plays & angles for 10/5-10/8

AR182

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thanks taoist....

here is a portion of this week's column from peter fiutak about double digit home dogs.......

In the weekly tracking of my theory that, after the early part of the year, the double-digit home underdog almost always covers, the home underdog went 2-4 last week and is 7-7 over the last two weeks.
- Virginia Tech -11 at West Virginia LOSS VT 34-17
- Connecticut -10 at Army LOSS UConn 47-13
- Texas -15.5 at Missouri LOSS Texas 51-17
- USC -17 at Arizona State WIN USC 38-28
- Boise State -11 at Hawaii WIN BSU 44-41
- LSU -14.5 at Miss State ? LOSS LSU 37-7

This week?s double-digit home dogs ?

LSU -15 at Vanderbilt ? LSU covered last week on the road at Miss State. Unless the Commodores play at another level, LSU wins by 25.

Fresno State -26.5 at New Mexico State ? Yuck. The Aggies haven?t done anything effectively with its offense, but 26.5 is a big matzo ball hanging out there.

Maryland -28 at Temple. ? How is the line not 45?

Akron -11 at Buffalo ? Buffalo has the nation?s
worst offense, but Akron shouldn?t be giving 11 to anyone.
 

AR182

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trying to keep my losing streak in tack on the weekday games by making a small bet on.....


1*o44(120)laf/fau....


here is an angle that i just read....

teams playing their 4th straight home game (1995-2005),who won their previous 3 games & was favored in at least one of the first 3 games....

ats record 5-15 (25%)...

play tex. tech vs. nebraska & calif. vs. ucla

good luck.
 

Irish

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Good luck AR
Like the TT game myself, will be doing a write up later
Cheers
Irish
 

AR182

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75-51-3 +26.10*

been pretty busy..so very little write-ups..sorry.

2*n.w.+7......

n.w. scored over 24 points vs.a good penn st. defense..so i think they will score over 24 against wisc.defense......wisc. is 6-32 ats in last 38 games as a favorite when they allow more than 24 points.

2*uab-20.....

smu is 5-54-1 ats when they allow more than 28 points....smu's pass defense is ranked #88 in the country.

2*tulane+1.....

this is houston's 3rd straight road game.

4* b.c.-7.......

virginia is 4-13 ats in their last 17 road games & 1-6 ats in their last 7 when they played b2b road games.....b.c. is 8-2 ats the last 10 times they played the 2nd of b2b home games.....b.c. defense has permitted only 4 tds in 1st 5 games & has given up 229 ypg in their last 4 games.b.c will wear virginia down.

good luck.
 
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AR182

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Nov 9, 2000
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adding for 2*....

u43 iowa st/baylor
mich.-7(120)
wash. st.-13
a.f.+1
fla.-27
pitt.-11(120)
so. car.-12
w. mich.-10(120)
col.-3
hawaii+4(120)
miami fla. -35
az. st.-9

good luck.
 

trolln4walii

shorelunchne1
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Jul 11, 2004
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GL on your plays AR. Hope this week has you adding lots more units to that impressive total you've accumulated already. With you on BC and Colo. Opposite on the Pitt game.....but I hope you sweep all the others :)
 

smurphy

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Jul 31, 2004
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best of luck, al. keep up the solid work! lazy asses like me need all the help we can get. :)
 
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