams outscored opponents 69-19 in first half.
? Over is 6-2 in Rams? games this season.
? Under McVay, Rams are 14-15 ATS as home favorites.
? Last four years, Rams are 6-8 ATS vs AFC opponents.
? NFC West non-divisional home favorites are 3-6 ATS.
? Teams split last four series games.
? Rams split last two visits to Nashville.
Monday?s game
Chicago (3-5) @ Pittsburgh (4-3)
? Chicago allowed 31 ppg in losses, 17 or less in wins.
? All five of their losses this year were by 10+ points.
? Last five games, Bears ran ball for 158 yards/game.
? Chicago threw for more than 4.8 yards/attempt once in eight games.
? Chicago has been outscored 115-55 in second half of games.
? Bears are 1-3 ATS as road dogs this year, losing by 20-20-35 points.
? Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.
? NFC North non-divisional road underdogs are 5-3 ATS.
? Steelers won last three games, giving up 16.3 ppg.
? Steelers ran for 127 ypg last 3 games, averaged 55.3 first four games.
? Last six games, Steelers were outscored 77-51 in second half.
? Underdogs are 4-0 ATS in Pittsburgh home games this year.
? Last five years, Steelers are 13-17 ATS as home favorites.
? Opponents have started nine drives in Pittsburgh territory (-8).
? Last seven years, Steelers are 16-10 ATS vs NFC opponents.
? Five of seven Steeler games stayed under the total.
? Chicago won last three series games.
? Steelers? last series win was in 2005.
? Bears split last two trips to Pittsburgh.
Armadillo's Write-up
Week 9
Sunday games
Houston (1-7) @ Miami (1-7)
? Texans lost last seven games, giving up 30.3 ppg.
? Last seven games, Houston was outscored 123-39 in 2nd half.
? Houston was outscored 102-8 in last three road games.
? Last two years, Texans are 3-6 ATS as road underdogs.
? Last five games, Texans are minus-8 in turnovers (3-11)
? Rookie QB?s struggle; they?re 11-24 ATS so far this season.
? First-time head coaches are 21-31 ATS this season.
? AFC South non-divisional dogs are 11-8 ATS, 7-3 on road.
? Miami lost last seven games, giving up 31 ppg.
? Miami is 0-5 ATS the last five weeks.
? Dolphins? one win was 17-16 at New England in Week 1.
? Miami has only four takeaways in last five games (-5)
? Miami has given up 48 plays of 20+ yards, has only 29 themselves.
? Last five years, Miami is 7-2-2 ATS as home favorites.
? Last seven games, Dolphins were outscored 134-71 in 2nd half.
? Four of last six Dolphin games went over the total.
? Houston won eight of last nine series games.
? Texans won/covered three of last four visits to Miami.
? Teams haven?t met since 2018.
Denver (4-4) @ Dallas (6-1)
? Denver lost four of last five games, outscored 64-30 in first half.
? Three of their four wins were against rookie/backup QB?s.
? Denver has three takeaway in last five games (-5).
? Last four years, Denver is 11-7-1 ATS as a road underdog.
? Denver gave up 13 or less points in its wins, 25.3 ppg in losses.
? Six of eight Denver games stayed under the total.
? Broncos traded star LB Miller Monday; they?re building for future.
? AFC West non-divisional road underdogs are 2-3 ATS. I
? No word yet if QB Prescott will play (check status)
? Cowboys won in Minnesota LW, backup QB Rush?s first NFL start.
? Dallas is 7-0 ATS; their only loss was 31-29 at Tampa in Week 1.
? Cowboys have 14 takeaways in last six games (+5).
? Dallas has converted 42-89 third down plays (47.2%).
? Cowboys scored defensive TD in three of last five games.
? Over is 5-2 in Cowboys? games this season.
? Last six years, Dallas is 16-14-1 ATS as home favorites.
? Denver won five of last six meetings, scoring 42-51 points in last two.
? Broncos won their last three visits to Dallas.
? Underdogs covered five of last six series games.
Minnesota (3-4) @ Baltimore (5-2)
? Six of Vikings? seven games were decided by 7 or fewer points.
? Vikings converted only 1-13 third down plays vs Dallas LW.
? Minnesota is +4 in turnovers last two games (even first 5 games)
? Last eight years, Vikings are 19-10 ATS vs AFC opponents.
? Minnesota is 10-13 ATS last 23 games as a road underdog.
? Minnesota has been outscored 60-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
? Four of Vikings? last five games stayed under the total.
? NFC North road underdogs are 5-3 ATS in non-divisional games.
? Baltimore won four of last five games, scoring 28.6 ppg.
? Ravens gave up 33-41 points in their two losses.
? Baltimore is 3-1 in games decided by 6 or less points.
? Last seven years, Ravens are 18-23-2 ATS as home favorites.
? Last seven years, Ravens are 14-20-3 ATS coming off a loss.
? Baltimore gave up 10+ yards/pass attempt in three of last six games.
? Over is 3-1 in Ravens home games this year.
? Baltimore is 14-5 ATS in last 19 post-bye games, 4-4 last eight.
? Home side won last five series games.
? Vikings lost last three visits here, by 3-7-16 points.
? Favorites are 3-2 ATS in last five meetings.
New England (4-4) @ Carolina (4-4)
? New England won 3 of last 4 games, scoring 33.8 ppg.
? Patriots are 3-0 vs rookie QB?s, 1-4 vs everyone else.
? NE is 2-3 in games decided by 3 or less points, or in OT.
? Patriots are +7 in turnovers in their wins, minus-6 in losses.
? Last four games, New England had 24 plays of 20+ yards (+5).
? Last four years, New England is 9-11 ATS as a road favorite.
? Last four Patriot games went over the total.
? AFC East favorites are 2-6 ATS in non-divisional games.
? Carolina QB Darnold (concussion) is a ??; check status.
? Carolina lost four of last five games after a 3-0 start.
? Panthers lost last two home games, by total of nine points.
? Carolina outscored opponents 88-52 in first half.
? Last five games, Panthers were outscored 83-45 in second half.
? Under is 6-2 in Carolina games this season.
? Carolina is 2-6-1 ATS last nine games as home underdogs.
? Panthers converted 10-17 third down plays LW (were 9-42 previous 3 games).
? Carolina won last two meetings, by total of seven points.
? Patriots are 1-3 vs Carolina since beating them in Super Bowl 38.
? Underdogs covered four of last five series games.
? New England lost 24-20/27-17 in last two visits to Charlotte.
Buffalo (5-2) @ Jacksonville (1-6)
? Bills won/covered five of its last six games.
? All five of their wins are by 15+ points.
? Buffalo has given up 11 TD?s on 72 drives.
? Bills are 6-4 ATS last ten games as road favorites.
? Last five games, Bills are +13 in turnovers.
? Buffalo outscored first seven foes 114-47 in first half.
? Buffalo has converted 41-82 third down plays (50%).
? Over is 7-2-2 in Bills? last 11 road games.
? Jaguars lost 21 of their last 22 games.
? Jaguars are 0-3 ATS at home TY, losing by 10-12-18 points.
? Jacksonville already has five losses by 10+ points.
? Jacksonville is minus-11 in turnovers (2-13)
? Last 2+ years, Jacksonville is 13-20 ATS as underdogs.
? Jaguars converted 26 of 81 third down plays (32.1%).
? Five of their last six games stayed under.
? AFC South non-divisional home dogs are 3-5 ATS.
? Home side won last four series games.
? Underdogs covered all four of those games.
? Bills lost five of last seven visits to Jacksonville.
? Teams haven?t met since 2018.
Cleveland (4-4) @ Cincinnati (5-3)
? Cleveland lost three of its last four games.
? Browns scored 14-17-10 points in last three games.
? Last four games, Browns were outscored 74-36 in 2nd half.
? Cleveland outscored foes 42-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
? Three of Cleveland?s four losses were by 5 or fewer points.
? Browns threw for 6.1+ yards/pass attempt in one of last six games.
? Last three games, opponents converted 23-49 third down plays.
? Last two years, Browns were 1-5 ATS in AFC North road games.
? Cincinnati won four of its last six games.
? Rookie QB White threw for 405 yards vs Bengals last week.
? LW was first game Bengals didn?t have had a TD play of 31+ yards.
? Bengals averaged 8+ yards/pass attempt in 4 of last 6 games.
? Cincy outscored last five opponents 108-57 in 2nd half.
? Last five years, Bengals are 5-9 ATS as a home favorite.
? Last three games, Cincinnati scored 34-41-31 points.
? Five of last seven Bengal games stayed under the total.
? Browns won five of last six series games.
? Cleveland won LY?s games, 35-30/37-34.
? Underdogs covered five of last six series games.
? Browns lost nine of last 12 visits to Cincinnati.
Las Vegas (5-2) @ NY Giants (2-6)
? Raiders are 2-0 since Gruden left, scoring 34-33 points.
? Raiders threw for 348-323 yards, were +5 in turnovers.
? Raiders led last two games 17-7 at halftime.
? Las Vegas outscored opponents 112-82 in 2nd half/OT of games.
? Last four years, Raiders were 2-4-1 ATS as road favorites.
? Only 20 of Raiders? last 115 plays came on third down.
? AFC West road teams are 6-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
? Raiders are 0-4 ATS in last four post-bye games.
? Giants are 1-3 SU at home; only SU win was over Carolina.
? Big Blue is 5-16 ATS last 21 games as a home underdog.
? Giants are 9-15-1 ATS last 25 games with spread of 3 or less points.
? Giants are 2-8 ATS last ten games vs AFC opponents.
? Giants have been outscored 61-12 in last 2:00 of each half.
? Opponents have started nine drives in Giant territory (minus-6).
? Giants are 9-6 ATS last 15 games coming off a loss.
? NFC East teams are 3-8 ATS in non-divisional home games.
? Giants won three of last four series games.
? Raiders lost 24-20/44-7 in last two meetings played here.
Atlanta (3-4) @ New Orleans (5-2)
? Atlanta won/covered last three games away from home.
? Falcons led their last five games at halftime.
? Atlanta has been outscored 121-65 in second half.
? Last three years, Atlanta is 8-7 ATS as a road underdog.
? Falcons have been outscored 111-62 in 2nd half of games.
? Atlanta threw for only 131 yards LW; its longest play was 18 yards.
? Atlanta?s last five games were all decided by 7 or less points.
? Over is 4-2 in last six Atlanta games.
? Unsure if Hill or Siemian will start at QB; Winston is OFY.
? Saints won last three games, scoring 27.3 ppg.
? New Orleans held six of seven opponents under 100 yards rushing.
? Underdogs won/covered five of their seven games.
? Last seven years, Saints are 12-7 ATS in NFC South home games.
? Last four years, Saints are 10-12 ATS as home favorites.
? New Orleans has 16 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 32.
? Three of their last four games went over the total.
? Saints won six of last eight series games.
? Falcons are 3-7 ATS last ten trips to the Superdome.
? Last four series games stayed under the total.
LA Chargers (4-3) @ Philadelphia (3-5)
? Chargers lost last two games, giving up 34-27 points.
? Last three games, Chargers gave up 186 rushing yards/game.
? Last three years, Bolts were 6-5-1 ATS as road favorites.
? LA is 3-9-2 ATS last 14 games with spread of 3 or less points.
? Bolts lost field position by 17 yards LW, also gave up defensive TD.
? Five of seven Charger games this year stayed under total.
? Last three years, Bolts are 7-13-1 ATS coming off a loss.
? AFC West non-divisional road favorites are 4-2 ATS.
? Eagles lost five of their last seven games.
? Philly is 0-3 SU at home TY, losing by 6-12-6 points.
? Last week was first time Eagles were favored this year.
? Last six years, Eagles are 9-6 ATS as home underdogs.
? Philly had 236 YR last week (98.6 average previous five games)
? Last seven weeks, Eagles were outscored 101-60 in first half.
? Last four weeks, Philly outscored foes 72-29 in second half.
? NFC East teams are 4-8 ATS in non-divisional home games.
? Eagles won three of last five series games.
? Last two meetings were decided by total of five points.
? Underdogs covered last three meetings.
? Chargers lost two of last three visits to Philly.
Green Bay (7-1) @ Kansas City (4-4)
? Green Bay won its last seven games (6-0-1 ATS)
? Packers have been positive in turnovers last seven games (+11)
? Green Bay is 13-6-1 ATS in last 20 road games.
? Last two games, Packers converted 12-26 third down plays.
? Green Bay is 9-4-1 ATS in last 14 games vs AFC teams.
? Last 4 years, Pack is 10-4-2 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.
? Last four Packer games stayed under the total.
? NFC North road teams are 6-5-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
? Short week for Chiefs after their 20-17 win Monday night.
? Kansas City is 3-4 in its last seven games.
? Chiefs have only two TD?s on their last 18 drives.
? Chiefs turned ball over 19 times in last seven games (-13)
? Kansas City is 0-3 ATS at home this season.
? KC has 29 plays of 20+ yards, their opponents have 38.
? Chiefs? last three games stayed under the total.
? AFC West home teams are 4-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
? Green Bay won last two series games, 31-24/38-28
? Teams split last two series games played here.
Arizona (7-1) @ San Francisco (3-4)
? Arizona won seven of first eight games (6-2 ATS).
? Cardinals played last Thursday, had extra time to prep for this.
? Arizona is 4-0 SU/ATS on road, scoring 35.8 ppg.
? Under Kingsbury, Arizona is 13-6-1 ATS on the road.
? Cardinals have 29 TD?s on 80 drives this season.
? Arizona has 202 points on 35 drives to red zone (5.77)
? Arizona has 34 plays of 20+ yards; their opponents have 20.
? Under is 3-1 in last four Arizona games.
? 49ers are 0-3 SU at home, giving up 29.3 ppg.
? 49ers snapped 4-game skid with win at Chicago LW.
? All three of their wins came on road (Lions/Eagles/Bears)
? Thru seven games, 49ers are minus-7 in turnovers.
? Last four games, 49ers ran ball for 137.8 yards/game.
? Last four games, SF converted 10-46 third down plays.
? Last four years, Niners are 4-15-1 ATS as home favorites.
? Last five years, 49ers are 4-8-1 ATS in NFC West home games.
? Cardinals (-6) nipped San Francisco 17-10 in Week 5.
? Underdogs are 6-0-1 ATS in last seven meetings.
? Arizona won 10 of last 13 series games.
? Cardinals won four of last five visits to Santa Clara.
? Season series was swept five of last six years.
Tennessee (6-2) @ LA Rams (7-1)
? Tennessee won/covered six of last seven games, scoring 30.6 ppg.
? Star RB Henry broke his foot, is out 6-10 weeks.
? Titans gave up 27+ points in five of eight games.
? Last five weeks, Titans ran ball for 164.4 yards/game.
? Last five weeks, Titans are +6 in turnovers.
? Last four years, Tennessee is 8-5 ATS as road underdogs.
? Tennessee has only five TD plays longer than 18 yards.
? Over is 4-1 in Tennessee?s last five games.
? Rams won last four games, scoring 32.5 ppg.
? Last three games, Rams scored 16 TD?s on 41 drives.
? Last four games, LA is +6 in turnovers.
? Last three games, Rams outscored opponents 69-19 in first half.
? Over is 6-2 in Rams? games this season.
? Under McVay, Rams are 14-15 ATS as home favorites.
? Last four years, Rams are 6-8 ATS vs AFC opponents.
? NFC West non-divisional home favorites are 3-6 ATS.
? Teams split last four series games.
? Rams split last two visits to Nashville.
Monday?s game
Chicago (3-5) @ Pittsburgh (4-3)
? Chicago allowed 31 ppg in losses, 17 or less in wins.
? All five of their losses this year were by 10+ points.
? Last five games, Bears ran ball for 158 yards/game.
? Chicago threw for more than 4.8 yards/attempt once in eight games.
? Chicago has been outscored 115-55 in second half of games.
? Bears are 1-3 ATS as road dogs this year, losing by 20-20-35 points.
? Under is 5-1-1 in their last seven games.
? NFC North non-divisional road underdogs are 5-3 ATS.
? Steelers won last three games, giving up 16.3 ppg.
? Steelers ran for 127 ypg last 3 games, averaged 55.3 first four games.
? Last six games, Steelers were outscored 77-51 in second half.
? Underdogs are 4-0 ATS in Pittsburgh home games this year.
? Last five years, Steelers are 13-17 ATS as home favorites.
? Opponents have started nine drives in Pittsburgh territory (-8).
? Last seven years, Steelers are 16-10 ATS vs NFC opponents.
? Five of seven Steeler games stayed under the total.
? Chicago won last three series games.
? Steelers? last series win was in 2005.
? Bears split last two trips to Pittsburgh.
- Sep 10, 2018
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Gridiron Angles - Week 9
Vince Akins
NFL Play ON ATS Trend
Matchup: New England at Carolina (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Panthers are 13-0 ATS since December 2000 coming off a win as a dog in which they scored 20 points or fewer.
NFL Play AGAINST ATS Trend
Matchup: Green Bay at Kansas City (4:25 p.m. ET)
-- The Packers are 0-10 ATS since November 2012 as a road dog facing an opponent that is averaging at least 36 passes per game.
NFL Play OVER OU Trend
Matchup: Tennessee at L.A. Rams (8:20 p.m. ET)
-- The Titans are 11-0-1 OU since October 2019 when they had between 31:30 and 41 minutes time of possession last game.
NFL Play UNDER OU Trend
Matchup: Denver at Dallas (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Broncos are 0-18 OU since October 2017 coming off a game where they were at least two-point favorites.
NFL Factoid of the Week
Matchup: Green Bay at Kansas City (4:25 p.m. ET)
-- NFL teams that are 7+ point dogs that are in at least game 7 of the season and have won 85%+ of their game are 1-8-1 ATS (0-7-1 ATS since 2005). Green Bay is in this situation this week.
Vince Akins
NFL Play ON ATS Trend
Matchup: New England at Carolina (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Panthers are 13-0 ATS since December 2000 coming off a win as a dog in which they scored 20 points or fewer.
NFL Play AGAINST ATS Trend
Matchup: Green Bay at Kansas City (4:25 p.m. ET)
-- The Packers are 0-10 ATS since November 2012 as a road dog facing an opponent that is averaging at least 36 passes per game.
NFL Play OVER OU Trend
Matchup: Tennessee at L.A. Rams (8:20 p.m. ET)
-- The Titans are 11-0-1 OU since October 2019 when they had between 31:30 and 41 minutes time of possession last game.
NFL Play UNDER OU Trend
Matchup: Denver at Dallas (1:00 p.m. ET)
-- The Broncos are 0-18 OU since October 2017 coming off a game where they were at least two-point favorites.
NFL Factoid of the Week
Matchup: Green Bay at Kansas City (4:25 p.m. ET)
-- NFL teams that are 7+ point dogs that are in at least game 7 of the season and have won 85%+ of their game are 1-8-1 ATS (0-7-1 ATS since 2005). Green Bay is in this situation this week.
