Post your BEST bowl selection here with reasoning:

Nickelback

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I want this thread to be as informative as possible. . . add reasoning to your pick everyday if you wish. Please do not just post your pick. . . explain to us why you have made this selection. Share with the forum your reasoning! Please just use one message and add to it or delete as much as you wish. Hell, if you change your mind, simply erase your pick and add the new one!

Everyone on this forum has a spot within this thread and I hope they take it in order to help others. . . knowledge is power so lets clean up and start the new year with money in our pockets.

I would appreciate it if you would keep this clean and refrain from any other post except for your best pick.

================================

My best pick:

Minnesota -2? over Oregon

I feel the Golden Gophers are a couple games away from greatness while the Ducks are a couple games away from not even making a bowl game. Oregon has been a traditional power the past few years and are fresh in the minds of everyone who follows college football. The Gophers? Well, they have always been hanging on the edge of greatness but never able to get over the hump. It nearly started with Michigan as they had this game but the Wolves pulled that one out of their ass. Oregon needed basically a miracle to get over Cal. Besides Iowa, which might have been the most difficult field to play on in the Big 10, the Gophers have been in every single game. . . usually on the winning side. Oregon has been smoked on more than one occasion. One that stands out is Arizona State which in my mind is a horrible loss.

I feel this line is a product of past glory vs. a team that has yet to really hit the national radar. Yes, Vegas picked the Gophers as the favorite, but I feel they would be nearly a touchdown favorite (even on a neutral field) if past glory was forgotten. I feel the Sagarin predictor rating for each team exposes this:

Minnesota 85.15
Oregon 74.18

In the end, I honestly see nothing short of a blowout here. . . that will surprise several I assume. This kind of reminds me a little of Oregon State vs. Notre Dame a few years back where Notre Dame was a slight dog but it could not have been derived from the year they had but most likely past glory. Oregon State was the newcomer unexperienced in bowl games but clearly the better team. I feel we have the same situation with this matchup.

Will likely add more as I find it. . .
 
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Bombs

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I agree with you Nickelback...

My top play will likely be...

New Mexico +3 over Oregon St.: Really think Lobos get the outright here. Oregon St. has looked unmotivated all year, and I can't see them getting up for the Las Vegas bowl. Meanwhile, New Mex has had a stellar season, will be up for this game, looking to avenge last year's less than stellar bowl effort. They also have the run defense to shut down Jackson and a physical enough offense to cause a soft Oregon St. defense problems. For me, the Lobos win outright.
 

gman2

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dont have a best one for now, as its too early, but i can say that the game that jumped off the page at me and grabbed me by the neck (thanks to worm for the timeless expression):

tcu plus the points (and probably outright) over boise state

definitely like that one a lot
 

gardenweasel

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mine is

mine is

michigan/usc over 56..........you have to expect excellent weather in so cal.........2 extremely balanced and powerful offenses....2 defenses that tend to yield points to decent offenses.... i doubt,even in a blowout,that the losing club won`t get their points......usc hasn`t scored less than 31 points this year.....michigan no less than 27.......

high scoring shootout....

expected something in the 60`s....
 
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pt1gard

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bought usc at pinnacle -5.5 -118

bought usc at pinnacle -5.5 -118

* pac 10 vs big ten never a bad bet in rose bowl (im sorry this is as unfair as Canes always getting to play in Orange Bowl in past; how many titles would Osborne have won if he didnt venture to FL?)

* usc at home give or take a few miles

* usc wont be crushed as people imagine, PC will spin this and they will be ready for their own #1; PC has prepared him team shrink wise all year for something like this ...

* usc layoff not as long at mich

* if minny could run for +400 yds, I think USC hydra running bax will get their share

* mich at home = great; mich on rd = decent: 3-2, including the 3 pt miracle at minny

* mike williams ankle will be 100% ++; and possible other assorted injuries will be mended ... I love Chow getting extra time along with PC ... not knocking Mich braintrust, but like usc's edge here

* usc in winter/summer weather wont be affected; keep eye out for mich wilting in 2nd half ... might be an incredible 2nd half bet too

* not positive, need some help here, Mich vs pac 10 away from mich is not a good way to make money

* IF usc can pour it on, dont U think they will?

* people dont forget, even OH ST passing game caught fire late and if not for a nearly recovered fumble on mich 10 yl, OH ST mightve pulled that game out after it looked over earlier

usc 42

mich 24


gl, gregg


ps this is not an anti Mich play at all (i love their team), I bet them to win big 10, just think USC wont have any letdown and playing in home state is good for a +6 WIN ... usc is a covering machine and will flourish in finale just like LY vs Iowa ...

pss I didnt release any GOY etc, this would be it tho
 
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pt1gard

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nickelback

nickelback

great pick on Minny, that is only other game that stood out to me right now ...

gl, gregg
 

CWood97

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Florida -3.5 vs Iowa

Away from Kinnick, this Hawkeye team is average at best. I made it down to the Outback last year, and the crowd was 85% Gators and they were LOUD. Forget about "essentially a home game", this IS a home game for the Crocs. Leak is young, but don't forget that he has nearly as much starting experience as Chandler. The Ferentz factor and special teams will keep it close for a while, but FLA will outclass Iowa at all the skill positions, and their OL/DL's are solid. This will be my largest play of the bowl season.
 

phin8181

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North TX +4.5

.....The Tigers will still be without their 2 star players. One of them being DeAngelo Williams (recently voted Conference USA Player of the Year). Also Maurice Avery will not be able to play this game because of the same injury (Tigers deep threat receiver).

......I said it once in a previous post, this is the majority of the Tiger offense.

.....The only factor I see that could put the Tigers over the top is that there will be many Tiger fans in New Orleans. The Memphis pride will be large as it's been 32 years since they were in a bowl game.......emotion might just be the key............(but I don't think so....);)

....One other thing that North TX has going in its favor is that the Tigers special teams are horrible!
 
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gardenweasel

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c made some solid points

c made some solid points

that win at wisky came against a club that had their qb`s injured when they were up 21-7.....i think the back-up proceedd to throw mulutiole int`s and basically gave the game away...

florida`s problem has been inconsistency....oh that secondary vs fla st...whew....
 

CollegeCapper

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Northwestern/Bowling Green OVER 54

Being played indoors on the carpet at Ford Field -- both teams bring what I feel to be below average defenses into the game and both offenses should have success.

Shootout.
 

wareagle

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PHIN8181, please refer to thread "motivation for bowl teams." Avery is not hurt, he is practicing and WILL play. Williams is still hurt and won't play unless he practices between now and kickoff. IMO there are many games that are tons easier to pick than this game.

1 ex UGA -points over purdue!
 

phin8181

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......I apologize to the the whole thread.....wareagle is correct Avery is practicing. I am truly sorry to you wareagle........see that your feathers got ruffled...kinda look buzzardish now...

....Anyway....yes, there may be for you many games easier to cap this bowl season...and GL to you on them...although the Tigers have been one of my major focuses this year as they always are......I am sorry for the Avery post, although that story did not come out till today (Dec 9th)....and word is that he will not be anywhere close to 100% by gametime.......:D
 
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Cie

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UGA was demoralized by LSU last Saturday, but M Richt is a top 5 coach in NCAA and his troops will be ready for Purdue. The UGA D is awsome. After LSU put the game away the UGA defense did sort of quit, but they will be out for vengeance against an outmanned Boilermaker squad. Richt will have his offense in gear. More to follow as I have yet to dissect individual matchups. This will probably be my top bowl play.

GL:weed:
 

tschreiber

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Great call on NU-BGSU CC, I am all over this shootout.

Both teams will be happy to be inside even though they are from cold, midwestern towns.

I can see Bowling Green getting the 54 by themselves.
 

lowell

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nc state over kansas by 21 points.amato seems to always have wolfpack focused for bowl game.2 other factors-state recruits well in fla-they will be all business- and more importantly this will be river's last game.last i read he may not make the invitation list to new york for heisman.i believe he and amato will want to put alot of points on the board against kansas.if the line drops to 10 i will play it early.also like state in teaser with tenn.fulmer should have his team more prepared than last year with maryland.
 

genosays

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Agree with Lowell ....

Agree with Lowell ....

NC State should roll KU .... Jayhawks pass defense is atrocious and Rivers should be able to sit back all day to pick apart the secondary .... Whittemore will put up some points (probably around 24 or so) but Rivers will double that IMO .... Kansas just happy to be in a bowl game and NC State more experienced in that role and should be more focused in knowing how to prepare .... My predicted score is: NC State 51 Kansas 24
 

freelancc

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Michigan State +3 vs. Nebraska.

Nebraska will have a hard time stopping the passing game of Michigan State.. besides Nebraska is in disarray with coaching change and doubt within their program.


Nebraska will score too with sustained rushing drives... so i expect high scoring totals.

But Nebraska has NEVER been able to compete against a good passing team.. and i see Michigan State able to move the ball with the pass, matching scores with Nebraska

Historically, Nebraska performs poorly in bowl games, particularly during sub-par years.

If i am over looking something please let me know guys..;)
 

seeker

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This was the first game that really stuck out for me too....
I see Minny winning this one easily, probably 14+
GL everyone.

:)
 

NY Reb

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FSU -1.5

Payback, payback, payback! And IMO has the better overall team. Couldn't see Miami winning the first game, and definitely can't see them winning the second. Noles will play their best game of the year.
 
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