nfl plays week #2....

AR182

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i'm going to try & separate my sides & totals record this year....i'll stop it if it gets too tedious...

sides....1-1
totals...4-2


u42(120) cin/cleve.....

think cleve. will be trying to run the ball on the bengal defense to keep the pressure off their new qb & to keep the ball away from cin...

some trends....

cin...

is 0-10 under as divisional road favorite..

marvin lewis is 3-10 under in sep't. games as the cin. coach..

cleve...

1-7 under in last 8 home games vs. cin....

1-10 under after being outrushed by 75 or more yards last game over the last 3 seasons..


good luck
 

AR182

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thanks kneifl....appreciate it...

adding....

u44(120) seattle/az.....

i think we will see a new offensive philosophy from arizona under their new head coach..that of trying to control the ball on offense...

seattle...

2-17 under in 1st road game of the year...

5-22 under away in sep't. sep't. games since 1992...

2-13 under home off a division road game....


good luck..
 

AR182

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adding....

u35(120) kc/chi......

kc...

1-6 under as dogs 6>points....

0-6 under in sep't. road games over the last 3 seasons...

chi....

2-10 under vs. afc...

20-40 under off a non-conference game since 1992....

system...

play any team (k.c.) under the total, off a road loss, marginal winning team from last year (51%-60%) playing a team that had a winning record....

ats record is 27-6....81%

good luck..
 
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AR182

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thanks guys..appreciate it...

adding...

u40 phil/wash....

think this will be a slugfest....

these team have gone under in 6 of last 7 meetings....

wash...

0-7 under away when playing on mon. night since 1992....

6-17 under after gaining 175 or more rushing yards last game since 1992....

8-20 under after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards last game since 1992...

phil....

10-25 under after allowing 4 or less yards/play in their previous game since 1992....

1-8 under away after a loss by 3 or less points since 1992...

system...

play under on any team (phil) where the total is between 35.5 & 42 points after 1 or more consecutive losses, team that had a winning record last season.....ats record is 84-40...67.7%


good luck.
 

AR182

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adding....

u41dall/miami....

looking for dallas to come out a little flat on offense & to play better defense for this game after their big win over the giants.....

dallas...

1-9 under away vs afc east

miami...

2-6 under last season..

8-24 under when the total is 40 points or higher..


u39 oak/denver....

i'm looking for an old fashioned football game here, where defenses dominate....

oak...

has gone under in 11 of last 13 games...

1-11 under vs. divisional opponents over the last 3 seasons....

2-11 under as a dog over the last 2 seasons..

denver...

1-7 under in sep't home games...

0-6 under since 12/12/04 as a 7+ favorite when facing a team that has averaged at least 2.25 turnovers per game season to date..


good luck.
 

Kramer

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AR you never cease to amaze me, I don't know
where you dig this stuff up but keep er coming.

GL this week :toast:
 

AR182

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adding....

giants..ml (140)...

even without manning i think the giants are better than gb...but taking the moneyline just in case...

system...

play against - road underdogs vs. the money line (gb) - off an upset win as a home underdog against opponent off a road loss.....

moneyline record is.....41-5 over the last 10 seasons.....89.1%....

over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is....8-0.....

over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is.....21-0.....


u42(120) n.o./tb....

it doesn't seem like no has found their offense yet & i don't think they will against a veteran tb defense....& tb's offense is a grind it out type of offense...

also tb is 26-4 under in the first two weeks of the season since 1992....


good luck.
 

AR182

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here is part of an article that i read on another site & thought it was interesting...

i hope they're right because i am playing a few unders today....

Looking for a quick buck?

Philadelphia, PA (Sports Network) - There are two weeks in the NFL season that gamblers can come out ahead of the game with ease. It also doesn't take any research or number crunching. All one has to do is put his/her bets in and sit back and relax. Maybe go out shopping, get a bite to eat or watch the latest Professional Bowlers Association match on the competing network.

Want to know when the two weeks are and what they entail?

Here it is. The UNDER has come out on top 63% of the time with a record of 39-23 over the past four years in week one of the NFL season. In the last two years alone, the winning percentage stands at an unbelievable 72% with a 23-9 mark. Yes, I know opening week has already passed, but this knowledge will come in very handy when 2008 rolls around.

What's the other huge week to set your sights on, you ask? None other than week two, which to no one's surprise, also involves betting the UNDER and you won't have to wait until next year to cash in.

Since the '04 season, the UNDER has been the right side in the second week of action in 30 of the 48 games played with one push. That figure amounts to a winning percentage of 64%. Not too shabby.

Gambling on point spreads in the NFL is a challenge. It's a much harder way to make money than betting on the college game. The latter lends itself to constant opportunities due to lack of competition from so many of the 119 FBS schools. The National Football League, on the other hand, lives on parity, and the old adage of - any team can be beaten on any given Sunday - holds true more often than not. Having the chance to win over 60% of the time without spending more than two minutes getting your wagers in is a sure fire way to beat the game.
 

AR182

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thanks watrdogg..good luck to you also...

adding...

u47(120) sd/ne....

the only thing that scares me about this play is sd's 2ndary...don't know if they will be able to handle ne's passing attack..

system...

play under - any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points (sd) - in a game involving two teams that had winning records last season.

ats record is 32-8 over the last 5 seasons.....80%

the average total posted in these games was.....45.3

the average score in these games was...team 18.5, opponent 18.5 (total points scored = 36.9)

the situation's record this season is....2-0

over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is....16-0.....


good luck.
 

trolln4walii

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AR....

The countless hours you spend doing your research and sharing with others does not go unnoticed. Your dedication to improving the quality of the site should be commended. Your work is read by many, enjoyed by all, and utilized by those smart enough to take note :) Thanks for all you do. Here's hoping you have yet another profitable year. May this season be your best ever :toast:

I don't play totals much but.....I've already filed your last info for next year and placed a bit on this week's unders :SIB
 

Clem D

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AR....

The countless hours you spend doing your research and sharing with others does not go unnoticed. Your dedication to improving the quality of the site should be commended. Your work is read by many, enjoyed by all, and utilized by those smart enough to take note :) Thanks for all you do. Here's hoping you have yet another profitable year. May this season be your best ever :toast:

I don't play totals much but.....I've already filed your last info for next year and placed a bit on this week's unders :SIB

Amen.

Ar182 is a must read
 

AR182

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Nov 9, 2000
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AR....

The countless hours you spend doing your research and sharing with others does not go unnoticed. Your dedication to improving the quality of the site should be commended. Your work is read by many, enjoyed by all, and utilized by those smart enough to take note :) Thanks for all you do. Here's hoping you have yet another profitable year. May this season be your best ever :toast:

I don't play totals much but.....I've already filed your last info for next year and placed a bit on this week's unders :SIB

wow....that's very nice tw...i really appreciate it..

good luck to you & clem also...
 
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